IPS-English PARAGUAY: Oviedo's Release Will Weaken Opposition Date: Fri, 07 Sep 2007 14:42:16 -0700 PARAGUAY: Oviedo's Release Will Weaken Opposition Candidate David Vargas ASUNCIÓN, Sep 7 (IPS) - The release of former army chief Lino Oviedo in Paraguay will weaken the presidential candidacy of former Catholic bishop Fernando Lugo, the front-runner in the polls for the April 2008 elections, say analysts and politicians. Paraguay's Supreme Court of Military Justice decided to release the former general on parole Thursday after he served half of his 10-year sentence for attempting to overthrow then president Juan Carlos Wasmosy in April 1996. Oviedo, 63, has thus returned to the political arena when the country is in the early stages of the campaign for next year's general elections. Observers told IPS that Oviedo's release will modify the political map and present a challenge to the Concertación Nacional, an opposition coalition of political parties and social movements, whose presidential candidate is Lugo, known as ”the bishop of the poor”. The three-man military tribunal argued that former Paraguayan army strongman Oviedo had served more than half of his term, because he had been in prison in Paraguay since Jun. 29, 2004, and had earlier spent 18 months in jail in Brazil, before returning to Paraguay. In addition, he was held for nine months in an army barracks in Asunción in 1998 before escaping to Argentina. When Oviedo left prison at noon Thursday, he was cheered by hundreds of his supporters, who had gathered outside to greet him. In brief comments to the press, the former general reiterated his argument that the sentence he was given was ”merely disguised political persecution.” The former army chief said he would dedicate himself to ”God and my family” and excused himself from making any political statements. But he announced that he would tour Paraguay's hinterland to ”express his gratitude” to the people who supported him during his time in prison. Senator Enrique González Quintana, the president of the Unión Nacional de Ciudadanos Éticos (UNACE) party founded by Oviedo from prison, said once again that he hoped the former general would stand for president in the coming elections. However, Paraguayan law prohibits ex-convicts on parole from running in elections. Judge Gustavo Gorostiaga explained to IPS that Oviedo ”can engage in politics in the broad sense of the word, but cannot run for office.” ”His rights are restricted and he cannot be elected, but he can campaign and take part in a rally,” added the judge. González Quintana told IPS that although Oviedo's legal status implies some restrictions, ”he has every right to tour the country and engage in politics.” ”The only limitation he has is that he cannot be a candidate,” said the senator. ”But that is just for now, because a request for a review of his sentence has been filed with the Supreme Court.” The speed with which the military tribunal rendered its opinion revived rumours of eventual negotiations between UNACE and the Colorado Party, which has governed this land-locked South American country for 60 years, aimed at weakening Lugo's candidacy. ”The whole thing has been thought out to weaken the Concertación coalition,” said political analyst Alfredo Boccia. President ”Nicanor Duarte pushed for Oviedo's release to weaken Lugo, who heads all of the opinion polls. UNACE forms part of the Concertación, but its supporters will press for Oviedo to be the presidential candidate,” he argued. Senator Armando Espínola, of the Partido Liberal Radical Auténtico (PLRA), the leading opposition party, which also forms part of the coalition, said Oviedo ”is a political phenomenon that is impossible for the Concertación to ignore.” ”We should immediately talk to him,” he told a local radio station. Oviedo's release has further muddied the waters for the Concertación, which is already in crisis since two of its largest parties, UNACE and the Partido Patria Querida (PPQ), have refused to recognise Lugo's candidacy. In its convention on Sunday, UNACE made it clear that it did not accept the Concertación's choice of candidate, Lugo, or of his running-mate, an as-yet undesignated member of the PLRA. The convention described Lugo's designation as candidate as ”hasty” and called for respect for a February agreement which established that the opposition alliance would elect a candidate through a popular survey or vote. ”This will create a whole new scenario, because a large part of the electorate that might support Lugo would back the UNACE candidate, even if it is not Oviedo himself,” PPQ Deputy Héctor Lacognata told IPS. After Raúl Cubas became president in August 1998, he had Oviedo released by decree, which triggered a political crisis that culminated in the March 1999 assassination of then vice president Luis Argaña and the shooting deaths of seven young anti-government protesters outside of Congress three days later. Oviedo was charged with planning Argaña's assassination and of being responsible for the deaths of the protesters, and he fled the country. He was given political asylum in Argentina, under the government of Carlos Menem (1989-1999). But in late 1999, he went into hiding, and was captured months later in Brazil, where he stayed until he decided to return to Paraguay in June 2004, when he was arrested and thrown into prison. In July, the Supreme Court handed down rulings in favour of Oviedo with regard to Argaña's assassination and the killings of the seven protesters. ***** + PARAGUAY: Stroessner's Death Closes Dark Chapter of History (http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=34367) (END/IPS/LA IP HD MX/TRASP-SW/DV/07) = 09072337 ORP016 NNNN