***************************************************************** 11/21/02 **** RADIATION BULLETIN(RADBULL) **** VOL 10.302 ***************************************************************** RADBULL IS PRODUCED BY THE ABALONE ALLIANCE CLEARINGHOUSE ***************************************************************** Send News Stories to news@energy-net.org with title on subject line and first line of body NUCLEAR POLICY 1 Kelly Says No Final Decision on Status of North Korea Agreed Framewo 2 TXU adds to Hewitt's nuclear headache 3 A war that can't be won 4 North Korea says 1994 nuclear agreement with Washington has collapse 5 Pyongyang's nukes - 6 US suspects Iran is becoming greater nuclear threat - 7 Nukes: the weapon of yesterday - 8 US: Early Release of the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 9 US: 10 Taipei: Nuclear conference opens NUCLEAR REACTORS 11 US: Man fined after driving through nuke plant security * 12 US: NRC denies petition seeking nuclear plants' shutdown 13 New China N-plant on line amid loan fears - 14 US: NRC Assigns New Resident Inspector at Pilgrim Nuclear Plant 15 US: U.S. refuses to close nuke plant (Indian Point) NUCLEAR SAFETY 16 India: Radiation dose exposure safe in Kakrapar: DAE 17 US: Worker safety concerns surfacing with lawsuit - 18 US: Nuke drill tests crisis response* NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE 19 AU: Nuclear waste sparks debate* 20 Kazakhstan reveals solution to its nuclear waste crisis: import 21 Kazakhstan eyes EU N-waste 22 IEER: Comments to NRC on proposed LES enrichment plant in 23 Radioactive waste stored has doubled in 15 years 24 Some grill LES on proposed uranium enrichment plant * 25 US: Chatham votes against nuclear shipments* NUCLEAR WEAPONS 26 Inspection of a Trident nuclear submarine 27 Pakistan's Bhutto said to have overseen Korea nuclear deal US DEPT. OF ENERGY 28 UC-managed nuclear research lab under investigation for missing item 29 Parsons Corp. selected to create uranium storage facility at Y-12 30 Livermore lab may lose top-dog status 31 Charge DOE to store, not just ship, wastes 32 Los Alamos Lab Property Said Missing 33 Residents can discuss SRS emissions 34 Energy Secretary Lauds Stanford University's New Global Climate 35 Los Alamos Laboratory Memo Says Nearly $1.3 Million in Computers, 36 Lawsuit: Radiation records were altered 37 DOE will keep WWII-era calutrons in service 38 Plutonium waste will be shipped to WIPP 39 MSC completes $1.2 million upgrade of rolling mill OTHER NUCLEAR 40 Energy industry bows to pressure 41 Seismic survey peers beneath Ancients monument ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** FULL NEWS STORIES ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** 1 Kelly Says No Final Decision on Status of North Korea Agreed Framework International Information Programs Washington File Washington File 20 November 2002 (Assistant Secretary of State's Nov. 19 press briefing) (4750) The U.S. government has not made any final decision about the status of its Agreed Framework with North Korea following North Korea's admission that it has been working on a uranium enrichment program for nuclear weapons, says a top U.S. official. Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs James A. Kelly told reporters at a briefing November 19 at the Foreign Press Center in Washington that "No final decisions have been made and no final statements have been made by the U.S. Government" on the agreement. "The U.S. view on the Agreed Framework is that the North Koreans said it was nullified and we guess it's been nullified. But we are not in any rush to make decisions on all aspects of it," Kelly said. Kelly said that North Korean First Vice Foreign Minister Kang Suk-joo made it clear to him that North Korea's uranium enrichment program "was something that North Korea was proceeding with" despite earlier agreements to abandon such projects. In response to a reporter's question, the Kelly said there are no U.S. plans for a U.S. military response. "When the President (Bush) was in South Korea last February, and in some remarks since, he made clear that we had no intention or plans to attack or invade North Korea," Kelly said. North Korean officials, he said, "keep emphasizing a threat posture which simply does not exist, and their sovereignty has not been challenged" by the United States. When asked if the United States was looking to China for help in resolving the situation in North Korea, Kelly replied that "China has not made any promises, and I have not made any demands, but we very much hope that they can be helpful in resolving this serious problem." He added that U.S. officials have "had some very good exchanges, quite a number of them, with China on the problem of North Korea.... But this is a private and sensitive matter for China, and I don't expect that they are going to state exactly what they are going to do." Following is the official transcript of the press briefing: (begin transcript) James A. Kelly, Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Foreign Press Center Briefing Washington, DC November 19, 2002 [Transcript Prepared by Diversified Reporting Services, Inc.] MR. DENIG: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Foreign Press Center. We are delighted to have with us this afternoon James Kelly, the Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs. The last one and a half months have been extraordinarily busy for him. He has made three trips to the Northeast Asia region and he, of course, also was down in Mexico for the APEC meeting and also in Crawford for the bilateral summit. We are delighted to have him here today to talk about developments in the region. And I would ask you, when you pose your questions, to please use the microphone, identify yourself and your news organization. And I would encourage you, given the number of people here, to keep your questions relatively brief so that we can have longer answers. Mr. Secretary. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Thank you. I won't have an opening statement today. We can go right to the questions. QUESTION: I'm Marie-Hebert Feister (ph), Economic Review. Mr. Kelly, there has been some confusion or disputing about what you were told when you were in North Korea. Can you tell us again what Kang Suk-joo told you in your meeting? And secondly, can you talk a little bit about the evidence that you presented, and particularly whether Pakistan was part of the equation, as was reported in The Washington Post recently? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: On October 3rd and 4th, I visited North Korea and I had four meetings there. Two of the meetings were with Vice Foreign Minister Kim Gye-guan, and one on Thursday, the 3rd, and the other in the morning. These were quite long meetings where I made my entire presentation and he made a presentation and we had a further exchange. They were pretty close to about three hours long. On the second day, which was scheduled to be the last full day of my meetings there, I also met with Kim Yong-nam, the President of the Supreme People's Assembly and the nominal president of North Korea. And then the last meeting I had was with First Vice Foreign Minister Kang Suk-joo. And the initial meetings with Vice Foreign Minister Kim Gye-guan, I made my presentation which indicated that we now had a precondition which we had not had in the past, which was that we had information that North Korea had a covert uranium enrichment program and that this was another way of proceeding towards nuclear weapons and that this was a big problem for us and that they needed to dismantle it right away before we could fully engage in a whole range of things that might well be and might well still be mutually beneficial. And I asked him not to reply right away, that it was a detailed presentation, and I asked that they give full consideration to it and reply after they had fully considered. But he insisted on replying quite rapidly and said that my assertion was a fabrication and that it was -- he didn't like it. In the last meeting, though, with First Vice Foreign Minister Kang, I never really gave my presentation. He spoke from the beginning. It wasn't such a long meeting. And his remarks clearly showed -- there were eight different mentions of the uranium enrichment project -- that this was something that North Korea was proceeding with, that they considered the Agreed Framework nullified, and I would stress that they said it was nullified because of assertions of U.S. misbehavior, with which I do not agree. And that was essentially his point. And I did not confront him or the others with evidence of the uranium enrichment program. I just said that we knew that they were doing it and that this was a serious violation of numerous international agreements and that it was causing a serious problem. And so that was the genesis of the reply. It wasn't the convincing nature of my evidence. To the best of my knowledge, the name of the country Pakistan never came up during my two days there. QUESTION: My name is Nai Chen-ma (ph) from Hong Kong Phoenix Television. Mr. Kelly, with respect to China's relationship with North Korea, do you believe China has significant leverage with North Korea to convince it to stop its nuclear weapons program? And how does the U.S. expect China to use its leverage with North Korea? And also, what more could or should U.S. and China do to eliminate the threat? Thank you. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Well, I visited China most recently last week. A week ago today, I was in China for talks. This was the second time in the last month that I had visited China to discuss this topic. I don't know how much influence China has with North Korea. I guess it probably has more influence than the U.S. does -- because of a long and friendly relationship -- but China has made it very clear that they are not in favor of nuclear weapons on the Korean Peninsula and so I think, in many respects, we share interests. North Korea has not made -- or, I'm sorry, China has not made any promises and I have not made any demands, but we very much hope that they can be helpful in resolving this serious problem. QUESTION: My name is T'ae yong Kim, Aram (ph) News Agency, Korea. The US State Department has not officially announced that the Geneva agreements between North Korea and the United States has been scrapped, but the United States recently suspended the fuel shipment to North Korea, which amounts to practical scrapping. And what is your official position? What is the official position of the State Department about the agreements? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: First of all, the US did not announce the ending of the fuel shipments. That was announced by the Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization board of directors, which includes the Republic of Korea, Japan, U.S. and the European Union, in New York, I believe, last Thursday. The US view on the Agreed Framework is that the North Koreans said it was nullified and we guess it's been nullified. But we are not in any rush to make decisions on all aspects of it. This is an agreement that has acted for some eight years and there are a number of different elements to it. Among other things, of course, its very first paragraph suggests that it's -- or asserts that it's aimed at preventing nuclear weapons on the Korean Peninsula, and that's, of course, exactly the uranium enrichment program that would constitute a violation of that. So no final decisions have been made and no final statements have been made by the US Government on that. We did say that the current shipment that, I guess, is being delivered now in North Korea is the last one for which there are funds, and I think that statement speaks for itself. QUESTION: My name is Yun (ph). I'm with the Kyunghyang Shinmun (ph), Korean. Mr. Kelly, I want to ask you about a newspaper report this morning which said that Bush administration will refrain from doing anything drastic regarding North Korean policy before a new South Korean president assumes office in January. Also in the report, a high-ranking, senior government official said that he hopes the new South Korean Government will scrap the Sunshine Policy of outgoing President Kim Dae-jung. I want to ask you your comment about this. And also, are you satisfied with the level of support you're getting from South Korea regarding North Korean nuclear issue? Thank you. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Was the official, an unnamed official in the newspaper story, that you cited? QUESTION: It didn't say anything about that. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: No, okay. So, it is very hard to comment about statements made in news stories by unnamed officials. I'm here as a named official. (Laughter.) And the fact is, I've visited Seoul four times in the last month and a half. I think we have an excellent level of cooperation. And democratic countries have one president at a time, and the President of the Republic of Korea is Mr. Kim Dae-jung; and as long as he is President, I believe until the 23rd of February, he's responsible for the government of that country, and that's the government with which we will deal. And so I wouldn't use the terms that that newspaper article said. As I did say, we've had excellent cooperation from the Government of South Korea and I would not associate myself with those other remarks. QUESTION: My name is Hakajiri (ph) with Asahi Shimbun (ph) of Japan. The KEDO executive board statement says that not only heavy fuel oil, but also other KEDO activity with North Korea, will be reviewed. So does this mean that the light-water reactor project could be abandoned if North Korea doesn't dismantle the highly enriched uranium program? Thank you very much. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Well, I don't want to speculate on what might or might not be done. I think that statement makes very clear that all those activities that are under the control of the KEDO executive board are going to come under review. The only one that had to be reviewed because this shipment of oil was actually at sea was the heavy fuel oil shipment for this month and those coming up, certainly, over the next couple. The support of the taxpayers of the Republic of Korea and of Japan and, in the case of the heavy fuel, of the U.S.A. is essential to that continuing on. And since the uranium enrichment program of North Korea, not to mention some of their recent public assertions, is a serious problem with written agreements, I think these questions remain very much open, but I do not think that they have been fully decided yet. QUESTION: Hello. My name is Nakano (ph) from Nippon Television Network. You said all that KEDO activities now come under review, but as United States, do you consider any other penalties against North Korea if the country does not stop developing nuclear weapons? Thank you. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: I really can't speculate on what might come. We've made very strong representations when I was in North Korea and since that it's important that North Korea dismantle this uranium enrichment program. There's no place for atomic bombs on the Peninsula of Korea, and this does not, in my view, contribute to North Korea's security. QUESTION: Mr. Secretary, Steve Collinson with AFP. The Thai Government has reacted rather angrily to a number of reports in U.S. and other media about the potential for a terrorist attack similar to the Bali bombing in Thailand in one of the beach resorts or Bangkok. I'm interested to know what the U.S. position on the Thai Government's antiterrorism measures are following the publication of these reports. And in the same region, I would be interested to know your perception on the dialogue process in Burma following the visit of Mr. Ismael, Razali Ismael, last week and the apparent lack of any progress following that visit. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: I think Thailand is doing an outstanding job in pursuit of the war against terror. But this is a very difficult campaign and every country, certainly including the U.S.A., has had and may well continue to be having this exposure to terrorists. And so, as a result of this and a result of things that have occurred in Southeast Asia, it's necessary that we provide appropriate warning to our citizens. It's just not fair to have these threats circulate around and be handed in some closely held manner from one government employee to another. It's a requirement of our law and policy that what the government knows about this sort of warning and threat has to be shared with our citizens. And yes, I think there has been some unhappiness in Thailand about the advisories that have been put out which in no case represent a warning against travel to Thailand. They don't do that. They simply state the conditions and the difficulties and ask that travelers be mindful of that. And that also applies to most of the other countries of Southeast Asia, as well. And the fact is, when tourism is a very important local industry and something like this comes out, sometimes the tendency is to criticize the messenger rather than the problem. With respect to your question on Burma. Yes, Tan Sri Razali had, I think, his ninth visit to Rangoon last week, and it appears as though not a great deal of progress was made. I have to say there's -- hopes had started to pick up with the progress of dialogue last summer and it doesn't seem to be getting very far. There are still an awful lot of political prisoners held and a lot of restrictions on freedom in Burma that are of serious concern. QUESTION: Central News Agency, Taiwan. I would like to press you a little bit more on China. Given China's connection to North Korea and given their stated position on nukes, or no nukes on the Peninsula, and given the improvement in the ties between the U.S. and China, one would have thought that the U.S. would expect Beijing to do a little bit more in terms of helping to cope with the situation in North Korea. I'm wondering whether you can elaborate a little bit on your discussion with the Chinese officials. And if I may ask you a question about Taiwan, your good friend C. J. Chen, Taiwan's representative to the U.S., is now in Taiwan facing some tough questions about an incident which happened on September 26th involving our first lady, Madame Chen, at Dulles Airport. I'm wondering whether you could tell us a little bit about how the U.S. handled that incident in which Madame Chen was subjected to some security check and whether you could confirm press reports from Taiwan that Secretary Powell called President Chen to offer his apology or regret. Thank you. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: With respect to the first question, I don't think it's helpful to try to describe expectations. The fact is, we've had some very good exchanges, quite a number of them, with China on the problem of North Korea. I was -- I left there quite encouraged. But this is a private and sensitive matter for China and I don't expect that they are going to state exactly what they are going to do. So my purpose of being there was to describe to them in considerable detail what our position was on these things and what our recent discussions had been in Seoul and Tokyo and our views about the things that North Korea had said and the evidence we had of things that they were doing. And I received very serious attention to those issues. With respect to the visit of Madame Wu, the First Lady of Taiwan, it's my understanding that she had a very excellent visit here. I wasn't at Dulles airport and I'm not able to report on the details there, but if there's anyone here who has not had to remove their shoes at the airport or undergo a very careful security check -- well, I certainly have had to go through that. Now, I'm not the First Lady of Taiwan, and we very much hope that representatives and those important people from friendly places receive a warm welcome. But there have been a number of cases, quite understandable, I think, given the very strong security procedures, in fact, in which for one problem of communication or another, that tight security procedures have been used against distinguished visitors. There's been a lot of press attention, for example, to that in Malaysia, recently, too. So, that said, I don't think I would comment any further, other than we're very concerned that our visitors here have a uniformly respectful reception at all times. And Secretary Powell certainly shares that view with me. QUESTION: Now that the 16th Party Congress in China is over -- oh, I'm sorry. Charles Snyder of the Taipei Times. Now that the 16th Party Congress is over, do you get a sense, does the administration get a sense that there might be any change in the new Chinese leadership and their policies at all towards Taiwan? And during the -- just before the 16th Party Congress, during the -- around the time of the summit, a number of Chinese ships apparently violated Taiwan space. Is the administration concerned over those, and did the President mention that during his meeting with Jiang Zemin? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: I'm not aware of the details that you mentioned about a number, especially, of war ships, encroaching into what you described as Taiwan space. I don't think -- I can't really identify anything in the 16th Party Congress. This is something for people like yourselves to analyze. The process went on, I think, largely as it had been suggested that it would. We look forward to working with the new leaders of China, and that's really about all that I can say. I didn't detect anything in the remarks that were made last week, privately or publicly, that would suggest any difference in the views of the PRC towards Taiwan. QUESTION: Kigan Go (ph) with (inaudible) Times, Korea. Secretary Colin Powell yesterday said that United States recognized the sovereignty of North Korea. Is it your official position to recognize the North Korean Government or regime? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Yes. I don't want to get tangled in language about diplomatic recognition, but yes, we recognize they're a member-state of the United Nations. I don't think that there's something else. We have a lot of serious problems with the government, but I think the context of what Secretary Powell said was really referring to all of the statements that have been coming from North Korea that keep talking about threats, and there really haven't been any threats. When the President was in South Korea last February, and in some remarks since, he made clear that we had no intention or plans to attack or invade North Korea. They keep emphasizing a threat posture which simply does not exist, and their sovereignty has not been challenged. Their behavior has been what has been challenged and this violation of written treaties in pursuing the development of nuclear weapons. QUESTION: John Zhan with Power TV of Taiwan. Sir, just to follow up on the previous question my colleague here just asked, could you confirm that Secretary Powell called President Chen Shui-bian to apologize for the incident, and, if you could, what did he apologize for? Thank you very much. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: No, I can't confirm it and I won't confirm it. QUESTION: Chris Cockel, from The China Post of Taiwan. How, if at all, do you believe the recently passed defense authorization bill, which seeks stronger U.S.-Taiwan relations, will impact U.S.-Taiwan-China relations? Thank you. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: It's my understanding that the defense authorization bill requires a report, I believe, from the President to the Congress, and I take that as an expression of a view that's been very well and very long held by the Congress and is articulated, in particular, in the Taiwan Relations Act that expresses very strong concern that military pressure and military threats not be brought onto Taiwan. And that's certainly something that is very much shared by the U.S., and I'm sure that the reports that the Congress has requested will be forwarded to them at the appropriate time. QUESTION: Secretary Kelly, Nadia Chow with The Liberty Times. There are two questions that have never been confirmed by the U.S. Government. After the Crawford meeting, Chinese media reported that President Bush accepted invitation to visit China next year for the third time. And also, a Xinhua News Agency report President Bush told President Jiang that he opposed Taiwan independence, but which in the official conference he used to not support. We're just wondering, can we confirm are these true, or actually you have a different version from the Chinese report? Thanks. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: The press conference that was held in Crawford with the two presidents, at that time President Bush expressed our policy, that we do not support Taiwan independence. There has been no change in American policy and there was no change in the meeting or out of the meeting with respect to our position on Taiwan. The fact is, the President cited our longstanding policies, the communiqués, the Taiwan Relations Act, to peaceful resolution, those elements that have always gone into our statements before. And I think it would be a mistake to try to parse every single word uttered privately and publicly and to try to juxtapose those and try to interpret a change of policy when clearly there has not been a change of policy. What was the other part? QUESTION: The invitation. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Oh, the invitation. Yes, there was an invitation to the President to come to visit China. I'm not certain that it had a particular time and I'm not certain that the President's reply, which was, I think, a general appreciation for that invitation, had any particular date on it. So that I think it would probably be a mistake to pencil in a particular visit of the President to Taiwan for 2003. But I think he does have some hope or expectation -- QUESTION: (Inaudible.) ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: I'm sorry. (Laughter.) ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Yeah. Let me try to be clear. To Beijing. The President, of course, visited Shanghai a year ago, and he visited Beijing last February. And I don't know when he will visit China anywhere, including Beijing, again, and I don't think there's any commitment to do so in 2003. QUESTION: Ch'oe (ph) from South Korea's Munhwa Broadcasting. North Korea and Japan again. There's some controversy what Kang Suk-joo had said to you, and even though your remark. The former Ambasador Donald Gregg said that Kang Suk-joo did not admit HEU program in North Korea. They just said that they are entitled to develop nuclear program, not -- they are not comment on HEU. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Let me say this about that. First, Vice Minister Kang Suk-joo definitely admitted that North Korea was pursuing a uranium enrichment program; and (b), he did say, and there have been subsequent public statements, that North Korea is entitled to a nuclear weapons program. Excuse me. North Korea is not entitled to a nuclear weapons program because they signed the Nonproliferation Treaty in 1985. So that this is an ongoing signal of a violation of a treaty to which North Korea is a party. QUESTION: Do you have verbatim of what Kang Suk-joo had said to you? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Yes, I do, and I don't intend to release it. QUESTION: May I have one more question, please? There's some news organizations' reports on KEDO, that -- actually I would like to elaborate the news organization, NSK, Japanese media, and The Washington Times in this town -- US will be back off from KEDO and dismantling KEDO system and then United States is scheming new framework for targeting the US nuclear program. What is your position on that? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Would you restate that question, because I, frankly, did not understand exactly what you were saying? QUESTION: United States does not have an intention to be involved in KEDO. ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: That's not our position at this time. MR. DENIG: We have time for one last question. QUESTION: Marion Wilkinson from The Sydney Morning Herald newspaper. On Monday, the Australian Government issued a new terrorist threat about a potential attack in Australia. I wonder if you could tell us, was that new threat regional or, to your knowledge, just confined to Australia; and what prompted it, to your knowledge; and what advice are U.S. citizens traveling to Australia being given? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: I have to confess, I'm probably not as -- I am aware that there was this threat, and it's my understanding that it was within Australia, and that it was given the notice that you describe. I'm not aware if we have changed our website about travelers to Australia or not. It's certainly one of a series of the threats that I was referring to earlier that we would take very seriously. MR. DENIG: We have time for one more quick one. QUESTION: Hi, Mr. Kelly. I am Tada Stabato (ph), TV Asahi, Japan. My question is about Charles Robert Jenkins, who defected to North Korea and married a Japanese abductee there. Jenkins said recently in an interview in a magazine that he wants to go to Japan in 2005 because the statute of limitation on his desertion will run out this year. Could you tell me, what is the United States Government's policy with regard to him? And one more question. When you went to Japan, you were asked by Shinzo Abe, Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary, if amnesty would be granted to Jenkins. How will you deal with this request? ASSISTANT SECRETARY KELLY: Mr. Abe, the Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary, we did discuss the case of Mr. Jenkins. I don't recall him making the particular request that you describe, and there are some ongoing discussions. Mr. Jenkins disappeared -- apparently walked to North Korea on his own, many, many years ago. We have tried to be in contact with him over the years by making requests in North Korea, and have never, never been in contact. It takes Japanese journalists to do that. So there remain serious charges under the law that are there on Mr. Jenkins, and I think they're going to have to be resolved whenever he chooses to return. I hope he wouldn't wait that long, but we're not able to make any assurances before a full investigation would be made whenever the condition or whenever the gentleman would present himself. And thank you very much, I will look forward to coming back again some time. (end transcript) (Distributed by the Office of International Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. Web site: http://usinfo.state.gov) ***************************************************************** 2 TXU adds to Hewitt's nuclear headache Guardian Unlimited | The Guardian | Mark Milner and Terry Macalister Thursday November 21, 2002 The Guardian [http://www.guardian.co.uk] The government's dilemma over whether to continue to support British Energy deepened last night as Britain's power generation industry plunged into crisis in the wake of the collapse of TXU Europe. Tuesday's decision to put TXU into administration yesterday shut down one power station and left the country's biggest plant, the huge Drax facility in Yorkshire, facing a financial crisis. Trade secretary Patricia Hewitt has until November 29 to decide whether to continue to provide finance for British Energy, which has already received £650m from the government. It has promised a statement next week. She is under pressure from rival power producers not to support the nuclear industry but knows she cannot allow such a sensitive business to fail. "We are still looking at the situation. Intensive discussions are going on. At the moment we have not made a decision," she said yesterday. The government's problem was underlined by Liberal Democrat trade and industry spokesman, Vince Cable, who warned that others in the industry were unlikely to accept continued support for British Energy when they too were facing a crisis as a result of the fall in wholesale electricity prices. "It would be surprising if the government does not face a legal challenge over British Energy," he said. Drax's financial problems follow the cancellation of a contract with TXU. It now has to sell its output on the open market at lower prices. "[Drax] can work through this. They don't have to close the door. The problem is they will struggle to generate enough cash to pay their debts. The only way they can work through this is by restructuring debt," Jan Willem Plantagie, a credit analyst at Standard and Poor's, said. The fallout from TXU Europe's plight also hit UK Coal which said it expected to take a £6m exceptional charge in its full year figures. Its shares fell 2.25p to 48p. It said the termination of TXU contracts would release it from unwanted obligations, saving the company £5m by April 2003. Scottish & Southern said it was facing financial losses of £175m as a result of TXU non-payments. "It would have been advantageous for everybody if TXU Europe had been allowed to work through its problems rather than be rushed into administration," a spokeswoman said. TXU Europe's 5.5 million British retail customers are safe. That side of the business has been bought by Powergen for £1.37bn. Useful links British Energy [http://www.british-energy.com/] Department of Trade and Industry [http://www.dti.gov.uk/] British Nuclear Fuels Ltd [http://www.bnfl.co.uk/website.nsf/default.htm] Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament [http://www.cnduk.org/] Greenpeace [http://www.greenpeace.org/homepage/] HSE nuclear glossary [http://www.hse.gov.uk/nsd/ilrwglos.htm] UK atomic energy authority [http://www.ukaea.org.uk/] National Radiological Protection Board [http://www.nrpb.org.uk/] Friends of the Earth [http://www.foe.co.uk/campaigns/climate/press_for_change/dump_nuc lear/index.html] World Nuclear Association [http://www.uilondon.org/] World Nuclear Transport Institute [http://www.wnti.co.uk] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2002 ***************************************************************** 3 A war that can't be won Guardian Unlimited | The Guardian | The west isn't just losing the fight against terrorism - it is fuelling it across the globe Seumas Milne Thursday November 21, 2002 The Guardian [http://www.guardian.co.uk] This time last year, supporters of George Bush's war on terror were in euphoric mood. As one Taliban stronghold after another fell to the US-backed Northern Alliance, they hailed the advance as a decisive blow to the authors of the September 11 atrocities. The critics and doom-mongers had been confounded, cheerleaders crowed. Kites were flying again, music was playing and women were throwing off their burkas with joyful abandon. As the US president demanded Osama bin Laden "dead or alive", government officials on both sides of the Atlantic whispered that they were less than 48 hours from laying hands on the al-Qaida leader. By destroying the terrorist network's Afghan bases and its Taliban sponsors, supporters of the war argued, the Americans and their friends had ripped the heart out of the beast. Washington would now begin to address Muslim and Arab grievances by fast-tracking the establishment of a Palestinian state. Downing Street even published a rollcall of shame of journalists they claimed had been proved wrong by a hundred days of triumph. And in parliament, Jack Straw ridiculed Labour MPs for suggesting that the US and Britain might still be fighting in Afghanistan 12 months down the line. One year on, the crowing has long since faded away; reality has sunk in. After six months of multiplying Islamist attacks on US, Australian and European targets, civilian and military - in Tunisia, Pakistan, Kuwait, Russia, Jordan, Yemen, the US and Indonesia - western politicians are having to face the fact that they are losing their war on terror. In Britain, the prime minister has taken to warning of the "painful price" that the country will have to pay to defeat those who are "inimical to all we stand for", while leaks about the risk of chemical or biological attacks have become ever more lurid. After a year of US military operations in Afghanistan and around the world, the CIA director George Tenet had to concede that the threat from al-Qaida and associated jihadist groups was as serious as before September 11. "They've reconstituted, they are coming after us," he said. In other words, the global US onslaught had been a complete failure - at least as far as dealing with non-state terrorism was concerned. Tom Daschle, the Democrats' leader in the Senate, was even more brutal. Summing up a litany of unmet objectives in the US confrontation with militant Islamism, he asked: "By what measure can we say this has been successful?" But most galling of all has been the authentication of the latest taped message from Bin Laden himself, promising bloody revenge for the deaths of the innocent in Palestine, Iraq and Afghanistan. This was the man whose capture or killing was, after all, the first objective of Bush's war. And yet, along with the Taliban leader and one-eyed motorbiker Mullah Omar, the mastermind of America's humiliation remains free. Meanwhile, in Afghanistan itself, the record is just as dismal. By using the heroin-financed gangsters of the Northern Alliance to overthrow the Taliban regime and pursue al-Qaida remnants ever since, the US has handed over most of the country to the same war criminals who devastated Afghanistan in the early 1990s. In Kabul, the US puppet president Hamid Karzai can rely on foreign troops to prop up his fragile authority. There, and in a few other urban centres, some girls' schools have re-opened and the worst manifestations of the Taliban's grotesque oppression of women have gone. But in much of what is once again the opium capital of the world, the return of the lawlords has meant harsh political repression, lawlessness, mass rape and widespread torture, the bombing or closure of schools, as well as Taliban-style policing of women's dress and behaviour. The systematic use by Ismail Khan, who runs much of western Afghanistan with US support, of electric shock torture, arbitrary arrests and whippings to crush dissent is set out in a new Human Rights Watch report. Khan was nevertheless described by the US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld recently as a "thoughtful" and "appealing" person. His counterpart in the north, General Dostam, has in turn just been accused by the UN of torturing witnesses to his troops' murder of thousands of Taliban prisoners late last year, when he was working closely with US special forces. The death toll exacted for this "liberation" can only be estimated. But a consensus is growing that around 3,500 Afghan civilians were killed by US bombing (which included the large-scale use of depleted uranium weapons), with up to 10,000 combatants killed and many more deaths from cold and hunger as a result of the military action. Now, long after the war was supposed to be over, the US 82nd airborne division is reported to be alienating the population in the south and east with relentless but largely fruitless raids and detentions, while mortar and rocket attacks on US bases are now taking place at least three times a week. As General Richard Myers, chairman of the US joint chiefs of staff, puts it, the US military campaign in Afghanistan has "lost momentum". All this has been the inevitable product of the central choice made last autumn, which was to opt for a mainly military solution to the challenge of Islamist terrorism. That was a recipe for failure. By their nature, terrorist or guerrilla campaigns which have deep social roots and draw on a widespread sense of injustice - as militant Islamist groups do, regardless of the obscurantism of their ideology - cannot be defeated militarily. And as the war on terror has increasingly become a war to enforce US global power, it has only intensified the appeal of "asymmetric warfare" to the powerless. The grievances al-Qaida is able to feed on throughout the Muslim world were once again spelled out in Bin Laden's latest edict. But there is little sign of any weakening of the wilful western refusal to address seriously the causes of Islamist terrorism. Thus, during the past year, the US has armed and bolstered Pakistan and the central Asian dictatorships, supported Putin's ongoing devastation of Chechnya, continued to bomb and blockade Iraq at huge human cost, established new US bases across the Muslim world and, most recklessly of all, provided every necessary cover for Ariel Sharon's bloody rampages through the occupied Palestinian territories. In most of this, despite Tony Blair's muted appeals for a new Middle East peace conference, Britain has played the role of faithful lieutenant. Now, even as "phase one" of its war on terror has been seen to have failed, the US shows every sign of preparing to launch phase two: its long-planned invasion and occupation of Iraq. Perhaps some of the intensity of the current warnings about terrorist threats is intended to help soften up public opinion for an unpopular war. But what is certain about such an act of aggression is that it will fuel Islamist terrorism throughout the world and make attacks on those countries which support it much more likely. If such outrages take place in Britain, there can no longer be any surprise or mystery about why we have been attacked, no point in asking why they hate us. Of course, it wouldn't be the innocents who were killed or injured who would be to blame. But by throwing Britain's weight behind a flagrantly unjust war, our political leaders would certainly be held responsible for endangering their own people. s.milne@guardian.co.uk [s.milne@guardian.co.uk] Useful links Al-Qaida profile - US department of state [http://library.nps.navy.mil/home/tgp/qaida.htm] FBI most wanted - Osama Bin Laden [http://www.fbi.gov/mostwant/topten/fugitives/laden.htm] Jane's International Security News [http://www.janes.com/security/international_security/news/misc/j anes010928_1_n.shtml] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2002 ***************************************************************** 4 North Korea says 1994 nuclear agreement with Washington has collapsed canada.com » News » Story Wednesday » November 20 » 2002 Canadian Press SEOUL (AP) - North Korea said Thursday that a 1994 nuclear agreement with the United States has collapsed because of the U.S.-led decision to suspend fuel oil deliveries to the communist country. But in a vaguely worded statement, North Korea's Foreign Ministry appeared to leave open the possibility that the deal might be salvaged. It said an earlier appeal for a non-aggression pact with the United States was aimed at preventing the nuclear agreement from being "derailed at any cost." It said such a pact was the only "realistic solution to the nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula" and did not say it had any plans to restart a suspected nuclear weapons program that was frozen under the 1994 deal. Last week, the United States and its allies, South Korea, Japan and the European Union, suspended deliveries of fuel oil to the energy-starved North to punish it for violating the 1994 pact by embarking on a second nuclear weapons program. The oil deliveries are part of the pact known as the Agreed Framework that required a U.S.-led consortium to build two modern nuclear reactors in North Korea. In exchange, the North agreed to dismantle a suspected nuclear weapons program using plutonium. Despite recent revelations that the North has a second nuclear program, an unidentified North Korean Foreign Ministry spokesman said the blame for the erosion of the Agreed Framework lay with the United States. "Now that the U.S. unilaterally gave up its last commitment under the framework, the (North) acknowledges that it is high time to decide upon who is to blame for the collapse of the framework," the spokesman said in a statement carried by the North's official news agency, KCNA. It was the first time that North Korea has publicly said it considered the agreement to have collapsed. After visiting Pyongyang in October, the U.S. assistant secretary of state, James Kelly, said North Korean officials told him they considered the 1994 agreement dead. At that time, he said, they admitted to the second nuclear program that uses highly enriched uranium to build bombs. In recent months, North Korea had repeatedly threatened to abandon the accord, complaining about delays in the construction of the reactors. It also accused Washington of trying to undermine its political system and even invade, citing President George W. Bush's labelling of the North as part of an "axis of evil," along with Iran and Iraq. The North Korean spokesman said the U.S. assertion that the North violated the Agreed Framework "is a burglary logic of America-style superpower chauvinism that a big country may threaten a small country as it wishes but a small country should not try to cope with such threat." The North has offered to resolve U.S. security concerns if Washington signs a non-aggression treaty with it. But the United States has ruled out any talks unless the North first scraps its uranium-based nuclear program. Koh Yu-hwan, a North Korea expert at Dongguk University in Seoul, speculated that the North Korean statement was "a diplomatic card to pressure the United States" into negotiations. Earlier Thursday, China, North Korea's biggest ally, urged the two sides to salvage the Agreed Framework. The agreement "is useful in realizing a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Kong Quan said. "China hopes that the relevant parties can carry out their obligations." © Copyright 2002 The Canadian Press ***************************************************************** 5 Pyongyang's nukes - NOV 21, 2002 PYONGYANG'S Stalinist regime continues to befuddle as it engages in brinkmanship and subterfuge. North Korean state radio announced last Sunday that the country had nuclear weapons, only to clarify the next day that it was 'entitled' to have them because of the threat it faced from the United States. Does North Korea have nuclear bombs or not? American and Chinese intelligence believe it has. Whatever it is, the announcement that was clarified muddies the water further. Clearly, North Korea is playing games to rattle the South Koreans and the Japanese into pressuring the US to give it what it demands. It reflects the rising tensions between Pyongyang and Washington over the cut-off in fuel supplies to the North Koreans from next month, after they admitted that they still had an active uranium-enrichment programme. Clearly, North Korea is using its nuclear capability as a ploy to wring more economic aid and political concessions from the US. It has no recourse other than blackmail. There is no doubt that Pyongyang must abandon its nuclear weapons programme to ease tensions in the Korean peninsula. The US must insist on this. The sensible thing for North Korea to do now is to state unequivocably that it will forsake nuclear weapons. Otherwise, there is no reason for Washington to negotiate with it. North Korea ought to change course now. Doing this will not just save its sinking economy, it will also improve the chances of establishing normal relations with Washington. North Korea is in desperate straits. Its impoverished people are dying from hunger. It is now trying to prop up a crumbling economy by cutting subsidies and raising wages. Withdrawal of foreign aid will worsen the acute energy shortages in North Korea. The US should work with South Korea, Japan, China and Russia to convince Pyongyang to give up its nuclear ambitions. Together, they can be more effective in making aid conditional on the North Koreans scrapping their nuclear weapons programme. For Asia's rogue regime, the best way to break out of its poverty trap is to end its self-imposed isolation and undertake drastic economic reforms. Its new willingness to engage Seoul and Tokyo shows it intends to open up the hermetically-sealed country. Its nuclear brinkmanship has been a way of getting the world to pay attention to its problems. This is a measure of its desperation. The North Koreans want to normalise diplomatic and economic ties with the US, even though Washington has branded it as one of the three countries in the 'axis of evil' alongside Iraq and Iran. Because the US has not responded positively to their overtures, they believe that the Americans are only interested in destroying them. Despite this paranoia, Pyongyang can be persuaded to stop its nuclear programme. Therein lies an opportunity for rapprochement. It had, after all, opened a nuclear site for American inspection during the Clinton era and froze the testing of long-range missiles. But the Bush administration is deeply sceptical of North Korean motives. Divining the intentions of the highly secretive leadership in Pyongyang is a hazardous exercise. Still, it is better to give the North Koreans the benefit of the doubt. For all their bluster against the Americans, they want to get engaged with Washington. This is an opening the Bush administration should not miss. It is the best way to defang North Korea of its nuclear capability. Nothing must detract America from this task. The Straits Times ***************************************************************** 6 US suspects Iran is becoming greater nuclear threat - theage.com.au November 22 2002 By Knut Royce, Earl Lane Washington While the Bush administration has focused public attention on Iraq's alleged weapons of mass destruction, Iran's nuclear weapons program has in recent months begun to appear more worrisome than Iraq's, according to US intelligence. Administration officials and nuclear proliferation specialists say Iran is trying covertly to produce weapons-grade uranium or plutonium. A US official with access to intelligence reporting on non-proliferation acknowledged in an interview that Iran's nuclear weapons effort is more developed than Iraq's. The official asked not to be identified. With no fanfare, director-general of the UN's International Mohamed ElBaradei, director-general of the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency - in Baghdad to search for Saddam Hussein's alleged nuclear weapons facilities - planned a trip soon to look at nuclear sites in Iran. Dr ElBaradei said he hoped to visit sites that might be part of an effort by Iran to acquire a complete nuclear fuel cycle, including what many experts believe will include an ability to produce bomb-grade plutonium. The US Government considers Iran the most active state sponsor of international terrorism, far more than Iraq, and President George Bush has included Iran in his "axis of evil" along with Iraq and North Korea. Iran is developing a medium-range ballistic missile that would be capable of striking Israel, experts say. While some parts of the Iranian leadership have moderated their anti-Western rhetoric in recent years, key leaders in charge of the military have not and the hardline Iranian leaders still call for the destruction of Israel. What worries US officials and experts most is Iran's interest in technology for the production of nuclear reactor fuel and the handling of spent fuel. This "fuel cycle" can include reprocessing of the spent fuel to extract weapons-grade plutonium, a step specialists in and outside the US Government are convinced the Iranians want to take. "They are pursuing clandestinely through false trading companies and a variety of other means an intensive effort to develop those attributes of the fuel cycle which are necessary" to building nuclear weapons, said John Wolf, assistant secretary of state for non-proliferation. Morteza Ranandi, press attache at Iran's UN mission in New York, denied this week that his government has any interest in nuclear weapons. "Our program is for energy and peaceful aims only," Mr Ranandi said. The International Atomic Energy Agency is taking a wait-and-see stance. Mark Gwozdecky, an agency spokesman, said Iran had the right to build facilities for fabricating and processing nuclear fuels as long as it declared their existence at the appropriate time and opened them for inspection. - Newsday Copyright © 2002 The Age Company Ltd advertise ***************************************************************** 7 Nukes: the weapon of yesterday - theage.com.au November 22 2002 The US doesn't need them, and their existence makes others want them, writes Paul Keating. John Howard said in the House of Representatives last week that "the ultimate terrorist nightmare would be if weapons of mass destruction were to fall into the hands of Osama bin Laden and his cohorts". I couldn't agree more. The threat that terrorists might launch attacks on our cities is real. Howard went on, however, to draw from that threat the conclusion that "efforts must be sustained by the nations of the world to remove from the hands of people who might capriciously use them, weapons of mass destruction". He was obviously preparing the ground for an argument that a unilateral attack on Iraq is the same thing as war on terrorism because Saddam Hussein's suspected weapons may be used or might fall into the hands of terrorists. In fact, terrorists are likely to find their weapons in more familiar circumstances - from fissile material leaking out of the insecure stockpiles in the former Soviet Union, or, as we almost certainly saw with the anthrax attacks in the United States last year, from within the American defence establishment itself. But Howard's use of that word "capriciously" was revealing. It suggests that sober, thoughtful, non-capricious use of such weapons could be contemplated. The idea that underpins such thinking comes to the heart of the problem for me. It is based on the notion that somehow we can keep weapons of mass destruction out of the hands of irresponsible and dangerous people, while maintaining them for the right sort of people - people, in other words, like us and our allies. We are probably now stuck with the phrase "the war on terror", but it is a dangerously misleading metaphor for the dangers we face. For most people it conjures up images of a clear enemy, fixed battles, military or intelligence solutions and, at the end of it all, an unconditional victory over our opponents. Instead, we are engaged in a long struggle on many fronts against shifting groups and individuals. Some time ago I labelled this a Mad Max kind of world. To prevail, we need better intelligence gathering, more effective protective security, military action in some cases and civilian aid in others. But as important as any of that, we need to engage in the struggle for ideas. Unless we address the circumstances that spawn the recruitment of terrorists, we will never succeed in stemming their rise. We could begin by acknowledging the way in which the world has changed but how the structures of power haven't. The world is still set up on the model that existed in 1947 and it is not run cooperatively. From the United Nations to the International Monetary Fund to the Group of Eight, it needs root-and-branch change, one that acknowledges more fairly the weight and interests of particular countries and regions. India, China and the Middle East come immediately to mind. And if we are to have any hope of confronting the universally acknowledged danger of more states acquiring nuclear weapons and terrorists getting hold of them, we have to accept that it means getting rid of them for everyone. If we take the view that some may have them but others may not, where is the line to be drawn? Who will be judged a capricious user, in Howard's phrase, and who not? Saddam Hussein? Kim Jong-il in North Korea? America's friend General Pervez Musharraf in Pakistan? Israel? And what future tin-pot dictator? So long as some nations reserve the right to have nuclear weapons, others will ask, "Why not us?" And there is no defensible answer to the question. The only way is to get weapons of mass destruction out of everyone's hands, and not just the hands of everyone except those with a Caucasian complexion. This week, former US president Jimmy Carter called for the US to set an example in disarmament. He said: "Quite often the big countries that are responsible for the peace of the world set a very poor example for those who might hunger for the esteem or the power or the threats that they can develop from nuclear weapons themselves." Nuclear weapons were devised as a weapon of indiscriminate destruction - one that does not discriminate between military targets and civilian populations - which is why they have not been used since their indiscriminate power of destruction was demonstrated to the Japanese in 1945. It is why American battlefield commanders refer to them as "junk"; they are weapons that such commanders will never get to deploy. And why would they when the US has such hegemony in weapons of accuracy which can surgically take out military targets within built-up civilian populations? We no longer keep nuclear weapons to contain the Soviet Union. Nuclear weapons cannot and do not deter terrorists - they can only entice them. We no longer contemplate using nuclear weapons against military targets. It is why many Americans now ask "why have them?", especially when their presence encourages less worthy states to acquire them. The penny seems never to have dropped for the American right. US dominance with weapons of accuracy and its overwhelming capacity to project power is allowed to be levelled by any punk state or terrorist group that decides to develop, or is able to obtain, a crude nuclear weapon. And such a weapon is more likely to be delivered in the bowels of a freighter or to be placed surreptitiously as an act of terrorism than it is to arrive via an intercontinental ballistic missile. In any case, nuclear disarmament is already a solemn commitment - made under the terms of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty - of the five declared nuclear powers. It was a bargain struck with the non-nuclear states to halt the spread of weapons in return for the weapon states working towards their elimination. This goal will not be easy. It was never going to be easy. But it must happen. It requires intrusive inspection regimes and, as we see with Iraq, a willingness by the international community to back up commitments with force. But nuclear weapons are not needed. They are the biggest of all accidents waiting to happen. It was exactly these issues, the dangers related to the spread of nuclear weapons, that caused the government I led to commission the Canberra Commission on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons, which presented the first practical de-nuking document in the world - a report since pigeonholed by the Coalition. When the commission reported in 1996, it based its practical and realistic recommendations on the fundamental assumption that "the proposition that large numbers of nuclear weapons can be retained in perpetuity and never used - accidentally or by decision - defies credibility. The only complete defence is the elimination of nuclear weapons and the assurance that they will never be produced again." Since the Canberra Commission report, India, Pakistan and now North Korea have signed themselves into the nuclear club. More will join. Australia has no nuclear weapons but we have two particular strengths that give us standing in this debate. The first is our solid alliance with the United States. The second is our effective national experience in arms control, and particularly nuclear and chemical weapons control. There are few contributions we could more usefully make to the struggle against terrorism. Former Labor prime minister Paul Keating writes regularly for The Age. Copyright © 2002 The Age Company Ltd ***************************************************************** 8 Early Release of the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 Released November 20, 2002 (Next Release: November 2003) PDF Format Link to Annual Energy Outlook 2002 Complete Report will be Available in Early January 2003 Key Energy Issues to 2025 As has been typical over the past few years, energy prices were extremely volatile during 2002. Spot natural gas prices, about $2 per thousand cubic feet in January, rose to between $3 and $4 per thousand cubic feet by the fall. Average wellhead prices, which are moderated by the inclusion of natural gas bought under contract, also increased over the year. Crude oil prices also rose in 2002, mainly because of reduced production by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Counties (OPEC) and, to a lesser degree, fears about the potential impact of military action in Iraq. Crude oil prices began 2002 at roughly $16 per barrel and were between $25 and $30 per barrel by the fall. The impact of near-term price trends is reflected in the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 (AEO2003), but long-term energy markets are less influenced by near-term trends, such as supply disruptions or political actions, and more by the long-term fundamentals of energy markets. AEO2003 focuses on these long-term fundamentals, including the availability of energy resources, developments in U.S. electricity markets, technology improvement, and the impact of economic growth on projected energy demand and prices through 2025. A major consideration for energy markets through 2025 will be the availability of adequate natural gas supplies at competitive prices to meet growth in demand. AEO2003 projects growing dependence on major new, large-volume natural gas supply projects for both domestic and imported supplies to meet future demand levels, including deepwater offshore wells, new and expanded liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities, the Mackenzie Delta pipeline in Canada, and an Alaskan pipeline that would allow delivery of natural gas to the lower 48 States. Net imports accounted for 55 percent of total U.S. oil demand in 2001, up from 37 percent in 1980 and 42 percent in 1990. That trend is expected to continue. A growing portion of imports is projected to be refined petroleum products, such as gasoline, diesel fuel, and jet fuel, assuming the future availability of those products in world markets. While no new nuclear plants have been built in recent years, existing facilities have substantially improved their performance and lowered operating costs. Further, it has become common practice to request extension of the operating licenses of nuclear plants from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). As a result, the downturn in nuclear generating capacity and generation previously expected is now anticipated to be delayed or eliminated. A more recent phenomenon has been uprating of nuclear plant capacity. The AEO2003 forecast, reflecting those trends, projects an increase in nuclear capacity and generation. Economic Growth The U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP), is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 3.0 percent from 2001 to 2025 in AEO2003, similar to the 3.1 percent rate projected in AEO2002 for 2001 to 2020. Most of the determinants of economic growth are similar to those in AEO2002, but there are some important differences. For example, the projection of vehicle miles traveled, estimated using macroeconomic variables such as GDP growth, population, and income, is higher in this year’s AEO. Light-duty vehicle miles traveled are projected to grow by 2.4 percent per year through 2020 in AEO2003, compared with 2.2 percent in AEO2002. This projection, which is more consistent with recent historical trends, increases the projected demand for transportation fuels. Energy Prices The average world oil price is projected to increase from $22.01 per barrel (2001 dollars) in 2001 to $25.83 per barrel in 2003, then to decline to $23.27 per barrel in 2005. Rising prices are projected for the longer term, to roughly $25.50 in 2020 (about the same as in AEO2002) and roughly $26.50 in 2025 (Figure 1), largely due to higher projected world oil demand. In nominal dollars, the average world oil price is expected to reach approximately $48 per barrel in 2025. World oil demand is projected to increase from 76.0 million barrels per day in 2001 to 112.0 million barrels per day in 2020 (less than the AEO2002 projection of 118.9 million barrels per day) due to lower projected demand in the former Soviet Union and in developing nations, including China, India, Africa, and South and Central America. World oil demand, including both conventional and unconventional oil supplies, grows to 123.2 million barrels per day by 2025 in AEO2003. Growth in oil production in both OPEC and non-OPEC nations leads to relatively slow growth in prices through 2025. OPEC conventional oil production is expected to reach 60.1 million barrels per day in 2025, more than double the 28.3 million barrels per day produced in 2001. The forecast assumes that sufficient capital will be available to expand production capacity. Non-OPEC conventional oil production is expected to increase from 45.5 to 58.8 million barrels per day between 2001 and 2025. A 1.0 million barrel per day decline in production in the industrialized nations (United States, Canada, Mexico, Western Europe, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand) is more than offset by increased production from Russia, the Caspian Basin, Non-OPEC Africa, and South and Central America (in particular, Brazil). Russian oil production is expected to continue to recover from the lows of the 1990s and to reach 10.4 million barrels per day by 2025, 44 percent above 2001 levels. Production from the Caspian Basin is expected to exceed 5.0 million barrels per day by 2025, compared with 1.6 million barrels per day in 2001. By 2025, projected production from South and Central America reaches 6.3 million barrels per day, up from 3.7 million barrels per day in 2001. Non-OPEC African production is projected to grow from 2.7 million barrels per day in 2001 to 6.9 million barrels per day by 2025. Average natural gas prices (including spot purchases and contracts) are projected to drop from $4.12 per thousand cubic feet in 2001 to $2.75 per thousand cubic feet in 2002. After 2002, natural gas prices are projected to move higher as technology improvements prove inadequate to offset the impacts of resource depletion and increased demand. Natural gas prices are projected to increase in an uneven fashion as higher prices allow the introduction of major new, large-volume natural gas projects that temporarily depress prices when initially brought on line. Prices are projected to reach about $3.70 per thousand cubic feet by 2020 and $3.90 per thousand cubic feet by 2025 (equivalent to more than $7.00 per thousand cubic feet in nominal dollars). At roughly $3.70 per thousand cubic feet, the 2020 wellhead natural gas price in AEO2003 is more than 35 cents higher than the AEO2002 projection, due to a downward revision of the potential for inferred natural gas reserve appreciation and a reduced expectation for technology improvement over time. As demand for natural gas increases, expected technology improvements do not completely offset the effects of resource depletion. In AEO2003, the average minemouth price of coal is projected to decline from $17.59 in 2001 to about $14.40 per short ton (2001 dollars) in 2020, remaining at about that level through 2025. Prices decline because of increased mine productivity, a shift to western production, and competitive pressures on labor costs. AEO2003 is less optimistic about future productivity improvements in the Powder River Basin than was AEO2002, which projected average coal prices of roughly $13.10 per ton by 2020. Average electricity prices are projected to decline from 7.3 cents per kilowatthour in 2001 to a low of 6.3 cents (2001 dollars) by 2007 as a result of cost reductions in an increasingly competitive market where excess generating capacity has resulted from the recent boom in construction and the continued decline in coal prices. Electricity industry restructuring contributes to declining projected prices through reductions in operating and maintenance costs, administrative costs, and other miscellaneous costs. After 2008, average real electricity prices are projected to increase by 0.4 percent per year as a result of rising natural gas prices and a growing need for new generating capacity to meet electricity demand growth. Real electricity prices reach 6.6 cents per kilowatthour in 2020 in AEO2003, identical to the price in AEO2002, and 6.7 cents per kilowatthour by 2025 as natural gas prices continue to increase. Energy Consumption Total energy consumption in AEO2003 is projected to increase from 97.3 to 130.1 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) between 2001 and 2020, an average annual increase of 1.5 percent. This projection is slightly below the 2020 projection of 130.9 quadrillion Btu for total consumption in AEO2002. By 2025, total energy consumption is projected to reach 139.1 quadrillion Btu in AEO2003. While total energy consumption levels in 2020 are similar in AEO2002 and AEO2003, consumption by sector shifts; in particular, transportation consumption is higher and industrial consumption is lower by 2020 in AEO2003. Residential energy consumption is projected to grow at an average rate of 1.0 percent per year between 2001 and 2025, with the most rapid growth expected for computers, electronic equipment, and appliances. By 2020, projected residential demand is 24.5 quadrillion Btu (slightly higher than the 24.3 quadrillion Btu projected in AEO2002). Slightly greater growth in the number of households explains the relatively higher level of energy demand in AEO2003. By 2025, total residential energy consumption is projected to reach 25.4 quadrillion Btu. Commercial energy demand is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.6 percent between 2001 and 2025, reaching 23.5 quadrillion Btu in 2020 (slightly higher than the 23.2 quadrillion Btu in AEO2002) and 25.3 quadrillion Btu by 2025 in AEO2003. The most rapid increases in demand are projected for computers, office equipment, telecommunications, and miscellaneous small appliance uses. Commercial floorspace is projected to grow by an average of 1.6 percent per year between 2001 and 2020, identical to the rate of growth in AEO2002 for the same time period. Industrial energy demand in AEO2003 is projected to increase at an average rate of 1.3 percent per year between 2001 and 2025, reaching 41.7 quadrillion Btu in 2020 (significantly lower than the AEO2002 projection of 43.8 quadrillion Btu) and 44.4 quadrillion Btu in 2025. The lower level of energy consumption in AEO2003 in 2020 is partly the result of adopting an updated definition of what is included in industrial energy consumption. In earlier AEOs, industrial energy consumption included demand by combined heat and power (CHP) plants that were essentially independent power producers (IPPs), producing electricity but little steam. The energy demand of such “nontraditional” CHP plants is now included in the electric power sector. Transportation energy demand in AEO2003 is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 2.0 percent between 2001 and 2025, reaching 40.4 quadrillion Btu in 2020 (0.8 quadrillion Btu higher than in AEO2002) and 44.0 quadrillion Btu by 2025. The higher level of consumption in the transportation sector results from a higher forecast of vehicle miles traveled and a lower level of vehicle efficiency. Light-duty vehicle miles traveled are projected to grow by 2.4 percent per year through 2020 in AEO2003 (compared with 2.2 percent per year in AEO2002) and by 2.3 percent per year through 2025. Consistent with recent trends, less improvement is projected for the average fuel efficiency of new light-duty vehicles than in AEO2002. New light-duty vehicle efficiency is projected to reach 25.6 miles per gallon by 2020 in AEO2003 (down from 27.2 miles per gallon in AEO2002) and 26.1 miles per gallon by 2025. Total electricity demand is projected to grow by 1.9 percent per year from 2001 through 2020 (the same as in AEO2002) and 1.8 percent per year from 2001 to 2025. Rapid growth in electricity use for computers, office equipment, and a variety of electrical appliances in the residential and commercial sectors is only partially offset by improved efficiency in these and other more traditional electrical applications; however, demand growth is expected to slow as regional and national market saturation is reached for air conditioning and some other applications. Total demand for natural gas is projected to increase at an average annual rate of 1.8 percent between 2001 and 2025 (Figure 2), from 22.7 trillion cubic feet to 34.9 trillion cubic feet, primarily because of rapid growth in demand for electricity generation. With higher projected prices, total natural gas demand in 2020 (32.1 trillion cubic feet) is projected to be 1.6 trillion cubic feet lower in AEO2003 than in AEO2002. In AEO2003, total coal consumption is projected to increase from 1,050 to 1,444 million short tons between 2001 and 2025, an average increase of 1.3 percent per year. Projected total coal demand in 2020 (based on short tons) is almost identical to that in AEO2002 despite some shifts between sectors. Industrial coal demand is lower and electricity generation coal demand is higher in AEO2003 as a result of the definitional changes in the data mentioned above and higher natural gas prices in AEO2003 that lead to higher projected demand for coal in the electric power sector. Total petroleum demand is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.7 percent through 2025 (reaching 29.17 million barrels per day), led by growth in the transportation sector, which is expected to account for about 75 percent of petroleum demand in 2025. Projected demand in 2020 (27.13 million barrels per day) is higher than in AEO2002 by 470 thousand barrels per day due to higher transportation demand. Total renewable fuel consumption, including ethanol for gasoline blending, is projected to grow at an average rate of 2.2 percent per year through 2025, primarily due to State mandates for renewable electricity generation. About 55 percent of the projected demand for renewables in 2025 is for electricity generation and the rest for dispersed heating and cooling, industrial uses (including CHP), and fuel blending. The projected demand for renewables in 2020 in AEO2003 is 0.6 quadrillion Btu lower than in AEO2002, reflecting an update in historical statistics primarily regarding electricity generation at pulp and paper plants that lowers the expectation for biomass use at industrial CHP plants. Energy Intensity As energy prices increased between 1970 and 1986, energy intensity, as measured by energy use per dollar of GDP, declined at an average annual rate of 2.3 percent as the economy shifted to less energy-intensive industries, product mix changed, and more efficient technologies were adopted (Figure 3). With slower price increases and growth in more energy-intensive industries, intensity declines moderated to an average of 1.4 percent per year between 1986 and 2001. Energy intensity is projected to continue to decline at an average annual rate of 1.5 percent through 2025, as continued efficiency gains and structural shifts in the economy offset growth in the demand for energy services. Energy use per person generally declined from 1970 through the mid-1980s but began to increase as energy prices declined in the late 1980s and 1990s. Per capita energy use is projected to increase in the forecast, with growth in demand for energy services only partially offset by efficiency gains. Per capita energy use increases by 0.7 percent per year between 2001 and 2025 in AEO2003. Electricity Generation Generation from natural gas, coal, nuclear, and renewable fuels is projected to increase through 2025 to meet growing demand for electricity and offset the projected retirement of existing generating capacity, mostly fossil steam capacity being displaced by more efficient natural-gas-fired combined-cycle capacity brought online in the past few years and still being constructed (Figure 4). The projected levels of generation from power plants using coal, nuclear, and renewable fuels are higher than in AEO2002 due to higher projected natural gas prices and uprates and life extensions of nuclear plants. The natural gas share of electricity generation is projected to increase from 17 percent in 2001 to 29 percent in 2025, including generation by electric utilities, IPPs, and CHP generators. The share from coal is projected to decline from 52 percent in 2001 to 48 percent in 2025 as a more competitive electricity industry invests in less capital-intensive and more efficient natural gas generation technologies. Nonetheless, coal remains the primary fuel for electricity generation through 2025, and AEO2003 projects that 74 gigawatts of new coal-fired generating capacity will be constructed between 2001 and 2025. Nuclear generating capacity is projected to increase slightly from 2001 to 2025 in AEO2003. Primarily because of the relatively favorable economics of competing technologies, no new nuclear facilities are expected to be built through 2025; however, fewer expected nuclear retirements (as a result of life extensions), uprating of existing capacity, and an expectation of higher natural gas prices lead to a projection of more nuclear capacity than in AEO2002. No new nuclear power plants have been built in the United States for many years, however, and the economics of new plants are highly uncertain. Total nuclear capacity is projected to increase from 98.2 gigawatts in 2001 to a peak of 100.4 gigawatts by 2006 as a result of uprates before declining to 99.6 gigawatts by 2025. Uprates of 4.2 gigawatts offset retirements of 2.8 gigawatts between 2001 and 2025. Renewable technologies are projected to grow slowly because of the relatively low costs of fossil-fired generation and because competitive electricity markets favor less capital-intensive natural gas technologies over coal and baseload renewables in the competition for new capacity. Where enacted, State renewable portfolio standards, which specify a minimum share of generation or sales from renewable sources, are considered in the forecast. Federal subsidies for renewables (in particular, wind) are also included in the forecast. Total renewable generation, including CHP, is projected to increase from 298 billion kilowatthours in 2001 to 476 billion kilowatthours by 2020 in AEO2003, an increase of 2.5 percent per year. Growth in renewable generation was projected to grow at a slower 2.1 percent per year between 2001 and 2020 in AEO2002. Total renewable generation reaches 495 billion kilowatthours by 2025 in AEO2003. Energy Production and Imports Total energy consumption is expected to increase more rapidly than domestic energy production through 2025. As a result, net imports of energy are projected to meet a growing share of energy demand (Figure 5). Projected U.S. crude oil production declines to 5.3 million barrels per day by 2025 in AEO2003, an average annual rate of 0.4 percent between 2001 and 2025. Production is 0.2 million barrels per day lower in 2020 than in AEO2002 due to projected reduced production from the lower-48 onshore by 2020, particularly from enhanced oil recovery (EOR) operations. The lower level of lower 48 production in AEO2003 relative to AEO2002 is partially offset by projected increased production from Alaska and higher levels of production from the lower 48 offshore. Total domestic petroleum production (crude oil plus natural gas plant liquids) increases from 7.7 million barrels per day in 2001 to 8.0 million by 2025 due to an increase in the production of natural gas plant liquids (Figure 6). By 2025, net petroleum imports, including both crude oil and refined products on the basis of barrels per day, are expected to account for 68 percent of demand, up from 55 percent in 2001. Despite an expected increase in domestic refinery distillation capacity of 3 million barrels per day, net refined petroleum product imports, on the basis of barrels per day, account for a growing portion of total net imports, increasing from 15 percent in 2001 to 34 percent by 2025. Driven by growth in natural gas demand, domestic natural gas production is projected to increase from 19.5 to 25.1 trillion cubic feet between 2001 and 2020, an average rate of 1.3 percent per year. Domestic production is increasingly dependent on unconventional and more costly conventional resources in both the onshore and offshore. Projected production in 2020 is 3.4 trillion cubic feet lower than in AEO2002 because of a reduction in the assumed potential of inferred natural gas reserves, updates to the economics of production, and reduced expectations for technology improvement for unconventional gas. After 2020, domestic production in AEO2003 increases noticeably with the projected completion of an Alaskan pipeline. Total domestic natural gas production reaches 26.8 trillion cubic feet by 2025 in AEO2003. Despite the projected increase in domestic natural gas production, an increasing share of U.S. gas demand is met by imports, including pipeline imports from Canada and Mexico (including some from an expected facility in Baja California, Mexico), and LNG. Three of the four existing U.S. LNG import facilities are open, and the fourth has announced plans to reopen in spring 2003; and three of the four have announced capacity expansion plans. Net imports of natural gas are projected to increase from 3.7 trillion cubic feet (16 percent of total demand) in 2001 to 7.8 trillion cubic feet (22 percent of total demand) in 2025. As domestic coal demand grows in AEO2003, U.S. coal production is projected to increase from 1,138 million short tons in 2001 to 1,359 million short tons by 2020, an average rate of 0.9 percent per year. Projected production in 2020 is 38 million short tons lower than in AEO2002. By 2025, U.S. coal production is projected to reach 1,440 million short tons in AEO2003. Net coal exports are expected to fall throughout the AEO2003 forecast, reflecting declining coal demand in some countries and intense competition from other international producers. Renewable energy production is projected to increase from 5.5 to 8.7 quadrillion Btu between 2001 and 2020, with growth in industrial biomass, ethanol, and all sources of renewable electricity generation. Renewable energy production in 2020 is 0.6 quadrillion Btu lower than projected in AEO2002, due to lower expected levels of industrial biomass use and generation from geothermal energy, offsetting higher levels of wind energy. By 2025, renewable energy production reaches 9.2 quadrillion Btu in AEO2003. Carbon Dioxide Emissions The AEO projections do not include future policy actions that might be taken to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. Carbon dioxide emissions from energy use are projected to increase from 1,559 to 2,082 million metric tons between 2001 and 2020 in AEO2003, an average annual increase of 1.5 percent. This forecast is consistent with the 2,088 million metric tons of emissions projected in AEO2002 in 2020. By 2025, total carbon dioxide emissions are projected to reach 2,237 million metric tons in AEO2003 (Figure 7). While total emissions in 2020 are virtually the same as in AEO2002, the amount varies by sector. Projected industrial carbon dioxide emissions were 5 percent higher in 2020 in AEO2002 due to differences in the definition of what is included in the industrial sector. As a result of the definitional change, carbon dioxide emissions in the electric power sector are higher in AEO2003 in 2020 by 6.7 million metric tons (1 percent). Carbon dioxide emissions are higher by 14.6 million tons in 2020 in the transportation sector in AEO2003 due to projections of less improvement in vehicle efficiency and more vehicle miles traveled. ***************************************************************** 9 Decision prompts nuclear reaction the Marshfield Mariner - o n l i n e + [http://www.townonline.com/marshfield/news.html] [http://adveng.hiasys.com:80/servlet/ajrotator/359/0/clickCGI?] LOCAL NEWS LOCAL REGIONAL -- RELATED ARTICLES -- Voters flock to polls [http://www.townonline.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_new mmgeneralelection11132002.htm] Stepping up effort [http://www.townonline.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_new mmhousingpartnership11132002.htm] Hynes reelected to 11th term [http://www.townonline.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_new mmhynesreelection11132002.htm] Sweet sounds of success [http://www.townonline.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_new mmeducatorofyear11202002.htm] -- RELATED SITES -- Find a Job in MARSHFIELD [http://www.jobfind.com/cgi-bin/wc.dll?SearchJobsQS~&Keywords=mar shfield] Yard Sales around MARSHFIELD [http://merchandise.hiasys.com/cgi-bin/merch_city.php?City=marshf ield&search_class_merch=Yard] Boston Homes: The Complete Guide [http://www.homefind.com/bostonhomes] BostonHerald.com Local & Regional News [http://www.bostonherald.com/news/local_regional.html] -- HERALD INTERACTIVE TOOLS -- Email this Article to a Friend [http://www.townonline.com/HiasysTools/EmailFriend.bg/www.townonl ine.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_newmmfuelstorage112020 02.htm] Email the Online Staff [http://www.townonline.com/HiasysTools/EmailOnline.bg/www.townonl ine.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_newmmfuelstorage112020 02.htm] Email the Newspaper [http://www.townonline.com/HiasysTools/EmailPrint.bg/www.townonli ne.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_newmmfuelstorage1120200 2.htm] Printer Friendly Version [http://www.townonline.com/HiasysTools/PrinterFriendly.bg/www.tow nonline.com/marshfield/news/local_regional/mar_newmmfuelstorage11 202002.htm] Subscribe to the Marshfield Mariner [http://www.nvo.com/communitynews/displayroom/] Decision prompts nuclear reaction By Dan Gravel / dgravel@cnc.com Wednesday, November 20, 2002 Duxbury has once again taken the lead in trying to protect citizens from a catastrophe at the Pilgrim Nuclear Power Station in Plymouth, but at least one Marshfield selectman is not sure if the town should follow suit. Last week Duxbury selectmen passed a resolution advocating the immediate start to move spent nuclear fuel to secured dry cask storage "to better protect the health and well being of the citizens of the Town of Duxbury." Duxbury officials claim such a measure would make the facility storing spent fuel resistant to attack. The resolution was proposed to Duxbury selectmen by that town's very active nuclear advisory committee. Chairwoman of the committee, Mary Lampert, has been an outspoken advocate of trying to increase safety at the nuclear plant and hopes the resolution approved by Duxbury selectmen, which will be voted on at Town Meeting in the spring, will eventually lead to results. The town has no authority to require safer methods of storing spent fuel at the plant, but if other towns do likewise and attempt to pressure Entergy, operators of the nuclear power plant, and legislators, positive steps could follow, said Lampert. "We want to see it happen that other towns do what Duxbury did," said Lampert. "This issue has been identified, we know terrorists are here, we know nuclear plants are on the terrorists' shortlist [of potential targets], we know the spent fuel pool is vulnerable to attacks. There is a safer way to store that material." Plant spokesman David Tarantino said the plant has both spent fuel pool storage and dry cask storage and does not favor one method over the other. "This is a pretty clear anti-nuclear move by [Mary] Lampert over there in Duxbury," he said. "Both means of storage are safe. "There is no way we can take all the fuel out of the fuel pool and put it in dry cask storage because it needs to cool down for five years." Marshfield Selectman Jim Fitzgerald is not in agreement with Duxbury selectmen or the nuclear advisory committee. "I don't think we have a particular role in this from a Marshfield standpoint," said Fitzgerald. "I'm not feeling particularly unsafe. Part of the way we defeat terrorism is by going on with our lives in a normal fashion." Fitzgerald is happy with security measures at the plant and comfortable with Marshfield's own emergency operations plan. He said he would have no desire to create a nuclear advisory committee in Marshfield. Earlier this month selectmen approved a plan to distribute through local pharmacies potassium iodide, a drug that could battle the effects of a release of radioactive materials at the Pilgrim Nuclear Power Plant. Duxbury voters approved their own potassium iodide distribution plan two years ago. Now Lampert would like area towns to again follow Duxbury's lead, this time on dry cask storage of spent fuel, which might be a tough sell. "Clearly by action on the local level," she said, "we can help bring about change on the national level." Back to top [http://adveng.hiasys.com:80/servlet/ajrotator/359/0/clickCGI?] ***************************************************************** 10 Taipei: Nuclear conference opens 1/180376 [http://www.taipeitimes.com] By Chiu Yu-Tzu STAFF REPORTER Enhanced information transparency and better communication with residents will help nuclear power suppliers to gain public trust, Japanese power companies said in Taipei yesterday in response to recent safety concerns over Japanese nuclear plants. At the opening of the 17th Sino-Japan Seminar on Nuclear Safety, Japanese power experts said that they had carried out a comprehensive self-review following Tokyo Electric Power's (TEPCO) failure to disclose damage to some of its reactors. "The public confidence in Japan's nuclear power industry has been wiped out because of recent scandals and that makes the promotion of the electric power industry more challenging," said Koji Washio (øl§À©¯¥q), representative director of Tohoku Electric Power. Japan has been generating nuclear power since its first commercial nuclear plant opened in 1966. It now has 52 nuclear reactors, supplying more than 30 percent of the nation's electricity. In July, 2000, allegations of document falsification were made to the Japanese government by a worker at General Electric International. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) launched a full-scale investigation. On Aug. 29, METI announced a catalogue of faults at many many of the plants run by TEPCO, including cracks in reactor shrouds resulting from inappropriate maintenance between the late 1980s and early 1990s. The scandal was one of the main focuses of yesterday's conference at Taipei's Grand Hotel with a report by Masao Takuma (¦v¶¡¥¿¤Ò) from the Japan Atomic Industrial Forum, attributing the cover-ups to several factors, including dysfunctional corporate governance. Historically, nuclear industries in Taiwan and Japan have built close ties through the exchange of experience and technologies in past decades. The next Sino-Japan Seminar on Nuclear Safety will be held in Sendai, Japan. Washio, leader of the 26-member group from Japan, stressed the importance of enhancing transparency of information to eliminate public fears. "I think the nuclear industry in Taiwan has faced similar difficulties. So I strongly suggest that power suppliers in Taiwan communicate with residents to gain support," Washio told the Taipei Times. More than 150 Taiwanese nuclear power experts participated in the conference to exchange opinions on the operation of nuclear power plants, nuclear safety, emergency measures and the management of radioactive waste. Japanese experts are scheduled to visit a number of plants as well as the construction site of the Fourth Nuclear Power Plant. Copyright © 1999-2002 The Taipei Times. All rights reserved. ***************************************************************** 11 Man fined after driving through nuke plant security * 11/21/2002 * A 53-year-old man from Lebanon, Lebanon County, who drove his vehicle through security at the Susquehanna Steam Electric Station nuclear power plant in Salem Township on Nov. 13, was found guilty of criminal trespass and criminal mischief. * District Justice John E. Hasay of Shickshinny fined Clifford C. Zearfoss $500 and ordered him to pay $950 for damages to a barrier. State police at Shickshinny said Zearfoss pulled up to the main gate at 6:56 a.m. outside the nuclear power facility, state Route 11, Salem Township, and was directed by security personnel to roll down his window for an identification/authorization check. According to the affidavit of probable cause, Zearfoss accelerated his vehicle and struck a construction barrier while a guard was standing behind it. Police said Zearfoss proceeded past the main gate and onto PPL property. A state police security detail pursued Zearfoss and quickly apprehended him in the parking lot of a receiving area. /©The Citizens Voice 2002/ ***************************************************************** 12 NRC denies petition seeking nuclear plants' shutdown November 20, 2002, 4:40 PM EST WHITE PLAINS, N.Y. (AP) _ The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has denied a petition from the environmental group Riverkeeper to close the Indian Point nuclear power plants pending a review of security measures. A year after the petition was filed, the NRC said upgrades and improvements introduced by plant owner Entergy Corp. since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks should address some of Riverkeeper's concerns. But the organization's leader, Alex Matthiessen, said the NRC's response was "a P.R. document meant to protect this company and this industry." He called the NRC "an absolute shill for the industry they regulate." In addition to the shutdown, Riverkeeper had requested: _A permanent no-fly zone in the air space within 10 nautical miles of Indian Point; _A revision of emergency response plans "in order to account and prepare for possible terrorist attacks"; _A conversion of Indian Point's spent fuel storage from a water-cooled system to a less vulnerable one in a bunkered structure. All those requests were denied, although the NRC said that the emergency plan is intended to cover "a wide spectrum of events" and that Entergy has announced plans to move toward such a fuel storage system. Copyright © 2002, The Associated Press Newsday.com ***************************************************************** 13 New China N-plant on line amid loan fears - NOV 21, 2002 BEIJING - The latest reactor in China's ambitious nuclear programme has begun generating power but its operators could have problems repaying foreign loans incurred. While the success of the latest phase of the US$2.9 billion (S$5.1 billion) Qinshan plant is being trumpeted, sweeping reforms to China's power industry could make it difficult for the new reactor to compete against cheaper sources of electricity. China's demand for electricity is rapidly expanding and the Qinshan plant will help supply power to the booming city of Shanghai - provided there is no setback as a result of the reforms.-- AFP, China Daily/Asia News Network The Straits Times ***************************************************************** 14 NRC Assigns New Resident Inspector at Pilgrim Nuclear Plant NRC: News Release - Region I - 2002-066 - U.S. NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Office of Public Affairs, Region I 475 Allendale Road, King of Prussia, Pa. 19406 www.nrc.gov No. I-02-066 November 21, 2002 CONTACT: Diane Screnci (610) 337-5330 Neil A. Sheehan (610) 337-5331 E-mail: [opa1@nrc.gov] Nuclear Regulatory Commission officials in King of Prussia, Pa., have selected Christopher Welch as the new resident inspector at the Pilgrim nuclear power plant in Plymouth, Mass. He joins Senior Resident Inspector William Raymond at the site. Russ Arrighi, who had been an inspector at Pilgrim since 1997, was recently reassigned to a position in the Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation at NRC Headquarters in Rockville, Md. Welch joined the NRCs Region I office in 1997, as a reactor engineer. Most recently, he was a resident inspector at the Robert E. Ginna nuclear plant near Rochester, N.Y. Prior to joining the NRC, he worked as an assistant chief test engineer at the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard in Portsmouth, N.H. Welch earned a Bachelor of Science degree in marine engineering from the Massachusetts Maritime Academy. Welch, his wife and three children live in Sandwich. Every commercial nuclear power plant in the U.S. has at least two NRC resident inspectors. They have an office where they work at the facility, conducting regular inspections and monitoring significant work projects. The Pilgrim resident inspectors can be reached at 508/747-0565. Thursday, November 21, 2002 ***************************************************************** 15 U.S. refuses to close nuke plant (Indian Point) Democrat &Chronicle: [Rochester, NY] The Associated Press (November 21, 2002)  WHITE PLAINS  The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has denied a petition from the environmental group Riverkeeper to close the Indian Point nuclear power plants pending a review of security measures. A year after the petition was filed, the NRC said upgrades and improvements introduced by plant owner Entergy Corp. since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks should address some of Riverkeepers concerns. But the groups leader, Alex Matthiessen, said the response was meant to protect this company and this industry. He called the NRC an absolute shill for the industry they regulate. Riverkeeper also requested the following: + A permanent no-fly zone in the air space within 10 nautical miles of Indian Point. + A revision of emergency response plans in order to account and prepare for possible terrorist attacks. + A conversion of Indian Points spent fuel storage from a water-cooled system to one in a bunkered structure. All the requests were denied. Entergy has announced plans to move toward a bunkered fuel storage system. ***************************************************************** 16 India: Radiation dose exposure safe in Kakrapar: DAE SCIENCE-ATOMIC NEW DELHI, NOV 21 (PTI) The Department of Atomic Energy (DAE) has clarified that radioactive emissions from Kakrapar Atomic Power Plant in Surat are well below the international norms and there is no threat to the workers. Reacting to reports in a section of media which claimed that the radiation dose to workers at the plant was higher than the norms, the Department said "radiation exposure was well within the regulatory limits and there is no threat to workers' lives". Radioactivity releases from all the nuclear power stations in the country have been "much less" than the limits laid down by the Atomic Energy Regulatory Board, the DAE said, according to an official release. The board prescribes the limits of radioactive emissions from these power stations in line with the recommendations of the International Commission on Radiological Protection. All required safety provisions are incorporated right from the design stage to construction, commissioning and operation levels of the nuclear power plants, DAE said. Safety status is continuously monitored and reviewed during operation and upgradation taken up wherever necessary, it said adding adequate security measures are also in place at various atomic centres in the country to prevent any theft of nuclear material. RELATED STORIES _21-Nov-2002_ ©Hathway Investments Private Limited 2002 ***************************************************************** 17 Worker safety concerns surfacing with lawsuit - chillicothegazette.com Thursday, November 21, 2002 Long-time employee accuses plant of health-risk coverup By KIRRAN SYED Gazette Staff Writer PIKETON -- Dan Minter, the PACE union president at the Piketon Uranium Enrichment Plant, said he is not surprised by allegations that past plant management may have deliberately placed workers at risk to radiation overexposure. However, he said he will be angry and upset if a long-time worker's allegations that employees were placed at risk as late as the mid-90s prove to be true because of safety improvement efforts by federal agencies and employees. "Up to about 1993 or so, the plant was under a different management team. I believe the safety has improved greatly throughout the 1990 era," Minter said. "In 2002, if we found that someone's (radiation) dose was being zeroed, I would be alarmed and very concerned." In a recently unsealed federal lawsuit against Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Utility Services and USEC (before privatization), long-time security guard Jeff Walburn alleges the companies placed him at risk to radiation overexposure, according to reports by the Associated Press. By using altered, false and unreliable radiation exposure readings to create the impression of a safe work environment, the AP reports says, the companies were able to qualify for federal government safety bonuses. Minter admits employee safety was not a priority in the past, which is why he is not surprised by allegations that plant operators falsified radiation readings at some point. However, he said, he will be upset and angry if Walburn's allegations that such activities occurred in the mid-90s, after Cold War pressures to produce at all cost eased, turn out to be true. "I believe that many times in the past, during the Cold War era, safety became a lower priority than production activities," he said. "The U.S. government was at or near a war with the U.S.S.R." "It appears that there was an effort not to disclose information and even potentially cover up information so that it would not be made available," he said. When the Cold War ended and nuclear security tensions eased in the early-90s, he said, greater attention was placed on regulation and worker safety. Minter said significant improvements in safety began when the Department of Energy's self-regulation at the plant was sharply scaled back and other agencies became involved in oversight. "DOE self-regulated itself for years," he said. "It (drove) them to perhaps make a decision that was not in the best interests of the workers." However, he said, real accountability did not come until 1998 when the plant came under the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's oversight. In the next few years, the EPA increased involvement and the PACE union created a safety program. "I believe it was (NRC oversight) that changed the safety culture in that it had independent regulatory oversight," Minter said. Investigations during this time period led to the current compensation plans for ill employees, he said. Minter said he is not aware of any cases other than Walburn's alleging radiation reporting abuses occurred into the mid-90s. However, he said, if Walburn's allegations are proven to be true, it is likely other victims exist. "Obviously, if that happened with Jeff, it may have happened to others and we don't have an answer (why)," he said. "There's certainly no good excuse." (Syed can be reached at 772-9364 or via e-mail at [ksyed@nncogannett.com] Originally published Thursday, November 21, 2002 [http://www.chillicothegazette.com/index.html] | Copyright ©2002 Chillicothe Gazette. All rights reserved. ***************************************************************** 18 Nuke drill tests crisis response* Last modified: November 20. 2002 12:00AM *By Trista Talton* /Staff Writer/ trista.talton@wilmingtonstar.com Don Riffle delivers instructions from a mobilecommand post to teams in the field during Tuesday'sdisaster drill focused on the Brunswick Nuclear Plant. STAFF PHOTO - KEN BLEVINS A worst-case scenario played out Tuesday in an exercise that tested local, state and federal agencies' responses to a radiation leak from the Brunswick Nuclear Plant. About 400 people worked to disseminate information about a pretend radiation leak, streaming information from plant workers to local emergency personnel and ultimately to the public. The training is conducted every two years, and the players are graded by officials from the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Workers created a joint information center in the basement of a building at Brunswick Community College at Supply. Laptops, telephones and eraser boards were used to help manage and track the situation ? a radiation plume cloud on the loose. While two field teams were directed to chase the radiation, emergency management officials were calling shots about when to inform the public of the incident and whether to evacuate certain areas. "Part of what we're testing is our ability to notify the public through the news media," said Renee Hoffman, public information officer with the state Department of Crime Control and Public Safety. Should such an event occur, people living and working within a 10-mile radius of the plant would be notified first. These people receive packets of information on a regular basis informing them of proper precautions in an emergency. While personnel in the joint information center worked behind closed, guarded doors Tuesday, a group of state employees waited to test possibly exposed air and materials in a mobile office at the National Guard post off Kerr Avenue. The office is an older-model bus transformed into a communications center and lab divided by a wooden door. On the floor of the lab is plastic, and the countertops are hidden under an absorbent paper towel-like protector that can be easily removed if it's exposed to contamination. Pretend samples of contaminated vegetation were handed to lab workers through a small window in the rear of the bus. "We don't want to spread around the radioactivity," said Dale Dusenbury, radiation protection specialist. He pulled a container out of a device that detects radiation. A nearby computer fingerprinted the sample, detecting radiation levels. "Hopefully, this lab functions to tell you what's in a sample," Mr. Dusenbury said. "That's the answer that we have to give to decision makers." Outside the mobile unit was a portable monitor. Workers stepped in the monitor's frame, and it took radiation readings. The mobile unit will remain in the area today, where samples will undergo mock testing. The exercise wraps up today in Raleigh. On Friday, the plant will receive a report from FEMA detailing the strengths and weaknesses of the emergency response, said Mike McCracken, communications supervisor with Progress Energy at the Brunswick Nuclear Plant. "There's always room to improve," Mr. McCracken said. Trista Talton: 343-2070 trista.talton@wilmingtonstar.com ***************************************************************** 19 AU: Nuclear waste sparks debate* KATHY STONE Thursday, 21 November 2002 The city council is gearing up for a battle with the Federal Government over a proposal to transport truckloads of radioactive waste through Dubbo to an outback dump. Councillors voted to alert the Government and local members about their "concern and opposition" to the movement of the hazardous material in the Dubbo local government area. But they also refused to tie their efforts to other concerned organisations such as the Friends of the Earth Australia, which is running a nationwide campaign to scuttle the project. The debate led to claims by Richard Mutton that radioactive waste was already being stored "in a shed not far from the saleyards". The manager of that facility said the statement was untrue. A meeting of council on Monday night will decide whether to adopt the hard line proposed by its works and services committee earlier this week. Dawn Fardell warned her colleagues not to stick their heads in the sand. "There is no use saying it won't happen when it is highly possible," she said. "I thoroughly oppose any hazardous material coming through here whether it be low level or high level." An internal report to the committee said Dubbo was located on one of two potential transport routes to a proposed waste dump in South Australia. As yet there had been no consultation with council. The unwanted radioactive material, predominantly produced at the Lucas Heights Reactor in Sydney, was described as "long-lived, highly toxic and difficult to isolate from people and the environment". The waste is classified as hazardous for up to 30 years and radioactive for about 300. Concerns about the outback routes were raised during the recent Local Government Association conference in Broken Hill. "My concern is whether our emergency services have the capacity to handle an accident with radioactive waste," Allan Smith said. "My experience, up until two years ago, is that they don't have that capacity." "There may be safer ways to transport the material than road transport...we need to get it off the road and onto rail." Several councillors rejected the tough stance. Gerry Peacocke said they were in danger of "going off half-cocked" with no evidence that the government was contemplating such a proposal. "I think we'll look foolish coming out of the blue and opposing something that might never happen," he said. "We need some direct information from the Commonwealth." But Cr Fardell said waiting could be perilous. "I think we should show our concern before it actually happens," she said. "We didn't know the Federal Government's policy on the RAAF base and look how we've lost control of that." ruralbookshop ***************************************************************** 20 Kazakhstan reveals solution to its nuclear waste crisis: import more Guardian Unlimited | The Guardian | Central Asian state hopes to be Europe's nuclear dump Paul Brown, environment correspondent in Kazakhstan Thursday November 21, 2002 The Guardian [http://www.guardian.co.uk] Kazakhstan, the largest central Asian republic, already scarred by uranium mines and by having been the main Soviet nuclear testing ground, is planning to become the world's first commercial importer of nuclear waste. The national atomic company, Kazatomprom, hopes to start the imports within a year. The aim is to make enough profit from the trade to allow it to deal with Kazakhstan's own gigantic waste problem. In an interview with the Guardian, Mukhtar Dzhakishev, Kazatomprom's president, said the company was looking to the UK and other "crowded" EU countries which had not solved their own waste problems to take advantage of the open spaces of central Asia. He said the waste would be transported by rail across Russia. He believes a few hundred thousand barrels of extra nuclear waste can be disposed of safely in a country with only 16 million inhabitants, but which is the ninth largest in the world. The venture could earn the company between £20bn and £30bnover 30 years, he calculates. He plans to charge EU countries £3,000 to dispose of a barrel of waste, making £2,400 a barrel profit for Kazakhstan. A bill reversing Kazakhstan's policy of banning the import of nuclear waste is before the country's parliament. The Kazakhs plan to build a nuclear depository, but in the meantime will store imported waste in old uranium mine workings where there is already heavy radioactive contamination. Mr Dzhakishev said importing waste from rich countries was the only way of raising the more than £1bn required to begin dealing with his country's nuclear legacy. The company still mines uranium to make fuel for nuclear reactors in Russia but there are more than a dozen disused mines and more than 233,000 tonnes of radioactive waste to be made safe - as well as large quantities of contaminated equipment. Mr Dzhakishev said: "We get $10 for extracting a cubic metre of uranium. We would get $100 to deposit the same amount of nuclear waste. "If our depositories took 99% of domestic barrels and 1% from outside, the extra radioactivity would hardly register but the profit would be enormous. The question is, shall we do it or not? The answer is, we should." The most controversial part of Kazatomprom's plan is to import intermediate as well as low-level waste. Intermediate-level waste contains plutonium which takes 200,000 years to decay sufficiently to be safe and the UK and other EU countries have taken the decision that it can only be buried in deep, stable rock formations. The company says that "medium-level" waste, as Mr Dzhakishev calls it, is safe in 1,000 years and does not contain plutonium. He intends to bury it in trenches dug in a deep clay layer in the east of the country near the town of Aktau, close to the Caspian sea and the border of Turkmenistan. Mr Dzhakishev claimed that he had the encouragement of the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna for the plan. Mark Guozdecky, from the IAEA, said the agency had been in talks with Kazakhstan about importing nuclear waste. "We do set standards for dealing with transboundary transport of waste but they are advisory rather than compulsory. We would be willing to advise if asked," he said. Timur Zhantikin, chairman of the Kazakhstan atomic energy committee, the country's nuclear regulatory body, has only 23 staff to oversee the safety of the vast nuclear legacy in his country. "We have a very large quantity of nuclear waste in this country and no funds to deal with it," he said. "On the other hand we do not yet have a depository or even an exact site for one, and I have yet to see designs for one. "Before import is allowed I have to issue a licence to make sure both the transport and the proposed depository is safe. I do not have any information which would allow me to do that," he said. The provisional site for the dump is at the opposite end of the country from the former Soviet nuclear test site of Semipalatinsk which was the scene of 468 nuclear tests - a third of them atmospheric. This testing has left a strong anti-nuclear feeling in the country and there is alarm at the idea of importing more waste before the country has dealt with its own problem. Dissent is a risky business in Kazakhstan where the president, Nursultan Nazarbaev, behaves more like an old-style Communist dictator than a democrat. Opposition journalists are attacked and newspaper offices catch fire but some environmental groups are still prepared to speak out. Sergei Kuratov, chairman of the environmental pressure group Green Salvation, said: "In a country rich in oil it is crazy to suggest that we cannot afford to deal with our own nuclear waste and want to import yet more. "This is a country building a new capital city in the north called Astana and spending one hundred times more on a grandiose foreign ministry than the entire budget for dealing with nuclear waste. "The same is repeated again and again. It is just another money-making venture." Vadim Nee, a lawyer for another environmental group, the Eurasia Partnership said: "The World Bank is worried about corruption in Kazakhstan. "In our current situation there is no guarantee of public safety, no system for compensation, no confidence in the ability of customs to deal with these cargoes. "Everyone has a human right to a safe environment - but apparently not here." [UP] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2002 ***************************************************************** 21 Kazakhstan eyes EU N-waste BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Thursday, 21 November, 2002, 02:16 GMT [Stand-off in demonstration AP] Nuclear wastes excite passions, as here in Germany By Alex Kirby BBC News Online environment correspondent in Almaty, Kazakhstan Kazakhstan, a country deeply scarred by the legacy of the nuclear arms race, plans to import other countries' civil nuclear waste. It hopes to earn enough from the trade to pay for the disposal of its own waste stockpile. But it has no depository able to accept any waste consignments from abroad. And it appears ready to flout international regulations on nuclear waste treatment. You will look in the eyes of the entire world not only eccentric, but half-witted Professor Alexei Yablokov To the dismay of many Kazakhs, the country's Parliament is to be asked to amend the existing law banning the import and burial of foreign radioactive waste. The company responsible for running the import programme, assuming it is approved, is Kazatomprom, the national nuclear company. Its president, Mukhtar Dzakishev, says cleaning up the country's own nuclear waste mountain of more than 220 million tonnes will cost $1.1bn, a sum Kazakhstan says it cannot afford. He believes importing waste could earn Kazakhstan $30-40bn over the next 30 years. Risk refuted Mr Dzakishev said: "We will charge $5,000 per 200-litre barrel of waste, giving us a profit of $4,000. [Blast at Semipalatinsk AP ] A final explosion ends Semipalatinsk's career "We'll be dealing only with low- and intermediate-level waste, which will become harmless in 1,000 years. "None of the wastes will contain plutonium, and we can bury them temporarily in shallow pits, old uranium mines, until a depository is built for them at Aktau on the Caspian." Nirex, the UK's nuclear waste disposal company, says intermediate waste may include spent reactor fuel which contains plutonium. That has a half-life of 200,000 years, and in the UK any such waste must be buried in deep depositories. The main Soviet nuclear test site during the Cold War was in Kazakhstan, at Semipalatinsk. Nearly five-hundred nuclear bombs were detonated at Semipalatinsk, the world's biggest nuclear testing ground, during its working life, and the Kazakh Government estimates that more than a million people were exposed to radiation as a result. Many people living near the site suffered birth defects or cancers because of the tests, although they were not told what was happening at the site. International controls claim Semipalatinsk, which was so secret that it did not even appear on maps of Kazakhstan, was closed in 2000. Mr Dzhakishev said cancer rates in Kazakhstan had risen by 8.3% in the last five years. [Nuclear waste train AP] French nuclear waste heads for Germany He told BBC News Online: "It will take six months to a year before parliament can amend the existing legislation on waste imports. "Then we shall be able to announce we have sites conforming to international standards for these categories of waste. "The trade will be controlled by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The imports could start within a year of the parliamentary vote." Russian rival The IAEA, which is based in Vienna, said it had discussed the issue of importation with the Kazakh Government, but added: "It cannot be said that the IAEA has encouraged Kazakhstan to pursue importing radioactive waste." The role at the IAEA was to explain the international safety regime and the requirements for disposal, the agency said. Professor Alexei Yablokov is a member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, and president of his country's Centre for Environmental Policy. He said he thought Kazakhstan's neighbours would refuse to allow waste imports to cross their territory. He said: "It's a big problem. You will look in the eyes of the entire world not only eccentric, but half-witted." Last year, the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, signed a controversial law on nuclear imports, paving the way for thousands of tonnes of spent fuel to enter Russia. But Kazakhstan hopes to beat him to it. © MMII | News Sources | Privacy ***************************************************************** 22 IEER: Comments to NRC on proposed LES enrichment plant in Tennessee [http://www.ieer.org/index.html] | Comments of the Institute for Energy and Environmental Research to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission on White papers presented by LES (Louisiana Enrichment Services) regarding the proposed enrichment plant at Hartsville, Trousdale County, Tennessee Arjun Makhijani and Annie Makhijani 14 November 2002 by e-mail TCJ@nrc.gov Analysis of need and the no-action alternative The need for the project must be assessed according to two primary criteria: 1. the market for enrichment services in light of existing supply as well as demand 2. national security considerations, including the current, projected, and desirable downblending of both Russian and US highly enriched uranium (HEU) for the purposes of fulfilling non-proliferation and disarmament commitments as well as for reducing the risks of nuclear diversion, especially in the aftermath of the tragic events of September 11, 2001. However, the analysis by LES does not provide an analysis of either of these considerations. Rather it makes reference to "Congressional policy pronouncements" that there is an established need for a domestic source of uranium enrichment capacity. This is a completely insufficient basis for asserting the need for a project that will have a major impact on the supply of enrichment services as well as on national and global security. LES must provide the documentation and analysis on the basis of which it is asserting the need for the project. If it is going to rely on congressional policy pronouncements, then the economic and technical basis of those pronouncements must be set forth in sufficient detail for an independent assessment of their validity to be made. There is no way in which the NRC or any other body can assess the soundness of LES's assertion unless such documentation and analysis is provided. The current enrichment capacity as well as the existing commitments and projects to downblend surplus military HEU in Russia and the United States into LEU reactor fuel taken together indicate that there is no need for the LES project in the short- and medium-term. + There is enough LEU (Low Enriched Uranium) for about 6 years to fuel all the U.S. reactors at the current rates of consumption from the down-blending of the remaining 350 metric tons of Russian surplus HEU at Portsmouth Ohio by USEC (US Enrichment Corporation), assuming 1.5 percent enriched blendstock. + The down blending of the remaining 120 metric tons of US surplus LEU will provide fuel for the U.S. reactors for about 1.5 years at the current rate of consumption, assuming natural uranium blendstock. This means that a total of almost 8 years of U.S. demand for enrichment services is already in the pipeline due to the downloading of military HEU that has been declared surplus. The U.S. annual demand is 11 to 12 million SWUs per year. The downblending of military HEU is occurring at a slower rate than desirable for security reasons to prevent a huge surplus of LEU fuel on the market. z In addition, the United States Enrichment Corporation has an agreement with the U.S. DOE to keep the Paducah plant open until it brings a centrifuge plant on line. The separative work capacity of the Paducah plant is about 11 million kilograms, though USEC now rates the usable capacity as 8 million kilograms. Hence the available SWU capacity from commercial and military over the next ten years is about 170 million kg. (80 million commercial, plus about 90 million equivalent in downblended fuel) while the demand is only 120 million SWU in the same period. Thus, there is already a huge surplus of LEU fuel in the pipeline. It is already slowing down downblending in Russia, which is detrimental for security reasons. Furthermore in 1993, the RAND Corporation estimated that in the year 2003 the U.S. surplus of HEU would be 339 tons. Other estimates range as high as 600 metric tons (total including the already declared surplus). A U.S. declaration of further surpluses is likely to result in Russian declarations as well, especially if there is a market for the fuel at reasonable prices. Further, the reduction of nuclear weapons under the Strategic Offensive Reduction Treaty (SORT) signed in the Spring of 2002 by the United States and Russia is likely to increase the HEU surplus over the medium-term. This is very desirable for security reasons, especially as further downblending will remove large amounts of weapons usable HEU from potential diversion. Approval of a project to build a new enrichment will hinder declarations of more surplus HEU. There are likely to be commercial pressures against such declarations in the face of a continuing glut in LEU market when both commercial SWU capacity and equivalent SWU capacity from downblending are taken into account. Moreover, LES has not specified whether and how its planned project would affect the government's plan to develop advanced centrifuge technology in collaboration with the United States Enrichment Corporation. The down blending of military U.S and Russian HEU into LEU not only provides LEU for the U.S. market but is crucial for reasons of international security, and disarmament commitments under Article VI of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) of nuclear weapons. The construction of the LES uranium enrichment plant by creating an overproduction of LEU accompanied by a potential depreciation of the price of uranium fuel would interfere with the only effective program of disposition of surplus fissile material. The fuel fabrication of nuclear fuel from the surplus of military HEU has also the advantage of circumventing most the front-end - uranium mining, milling, conversion, and enrichment - of the nuclear fuel cycle. These operations specially uranium mining and milling are hazardous to the workers and create huge amounts of wastes, radioactive and well as chemical, with their associated hazards to workers and the public. Depleted uranium tails disposition According to Section 3113 of the 1996 USEC Privatization act the DOE "shall accept for disposal low-level radioactive waste, including depleted uranium if it were ultimately determined to be low- level radioactive waste, generated by [...] any person licensed by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to operate a uranium enrichment facility under sections 53, 63, and 193 of the Atomic Energy Act of 1954 (42 U.S.C. 2073, 2093, and 2243). On this basis LES suggests that the NRC incorporate this provision in its Order as a "plausible strategy" for the disposition of the depleted uranium tails. 1. Current and proposed uses of depleted uranium Depleted uranium is still classified as a source material and might remain so for some time. It has been used as fertile material to produce plutonium in the U.S. breeder reactor program. Although there is no ongoing breeder reactor program the desire for such a program is strong within some sections of the nuclear establishment. The amount of DU is already so vast that there is no prospect that such a use could come anywhere near to constituting a major use even if breeder reactor technology were to be revived in the coming decades. There is no room in this application for DU resulting from new enrichment services. Until now the utilization of depleted uranium, based purely on its physical properties, has involved very small amounts compared to the supply already at hand. More recently proposals have been made that could, if implemented, use up the entire inventory of depleted uranium. It has been proposed that the shielding properties of uranium could be used to fabricate casks for the transport and interim storage of the nation's spent fuel and high level wastes. However like the storage of spent fuel and high level wastes, this use of depleted uranium would be temporary. Once the spent fuel is removed from the casks, the problem of the disposal of depleted uranium will still remain. In effect, the use of DU for transportation and interim storage casks is simply another method of interim storage for years or decades but it does not solve the problem of DU disposal. Further, by proposing that these casks could be integrated in the waste package going into Yucca mountain, the industry has implicitly acknowledged what IEER is arguing below, that is: the radiological properties of depleted uranium dictate that it ought to be disposed of in a deep geological repository. Two other proposed uses of depleted uranium are: + a material to fill the voids of the spent fuel waste packages and, + as structural components of spent fuel waste package It is claimed that they "may (1) reduce the long-term potential criticality in the repository, (2) improve repository performance, (3) provide radiation shielding" but also that they will (4) dispose of excess DU." (Emphasis added) This approach also further validates IEER's analysis that the radiological properties of DU are such that it should be disposed of in a deep geologic repository. Therefore LES will have to devise a plan for the disposition of the depleted uranium tails, including plans for long-term storage on site for a period of several decades as well as a plan for its ultimate disposal in a deep geological repository. 2. NRC default classification of depleted uranium However, in cases where it might be disposed of as a waste the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has put it by default into the category of class A low-level radioactive waste according to 10 CFR 61.55 (6). 10 CFR 61.55 allows near surface disposal. However, the inappropriateness of this default classification is demonstrated by the NRC's own assessment that shallow-land burial of depleted uranium could result in unacceptably high doses to future generations. 3. The scientific reasons for disposing DU in a deep repository We reproduce below the scientific reasons why depleted uranium should be put in the same classification as transuranic wastes for the purpose of waste management and disposal. This would mean that depleted uranium would have to be placed in a deep geological repository. The current definition of TRU waste according to 40 CFR 191.01 (i) is: ". . .waste containing more than 100 nanocuries of alpha-emitting transuranic isotopes, with half-lives greater than twenty years, per gram of waste . . . ." What matters to health and environmental considerations is the specific activity of the radioactive wastes, the nature of the radiation being emitted during the radioactive decay (alpha or beta and whether the decay is accompanied by gamma radiation) and, the energy per radioactive decay. Depleted uranium is, in these essential respects, the same as the transuranic constituents of TRU waste. The specific ways in which uranium or the transuranic radionuclides in TRU waste might affect people will, of course, depend on the chemical form of the waste, the packaging, and the disposal method. There is one nominal difference between TRU waste and depleted uranium. TRU waste consists of elements with atomic numbers greater than or equal to 93 -- that is of elements with atomic numbers greater than uranium, whose atomic number is 92. But this is a difference of nomenclature; it has no bearing upon health and environmental issues. A. Properties of depleted uranium 1. Specific Activity The radioactivity per unit weight (specific activity) of depleted uranium metal is dominated by its principal constituent, uranium-238. It also depends somewhat on the exact extent to which uranium-235, and hence also uranium-234, have been separated and passed into the enriched uranium stream. It may vary from about 360 nanocuries/gram to about 450 nanocuries/gram. Even assuming that only uranium-238 remains, the specific activity would be still about 340 nanocuries/gram which is 3.4 times higher than that defining transuranic waste. The specific activity of other chemical forms is somewhat lower than for uranium metal, because when radioactive uranium is chemically bound with non-radioactive isotopes of elements like oxygen and fluorine, its specific activity is correspondingly lower. Table 1 shows the specific activity of four forms of depleted uranium. For convenience we have assumed a single reference value of 360 nanocuries/gram for the specific activity of uranium metal which is the lowest practical value in the range cited above. Table 1 also shows, for reference, the minimum specific activity of transuranic waste as defined by regulations and the radioactivity of ore containing 0.2 percent uranium. Table 1 Specific Activities of various chemical forms of depleted uranium, TRU waste and 0.2% uranium ore Chemical form Specific activity, nCi/g uranium metal (U) 360 uranium oxide (U3O8) 300 uranium tetrafluoride (UF4) 270 uranium hexafluoride (UF6) 240 transuranic activity in TRU waste >100 (See note 2) 0.2 % uranium ore 4 (See note 3) Notes for Table 1: 1. Specific activities of the four forms of uranium have been rounded to two significant figures, and that of uranium ore to one significant figure. 2. The minimum limit of 100 nanocuries/gram of transuranic elements for waste to be classified as TRU waste includes only those isotopes of transuranic elements with half-lives greater than 20 years. The most common isotope in TRU waste that is eliminated from the counting in this way is plutonium-241, which has a half-life of 14.4 years. However the decay product of plutonium-241, americium-241 is included in TRU waste because it has a half-life of about 432 years. All these uranium isotopes we are dealing with in these comments have half-lives far longer than 20 years. 3. The specific activity of 0.2 percent uranium ore shown includes all decay products of uranium-238 up to and including radium-226, assuming they are in secular equilibrium with uranium-238. Radon-222, and its decay products are not included. It is clear from Table 1 that depleted uranium is comparable in specific activity to transuranic waste. This conclusion is independent of the chemical form of the depleted uranium. Note that depleted uranium is far more radioactive than uranium ore because the ore is mixed with large quantities of non-radioactive materials. Thus, putting depleted uranium in mines is in no way like replacing the original material that was mined out of the ground. Rather it is analogous to putting TRU waste in the ground. 1. Mode of decay, energy of decay, and half-life The main radionuclide of concern in most TRU waste is plutonium-239. Other radionuclides that are present in significant quantities are plutonium-240, plutonium-238, neptunium-237, and americium-241. The predominant mode of decay of all of these radionuclides is alpha decay. That is also the case with all three uranium isotopes (uranium-238, uranium-234, and uranium-235) present in depleted uranium. In all these cases, the emitted alpha particles have energies between 4 and 6 MeV, so that the total energy deposited in tissue per picocurie of radioactive material in the body is the same. Thus, once a unit of radioactivity of TRU waste or of depleted uranium is in the body, the amount of radiation dose per unit of time is approximately the same. Table 2 shows the principal characteristics of concern of the main radionuclides in TRU waste and in depleted uranium. Note that the decay products of uranium-238 build up over hundreds of thousands of years, and we have ignored these for the sake of argument in these comments.3 Table 2 Properties of Uranium Isotopes and Selected Transuranic Elements Isotope Main decay mode Alpha particle energy, MeV Half-life, years Comments uranium-238 Alpha 4.1 4.46 billion uranium-234 Alpha 4.8 245,000 neptunium-237 Alpha 4.8 2.14 million plutonium-238 Alpha 5.5 87.7 plutonium-239 Alpha 5.1 24,110 plutonium-240 Alpha 5.1 6,537 plutonium-241 Beta see note 2 14.4 not included in TRU waste definition americium-241 Alpha 5.5 432 strong gamma emitter Notes: 1. All energies rounded to two significant figures. The alpha emitting radionuclides emit alpha particles with more than one characteristic energy, with each energy level being produced with a known probability. The alpha particle energy shown is an approximate average of these particles energies, weighted by the emission probability. 2. Plutonium-241 is not included in the definition of TRU waste since it has a half-life of less than 20 years. Its beta particle energy is 0.021 MeV. Conclusion When existing capacity and ongoing down blending program of HEU are taken into account, there is no need for an additional domestic uranium enrichment capacity in the near to medium term. Further, it would be highly desirable to defer consideration of any new capacity for national and global security reasons since construction of new enrichment capacity will hinder additional surplus declarations both in the United States and Russia, given that existing downblending has already created an effective overcapacity in enrichment services. Therefore, the "no action alternative" will have to be addressed by both LES and the NRC staff taking into account the current and potential situation regarding the blending down of surplus military HEU. The disposition of depleted uranium tails will need to be addressed based on the radiological hazards of this material that require that it be disposed of in a deep geological repository. The construction of such a repository will be a major economic and political hurdle facing DU disposal, and hence the proposed plant. LES must address it before any environmentally credible application for a new enrichment plant can be considered. ***************************************************************** 23 Radioactive waste stored has doubled in 15 years Independent.co.uk By Marie Woolf Chief Political Correspondent 21 November 2002 The amount of radioactive waste being stored in Britain has more than doubled in the past 15 years. The Government has released figures showing that stocks of nuclear waste, including high-level waste that will remain hazardous for tens of thousands of years, increased from 45,580 cubic metres in 1986 to 92,103 cubic metres last year. MPs, environmental campaigners and figures within the nuclear industry say the waste is a permanent hazard, which could result in a catastrophe if terrorists breached security. Most reprocessed nuclear waste, often originating in Japan and Germany, is stored at Sellafield in Cumbria. The UK has been creating nuclear waste for more than 50 years but ministers admit they do not know how much is stored in Britain because no central records were held before 1984. A spokesman for Nirex, the body responsible for dealing with nuclear waste, said that the problem needed to be handled with greater urgency. Nirex has called for independence from its owners, the nuclear industry, to give it more legitimacy. "This is going to be dangerous for a very, very long time and people need to face up to it," said a spokesman for Nirex. "Radioactive waste exists and society as a whole needs to take responsibility." Michael Meacher, the Environment minister, released the figures on stored waste in a letter to Norman Baker, the Liberal Democrat environment spokesman. "I am afraid that no central records are held of the wastes in store for the period 1973 to 1984," Mr Meacher said in his letter. Mr Baker said he was shocked by the increase and accused the Government of a "cavalier and irresponsible approach" to a problem that will have "major implications for future generations". He said: "At the present time it's hardly sensible to be storing a huge mountain of nuclear waste when the world situation is as volatile as it is." British Nuclear Fuels (BNFL) said that one reason for the big rise in stored waste was the opening of the Thermal Oxide Reprocessing Plant (Thorp) at Sellafield in the early Nineties. It insisted that the storage facilities were completely safe "for decades to come. "When we reprocess we are left with radioactive material, which we can't do anything with. It's extremely radioactive. It is stored safely. The high-level waste we turn into a glass form, which is passive," said a BNFL spokesman. "We have reprocessed 50,000 tons at Sellafield since the mid-Sixties." Much of the waste at Sellafield is stored in metal drums, which are surrounded by concrete. These are put in concrete-lined trenches that are then landfilled. But environmentalists believe the radioactive material still poses a threat and that it can cause cancer. "We believe the waste isn't safely stored because it hasn't been treated and is in a raw form that could explode or catch fire if it is hit in a terrorist incident," said Rachel Western, nuclear researcher at Friends of the Earth. The Government is planning to set up an interdependent body to help to resolve the problem of how to deal with Britain's growing radioactive waste stockpiles. © Copyright 2002 The Tennessean A Gannett Co. Inc. ***************************************************************** 25 Chatham votes against nuclear shipments* By: Joseph Pardington November 21, 2002 *Resolution asks attorney general to stop Progress Energy's fuel-rod train* By JOSEPH PARDINGTON Herald Staff Writer PITTSBORO - The Chatham County Commissioners voted 3-2 on Monday to ask North Carolina Attorney General Roy Cooper to halt Progress Energy's transportation of spent nuclear fuel rods to this part of the state. Voting for the resolution were: Chairman Gary Phillips, Vice Chairwoman Margaret Pollard and the resolution's author, Commissioner Bob Atwater. Commissioners Carl Outz and Rick Givens voted against the resolution. Before voting on Atwater's revised resolution, the commissioners first tabled a resolution provided to them by the North Carolina Waste Awareness and Reduction Network (N.C. WARN), a non-profit group that has been an outspoken critic of CP&L/Progress Energy. Each of the commissioners commented on the original resolution before voting on it. Outz, Givens and Pollard voted to table the original resolution. Phillips and Atwater voted against tabling the resolution. The board then voted in favor of Atwater's revised resolution. "I think its matter of common sense that we are experiencing a level of unnecessary risk by transporting this material," Atwater said. Atwater's resolution asks Cooper to stop the shipments until federal security measures are in place. Spent nuclear fuel rods are the nuclear byproduct generated by nuclear power plants. This material is cooled for at least five years in pools approved by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. When the rods are sufficiently cooled, some nuclear plants move them to dry storage, while Progress Energy leaves them in pools. Nuclear plants that run out of storage space ship the spent fuel rods to another plant. Progress Energy, formerly CP&L, transports spent fuel rods from its Robinson plant in Hartsville, S.C., and its Brunswick plant Southport to Shearon Harris in southwestern Wake County, because Harris was built to accommodate four nuclear reactors and the other two plants have limited storage, said Progress Energy's Sharon Hall, communications manager at Harris. Robinson and Brunswick were built with the idea of sending spent fuel to the federal nuclear waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nev., and Yucca is not finished yet, Hall added. At Monday's meeting, about 50 people cheered for the passage of the revised resolution. Some wore signs with a picture of a train surrounded by a red circle and covered with a strike-through line on 4-inch by 5-inch construction paper. In the back of the room, a man held aloft a sign saying, "Nuclear waste is unsafe. Halt the train." The crowd stood to applaud Judy Hogan of Moncure who spoke out against Progress Energy's policy of shipping via train spent fuel rods from one plant to another. Hogan described several doomsday scenarios. Hogan asked what would happen if terrorists attacked the trains, what would happen if the trains ran off the tracks and who would evacuate the thousands of people within a 10-mile emergency zone surrounding Shearon Harris in the event of a nuclear accident. Progress Energy community relations manager Cathy Hawkins said the company is committed to the safety of its employees and the public. "We have been shipping spent fuel for 14 years with no safety accidents," Hawkins said. Hawkins compared the catastrophic warnings to scenes from Hollywood movies. Hawkins said spent fuel is shipped in robust, state-of-the art containers, with safety as the foremost concern."Spent fuel is shipped dry and cannot explode," she told the audience. Hall said the company keeps law-enforcement officials informed about every shipment while keeping details of the shipments secret from most employees and the general public. "We have very stringent emergency plans. We have very close coordination with state, federal and local law enforcement regarding the shipments," she said. "We keep all the details of these shipments extremely confidential. There are very few people in the company that even know any of the specifics." /©The Sanford Herald 2002/ ***************************************************************** 26 Inspection of a Trident nuclear submarine Date: Thu, 21 Nov 2002 00:13:32 -0600 (CST) Inspection of a Trident nuclear submarine by Petter Joelson 9:06pm Mon Nov 18 '02 (Modified on 7:18am Tue Nov 19 '02) phone: 07881818487 petterjoelson@yahoo.se At 11pm Friday 15th November, me and Elisa from Trident Ploughshares got into a nuclear submarine in Devonport, England. We set off the fire alarm on the submarine and told the workers and security staff about the illegality of the Trident submarines under international law. Trident Ploughshares is since 1998 fighting the British nuclear weapons with nonviolent direct action. Britain has got four Trident nuclear submarines with a capacity of more than 1000 Hiroshima bombs. In March this year, the British minister of defence, George Hoon threatened to use nuclear weapons against Iraq. One of these submarines, called Vanguard, is currently being fixed and fuelled with radioactive material at the Devonport dockyard in the south west of England. Trident Ploughshares have had a disarmament cammp in Devonport the 14th-19th November. By inspections, blockades and other actions, we have been trying to stop the Vanguard from further use. The British government has been one of the loudest voices for an attack against Iraq if they don't grant access for the UN weapons inspectors. At the same time the government is ignoring the advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice from 1996, saying that the possession or threat to use nuclear arms is generally illegal. Elisa and I decided to inspect the facilities for weapons of mass destruction in the Devonport Dockyard. At Friday evening at 9.30 we went from the Trident Ploughshares campsite to the Dockyard. After some time of walking through itching bushes outside the fence, we found a good spot to climb it. We put some thick plastic that we found on top of the sharp edges of it and then managed to get over. It was a walk of about 300 meters to the Trident dock, and we passed a tennis court, some houses and docks for other ships. No guards or polices were in sight and the few people, walking or in cars, that we passed didn't seem to take any notice about us. My mouth was dry and my legs soft like spaghetti when we reached the final fence, just outside "Vanguard". There it was, the submarine that can wipe out whole cities with a single strike. It was covered with construction works and white plastic and was huge. We made a small door in the fence with our bolt cutters we had brought and went on towards the submarine. There were still no guards visible so we went on board. At this stage we were not really sure about what to do. After we had been inside of it and seen the holes on the outside were they fire the missiles, we decided to press an alarm button. The first alarm button we found didn't work, so we went to the other side of the submarine and found two fire alarm buttons. We pressed the first one (this was at 11.30 according to the police, and we had probably been on and inside of the sub for 20 minutes). Nothing happened in a couple of minutes, so we pressed the other one too. Then lots of workers, maybe 10-20 came up from the lower parts of the submarine, just were we were standing. We explained to them that we were from Trident Ploughshares and that the submarine is illegal, but they seemed to be more keen on having a break than to discuss legal matters with us. So they went to a nearby building. After another couple of minutes security staff turned up and showed us the way to the office just next to the sub. The walls in there were covered with electrical diagrams of the missile system and other things I didn't understand. The staff offered us tea and coffee and we were chatting for a while until the police turned up and arrested us at 11.55. No one saw us getting in, but the police confiscated out two pairs of bolt cutters and "Nuclear Weapons for Beginners" - a guide Elisa had brought, as evidence. On 16th of December, the local court in Plymouth will set a date for our trial. elisa.silvennoinen@joensuu.fi petterjoelson@yahoo.se http://sweden.indymedia.org/front.php3?article_id=32989&group=webcast www.tridentploughshares.org ***************************************************************** 27 Pakistan's Bhutto said to have overseen Korea nuclear deal Reuters 20 November, 2002 19:55 GMT+08:00 By Jane Macartney, Asian Diplomatic Correspondent SINGAPORE (Reuters) - North Korea had the nearest thing to a nuclear delivery system suitable for Pakistan's purposes. Pakistan had the bomb and the means to teach Pyongyang to make its own. The time was the mid-1990s, both states were beleaguered. North Korea was isolated from the world of its own volition, by its dogged adherence to the ideology of juche, or self-reliance, created by late Great Leader Kim Il-sung. Pakistan was a pariah, in trouble and slapped with sanctions because everyone -- or at least the United States -- was pretty sure it was clandestinely engaged in trying to obtain missile and fissile technology from China. In what has become a classic manoeuvre, the two outcasts found a way into each other's arms and arsenals and created one of the most frightening nuclear threats on earth, say Pakistani sources close to the talks who declined to be identified. Negotiations must have gone on for at least a decade between the two militaries -- the Koreans eager to develop nuclear weapons, the Pakistanis desperate for a strategic delivery system that would ensure a potent deterrent to neighbouring India. MILITARY MANOEUVRES A heaven-sent opportunity presented itself in 1993 when newly elected Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto decided her first foreign visit should take her to close ally China. Oddly enough, she then made a two-day side-trip to Pyongyang. That visit seemed incongruous at the time. Bhutto said her visit would focus on economic relations, including North Korean assistance in building small hydroelectric dams in Pakistan. In fact, the trip had other power systems in mind, said one Pakistani source. Bhutto had undertaken the tour at the behest of her military, which wanted a chance to sit down with their North Korean counterparts and hammer out details of a deal they had been negotiating for some time, the source said. "The military basically just told her what to do and she went along," said the source. "That was the deal she made with the army for winning office." A spokesman for Benazir Bhutto in London could not be reached for comment. She was accompanied by Defence Minister Aftab Shabban Mirani, but he played no key role, the source said. Taking a quiet back seat in the delegation but running the show were Pakistan military officers, if not also the powerful Inter Services Intelligence agency, the source said. Those two days of talks were a chance to start the laborious business of reaching a deal to enable Pakistan to swap its uranium enrichment technology for North Korea's Nodong ballistic missile. The Nodong is not hugely sophisticated. It is believed to be an enhanced version of the Soviet Scud B surface-to-surface missile with a range of 1,000 km -- long enough to deliver a device against South Korea, or India. Uranium enrichment was perfect for North Korea. Using gas centrifuge technology it could enrich uranium to weapons-grade status and stash it underground. That was not the case with less versatile plutonium, available at the Yongbyon plant but above ground and easily monitored by space imaging. No one is prepared to go on the record about just who did what when. RUMOURS, BUT WHERE'S THE EVIDENCE? Reports go that Abdul Qadeer Khan, the nuclear scientist known as the father of Pakistan's bomb, has visited North Korea several times, at least once in recent years. In 1999, the Times of India reported a 1995 deal between a North Korean firm, Changgwang Sinyong (CSC), and Khan Research Laboratories. According to North Korean expert Aidan Foster-Carter, CSC is an arm of the Fourth Machine Industry Bureau of Pyongyang's Second Economic Committee, which means it is military. Few doubt that Pakistan's Ghauri-III missile is essentially a North Korean design, the British expert wrote last year. Just last year, the commander of the North Korean air force, Colonel-General O Kum-chol, paid a week-long visit to Pakistan, Foster-Carter said. Local news sources were tight-lipped on the agenda, most merely saying that the two sides "discussed matters of professional interest". This month Pakistan denied a report suggesting it had given recent assistance to North Korea's nuclear programme. The Washington Post said Washington had evidence suggesting that Pakistan had assisted Pyongyang's nuclear efforts just a few months ago -- much later than previously disclosed. Whatever the timing, the issue faces the U.S. administration with a difficult choice since, under U.S. law, the president must suspend economic and military aid if a country transfers nuclear technology without international safeguards. Pakistan was sanctioned for such behaviour in the past but penalties were waived after Washington's anti-terror war began in the wake of the September 11 suicide attacks on U.S. cities. Current military leader Pervez Musharraf may still be flavour of the month in Washington for his aid in that war. But more answers may be forthcoming from exiled Benazir Bhutto who was in Pyongyang when the military seized the opportunity to buttress their own defences with a deal that has since shocked the world. ***************************************************************** 28 UC-managed nuclear research lab under investigation for missing items *Thursday, November 21, 2002 * Allegations of corruption at Los Alamos National Laboratory prompt director to request inquiry By *Noah Grand* DAILY BRUIN REPORTER ngrand@media.ucla.edu Federal inspectors are investigating allegations that management has covered up illegal activities at Los Alamos National Laboratory, which is managed by the University of California. The investigation comes after nearly $3 million worth of items disappeared or were reported missing from the nuclear research lab in the last three years, according to an internal document obtained by the Albuquerque Journal. Lab director Dr. John Browne requested the investigation in early November after anonymous allegations of corruption affecting national security were reported by other news organizations. "It was important to have investigators come in quickly," said Los Alamos press aide Jim Danneskiold. Acting administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration Linton Brooks endorsed Browne's inquiry. The NNSA works with the lab and the UC to develop nuclear weapons and maintain the safety of the United States' nuclear weapons stockpiles. Officials from the Department of Energy's Office of Inspector General launched the investigation Monday, 10 days after the UC's top official in charge of laboratory oversight, John McTague, announced his intention to leave this position. UC press aide Jeff Garberson said McTague's announcement is not connected to the investigation. "He had decided to retire several months ago and was just waiting for right time," Garberson said. Garberson said McTague would not comment on the investigation. His resignation is effective once the UC appoints his replacement. Garberson said the university will cooperate with the investigation. "The DOE review will run its course and the laboratory, university and Department of Energy will all take action as appropriate," Garberson said. The UC oversees the operations of three national laboratories ? including Los Alamos ? for the Department of Energy and the NNSA. Lab directors, including Browne, are appointed by the university's president, while the federal government provides lab funding. The Office of Inspector General confirmed in a statement that charges against laboratory management are being investigated, but the UC is not specifically mentioned. The office would not say when the investigation will be concluded and will not make additional comments until the investigation is over, according to press aide Wilma Slaughter. The university might conduct its own investigation after federal authorities finish their investigation, Garberson said. Los Alamos has been the target of other federal investigations in recent months. In October the FBI got warrants to search the homes of two lab workers, alleging they have used lab credit cards to buy more than $50,000 of unapproved merchandise. With reports from Daily Bruin wire services. for questions or concerns about this article. ***************************************************************** 29 Parsons Corp. selected to create uranium storage facility at Y-12 By Frank Munger, News-Sentinel senior writer November 21, 2002 OAK RIDGE - Parsons Corp. announced Wednesday it has won a contract to design a new storage facility for highly enriched uranium at the Y-12 nuclear weapons plant. The value of the design contract was not released, but the total cost of the federally funded project, including construction, is estimated at $184 million. The new uranium facility will consolidate stocks of the bomb-making material currently housed in multiple buildings at Y-12, which was constructed during World War II for work on the Manhattan Project. The storage complex is billed as the first major project in the plant's modernization program, which could cost billions of dollars over the next couple of decades. Jack Scott, president of Parsons' infrastructure and technology business unit, said the California-based firm will help create "a state-of-the-art facility for the storage of materials critical to national security." Other modernization projects are in the offing at Y-12, including a $37 million purification facility for work on unspecified classified materials, and a $260 million complex for processing of beryllium for weapons uses. Bill Brumley, the federal manager at Y-12, said construction of the new uranium vaults is expected to start in September 2004, with first operations in September 2008. Work on the purification facility is scheduled to start in April 2003, with first operations in December 2004, Brumley said. Construction of the beryllium plant is tentatively planned for June 2006, with startup operations in August 2010, he said. Frank Munger may be reached at 865-482-9213 or twig1@knoxnews.infi.net. ***************************************************************** 30 Livermore lab may lose top-dog status Oakland Tribune Online Article Last Updated: Thursday, November 21, 2002 - Facility probably won't be 'headquarters lab' for Homeland Security Department By Lisa Friedman and Ian Hoffman STAFF WRITERS In the beginning, the White House put Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory at the center of the Homeland Security Department universe. Then Bush's staff blinked: They'd made a billion-dollar misjudgment that thousands of bureaucrats and scientists could have caught -- if any had been consulted. Today, with President Bush ready to sign into law the most ambitious remake of U.S. government since 1947, a new game plan is taking shape for how the $37 billion agency will muster science and technology in America's defense. And while Livermore, and Sandia National Laboratories in California are poised for a huge role, the original White House notion of giving a single laboratory a governing hand over money, and research and development appears, if not entirely dead, at least politically unfeasible. President Bush calls Republican Sen. Trent Lott and assembled lawmakers about the Homeland Security legislation from his Air Force One office during his flight to Prague, November 19. Bush plans to sign the legislation into law next week and will then face the mammoth task of carrying out the biggest U.S. government reorganization in a half century and making it all work. (Wire) Still hopeful, Rep. Ellen Tauscher, D-Alamo, wrangled a measure freeing the Bush administration to designate a "headquarters lab." And Bay Area business boosters expect Washington will warm to Livermore and Sandia as the nation's anti-terror capitol, sending billions in research dollars rippling across the region's tech economy. Instead, a broader picture is emerging of 10 or more government and university research centers, orchestrated out of Washington, where scientists are suffused with a Cold War-style singularity of purpose and hot-war urgency. All the brick-and-mortar pieces of this network -- Congress gave the new agency no home in D.C. -- would fly the new colors of the Department of Homeland Security. They will compete for prominence -- and for research funds that insiders peg this year at between $1 billion and $3 billion. This amount will almost certainly swell as the nation confronts limitless vulnerabilities, scientists deliver new generations of technological answers and lawmakers safeguard their re-election by upping the ante for domestic defense. "This is going to be a long, twilight struggle with the terrorist threat," said Parney Albright, the White House assistant director for homeland and national security. The race for homeland-security work and dollars unofficially began last spring, when President Bush decided to consolidate the nation's domestic defense work into a cabinet-level agency. White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card led a secret working group of five top Bush advisers and their aides in reorganizing the federal government. None were government science experts. But Homeland Security Adviser Tom Ridge and at least one of his aides knew Livermore was heavily invested in dealing with the most feared and lethal attacks on domestic soil: CBRN -- chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear. Making Livermore a one-stop shop for the new agency was simple and seemed logical. It also was a monumental miscalculation that ignored history, politics and the nature of science. The hasty decision set the stage for infighting in both Congress and the nation's scientific bureaucracies. Throughout the Cold War, the labs clashed over turf and made pacts when it paid or was too painful not to. Their directors often sat down with federal executives and lawmakers and divvied up the pie according to political power and competence. But no lab takes orders from another lab. "If Livermore was going to be a first among equals, the vision was you would have federal officials working with people at Livermore to decide what should be done and where," said John Harvey, director of policy and planning analysis at the National Nuclear Security Administration, the nuclear weapons agency associated with the U.S. Energy Department. "Obviously, some of the other NNSA laboratories looked at this as putting them second. Now the trends are more towards equality." "I think it would be a mistake for the secretary to establish a pecking order," said Sen. Jeff Bingaman, D-N.M., the outgoing chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee with primary authority over the DOE labs. Republican takeover in the Senate means the chairmanship will pass back to Sen. Pete Domenici, R-N.M., a six-termer revered by labs at home and in California as "Saint Pete" for his dual role as their advocate and regulator. He hammered Livermore as lead, saying the lab had failed to deliver its pet project -- a giant laser-fusion machine -- without more than $1 billion in overruns and years of delays. The subtext was obvious: The usual code of silence that shelters the labs and their troubled projects from peer attack is suspended. After his tirade, a senior Sandia executive decided to stem the bloodletting and urged a meeting of weapons-lab directors -- Livermore's Mike Anastasio, Los Alamos' John C. Browne and Sandia's C. Paul Robinson. They talked and, according to one attendee, "Even Mike realized it was a nonstarter." They agreed the feds, not one of the contractor-run labs, should order funds or research at other labs. Asked about the Bush administration's "lead lab" idea, Domenici said, "I don't think they'll do one." Said Tauscher: "I don't believe Sen. Domenici will do anything that will deter the ability of this country to defend itself." Reassigning Livermore also raised a potential conflict with another Bush priority -- maintaining and upgrading the nuclear arsenal without nuclear testing -- the job that pays 70 percent of Livermore's bills. NNSA officials reminded the White House that taking all of Livermore was out of the question. Lastly, anti-terror experts for the National Academy of Sciences suggested the White House plan concentrated too much on weapons of mass destruction -- Livermore's forte -- perhaps at the cost of developing anti-terror drugs or dealing with more likely threats: tanker trucks and ordinary bombs. The original White House plan to swipe a fifth of Livermore's staff and nearly all its budget was a public-relations nightmare. Homeland Security assistant director Albright is widely recognized as the man sent to clean up the mess. The administration quickly backtracked, saying it saw Livermore rather as a "center of excellence" for anti-terrorism research. "We thought better of taking all of Livermore very, very quickly," said Albright. Congressional insiders who care deeply what role Livermore and the nation's other nuclear weapons laboratories will play in the Homeland Security Department say these days, when it comes to science and technology issues, Albright is, in the words of one aide, "the man with the plan." Now Albright is pushing yet another vision for the labs -- one that does not single out the California lab as top dog. Albright wants Sandia, Los Alamos and Livermore to designate some operations to the Department of Homeland Security. In planning for the transfer of programs to the new agency, he recently asked weapons lab executives to identify buildings that could house agency employees and spoke of "little Department of Homeland Security flags flying over the tops of the roofs" of various buildings at all three weapons labs. He painted a picture of chemists, biologists and physicists who "think and breathe homeland security" eating together and "identifying in a career sense with homeland security." Albright acknowledged that there probably will be more activity at Livermore lab than other labs because it already hosts the bulk of the Department of Energy's anti-terrorism programs. But he said he wants the national labs to compete -- but for ideas, not money "or some badge that says 'Center of Excellence.'" He said, however, that there will not be any management decision to designate a lead laboratory. And he adamantly opposes putting any one lab in charge of directing research and development dollars. Meanwhile, lawmakers are rushing to pencil in their own designs for the federal pot of anti-terror gold. "They sort of put everyone's favorite idea in the bill," said Harvard public-policy professor Lewis Branscomb, chairman of a National Academy of Sciences panel on using science and technology to fight terrorism. By Branscomb's count, Congress has just created half a dozen entities for research alone. Each one is mandatory. Congress and the White House then agreed on choices. Tauscher got in the final bill that the secretary "may designate" a lab or site as a "headquarters laboratory." She said afterward, "We're hoping that since the president designated Livermore once, that he will again." The same bouyant confidence is evident at the Bay Area Economic Forum, a pro-business and technology group that sees a big Department of Homeland Security presence at Livermore and Sandia labs as a shot in the arm for a region sagging from post-Sept. 11 and Silicon Valley economic woes. Forum leaders drew lab, business and government officials including San Francisco's Willie Brown to Treasure Island this summer to tender support. They say the Bay's five universities, six national labs and research centers, combined with high-tech and bio-tech industries, make it the most innovative pocket of the country, a natural for turning anti-terror science into real-world tools. Forum leaders trek to Washington early next month to lobby key players in the new agency. If Washington revives the Livermore-as-lead idea, forum president Sean Randolph sees billions of dollars a year flowing into the Bay Area, either through the labs or influenced by its scientists' word and ties. Meanwhile, although the precise shape of the new department's technology effort hasn't been decided, White House staff have offered widely varying answers in an apparent effort to preserve political support. Albright, however, remains noncommittal about Livermore's -- and the Bay Area's -- prospects for claiming the largest chunk of lucrative department research. "How we bring these all together is not decided," he said. Will there be a single lead lab? "Time will tell. Excellence always bubbles to the top." ©1999-2002 by MediaNews Group, Inc. and ANG Newspapers ***************************************************************** 31 Charge DOE to store, not just ship, wastes Published Nov. 20, 2002 The Hanford Communities coalition is sending the wrong message with its proposal for a surcharge on transuranic wastes shipped to Hanford from other Department of Energy sites. The idea recently was floated by the group, which represents county and city governments near the nuclear reservation. The coalition hopes to extract some cash for each barrel of wastes coming to Hanford to offset the effects on roads and government services. Granted, the timing is right. The Washington Department of Ecology and the Energy Department are negotiating an agreement on temporary storage of the outside wastes, and the concerns of Hanford's closest neighbors ought to be addressed in those talks. But payments simply to defray costs to local governments look too much like an endorsement of more wastes at Hanford, if the price is right. What's needed is an approach that addresses the biggest worry - that Hanford will become a dumping ground for the Energy Department's other nuclear sites. That's not the Energy Department's stated intent. The agency says it plans to use Hanford facilities to prepare barrels of transuranic wastes for eventual shipment to a permanent underground storage site at Carlsbad, N.M. Current plans are modest, calling for bringing only 150 barrels of transuranic wastes from a site in Columbus, Ohio, to Hanford. That could change, however. The Energy Department has literally thousands of barrels containing wastes contaminated by highly radioactive plutonium and other transuranics stored at Hanford and elsewhere. Tri-Citians and other Northwesterners know DOE's priorities are no more permanent than the politicians who help set them. Despite its assurances, more wastes may end up at Hanford, and for longer periods, than anyone anticipates. Instead of a windfall in the form of surcharges, Hanford Communities ought to be looking for assurances that federal budget constraints or other unforeseen problems won't strand the incoming barrels at Hanford. One approach that state and local government ought to consider is a storage fee that escalates if deadlines for removing the wastes aren't met. There may be other ways of encouraging DOE to live up to its promises, too. Whatever the details, the final plan should make it prohibitively expensive to make Hanford a permanent dump for the Energy Department's other sites. What's your opinon? Copyright 2002 Tri-City Herald. All rights reserved. This ***************************************************************** 32 Los Alamos Lab Property Said Missing Las Vegas SUN: November 20, 2002 By DEBORAH BAKER ASSOCIATED PRESS SANTA FE, N.M.- A memo released by whistleblowers at Los Alamos National Laboratory says nearly $1.3 million worth of computers, phones and other property was unaccounted for in the budget year 2001. Pete Stockton, senior investigator for the Project on Government Oversight, a Washington, D.C.-based watchdog group that received the memo, said missing computers pose "one hell of a potential security problem." "There's no way they can assure us those computers didn't have classified information on them," said Stockton, who was a special assistant to Energy Secretary Bill Richardson - now New Mexico's governor-elect - in the Clinton administration. The inventory of missing items also included two printers whose custodian was listed as Wen Lee. There was no immediate confirmation as to whether that person was Wen Ho Lee, a former scientist who was fired and accused of lab security violations in downloading nuclear codes. No other employee by that name appears on a lab telephone list. Lab spokeswoman Linn Tytler did not respond on Wednesday to repeated requests for comment on the Lee notation and the memo overall. "I haven't heard anything from the lab about that, and I'm sure if they thought he had two of their printers, I would have heard from them," said John Cline, one of Wen Ho Lee's lawyers. Lee was charged with 59 counts of mishandling data and spent nine months in solitary confinement before pleading guilty in September 2000 to a single count of using an unsecured computer to download a defense document. A federal judge freed him with an apology. The memo from the nuclear weapons laboratory's chief financial officer, dated April 10 of this year, was distributed anonymously. Stockton said he believed it was from the same lab employees who released another memo earlier. The whistleblowers claim that lab leaders have been covering up criminal activity including credit card, purchasing and voucher fraud. The Department of Energy's Office of Inspector General was at the lab this week investigating allegations of wrongdoing. The Albuquerque Journal reported Sunday that internal lab documents indicated nearly $3 million worth of lab-owned items disappeared or were reported missing between 1999 and 2001. The newspaper cited a March report from the lab's Office of Security Inquiries. The April 10 memo from Thomas M. Palmieri, the lab's chief financial officer, cited "disturbing negative trends regarding Laboratory management of Government property." It said missing property from the budget year 2001 inventory totaled $723,000 - nearly triple that of the previous year - and lost or stolen property totaled $533,000. "We are still trying to account for these items," the memo said. "Neither the Lab or DOE, can accept $1.3M in unaccounted property. We must do a better job protecting and accounting for the Government property that we manage for DOE," Palmieri wrote. The memo said corrective action plans were to be developed. "Our intent is that property management at this institution be a non-issue a year from now," the memo said. Inventories attached to the two memos listed missing property including computers, cellular telephones, cameras and copiers, as well as more technical equipment. Steve Aftergood, who coordinates the Project on Government Secrecy for the Federation of American Scientists said any information left on those computers would be so specialized that it would be "useless or even incomprehensible" to the average user. But it's a different matter if the computers fell into the hands of foreign intelligence personnel, Aftergood said. If nothing else, Aftergood said, the situation "illustrates a serious flaw in the security procedures at the lab - and if this particular incident did not pose a threat, it suggests that a future incident could well do so, unless the defects are corrected." All contents copyright 2002 Las Vegas SUN, Inc. ***************************************************************** 33 Residents can discuss SRS emissions Augusta Georgia: Metro: Web posted Wednesday, November 20, 2002 10:00 p.m. EST By Eric Williamson [eric.williamson@augustachronicle.com] South Carolina Bureau AIKEN - A hearing tonight at Silver Bluff High School will give the public an opportunity to air its concerns on Savannah River Site air quality issues. The meeting is mandatory to gain continued permitting by the state Department of Health and Environmental Control. Carl Richardson, the director of DHEC's engineering services division, said SRS is in compliance with state and federal air standards. The permitting renewal reflects a change in the law requiring consolidated licensing. Sites emitting pollution used to be licensed individually. SRS emits a number of different toxins into the environment as part of its yearly operations, but the state wants to make sure they are in quantities too small to harm humans or wildlife. A public hearing on SRS air emissions will be at 7 p.m. today at Silver Bluff High School, 64 DeSoto Drive in Aiken. Among groups expected to speak in opposition to the permitting is the Blue Ridge Environmental Defense League. According to a news release issued by the group, "The new air pollution permit for SRS would allow over 13 million pounds of toxic air pollution to be dumped into the air every year." The group contends the cumulative effect from radioactive processing plants, coal-fired power plants, diesel generators, soil vapor extraction units and a waste incinerator on the Department of Energy reserve is an increased danger to public health. "(SRS) is held to the same standards as any other industrial activity would be in the state," Mr. Richardson said. He said the meeting is meant for the public to present potential flaws in the permitting, rather than as a question-and-answer session, but he said questions are welcome before and afterward. Reach Eric Williamson at (803) 279-6895 or eric.williamson@augustachronicle.com [eric.williamson@augustachronicle.com] . Augusta Chronicle ***************************************************************** 34 Energy Secretary Lauds Stanford University's New Global Climate and Energy R&D Program energy.gov - Headquarters' Press Release RELEASE DATE: November 20, 2002 WASHINGTON, DC -- Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham today hailed Stanford University's announcement of a new program to research and develop promising energy technologies that will reduce or eliminate greenhouse gas emissions. With commitments amounting to $275 million over 10 years from companies such as ExxonMobil, General Electric, Schlumberger and others, the university's work will be aimed at developing advanced technologies in the areas of transportation, electric power, fuels, carbon sequestration and end use. "The Stanford initiative will serve as an important national resource in helping to address the serious issue of climate change," Secretary Abraham said, congratulating Stanford University and its corporate sponsors. "This effort will play an important role in President Bush's climate change strategy, which focuses on directing R&D investments into high-priority areas where breakthrough technologies can make the difference in reducing greenhouse gas intensity while maintaining economic growth." "The Department of Energy looks forward to working with the Stanford team and sharing information and expertise in order to further strengthen and focus our climate change research efforts, build public-private partnerships in applied research, and expand international collaborative activities," Abraham added. Media Contact: Release No. PR-02-244 ***************************************************************** 35 Los Alamos Laboratory Memo Says Nearly $1.3 Million in Computers, Property Unaccounted For* * November 20, 2002 By DEBORAH BAKER | Associated Press 11/21/2002 * SANTA FE?A memo released by whistleblowers at Los Alamos National Laboratory says nearly $1.3 million worth of computers, phones and other property was unaccounted for in the budget year 2001. * Pete Stockton, senior investigator for the Project on Government Oversight, a Washington, D.C.-based watchdog group that received the memo, said missing computers pose "one hell of a potential security problem." "There's no way they can assure us those computers didn't have classified information on them," said Stockton, who was a special assistant to Energy Secretary Bill Richardson - now New Mexico's governor-elect - in the Clinton administration. The inventory of missing items also included two printers whose custodian was listed as Wen Lee. There was no immediate confirmation as to whether that person was Wen Ho Lee, a former scientist who was fired and accused of lab security violations in downloading nuclear codes. No other employee by that name appears on a lab telephone list. Lab spokeswoman Linn Tytler did not respond on Wednesday to repeated requests for comment on the Lee notation and the memo overall. "I haven't heard anything from the lab about that, and I'm sure if they thought he had two of their printers, I would have heard from them," said John Cline, one of Wen Ho Lee's lawyers. Lee was charged with 59 counts of mishandling data and spent nine months in solitary confinement before pleading guilty in September 2000 to a single count of using an unsecured computer to download a defense document. A federal judge freed him with an apology. The memo from the nuclear weapons laboratory's chief financial officer, dated April 10 of this year, was distributed anonymously. Stockton said he believed it was from the same lab employees who released another memo earlier. The whistleblowers claim that lab leaders have been covering up criminal activity including credit card, purchasing and voucher fraud. The Department of Energy's Office of Inspector General was at the lab this week investigating allegations of wrongdoing. The Albuquerque Journal reported Sunday that internal lab documents indicated nearly $3 million worth of lab-owned items disappeared or were reported missing between 1999 and 2001. The newspaper cited a March report from the lab's Office of Security Inquiries. The April 10 memo from Thomas M. Palmieri, the lab's chief financial officer, cited "disturbing negative trends regarding Laboratory management of Government property." It said missing property from the budget year 2001 inventory totaled $723,000 - nearly triple that of the previous year - and lost or stolen property totaled $533,000. "We are still trying to account for these items," the memo said. "Neither the Lab or DOE, can accept $1.3M in unaccounted property. We must do a better job protecting and accounting for the Government property that we manage for DOE," Palmieri wrote. The memo said corrective action plans were to be developed. "Our intent is that property management at this institution be a non-issue a year from now," the memo said. Inventories attached to the two memos listed missing property including computers, cellular telephones, cameras and copiers, as well as more technical equipment. Steve Aftergood, who coordinates the Project on Government Secrecy for the Federation of American Scientists said any information left on those computers would be so specialized that it would be "useless or even incomprehensible" to the average user. But it's a different matter if the computers fell into the hands of foreign intelligence personnel, Aftergood said. If nothing else, Aftergood said, the situation "illustrates a serious flaw in the security procedures at the lab - and if this particular incident did not pose a threat, it suggests that a future incident could well do so, unless the defects are corrected." /©Santa Fe New Mexican 2002/ ***************************************************************** 36 Lawsuit: Radiation records were altered [http://enquirer.com] Thursday, November 21, 2002 The Associated Press COLUMBUS - A lawsuit accuses the operators of the Portsmouth Gaseous Diffusion Plant in Piketon of altering the records of workers' exposure to radiation to qualify for federal government safety bonuses. The lawsuit was filed in 2000 in U.S. District Court under the false-claim act, but a judge unsealed it just last week, the Columbus Dispatch reported. Plant security guard Jeff Walburn contends in the lawsuit that Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Utility Services and U.S. Enrichment Corp. used false and unreliable exposure readings to receive incentive payments for operating a safe work environment. The false-claim act allows a civilian to sue on behalf of the federal government when it overpays a supplier because of alleged fraud. USEC and Lockheed Martin both declined to comment. If Mr. Walburn wins, he could receive a cut of damages awarded to the U.S government. Mr. Walburn's attorney, Steve Edwards, said he has depositions from two employees who said they altered 400 to 600 records per year. "We have evidence in Jeff's case that his records were changed twice," Mr. Edwards said. The plant helped produce weapons-grade uranium and handled plutonium during the Cold War. The plant was closed last year but operations to decontaminate it are continuing. Congress two years ago approved payments to workers exposed to radiation at the plant who have been diagnosed with cancer. Piketon is 100 miles east of Cincinnati. Copyright [http://cincinnati.com/copyright] 1995-2002. The ***************************************************************** 37 DOE will keep WWII-era calutrons in service The Oak Ridger Online -- Area News -- 1:50 p.m. on Thursday, November 21, 2002 The U.S. Department of Energy is retaining capability in Oak Ridge for producing stable, non-radioactive isotopes. DOE earlier planned to dismantle the World War II-era machines, called calutrons, which can electro-magnetically separate elements into their slightly different atomic forms. They were built originally to separate U-235 for the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima, Japan, in 1945. Even though these machines have not been operated for about four years, a report by DOE's inspector general says it was important to keep them in a workable condition until another domestic source is created. The report says some stable isotopes are needed for defense and homeland security purposes and argues that the United States could not depend on Russia or other outside sources. In addition, some of the stable isotopes are used to help produce radioisotopes for medicine and industry, auditors said. An isotope is any of two or more forms of an element having the same or closely related chemical properties and the same atomic number but different atomic weights. [http://www.oakridger.com/contact/index.html] [http://www.oakridger.com] All Contents ©Copyright The Oak Ridger ***************************************************************** 38 Plutonium waste will be shipped to WIPP The Oak Ridger Online -- Area News -- 1:50 p.m. on Thursday, November 21, 2002 CARLSBAD (AP) -- The U.S. Department of Energy plans to ship 45 truckloads of plutonium waste from a former nuclear weapons factory near Denver to a federal underground dump in southern New Mexico. The announcement, published Monday in the Federal Register, reverses a position the department took in February. At the time, officials said two troublesome tons of plutonium waste now sitting at the old Rocky Flats factory would not be sent to the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant near Carlsbad. The department's notice says that nearly half of the waste is now destined for WIPP. Assistant Energy Secretary Jessie Roberson said Tuesday the department reconsidered after realizing a portion of the two tons had a low-enough plutonium concentration to meet WIPP's disposal criteria. That explanation did not sit well with DOE critics, who said the department misled them when it announced in February that it had no plans to send any of the plutonium to WIPP. "It looks to me like once again we've been lied to," said Don Hancock of the Southwest Research and Information Center. Hancock's fear is that the agency will follow up its current decision with other small shipments that gradually add up to the two tons. "They just seem to want to piecemeal this whole thing so that people don't get excited," he said. "But when you put lots of little together, it ends up being lots of plutonium, none of which was supposed to go to WIPP." The problem plutonium stands in the way of a DOE commitment to finish cleaning up Rocky Flats so it can be permanently closed. To do that, the plutonium must be sent elsewhere. The department's plan satisfies New Mexico's two senators, who had complained in January when it looked like the entire two tons were headed to WIPP. Sen. Jeff Bingaman, D-N.M., said that by only sending the lower-concentration portion, the department is adhering to existing rules about WIPP disposal. Sen. Pete Domenici, R-N.M., said he has been assured that the waste is comparable in all relevant respects to the waste already being shipped to WIPP. The portion to be sent to WIPP is 18 percent plutonium mixed with other chemicals, which Roberson said meets WIPP disposal criteria. Roberson said the department still does not have a plan for the remaining ton, which has a plutonium concentration higher than the 20 percent permitted at WIPP. [http://www.oakridger.com/contact/index.html] All Contents ©Copyright The Oak Ridger ***************************************************************** 39 MSC completes $1.2 million upgrade of rolling mill The Oak Ridger Online -- Area News -- 1:50 p.m. on Thursday, November 21, 2002 Manufacturing Sciences Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of British Nuclear Fuels Limited, Inc, located in Oak Ridge has announced the completion of a $1.2 million upgrade to their four-high, reversing rolling mill. The rolling mill upgrade integrates new state of the art electronic computerized controls along with a renewal of the mill's mechanical components. Quad Engineering Inc, based in Toronto, Ontario Canada was the general contactor for the project. The project was completed in four weeks thanks to the combined effort of the contractor and MSC employees, according to an MSC press release. Dave Brown, general manager stated in the release, "We have made this large capital investment to ensure that we continue to meet and exceed our customers' expectations of high quality and on-time delivery of rolled products, now and in the years ahead." The rolling mill was last upgraded in 1985 when it was purchased by MSC. Over the years, the mechanical components have worn and replacements for some of the original electrical components have become unavailable. The mechanical and electrical upgrade significantly increases the reliability of the mill and ensures that the company can maintain the dimensional tolerances, according to the release. MSC employs 39 people at its manufacturing plant located at 804 South Illinois Ave. MSC was founded in 1982 to produce depleted uranium sheet and plate for defense and research applications. BNFL acquired MSC in 1998. In 1999, MSC began to market toll rolling and manufacturing services to the non-radioactive specialty metals industry. border="0"> [http://www.oakridger.com] All Contents ©Copyright The Oak Ridger ***************************************************************** 40 Energy industry bows to pressure Tri-Valley Herald Online [http://www.trivalleyherald.com/] Article Last Updated: Thursday, November 21, 2002 - Stanford, Exxon Mobil announce $225-million deal to find eco-friendly sources of power By FROM STAFF AND WIRE REPORTS Stanford University and a coalition of energy companies led by Exxon Mobil Corp. said Wednesday they would spend $225 million over the next decade to develop new technologies to meet the energy and environmental needs of a growing world population. The creation of the Global Climate and Energy Project, a worldwide alliance of researchers from industry and academia, drew oohs and ahhs from academics and words of caution about the potential for corporate interests to pollute science. Environmentalists were stunned by the size and scope of the 10-year project, although they said its ultimate value to society would only be known if and when the research makes its way into real-world applications. "We're talking about changing the very manner in which we power the world," said Sanjay Correa, technology leader of the global research arm of General Electric, which gave $50 million to the effort. Exxon contributed the lion's share -- $100 million -- to Stanford, which said Wednesday that it would focus on developing technologies that help satisfy the world's growing energy needs in a more environmentally friendly way. "We recognize that solutions must meet the test of practicality and cost. They must be readily accepted and implemented," said Stanford President John Hennessy. Still, "fundamental new knowledge will be needed to create a platform for novel solutions." Areas to be probed include energy transportation, alternative power and reducing carbon dioxide emissions. It will also cast a global net, striving to bring power to the estimate one to two billion people who lack access to electricity for heat, light or transportation, said Lynn Orr, a petroleum engineering professor who will step down as dean of Stanford's earth sciences school to direct the program. But the program won't delve into the controversial science behind global warming, Orr said. And that had some describing the industry-led effort as a "stalling tactic," particularly since Exxon -- the world's largest oil and gas producer -- is skeptical of studies that link rising global temperatures with emissions from power plants, cars and other manmade products. Shell Oil Co. has invested $1 billion in renewable energy. BP Amoco PLC is the world's biggest vendor of solar systems, noted Ross Gelbspan, author of "The Heat is On: The Climate Crisis, the Cover-up, the Prescription." "By Contrast, Exxon is pretending that what is needed is research that will not bear fruit for 10 or more years," Gelbspan said. Others urged vigilance, particularly as the public rarely gives universities the benefit of the doubt in public-private partnerships. "You start thinking like a member of one of these companies or you imbibe their view of the world just because you're spending a lot of time with them," said Rob Socolow, one of the lead investigators at a similar program at Princeton University. ©1999-2002 by MediaNews Group, Inc. and ANG Newspapers ***************************************************************** 41 Seismic survey peers beneath Ancients monument Durango Herald Online [La Plata Economic Development] November 21, 2002 By Suzy Meyer Cortez Journal Vibroseis buggies climb an old uranium-exploration road in the southwestern portion of Canyon of the Ancients National Monument on Tuesday. Three energy companies are wrapping up a project they hope will give them a clearer picture of the resources that lie beneath a portion of Canyons of the Ancients National Monument, and they say they’ve acquired the knowledge in the least-destructive way possible. The three companies – Legacy Energy, Red Willow Production Company (the energy company of the Southern Ute Tribe) and Robert L. Bayless Produce, all leaseholders in the project area – compose an exploration partnership that contracted with Western Geophysical to perform seismic studies for oil and natural gas in an area near the Ismay Trading Post in the southwestern portion of the monument. The North Mail Trail vibroseis project abuts a similar exploration performed in 1995. The 20-square-mile project area encompassed 9,600 acres on the monument and 3,136 acres of adjoining private land but actually disturbed less than 250 acres. Seismic surveys have three components: + A seismic source, in this case vibroseis trucks: These large vehicles (unlike their earlier counterparts, "thumper trucks" that produced shock waves by dropping a 6,000-pound weight onto the ground from a height of about 10 feet) generate weak sound waves at predetermined frequencies through the controlled motion of a 3,876-square-inch vibrator pad resting on the ground. Vibroseis trucks, or "buggies," have special flotation tires that spread the weight over a large area to minimize surface compaction. The weight per square inch is equivalent to that of a sport-utility vehicle, Western GeCo officials said. + Receivers, called geophones: The vibrations originating from the vibroseis buggies bounce off different subsurface rock layers, and remote geophones sense those reflections, or echoes. + Recording equipment: Seismic data is transmitted to support vehicles that never have to leave existing roads. When analyzed, that data provides comprehensive information about subsurface geological formations. "We have to do a bunch of processing and computer manipulation to the data and what we end up getting is a three-dimensional image of the rock layers," said Claudia Rebne, vice-president and geophysicist for Legacy Energy. "Then we’re able to delineate where ancient reefs are located. Those are the productive reservoirs. "Once we identify that, we have a very good chance of finding hydrocarbons. If we used traditional 2-D seismic testing, we might have a drilling success of about 25 percent. This 3-D seismic gives us a drilling success rate of up to 75 percent." Without seismic testing, the number of successful wells compared to the number drilled is extremely small. In the 1950s, wildcatters – speculative well drillers – had a success rate of just 3 percent. A higher success rate means a lower proportion of resource damage because the energy companies can avoid drilling wells that never produce. "We think that 3-D seismic is the environmentally beneficial way to explore on sensitive places like the monument," Rebne said. "Seismic impacts are short-term and minimal. "If we can delineate productive reservoirs and increase our drilling success rate substantially, in the long run it will mean fewer wells in the area and less surface and environmental impact." ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIONS ALLAYED Concern over those impacts prompted the San Juan Citizens Alliance to challenge the seismic project after it was approved by the federal Bureau of Land Management, which oversees the monument. Canyons of the Ancients contains what may be the highest concentration of archaeological sites in the nation and is also habitat for two "sensitive species" of lizards, the long-nosed leopard lizard and the desert spiny lizard. Although neither lizard is considered threatened or endangered, their populations are being monitored. A lawsuit challenging the BLM decision to award the exploration permit was filed shortly after the permit was issued, and a 10-day temporary restraining order was issued on Aug. 20 by a federal judge in U.S. District Court in Denver. A hearing was scheduled for the end of September, but Judge Lewis Babcock strongly encouraged representatives for the plaintiffs, energy companies and the BLM to meet to explore settlement options or at least narrow the issues related to the case. "The plaintiffs actually approached the energy companies and said, ‘If you guys are willing to do this, we may be willing to drop our case,’" Rebne said. "Primarily, we ended up moving a few source points, generally in areas that were on open leases, from off-road positions to roads." "Both groups worked out a practical solution. Environ-mentalists knew exactly what they wanted to protect, and the oil industry folks knew exactly what they wanted to do," said Jay Tuchton, director of the Earthjustice Environmental Law Clinic, which represented the environmental groups in the lawsuit challenging the seismic project, at the time of the settlement. "We knew we had a good chance of winning this lawsuit, but we looked at those sourcepoint moves and felt that it really didn’t hurt our data quality, so we were willing to do that," Rebne said. "We felt that it was better to settle and move forward with our seismic project." The delay caused by the lawsuit, along with fall rainstorms, has endangered some of Legacy Energy’s leases on the monument. Some of those leases come due in late February, and in order to renew them, the company will need to initiate permitting and drilling of a well on each lease by that time. Rebne said her company was considering a request to the BLM to suspend the lease-termination date to compensate for delays beyond Legacy’s control. RESOURCE PROTECTION Approximately 25 percent of the vibroseis work was done on existing roads, including some created during the Cold-War years of uranium exploration, Rebne said, but there aren’t enough roads to provide a seismic map of the whole area. Only the vibroseis buggies traveled off-road. All receiving and recording equipment remained on existing roads. The archaeological field work had been completed last year. The energy companies provided the BLM with a map showing proposed locations for receivers and sources, and an archaeologist physically surveyed all of the vehicular access routes and vibroseis point locations. "That’s done prior to permit issuance," Rebne said. "In a 100-foot corridor, they look for archaeological sites. If they find one, we have to move our survey around the site to avoid and protect the cultural re-sources." During the surveying, the archaeological surveillance continues. "Everyone has been working very hard to make sure that all compliance procedures are followed," said project archeologist Carol De-Francia of 4-Corners Archaeo-logical Service. "Our archaeological monitors have worked side by side with the vibe trucks and layout crews, every day, from sun-up to sundown." A wildlife biologist also surveyed the project area ahead of time to identify lizard burrows and habitat, and accompanied the vibroseis trucks in those areas. "We did our best to avoid those areas and mitigate any impacts on the lizards," Rebne said. Monument manager LouAnn Jacobson agreed. "Having just been out there, I can say that the company is being very, very careful to minimize impacts," Jacobson said. "They have worked very hard to avoid all the archaeological sites and to minimize any kind of off-road travel beyond the seismic buggies." A larger issue is the objection of environmental groups to resource extraction on public lands, but that question is not one to be decided within the scope of a single exploration project. The monument proclamation allows energy exploration on existing leases, and the interim management document allows for seismic exploration. Changing those rules would be a matter of federal policy. AN ECONOMIC FORCE Balancing the objections to such uses of the monument are concerns by Montezuma County officials about the county’s budget, which depends heavily on taxes generated by oil, gas and carbon dioxide from the western part of the county. CO2 stores are predicted to be depleted within the two to three decades, and as revenues from those activities decrease, county commissioners hope oil-and-gas wells within the monument may take up some slack both in the tax base and in the local employment picture. The area of the current seismic exploration lies outside the McElmo Dome, the source of local CO2 production. Some producing wells, especially if they can be located without the resource damage of hit-and-miss drilling, seem like a good thing to many residents of an economically strapped county. As voters cast the ballots that would give him a seat on the commission, candidate Dewayne Findley and current commissioner Kelly Wilson toured the North Mail Trail project area Tuesday, visiting the site of the 1995 vibroseis survey. Very few remnants of that survey remained evident, a testament to the success of reclamation techniques. "If things follow in the past of the project we did in 1995, in a couple of years we won’t be able to tell they were there," Jacobson said in a phone interview. "They’ve come up with a pretty good strategy for reclamation and are going beyond some of the requirements we put in the permit." "Our goal is to make sure people don’t notice those temporary vibe tracks and get on them and start to create roads," Rebne said. "Mother Nature will heal herself and the vibe tracks will fade away. The big point is to keep others from traveling on them while they’re still visible." That’s an important issue within Canyons of the Ancients because much of the vandalism to archaeological sites is what resource managers term "vehicle-based." "People usually see what they think is a road and say, ‘Hey, let’s see where it goes,’" said Tuchton, the environmental group’s attorney. "Almost all of your destruction in these areas is vehicle-based. A person doesn’t walk five miles to spray-paint a kiva." All the parties involved hope not. "The long-term impacts out there are going to be very, very minimal, and I hope we’ll get some good information that will also help to minimize any impact from development of the existing leases," Jacobson said. Rebne is confident that will happen. "How many of you have ever seen a seismic operation? There’ve been other 3-D surveys on monument lands, and a ton of 2-D surveys on monument lands. It’s been going on since the 1950s or 1960s. "If people haven’t noticed us for the past 50 years, even though we’ve been out there working, I think that says something good about our operations." Contents copyright © 2002, the Durango Herald. ***************************************************************** NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107 this material is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. 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