***************************************************************** 10/02/06 **** RADIATION BULLETIN(RADBULL) **** VOL 14.233 ***************************************************************** RADBULL IS PRODUCED BY THE ABALONE ALLIANCE CLEARINGHOUSE ***************************************************************** Send News Stories to news@energy-net.org with title on subject line and first line of body NUCLEAR POLICY 1 The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: Sorting Fact from Fiction 2 US MAY ACCEPT IRANIAN NUCLEAR BOMB 3 [NYTr] Iran: Targeting the Nuke Program? Or the Regime? 4 [NYTr] Iran: Nuclear "Crisis" - Sorting Fact from Fiction 5 [NYTr] Times of London: US May Accept Iran "Nuclear Bomb" 6 IRIB PERSIAN NEWS: Iran not to accept suspension: Elham 7 AFP: Bush, Putin to keep 'united position' on Iran - White House 8 AFP: 'Good progress' in drawing up Iran sanctions - US official - 9 UPI: Iran: Enrichment suspension out of question 10 UPI: Analysis: If and when Bush 'Iraqs' Iran 11 Guardian Unlimited: EU Official Pushes Iran on Nuclear Plans 12 Japan Times: Weakness prods Pyongyang 13 AFP: Inter-Korean military talks end without agreement 14 INSIDE JoongAng Daily: China, North Korea make friendly gestures 15 IPS-English POLITICS: Indo-US Nuclear Deal Hits Doldrums 16 BBC: Musharraf nuclear claims attacked NUCLEAR REACTORS 17 US: [NukeNet]NPR story on nuclear power 18 US: Tritium's in water under TMI, study says 19 US: [NukeNet] Indian Country Today reporter censored & terminated 20 US: NRC: NRC to Conduct Special Inspection at Palo Verde Nuclear Gen 21 US: The NewStandard: Senators Move to Rush Yucca Nuke Dump - 22 RIA Novosti: Russian nuclear chief speaks on Tianwan NPP constructio 23 US: The Mercury: Study: Tritium levels safe at power plant 24 US: NRC: NRC Public Meeting Scheduled for Oct. 6th to Discuss Indian 25 US: NRC: Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards; Procedures for Me 26 US: NRC: Southern Nuclear Operating Company, et al.; Vogtle Electric 27 US: NRC: PPL Susquehanna, LLC.; Notice of Receipt and Availability o 28 IPS: POLITICS: Indo-US Nuclear Deal Hits Doldrums 29 US: KARE 11 TV: Commission approves Xcel's nuclear waste plan for Mo 30 US: San Luis Obispo Tribune: Gov. signs Blakeslee's energy bill NUCLEAR SECURITY NUCLEAR SAFETY 31 US: Deseret News: University of Utah gets grant to fight 'dirty bomb NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE 32 reviewjournal.com: Scientists ponder future of Yucca Mountain dust 33 US: The Rebel Yell: Article: Nuclear waste discussed 34 US: Deseret News: Is tailings work slow? 35 US: AU ABC: Soil testing prompts uranium mine fears. PEACE US DEPT. OF ENERGY 36 DOE: U.S. Department of Energy and NTI Announce Key Nonproliferation 37 SF New Mexican: DOE: Energy Department: Sandia project unneeded 38 Knox News: Move of bomb-grade uranium saves millions 39 Knox News: Footnote in history ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** FULL NEWS STORIES ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** 1 The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: Sorting Fact from Fiction Date: Mon, 2 Oct 2006 00:48:01 -0500 (CDT) X-Sender-Host-Name: chumbly.math.missouri.edu X-Spam-Class: HAM Sunday, October 01, 2006 What's Left www.gowans.blogspot.com ------------- http://gowans.blogspot.com/2006/10/iranian-nuclear-crisis-sorting-fact.html Sunday, October 01, 2006 The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: Sorting Fact from Fiction By Stephen Gowans Iran is being portrayed by the US, other Western governments, Israel and their mass media, as a threat to international peace and security. The leadership of Iran, particularly the president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, is said to be filled with an irrational, violent Hitler-like loathing of Jews, expressed in Holocaust denial, mocking the suffering of its victims, and the pursuit of nuclear weapons to wipe Israel off the map. These portrayals are based on exaggeration, innuendo, and, in some cases, the deliberate twisting of the truth. The objective is to secure public consent for another war of conquest on an economically nationalist, oil-rich country. Iran's leadership is not a threat to international peace and security, does not mock the Holocaust, and is not pursuing nuclear weapons to wipe Israel off the map. It's true that Iran's developing an independent nuclear power industry would furnish the country with the potential to develop nuclear weapons, but this amounts to nothing more than a defensive threat to a small class of financiers, high-level executives and corporate lawyers whose common interests lead them to rally around the idea that Iranian oil should be under US control and made available to the project of enlarging the capital of US oil companies. Background The United Nations Security Council (SC) passed a resolution on July 31, 2006 ordering Iran to suspend enrichment of uranium by the end of August. Tehran declined, continuing to enrich uranium, despite the threat of sanctions. The SC also directed all countries to block shipments to Iran of any materials that could be used to enrich uranium or develop ballistic missiles. This latter directive strengthened sanctions the United States already had in place on companies supplying potential nuclear program or missile-related goods to Iran, and buttressed existing US efforts to isolate Iran financially by blocking its access to the US banking system (much as Washington had done to north Korea.) Iran correctly pointed out that inasmuch as its nuclear program operates within the limits of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), the SC acted beyond its authority. Iran's activities are legal and are not unique. How, then, is SC action warranted? Significantly, the resolution was issued concurrent with Israel's summer 2006 invasion of Lebanon, a conspicuous affront to the international peace and security the SC is authorized to protect. Of the two events - Iran's lawful enrichment of uranium under the supervision of UN inspectors, and Israel's military assault across international borders - the latter clearly fell within the SC's jurisdiction and the former not at all. Nevertheless, for 38 days the SC failed to stay Israel's hand. By the time it acted, over 1,000 Lebanese civilians were dead, over 4,000 were wounded, one-quarter of Lebanon's population was displaced, and 1,500 homes were destroyed. Since compliance with an international treaty does not constitute a breach of international peace and security, the SC's resolution must at least implicitly refer to Iran's activities as being uniquely menacing, despite their lawful character. From the perspective of the US government, the menace is revealed in indirect clues that Iran's nuclear activities have a military content, notwithstanding the finding of the IAEA, the body that monitors compliance with the NPT, that there is no concrete evidence that Iran's nuclear program is military in nature. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld might say. In this view, concrete evidence is too demanding a standard for a post-9/11 world. If we wait for the evidence of a mushroom cloud rising above New York City, it's too late. But by the same reasoning, the US would be well-advised to launch a surprise nuclear strike on the UK. The UK has a sufficiently large nuclear arsenal to wreak massive devastation on the US, on a scale Iran and north Korea together, with al Qaeda's assistance, couldn't remotely approach. True, there's not a speck of evidence the UK plans to attack the US, but, to follow Rumsfeld's reasoning, absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Do we wait until mushroom clouds rise above a dozen US cities? I wish to address two elements of the US argument about why Iran is a threat. First, the question of what evidence exists, even if not concrete, that Iran intends to turn its enrichment activities to military use. And second, the nature of the threat Iran would pose if its nuclear activities were carried forward to the establishment of a nuclear weapons capability. The Evidence Washington says there are two reasons to believe Iran is planning to secretly build a nuclear arsenal. The first, advanced by US Vice-President Dick Cheney, is that Iran has no need of nuclear power to supply its energy needs. It is an oil-rich country that can easily rely on its petroleum resources to generate electricity. Therefore, Iran's pursuit of civilian nuclear power must be a cover for a military program. To be sure, Iran is rich in oil, but all the same, imports gasoline. Having oil in the ground and the capability to refine it are separate matters. Iran has the raw materials (so long as they last), but not the means, in sufficient quantities, to convert oil into the usable form it needs to meet all its energy requirements. Its refineries produce 10.5 million gallons per day, but the country uses 17 million gallons. The balance is imported. [1] Given that Iran's oil reserves are finite, it makes sense for Iran to develop an independent civilian nuclear energy industry as a successor energy source. Iran has rich stores of uranium and therefore the potential to become self-sufficient in nuclear energy. The US-backed dictator Shah Muhammad Reza Pahlavi, Iran's former ruler, recognized this as a prudent strategy. Under the Shah, a consortium of US corporations was slated to develop a giant nuclear industry, with Washington's blessing. At the time, the American nuclear energy industry ran ads in the US touting the program to pressure American legislators to follow the Shah's lead. Photos of a regal Shah, resplendent in full ceremonial dress, appeared under the headline, "Guess who's building nuclear power plants?" The text explained, "The Shah of Iran is sitting on top of one of the largest reservoirs of oil in the world. Yet he's building two nuclear plants and planning two more to provide electricity for his country. He knows the oil is running out - and time with it." The plans for US-built nuclear power plants in Iran were toppled in 1979, when the Shah was forced into exile by Ayatollah Khomeini and his revolutionaries. Washington imposed sanctions, and later Iran turned to Russia to build a nuclear power plant at Bushehr. Hence, as early as the 70s, Washington recognized a cogent economic case was to be made for nuclear power in Iran. NBC news anchor Brian Williams suggested another argument for why Iran's pursuit of nuclear power must be motivated by military goals. [2] "Why keep [missiles] in your arsenal if you don't someday hope to tip them with a nuclear weapon?" Williams asked Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in a September 20, 2006 interview. The problem with this view is that it's based on the logical error of concluding that if A implies B then B must imply A. To see how Williams' reasoning goes awry, consider this: Lesbians are women (nuclear warheads sit atop missiles) therefore all women are Lesbians (therefore all missiles are intended to carry nuclear warheads.) Washington says Iran's failure to report previous nuclear activities to the IAEA is another reason to be suspicious. However, the monitoring agency found no evidence Iran's previously undisclosed activities were related to a nuclear weapons program [3]. Iran may have had a compelling case for covering up its nuclear activities, fearing the US would move to block a nuclear power industry as a means of checking the country's economic development, a point I elaborate on below. Ever since being called out, Tehran has fully cooperated with the IAEA, even going so far as to accept, until recently, a more stringent inspection protocol than other treaty signatories submit to, including the US. The monitoring body says there's no evidence Iran's current enrichment activities are weapons-related. The Threat By the reckoning of the US administration, there are two reasons to believe an Iran possessed of rudimentary nuclear weapons would be a serious danger. The first, revealed in statements that Iran has developed its rocket technology to allow it to strike Israel and parts of Europe, is that Tehran plans to launch a nuclear attack. Since this would be suicidal, it can be dismissed fairly readily as preposterous, insofar as one assume Iran's leadership is rational. (More on the idea it's not rational, in a moment.) Iran could be crushed by the conventional forces of either Israel, Britain or France alone, to say nothing of being wiped off the map should either country choose to call upon its own nuclear arsenal to deliver a retaliatory blow. Israel's cache of nuclear weapons, believed to total at least 200 warheads (some say 400), is considerably larger than anything Iran could produce for years and years, and France's and Britain's nuclear forces are much larger still. The second view is that Iran may not launch a strike itself, preferring instead to use a proxy, such as Hezbollah, to attack Israel, or to use some other non-state organization to create a nuclear 9/11 in a major American city. This view is reminiscent of the spurious claim made by Washington that Iraq had ties to al Qaeda, an oft-repeated lie that even Bush has recently distanced himself from. The claim, of course, has a conspicuous value in justifying the US-British invasion of Iraq. Many Americans were willing to back any measure to punish al Qaeda and its supporters for 9/11, and the simple expedient of suggesting there was a link between Osama bin Laden and Saddam Hussein was sufficient to build public support for the conquest of Iraq as a supposed blow to al Qaeda. More recently, Washington portrayed Hezbollah's capture of Israeli soldiers as an action undertaken at the behest of Iran rather than as an independent act Hezbollah had undertaken to press for the release of Lebanese captured by Israel [4]. The aim was the same: to press the case for war against Iran by drawing links between Iran and "terrorists." While Hezbollah originated in Iran, and likely receives material support from the country, the US State Department notes that "it also can and does act independently." [5] This resonates with the view of the top US commander in the Middle East, General John Abizaid, who believes the capture of Israeli soldiers "probably.took place at a fairly low level from standing orders within Hezbollah." General Wayne Downing, a former counter-terrorism adviser to the White House, echoed Abizaid's view. "Is Iran pulling the strings? The guys I'm talking to say 'no'." [6] Even so, the Bush administration claimed that Iran used its links to Hezbollah to fight a proxy war with Israel. But Hezbollah had two reasons for engaging Israel that had nothing to do with Iran: First, to acquire a bargaining chip to sue for the release of its militants; second, to repel the Israeli invasion. Since the motives for Hezbollah's behaviour in this instance are clear, there is no need to invoke an external agency (Iran) to explain the organization's actions. Iran, then, would not be a threat in the sense of posing an immediate danger of a nuclear strike, or of arming sub-state groups with nuclear weapons to be used in non-conventional ways against the US, Israel or other US allies. Moreover, the very fact that a state possesses nuclear weapons does not by itself make it an offensive threat, in the same way having missiles does not necessarily mean they'll be tipped with nuclear warheads, or being a woman necessarily means one's a Lesbian. Otherwise, Israel, India and Pakistan, nuclear-weapons states, would be looming offensive threats to the US, and France, Britain, Russia and China, which possess substantial nuclear arsenals, would be even more so. This is not to say that any of these countries might not, at some point, pose an offensive nuclear threat to the US, but few Americans are lying awake at night worrying about a nuclear strike by France. Why then does the idea resonate that an Iran in possession of a rudimentary nuclear weapons capability is an offensive threat to the US and its allies? To pose a nuclear offensive threat, a country must not only have a nuclear strike capability, it must also have some reason for using it in an aggressive manner. But there are no solid, concrete, reasons offered for why Iran would want to launch an offensive nuclear attack on the US, Europe or Israel. The Madman Theory In the propaganda business, the rule of thumb, when all else fails, is to trot out the madman theory - the idea that official enemies will behave in recklessly bold ways because the leadership is irrational. The madman theory resonates for two reasons. It's a sub-species of the great man theory, the idea that history can be reduced to the genius or madness of a few great men. And it's idealist - it attributes the behaviour of nations, not only to great (or wicked) men, but to their psychology and ideas. Both modes of thought are widely accepted and used by people in their everyday lives to make sense of the world. According to the madman theory, Ahmadinejad is mad, while the leaders of France, Britain, India and so on, are not. That's why we should be afraid of an Iran in possession of nuclear weapons, but reassured no harm will come from France, Britain, India and other US allies, even though these countries are able to destroy on an immense scale. Kim Jong Il, leader of the DPRK, a country that may or may not have nuclear weapons, is also portrayed as irrational. This makes north Korea appear to pose a credible offensive threat to Japan and the US, when, in fact, it has, at best, a rudimentary nuclear weapons capability and no ability to reliably deliver a warhead over long distances. Ahmadinejad's madness is presented as an irrational, violent, anti-Semitism. He is, we're to believe, driven by a hatred of Jews, which, focussed into an intense antipathy toward Israel, resolves itself into a program of seeking to "wipe Israel off the map" by means of a nuclear strike. An Ahmadinejad in command of a nuclear arsenal would be a clear danger, a madman with plans of genocide - or so the argument goes. Causal Attributions The attribution of the behaviour of nations to the psychology of their leaders is pervasive. Not only is it encouraged by government officials and news media as a way of backing claims that certain foreign governments must be brought down by war, it's currency on the political left is just as strong. Not too long ago I overheard three Canadian women discussing world politics, each expressing dismay at Washington's recurrent pattern of war making, and of Canada's jumping headlong into the service of the US conquest of Afghanistan by committing occupation troops to the Afghan theatre. It was clear they rejected official explanations of why the US and its subordinate Britain had waged war in recent years, on Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq, and of their own government for why it had sent troops to Afghanistan. But they had found no alternative explanation. In the end, they appealed to psychology, settling on "a culture of war" as the explanation for Washington's imperialist foreign policy. It was clear, however, that they were unhappy with the explanation. Their unhappiness was justified. The idea that governments wage aggressive wars because they're in the grips of a culture of war is problematic. The explanation is circular. How do we know a government's leaders are in the grips of a culture of war? Because they wage aggressive wars. Why do they wage aggressive wars? Because they're in the grips of a culture of war. The explanation goes round and round, never leaving its tightly enclosed, self-contained system of internally-consistent logic. If it leaves a feeling of dissatisfaction, it should. The second problem is that even if we assume there's something called a culture of war, where did it come from and how did it grow? It didn't just materialize, springing fully formed from a vacuum. There must be some reason it exists. For example, if we confine our attention to the US, perhaps the country's politically powerful defense industry profits from war, and has used its influence to make the case for a succession of aggressive wars. George Shultz, the former Secretary of State in the Reagan administration, lobbied strenuously for an invasion of Iraq. He's connected to Bechtel, the giant engineering firm that stood to benefit from reconstruction contracts awarded to repair the infrastructure US and British bombs destroyed in Afghanistan and Iraq. Maybe Shultz, and people like him, who can profit from war, have worked hard to create a culture of war to serve their own narrow interests. And what of US oil corporations? Would it be going too far to suggest they have an interest in being able to exploit Iraq's, Iran's and Sudan's oil on terms favourable to the interests of their shareholders, and further, that they might use their enormous political leverage to tilt public policy toward a program of regime-change in economically nationalist oil-rich countries? Explanations of this sort go a whole lot further than attributions of war to either the psychology of the public (the culture of war) or the psychology of leaders (he's mad, he hates Jews, he hates our freedoms, he has a drive for war.) For one thing, appeals to psychology either go round and round in circles and end up back where they started, or are deliberate obfuscations, whose purpose is to build weak or absent threats, into big threats. So, for example, in the face of the obvious difficulty of explaining how a nuclear warhead-possessing Iran would constitute a grave and immediate danger, given that the doctrine of mutually assured destruction creates a formidable deterrent to Tehran launching a first strike, the madman theory sets all doubts to rest. Sure, MAD works to deter the use of nuclear weapons as a rational choice, but Ahmadinejad is not rational. Time magazine summed this up by titling a September 25, 2006 article on the Iranian president, "A Date with A Dangerous Mind." The Economist, for its part, once showed Kim Jong Il on its cover, a mushroom cloud ominously rising behind him -- presumably a warning about what would happen were the insane Korean allowed to linger too long as leader of the "hermit kingdom." Does Ahmadinejad have a dangerous mind? Tzipi Livni, Israel's foreign minister, thinks so. She does a good job of portraying Ahmadinejad and other Iranian leaders as anti-Jewish hate mongers who are working feverishly to build a nuclear bomb to incinerate Israel. "There is no greater challenge to our values," she warns, "than that posed by the leaders of Iran. They deny and mock the Holocaust. They speak proudly and openly of their desire to wipe Israel off the map. And now, by their actions, they pursue weapons to achieve this objective to imperil the region and to threaten the world." [7] Denying the Holocaust or Exposing its Exploitation? In some respects there is considerable ambiguity about what Ahmadinejad's views of the Holocaust are; in other respects, there is none. What's clear is that Ahmadinejad believes the Holocaust is exploited by Israel to justify invading its neighbors and delivering injustice upon injustice to the Palestinians. "The Palestinian people, their lives are being destroyed today under the pretext of the Holocaust. Their lands have been occupied, usurped. What is their fault? What are they to be blamed for? Are they not human beings? Do they have no rights? What role did they play in the Holocaust?" [8] This is hardly a minority view in the Middle East, and it is not a view without foundation. The Holocaust does not justify Zionism, the creation of the Israeli state, the denial of Palestinian rights or the annexation by Israel of foreign territory. In Ahmadinejad's view, the elevation of the Holocaust to the status of sacred cow rings hollow, and points to ulterior political motives. "In the Second World War, over 60 million people lost their lives," he told NBC news anchor Brian Williams [9]. "They were all human beings. Why is it that only a select group of those who were killed have become so prominent and important?" Could the Holocaust have been raised to prominence for a political purpose, he seems to ask? Virginia Tilley points out that, "Skepticism about the Holocaust narrative has started to take hold in the Middle East, not because people hate Jews, but because the narrative is deployed to argue that Israel has a right to 'defend itself' by attacking every country in its vicinity. Middle East publics are so used to the canards legitimizing colonial or imperial takeovers that some wonder [whether the Holocaust] is just another myth." [10] Does Ahmadinejad wonder whether the Holocaust as just another myth? Perhaps. But at times it seems he adopts a deliberate agnosticism about the Nazis' attempts to exterminate European Jewry, to provoke a reaction, as if to say, "It's your sacred cow, not mine, and I will not be manipulated by it." Nowhere have I seen Ahmadinejad deny the Holocaust outright, which isn't to say he hasn't, only that I haven't seen it. Even so, interviewers put questions to him as if there's no ambiguity about his views. "You called the Holocaust a myth," Brian Williams told him [11]. Ahmadinejad's invariable response to the charge he denies the Holocaust is to refer to the illegitimacy of using the event as a justification for creating a Jewish state in Palestine on the basis of the mass expulsion of Arabs and of maintaining Israel by uniquely denying Palestinians the right of return. Musayeb Naimi, editor of Al Wefaq, sums up Ahmadinejad's position this way: "Either [the Holocaust] took place or it didn't. If it didn't take place, then it is a fabrication. If it did, it wasn't the Arabs who did it; it was the Europeans. Why then should the Palestinians pay the price of what the Europeans did against the Jews?" [12] In many of his statements Ahmadinejad accepts the Holocaust as a reality. For example, in December, 2005 he asked, "Is the killing of innocent Jewish people by Hitler, the reason for their (the Europeans') support to the occupiers of Jerusalem?" [13] Here he accepts the attempted extermination of European Jewry as a fact. He goes on to argue, "If the Europeans are honest they should give some of their provinces in Europe - like in Germany, Austria or other countries - to the Zionists, and the Zionists can establish their state in Europe. You offer part of Europe, and we will support it." [14] This is a provocative statement, but it makes a point. It is, however, hardly Holocaust-denial. Mocking the Holocaust or Criticizing Israel? Likewise, the claim that Ahmadinejad mocks the Holocaust is a deliberate exaggeration, if not an outright twisting of the truth. The claim is a reference to the Holocaust International Cartoon Contest, held at the Palestinian Contemporary Art Museum in Tehran in August 2006. The purpose of the contest was to expose Western hypocrisy for invoking freedom of expression regarding the publication of anti-Islamic cartoons in the West, while regarding Holocaust-revisionist statements as intolerable. The contest was conceived soon after the Danish newspaper, Jyllands-Posten, ran flagrantly racist cartoons mocking bearers of the Islamic faith. These cartoons were defended by Western governments as a free speech issue. Yet at the time champions of free speech were vigorously defending Jyllands-Posten's right to mock Islam, British writer David Irving was being sentenced to a jail term in Austria for a speech he had made years earlier questioning the Holocaust, and the British parliament was debating a law (since passed) that would deny freedom of speech to anyone who "glorifies terrorism," that is, anyone who speaks favourably of the actions of militant organizations the US, Britain and other Western countries call terrorists. Iran's largest newspaper, Hamshari, cosponsor of the contest, explained: "The serious question for Muslims is whether the West extends freedom of expression to the crimes committed by the United States and Israel, or even such as the Holocaust. Or is it freedom only for insulting religious sanctities?" [15] Added Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, "In this freedom, casting doubt or negating the genocide of the Jews is banned, but insulting the beliefs of 1.5 billion Muslims is allowed." [16] The cartoons displayed at the exhibit did not call the Holocaust into question, present it as a myth, or mock its victims' suffering, but explored the themes of Israeli brutality against the Palestinians, use of the Holocaust to justify anti-Palestinian crimes, and parallels between Israel and Nazi Germany. Among the drawings: A vampire wearing a Star of David drinking the blood of Palestinians; Ariel Sharon in a Nazi uniform; three army helmets together, two with swastikas and one with the Star of David; a rabid dog with a Star of David on its side and the word Holocaust around its collar; a dove prevented from flying because it is chained to a Star of David; US president George Bush seated at a desk swatting doves; an Israeli asleep with three Arab heads mounted to the wall above his bed; an Israeli soldier pouring fuel into a tank from a gasoline can that reads Holocaust on the side; a razor blade in the ground, representing the illegal Israeli-built separation wall, bearing the word Holocaust; two firefighters, each with Stars of David on their chests, using Palestinian blood to extinguish flames issuing from the word Holocaust [17]. While the director of the exhibit correctly pointed out to a New York Times reporter that the drawings were anti-Israeli and anti-Zionist, not anti-Jewish, the newspaper nevertheless ran the story under the headline "Iran exhibits anti-Jewish art." [18] Incinerating Israel or Calling for the Reversal of Ethnic Cleansing? Livni's claim that Ahmadinejad wants to incinerate Israel with nuclear weapons, the spin put on his alleged "wipe Israel off the map" remark, is equally baseless. According to Juan Cole, a Middle East specialist at the University of Michigan, "Ahmadinejad did not say he was going to wipe Israel off the map, because no such idiom exists in Persian. He did say he hoped its regime, i.e., a Jewish-Zionist state occupying Jerusalem, would collapse." [19] Guardian newspaper columnist Jonathan Steele added: "The Iranian president was quoting an ancient statement by Iran's first Islamist leader, the late Ayatollah Khomeini, that 'this regime occupying Jerusalem must vanish from the page of time,' just as the Shah's regime in Iran had vanished. He was not making a military threat. He was calling for an end to the occupation of Jerusalem at some point in the future." [20] Ahmadinejad explained: "Our position toward the Palestinian question is clear: We say that a nation has been displaced from its own land, by those who are not original inhabitants, and they have come from far areas of the world and have occupied these homes. Our suggestion is that five million Palestinian refugees come back to their homes, and then the entire people on those lands hold a referendum and choose their own system of government." [21] Were this to happen, Israel, as a Jewish state, would be metaphorically wiped off the map, since a Jewish state would be rejected by Arab Palestinians, who comprise the majority. Livni would have struck closer to the truth had she said Ahmadinejad denies the legitimacy of the Holocaust as justification for driving Palestinians from their homes, and speaks openly of wanting to see a Jewish state that has spread itself across the better part of Palestine by ethnic cleansing and war, succeeded by a single Palestinian state encompassing all of historic Palestine whose form and nature is decided by the current and pre-Palestinian-diaspora residents. While these beliefs are unquestionably repugnant to Livni and other Zionists, they are not so repugnant to most other people, who could hardly be roused to support a war on Iran to deal with a man whose views seem more humane, democratic and respectful of the rights of others than anti-Semitic, dangerous and (to use Bush's term) Islamo-fascist. On the contrary, most people would probably side with Ahmadinejad on the question of Palestine, not Livni. That being the case, public discourse must be weighted with bamboozling distortions to tilt public sentiment against the Iranian leadership as a precursor to another war of conquest on an economically nationalist oil-rich state. Who Does an Economically Nationalist Iran Threaten? This is not to say that Iran is not a threat, that an Iran with a civilian nuclear energy industry would not be a larger threat, and that an Iran in possession of nuclear weapons would not be a larger threat still. But the question is: Who would Iran be a threat to? And what would the nature of threat be? The answer to both questions can be found in the modern history of Iran. In 1951, the Iranian parliament, under the leadership of Mohammed Mossadegh, nationalized Iran's oil industry, then dominated by the British-owned Anglo-Iranian Oil Company. Mossadegh's nationalist movement was determined to bring Iran's oil resources under Iranian control, to be used for the development of Iran, rather than to expand the capital of a financial oligarchy resident in London. The US had other ideas. The Second World War had left Britain, France, Germany, Japan and particularly the Soviet Union, greatly weakened. But while widely devastating elsewhere, the war had been a good war for the US. Lend-lease orders swept away the mass unemployment of the 30s and filled the coffers of US businesses. After the war, US businesses pressed their government to scour the globe for new investment opportunities. Iran represented just the kind of attractive post-war outlet for surplus US capital businesses were looking for. The problem was, Mossadegh and his nationalists stood in the way. Springing to the aid of US corporations, Kermit Roosevelt, grandson of the US president Theodore Roosevelt, and a senior CIA operative with the agency's Middle East division, engineered a plot to have Mossadegh dismissed from his post as prime minister and to bring back the self-exiled Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, who could be relied on to accommodate the profit-making interests of US capital. The coup succeeded. With Mossadegh out of the way, Iran's doors were opened to the investment opportunities US capitalists were eager to lay hold of. In time, the Shah's rule became increasingly despotic and he was eventually forced into exile, succeeded by revolutionaries led by the Ayatollah Khomeini. Today, US oil companies have no presence in Iran. Major sectors of the economy, including oil, telecommunications, transportation, as well as banking and finance, are in state hands, as prescribed by the country's constitution. When Hell Freezes Over The idea the US simply wants concrete assurances Iran won't use its civilian nuclear power program to develop nuclear warheads is a fraud. It wants to set back the clock to the time it had a compliant ruler in Iran willing to pave the way for US corporations to do business in Iran on profitable terms. In the wake of the US invasion of Iraq, Washington "received a proposal from Iran for a broad dialogue with the United States.including full cooperation on nuclear programs, acceptance of Israel and the termination of Iranian support for Palestinian militant groups. But top Bush administration officials, convinced the Iranian government was on the verge of collapse, belittled the initiative. Richard Haas, head of policy planning at the State Department at the time and now president of the Council on Foreign Relations, said the Iranian approach was swiftly rejected because in the administration 'the bias was toward a policy of regime change.'" [22] The US has established new offices in the State Department and Pentagon to organize the overthrow of the Iranian government from within. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice asked the US Congress in February 2006 for $75 million to supplement $10 million already earmarked to finance the activities of a fifth column of dissidents and to expand US government propaganda broadcasts into the country [23]. The effect of openly financing the activities of dissidents is to provoke a crackdown by Iranian authorities, which can then be used as grist for the propaganda mill to blacken the government's reputation further and to raise alarm about human rights abuses. This adds another arrow in the quiver of reasons Iran must be invaded. Perhaps most telling about Washington's indifference to Iran's taking measures to satisfy concerns about proliferation is what a senior Bush official refers to as the "when Hell freezes over clause." According to this clause, even if Iran "has satisfied regulatory bodies that its nuclear ambitions are peaceful" the US will allow Iran to enrich uranium on its own soil only when Hell freezes over. [24] The Iranian leadership appears to be fully aware of US intentions and the reasons behind them. In the view of former Interior Minister, Ali Muhammad Besharati: "If we backed down on the nuclear issue, the US would have found fault with our medical doctors researching stem cells. What they would like to see us do is plant corn, make tomato paste and bottle mineral water. They do not want to see us high-tech." Besharati's "thinking reflects the spirit of [the Iranian] leadership" "who see this not just as a battle over nuclear weapons but a fight for survival against a far more powerful enemy that has lumped them into an 'axis of evil' and allocated millions of dollars to oust the government." The leadership regards the fight as "Tehran's frontline effort to block American influence in the region and to never again allow Washington to have an upper hand in Iran." [25] The Threat of Potential Self-Defense The threat a nuclear weapons-armed Iran presents - and this assumes the construction of a nuclear arsenal in an independent Iran is even a valid future possibility - is what Edward Herman has called the threat of potential self-defense [26]; the threat that Iran's assets can't be plundered easily on behalf of the US corporate rich because Tehran might have the means to put up a fight. Iran in possession of nuclear weapons is, it cannot be denied, a threat; but not to ordinary people. It is a threat to the minority of owners and high-level executives in the US who look to Iran, and particularly its oil, as a field for profit-making opportunities, and who, moreover, are perfectly willing to throw young, working class kids, into the service of securing it for them through the sacrifice of their bodies and lives if necessary. But the prospects for success against a nuclear-armed Iran are not what the prospects for success were in invading an effectively disarmed Iraq, and that venture has proved to be a disaster for the US capitalist class. In the past, it could have been said that US military interventions, even if they didn't secure immediate benefits for US corporations, at least sent a warning that communist, socialist and economically nationalist regimes that seek to operate outside the imperialist system will pay a heavy price. In this way, the absence of any immediate benefit would be more than outweighed by the inhibitory effect the intervention would have on other countries. But in the case of the war on Iraq, an entirely different message has been sent, though not by design: if you don't have nuclear weapons, build them to deter the US. Of course, a full scale invasion of Iran is not a possibility today, or even in the near future. US forces are stretched too thin by the demands of the Iraq and Afghanistan occupations. But what is possible is the use of bunker busters, either conventional or nuclear, by the US or Israel or the two working together, to destroy Iran's infant nuclear program. A strike on the country's nuclear infrastructure would serve two goals: (i) it would delay Iran's acquiring the capability of developing a deterrent nuclear threat and so provide the US the breathing room it needs to recover from its Iraq and Afghanistan operations and to marshal forces for a future invasion (this may take quite some time); and (ii) it would set back the development of a civilian nuclear power industry in Iran, thereby inhibiting the country's economic development, assuring that when US forces have been sufficiently built up and freed from other commitments that they do not have to face a more formidable Iran, and - if economic warfare and support for dissidents prove successful - a much weaker one. Conclusion There is no evidence Iran has a nuclear weapons program and no evidence it intends to build one. The only reason it might build one is to develop a deterrent against a possible invasion by the US, and while the possibility of a US invasion is often dismissed as not in the cards, the listing of Iran as an "axis of evil" country; existing US aggressions against Iran in the form of economic warfare and the funding of a fifth column of dissidents committed to bringing down the government; Washington's track record in engineering the ouster of Mossadegh and backing the Shah; and invading a neighbouring economically nationalist oil-rich country on contrived grounds, all say that an invasion, is, indeed, a hand Washington might play at some point. Even though there is no evidence Iran has nuclear weapons or has any plans to develop them, a nuclear-armed Iran would not be an offensive threat to the US and its allies, only a defensive threat to a small class of financiers, high-level executives and corporate lawyers whose common interests lead them to rally around the idea that Iranian oil should be under US control and made available to the project of enlarging the capital of US oil companies. While Iran supports Hezbollah, even as the US supports Israel, Hezbollah is not controlled by Tehran. Even so, were Hassan Nasrallah nothing but an executor of directives formulated in Tehran, this would make no difference. Hezbollah legitimately represents the interests of the people of southern Lebanon against Israeli aggression and in the face of their abandonment by the US-backed Siniora government in Beirut. Iran's connection to Hezbollah is not, therefore, an embarrassment to be denied. The president of Iran does not mock the Holocaust, but deplores its use by Israel to justify Zionism, the creation of the Israeli state, and Israel's continued ethnic cleansing, war-making and breaches of international law. Ahmadinejad does not promote genocide against the Jews. Instead, he opposes Zionism, and the legitimacy of a Jewish national state based on the expulsion of Palestinians from their land. His opposition to Zionism is, not surprisingly, deeply offensive to Zionists, but he does not propose to carry out a genocide against Jews living in Israel. His proposal, that Palestinian refugees be allowed to return to their homes, and that a referendum be organized among all residents of historic Palestine to decide how and in what manner they should be governed, would surely lead to the end of a Jewish national state, and its being succeeded by something altogether different - but this hardly amounts to genocide. Even if it were true that Ahmadinejad was prepared to consider a nuclear strike on Israel to wipe out the Jews living there, this would hardly make sense, since the Palestinians, whose cause he has taken up, would be close enough to the blast to suffer grievously. What's more, Iran hasn't the nuclear weapons to achieve this aim, but if it did manage to develop a few warheads, the deterrent of Israel's 200 to 400 nuclear weapons would surely hold Iran's leadership in check. To threaten Israel, Iran would have to develop a larger arsenal than Israel could develop, with Israel's head start and $3 billion in annual aid from the US - an unlikely prospect. Iran poses no threat, either to the US or Israel, other than the threat of potential self-defense. The claims that the country's leadership mocks the Holocaust and seeks nuclear weapons to carry out a genocide against Jews is pure nonsense, concocted, like the mythical stories of Saddam Hussein's hidden weapons of mass destruction and ties to al-Qaeda, to justify another conquest of an economically nationalist oil-rich state. 1. Washington Post, July 4, 2005. 2. Williams' argument appears to be a fall out of the practice of adopting a theory as true without evidence, and then grasping at straws to support it, something high-profile journalists are happy to do as their patriotic duty. This was also the strategy that guided the Bush administration in the days following September 11 in the search for a casus belli against Iraq. 3. Mazda Majidi, "Imperialists threaten Iran with war, sanctions over nuclear energy," Socialism and Liberation, August 29, 2006, http://www.pslweb.org/site/News2?page=NewsArticle&id=5560&news_iv_ctrl=1038 4. While Hezbollah's capture of Israeli soldiers was framed in official circles and by the mass media as a provocation worthy of war, little has been said of the capture of Lebanese in Lebanon by Israeli forces during Israel's decades-long occupation of the country. And yet these are the conditions that gave rise to the Hezbollah raid to capture Israeli soldiers, to offer in exchange for the release of Hezbollah militants. Nor has much attention been paid to the repeated instances of Israeli forces that remained in Lebanon after the UN-ordered cease-fire, capturing and detaining Lebanese civilians, and in some cases transporting them to Israel. See The New York Times, September 4, 2006; The Guardian, September 9, 2006. 5. Los Angeles Times, July 14, 2006. 6. New York Times, August 24, 2006. 7. Los Angeles Times, September 21, 2006. 8. Brian Williams' interview with Ahmadinejad, NBC, Sep 20, 2006. 9. Ibid. 10. "Putting Words in Ahmadinejad's Mouth," www.counterpunch.com, August 28, 2006. http://www.counterpunch.com/tilley08282006.html 11. Brian Williams' interview. 12. New York Times, December 20, 2005. 13. Washington Post, December 9, 2005. 14. Ibid. 15. New York Times, February 8, 2006. 16. Ibid. 17. New York Times, August 25, 2006. 18. Ibid. 19. New York Times, June 11, 2006. 20. Ibid. 21. Time, September 25, 2006. 22. Washington Post, June 18, 2006. 23. Los Angeles Times, May 19, 2006. 24. New York Times, September 12, 2006. 25. New York Times, August 28, 2006. 26. Edward Herman, "The U.S. and Israel: Axis of Aggression, Torture, Death, & Devastation," Z Magazine, September, 2006. http://zmagsite.zmag.org/Sep2006/herman0906.html To be notified of updates, send an e-mail to sr.gowans@sympatico.ca and write subscribe in the subject line. posted by Stephen Gowans at 6:06 PM ============= ***************************************************************** 2 US MAY ACCEPT IRANIAN NUCLEAR BOMB Date: Mon, 2 Oct 2006 21:01:25 -0500 (CDT) X-Sender-Host-Name: chumbly.math.missouri.edu X-Spam-Class: HAM-VERY http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2089-2383147,00.html SUNDAY TIMES (London) October 01, 2006 AMERICA is going to have to learn to live with a nuclear Iran, US intelligence analysts have concluded at a secret meeting near Washington. Senior operatives and outside experts from the intelligence community were almost unanimous in their view that little could be done to stop Iran acquiring the components for a nuclear bomb, The Sunday Times has learnt. Bombing Iran's nuclear facilities was rejected on the grounds that the intelligence needed for successful air strikes was lacking. "We only have an imperfect understanding of the extent and location of the Iranian programme," said one source with knowledge of the meeting. "Even if we got the order to blow it up, we wouldn't know how to." The White House's earlier enthusiasm for military strikes if all else failed has cooled after warnings from the Pentagon and intelligence analysts that the risk to reward ratio of taking action was too high. At best 80% of the targets are mapped out and then only sketchily. The "collateral damage" to civilians could be considerable, sources say. "Unless you can be 100% effective and set the programme back by two decades, you'll just get a short-term delay and you may not produce a result that is better than the current one," an intelligence analyst said. General John Abizaid, commander of US forces in the Middle East, has warned that striking Iran could cripple oil supplies, unleash a "surrogate" terrorist army and lead to missile attacks on America's regional allies. The army is particularly concerned about Iran's ability to destabilise an already chaotic Iraq. John Negroponte, director of national intelligence, has told President George W Bush that there is no rush to use force as Iran's nuclear programme is beset with technical errors. "He has been saying, `Slow down, it's not an immediate problem'," said Patrick Clawson, an Iran expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Condoleezza Rice, the secretary of state, has staked her reputation on achieving a negotiated settlement with the help of the "EU3" nations of Britain, France and Germany. "President Bush is not going to take military action against the advice of the secretary of state, US generals and the director of national intelligence," Clawson said. British sources confirmed that the military option was receding. "There are clear signs that the White House is keener on following a political approach," said a senior British source. "There's never been an appetite in the Pentagon for taking Iran on and the EU3 might get a deal that would bring the Iranians to the negotiating table in a reasonable fashion." Despite reports that the Iranians were willing to suspend their programme secretly, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has defiantly announced that Iran's "atomic work" will not stop for a single day. Intelligence analysts concluded at last week's meeting that there were no negotiating carrots or sticks, such as sanctions, capable of persuading Iran to halt its pursuit of nuclear know-how -- which it maintains is for peaceful energy purposes. "The sobering view is that even if there is a deal, the Iranians would cheat," another source said. "The conclusion is that America is going to have to live with the bomb unless there's some miracle, such as a major accident, a major defector or an orange revolution," the source added, referring to the people's protests that brought reformers to power in Ukraine. None of these scenarios is considered likely. In a sign that a military option remains theoretically on the table, a group of minesweepers that could be used to clear any potential Iranian oil blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have been given "prepare to deploy" orders, which could see them leaving port for the Gulf as early as today. The biggest deterrent might come from the Israelis, not the Americans. Israeli defence sources are increasingly convinced that it will fall to them to stop a nuclear Iran. In their view Iran should not be allowed to get to the "point of no return" where it has the know-how to build a bomb. "The Israelis are going to have to make a decision earlier than we do," Clawson said. "That's a real problem for us." ***************************************************************** 3 [NYTr] Iran: Targeting the Nuke Program? Or the Regime? Date: Mon, 2 Oct 2006 12:08:43 -0400 (EDT) X-Sender-Host-Name: olm.blythe-systems.com X-Spam-Class: HAM-VERY-WHITELIST Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit sent by Rich Winkel (activ-l) - Oct 1, 2006 The Century Foundation via Info Clearing House - Sep 19, 2006 http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/headlines.htm The End of the "Summer of Diplomacy" by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.) Targeting the Nuclear Program? Or the Regime? Air-target planners orchestrate strikes on the basis of desired target destruction criteria. In the case of an attack on Iran, after five nights of bombing, we can be relatively certain of target destruction. It is even possible to project the degree to which parts of the Iranian nuclear program would be set back. For example, using Web pictures of the Natanz enrichment facility, it is possible to see three years worth of construction. An attack on that construction might appear to set the program back three years. But it is hard to judge. David Kay, the former top U.S. weapons inspector, observed during our discussions that there is the program we see, but there is also the program we do not see. Because of the gaps in U.S. intelligence on Iran, and specifically on Iran's nuclear program, American military leaders are growing increasingly uneasy about the reliability and comprehensiveness of target selection.12 In other words, after the five-night military attack we would not be able with any degree of certainty to say how we had impacted the Iranian nuclear program. If this uncertainty does not appear to worry the proponents of air strikes in Iran it is in no small part because the real U.S. policy objective is not merely to eliminate the nuclear program, but to overthrow the regime. It is hard to believe, after the misguided talk prior to Iraq of how American troops would be greeted with flowers and welcomed as liberators, but those inside and close to the administration who are arguing for an air strike against Iran actually sound as if they believe the regime in Tehran can be eliminated by air attacks. In this case, the concept is not a ground force Thunder Run into Tehran of the sort used in Baghdad. It is a decapitation-based concept. Kill the leadership and enable the people of Iran to take over their government. More reasonable leadership will emerge. Under this concept, the air operation would take longer than the five nights. The targets would be expanded. The Revolutionary Guard units would be attacked since according to the argument they are the primary force that keeps the current regime in power. There are other regime protection units in Tehran. Most important, the U.S. operation would move into targeted killing, seeking to eliminate the leadership of Iran. It sounds simple. Air planners always tell a good story. By the same token, they almost always fall short of their promises, even in strictly military terms. That was true in World War II. It was true in Korea. It was true in Vietnam. It has just proved true with the Israeli attacks on Hezbollah. No serious expert on Iran believes the argument about enabling a regime change. On the contrary, whereas the presumed goal is to weaken or disable the leadership and then replace it with others who would improve relations between Iran and the United States, it is far more likely that such strikes would strengthen the clerical leadership and turn the United States into Iran's permanent enemy. Iran's Response Having demonstrated that air strikes are unlikely either to eliminate the nuclear program or to bring about the overthrow of the Islamic regime in Iran, we must now turn to what, precisely, they would achieve. It is important to remember that some of Iran's threats, demonstrations of new weapons, and military exercises are designed to have a deterrent effect. As such we should not deduce too much about what Iran would do in the event of an attack on the basis of what it might say and do in advance of an attack. A former CIA Middle East Station Chief told me once that predicting the consequences of a strategic event in the Middle East was as difficult as predicting how an Alexander Calder mobile would come to rest after you flicked one of its hanging pieces. It is possible, however, to identify some high probability immediate consequences. The Iranians would likely look to target Israel as a response to a U.S. strike, using Hezbollah as the primary vehicle for retaliation. For Tehran, there is the added benefit that blaming Israel (even for a U.S. strike) would play well at home, and probably throughout the region. Moqtada al-Sadr has said publicly that if the United States were to attack Iran, he would target U.S. forces in Iraq. Iran could channel more individuals and weapons into Iraq. Specifically, Iran could upgrade technology among Shiite militias, with weapons like the laser-guided anti-tank missiles Hezbollah had in Lebanon. We might even see more direct operations like missile attacks against U.S. forces. Moqtada al-Sadr controls the large Facilities Protection Service forces in Iraq. Some estimates put this force as large as 140,000. Among other missions, they guard the oil pipelines. If Iran wants to cut the flow of oil, Iraq is the best place to begin, and the means are in place to take on the mission. The impact of severing Iraq's oil supplies would be an immediate increase in its own oil revenue. Iran is not going to wipe Israel from the map or force the United States to leave Iraq with these operations. But in causing these various complications, Iran can still achieve a degree of success. As we recently witnessed in the clash between Hezbollah and Israel, Iran can seem stronger just by virtue of making the United States and Israel seem weaker. Round Two Once the nature of the Iranian retaliation becomes apparent, the United States will not likely declare success and walk away from the problem. Clearly, the pressure will be to expand the targets and punish Iran even more. The government of Iran is fragile, the thinking goes; it could even be on the verge of falling; it is time to "enable" the Iranian people. The Iranians will react with their own horizontal escalation. (See Table 2.) Iran has been sending mixed signals about whether or not it would cut its own oil production or attempt to restrict the flow of oil from the Gulf. A strike of five nights might not push them to cut the flow of oil. But continued operations probably would. Iran does have some flexibility to do without oil revenues for a period because of surpluses from currently high oil prices. In addition, it has plans for rationing refined petroleum products that it must import. Executing the oil option might not be limited to operations against tankers moving in and out of the Gulf. Iran has the capability, and we have seen some indications of the intent, to attack facilities of other oil providers in the region. It would be tougher for Iran and Hezbollah to attack UN forces in Lebanon. If the UN forces were to become too aggressive in response to Hezbollah attacks against Israel, they would most likely become targets. In addition, at some point in the expanding conflict, Iran might see a value to making the war about attempts at Western domination of the region and not just about the United States and Israel. In that case, a focused attack on something like the Italian headquarters would resonate in the region. It took a while for the nations of the region to react to the Israeli attack into Lebanon. That most likely would be the case in the event of a U.S. strike against Iran. As attacks continued and as the television coverage intensified, however, we could see something similar to the reactions to the Danish cartoons. We could see the "Arab Street" asserting itself. Syria and Iran signed a defense agreement on June 15. Under this agreement Syrian forces would be brought into a fight if Iran were attacked. Syrian President Bashar Assad might be a reluctant participant, but as the conflict expands, he might not have a choice. The Iranians could conduct targeted killing outside the region. They have used this tactic in the past: in 1991, Shapour Bakhtiar, the Shah's last prime minister, was decapitated in his apartment in Paris. Continued air strikes and demonstrations could have a compounding effect. Weak governments in the Muslim world could be threatened. The governments of Pakistan, Jordan, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia are vulnerable. Table 2. Consequences of an Attack Type of Operation Short Strike Regime Change Hezbollah attacks on Israel High probability High probability Attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq High probability High probability Sabotage pipelines in Iraq High probability High probability Street demonstrations on a wide scale Possible High probability Hezbollah attacks outside the region Possible High probability Iran stopping its own oil exports Possible High probability Iran blocking Gulf oil flow High probability High probability Iran attacking other regional oil facilities Possible Possible Iran suicide attacks Not likely Possible Syria involved Not likely Possible Threats to regional governments Not likely Possible As an obvious consequence of the instability resulting from a U.S. strike, the price of oil almost certainly will spike. The impact will depend on how high and how long. The longer the conflict goes, the higher the price. A former Kuwaiti oil minister privately suggested a plateau of $125 per barrel. Confidential analysis by a major European bank suggests it would level off at $130, and a very conservative estimate would be over $200. With prices surging to this level, third order consequences become apparent. The most obvious would be a global, synchronized recession, intensified by the existing U.S. trade and fiscal imbalances. Another political consequence would be that oil exporting countries outside the region would enjoy significant surges in revenue from higher prices. As a result, countries such as Venezuela and Russia would enjoy expanded influence while the West would be reeling from recession. I should note that in the preceding discussion of the cycle of action and reaction, I have not mentioned large U.S. ground unit formations. That is because I do not believe we will come to a point where that option will make sense to policymakers. This is the one lesson the administration seems to have learned from Iraq--occupation does not work. And that realization brings us back to why the air strike option has been so attractive to the administration from the beginning. [Excerpted from The End of the "Summer of Diplomacy": Assessing U.S. Military Options on Iran, a new report for The Century Foundation by Retired Air Force Colonel Sam Gardiner. See original for links to full report, press release.] * ================================================================ .NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems . Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us . .339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 http://www.blythe.org .List Archives: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/pipermail/nytr/ .Subscribe: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/mailman/listinfo/nytr ================================================================ ***************************************************************** 4 [NYTr] Iran: Nuclear "Crisis" - Sorting Fact from Fiction Date: Mon, 2 Oct 2006 12:13:47 -0400 (EDT) X-Sender-Host-Name: olm.blythe-systems.com X-Spam-Class: HAM-VERY-WHITELIST Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit What's Left - Oct 1, 2006 http://gowans.blogspot.com/2006/10/iranian-nuclear-crisis-sorting-fact.html The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: Sorting Fact from Fiction by Stephen Gowans Iran is being portrayed by the US, other Western governments, Israel and their mass media, as a threat to international peace and security. The leadership of Iran, particularly the president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, is said to be filled with an irrational, violent Hitler-like loathing of Jews, expressed in Holocaust denial, mocking the suffering of its victims, and the pursuit of nuclear weapons to wipe Israel off the map. These portrayals are based on exaggeration, innuendo, and, in some cases, the deliberate twisting of the truth. The objective is to secure public consent for another war of conquest on an economically nationalist, oil-rich country. Iran's leadership is not a threat to international peace and security, does not mock the Holocaust, and is not pursuing nuclear weapons to wipe Israel off the map. It's true that Iran's developing an independent nuclear power industry would furnish the country with the potential to develop nuclear weapons, but this amounts to nothing more than a defensive threat to a small class of financiers, high-level executives and corporate lawyers whose common interests lead them to rally around the idea that Iranian oil should be under US control and made available to the project of enlarging the capital of US oil companies. Background The United Nations Security Council (SC) passed a resolution on July 31, 2006 ordering Iran to suspend enrichment of uranium by the end of August. Tehran declined, continuing to enrich uranium, despite the threat of sanctions. The SC also directed all countries to block shipments to Iran of any materials that could be used to enrich uranium or develop ballistic missiles. This latter directive strengthened sanctions the United States already had in place on companies supplying potential nuclear program or missile-related goods to Iran, and buttressed existing US efforts to isolate Iran financially by blocking its access to the US banking system (much as Washington had done to north Korea.) Iran correctly pointed out that inasmuch as its nuclear program operates within the limits of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), the SC acted beyond its authority. Iran's activities are legal and are not unique. How, then, is SC action warranted? Significantly, the resolution was issued concurrent with Israel's summer 2006 invasion of Lebanon, a conspicuous affront to the international peace and security the SC is authorized to protect. Of the two events - Iran's lawful enrichment of uranium under the supervision of UN inspectors, and Israel's military assault across international borders - the latter clearly fell within the SC's jurisdiction and the former not at all. Nevertheless, for 38 days the SC failed to stay Israel's hand. By the time it acted, over 1,000 Lebanese civilians were dead, over 4,000 were wounded, one-quarter of Lebanon's population was displaced, and 1,500 homes were destroyed. Since compliance with an international treaty does not constitute a breach of international peace and security, the SC's resolution must at least implicitly refer to Iran's activities as being uniquely menacing, despite their lawful character. From the perspective of the US government, the menace is revealed in indirect clues that Iran's nuclear activities have a military content, notwithstanding the finding of the IAEA, the body that monitors compliance with the NPT, that there is no concrete evidence that Iran's nuclear program is military in nature. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld might say. In this view, concrete evidence is too demanding a standard for a post-9/11 world. If we wait for the evidence of a mushroom cloud rising above New York City, it's too late. But by the same reasoning, the US would be well-advised to launch a surprise nuclear strike on the UK. The UK has a sufficiently large nuclear arsenal to wreak massive devastation on the US, on a scale Iran and north Korea together, with al Qaeda's assistance, couldn't remotely approach. True, there's not a speck of evidence the UK plans to attack the US, but, to follow Rumsfeld's reasoning, absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Do we wait until mushroom clouds rise above a dozen US cities? I wish to address two elements of the US argument about why Iran is a threat. First, the question of what evidence exists, even if not concrete, that Iran intends to turn its enrichment activities to military use. And second, the nature of the threat Iran would pose if its nuclear activities were carried forward to the establishment of a nuclear weapons capability. The Evidence Washington says there are two reasons to believe Iran is planning to secretly build a nuclear arsenal. The first, advanced by US Vice-President Dick Cheney, is that Iran has no need of nuclear power to supply its energy needs. It is an oil-rich country that can easily rely on its petroleum resources to generate electricity. Therefore, Iran's pursuit of civilian nuclear power must be a cover for a military program. To be sure, Iran is rich in oil, but all the same, imports gasoline. Having oil in the ground and the capability to refine it are separate matters. Iran has the raw materials (so long as they last), but not the means, in sufficient quantities, to convert oil into the usable form it needs to meet all its energy requirements. Its refineries produce 10.5 million gallons per day, but the country uses 17 million gallons. The balance is imported. [1] Given that Iran's oil reserves are finite, it makes sense for Iran to develop an independent civilian nuclear energy industry as a successor energy source. Iran has rich stores of uranium and therefore the potential to become self-sufficient in nuclear energy. The US-backed dictator Shah Muhammad Reza Pahlavi, Iran's former ruler, recognized this as a prudent strategy. Under the Shah, a consortium of US corporations was slated to develop a giant nuclear industry, with Washington's blessing. At the time, the American nuclear energy industry ran ads in the US touting the program to pressure American legislators to follow the Shah's lead. Photos of a regal Shah, resplendent in full ceremonial dress, appeared under the headline, "Guess who's building nuclear power plants?" The text explained, "The Shah of Iran is sitting on top of one of the largest reservoirs of oil in the world. Yet he's building two nuclear plants and planning two more to provide electricity for his country. He knows the oil is running out - and time with it." The plans for US-built nuclear power plants in Iran were toppled in 1979, when the Shah was forced into exile by Ayatollah Khomeini and his revolutionaries. Washington imposed sanctions, and later Iran turned to Russia to build a nuclear power plant at Bushehr. Hence, as early as the 70s, Washington recognized a cogent economic case was to be made for nuclear power in Iran. NBC news anchor Brian Williams suggested another argument for why Iran's pursuit of nuclear power must be motivated by military goals. [2] "Why keep [missiles] in your arsenal if you don't someday hope to tip them with a nuclear weapon?" Williams asked Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in a September 20, 2006 interview. The problem with this view is that it's based on the logical error of concluding that if A implies B then B must imply A. To see how Williams' reasoning goes awry, consider this: Lesbians are women (nuclear warheads sit atop missiles) therefore all women are Lesbians (therefore all missiles are intended to carry nuclear warheads.) Washington says Iran's failure to report previous nuclear activities to the IAEA is another reason to be suspicious. However, the monitoring agency found no evidence Iran's previously undisclosed activities were related to a nuclear weapons program [3]. Iran may have had a compelling case for covering up its nuclear activities, fearing the US would move to block a nuclear power industry as a means of checking the country's economic development, a point I elaborate on below. Ever since being called out, Tehran has fully cooperated with the IAEA, even going so far as to accept, until recently, a more stringent inspection protocol than other treaty signatories submit to, including the US. The monitoring body says there's no evidence Iran's current enrichment activities are weapons-related. The Threat By the reckoning of the US administration, there are two reasons to believe an Iran possessed of rudimentary nuclear weapons would be a serious danger. The first, revealed in statements that Iran has developed its rocket technology to allow it to strike Israel and parts of Europe, is that Tehran plans to launch a nuclear attack. Since this would be suicidal, it can be dismissed fairly readily as preposterous, insofar as one assume Iran's leadership is rational. (More on the idea it's not rational, in a moment.) Iran could be crushed by the conventional forces of either Israel, Britain or France alone, to say nothing of being wiped off the map should either country choose to call upon its own nuclear arsenal to deliver a retaliatory blow. Israel's cache of nuclear weapons, believed to total at least 200 warheads (some say 400), is considerably larger than anything Iran could produce for years and years, and France's and Britain's nuclear forces are much larger still. The second view is that Iran may not launch a strike itself, preferring instead to use a proxy, such as Hezbollah, to attack Israel, or to use some other non-state organization to create a nuclear 9/11 in a major American city. This view is reminiscent of the spurious claim made by Washington that Iraq had ties to al Qaeda, an oft-repeated lie that even Bush has recently distanced himself from. The claim, of course, has a conspicuous value in justifying the US-British invasion of Iraq. Many Americans were willing to back any measure to punish al Qaeda and its supporters for 9/11, and the simple expedient of suggesting there was a link between Osama bin Laden and Saddam Hussein was sufficient to build public support for the conquest of Iraq as a supposed blow to al Qaeda. More recently, Washington portrayed Hezbollah's capture of Israeli soldiers as an action undertaken at the behest of Iran rather than as an independent act Hezbollah had undertaken to press for the release of Lebanese captured by Israel [4]. The aim was the same: to press the case for war against Iran by drawing links between Iran and "terrorists." While Hezbollah originated in Iran, and likely receives material support from the country, the US State Department notes that "it also can and does act independently." [5] This resonates with the view of the top US commander in the Middle East, General John Abizaid, who believes the capture of Israeli soldiers "probably...took place at a fairly low level from standing orders within Hezbollah." General Wayne Downing, a former counter-terrorism adviser to the White House, echoed Abizaid's view. "Is Iran pulling the strings? The guys I'm talking to say `no'." [6] Even so, the Bush administration claimed that Iran used its links to Hezbollah to fight a proxy war with Israel. But Hezbollah had two reasons for engaging Israel that had nothing to do with Iran: First, to acquire a bargaining chip to sue for the release of its militants; second, to repel the Israeli invasion. Since the motives for Hezbollah's behaviour in this instance are clear, there is no need to invoke an external agency (Iran) to explain the organization's actions. Iran, then, would not be a threat in the sense of posing an immediate danger of a nuclear strike, or of arming sub-state groups with nuclear weapons to be used in non-conventional ways against the US, Israel or other US allies. Moreover, the very fact that a state possesses nuclear weapons does not by itself make it an offensive threat, in the same way having missiles does not necessarily mean they'll be tipped with nuclear warheads, or being a woman necessarily means one's a Lesbian. Otherwise, Israel, India and Pakistan, nuclear-weapons states, would be looming offensive threats to the US, and France, Britain, Russia and China, which possess substantial nuclear arsenals, would be even more so. This is not to say that any of these countries might not, at some point, pose an offensive nuclear threat to the US, but few Americans are lying awake at night worrying about a nuclear strike by France. Why then does the idea resonate that an Iran in possession of a rudimentary nuclear weapons capability is an offensive threat to the US and its allies? To pose a nuclear offensive threat, a country must not only have a nuclear strike capability, it must also have some reason for using it in an aggressive manner. But there are no solid, concrete, reasons offered for why Iran would want to launch an offensive nuclear attack on the US, Europe or Israel. The Madman Theory In the propaganda business, the rule of thumb, when all else fails, is to trot out the madman theory - the idea that official enemies will behave in recklessly bold ways because the leadership is irrational. The madman theory resonates for two reasons. It's a sub-species of the great man theory, the idea that history can be reduced to the genius or madness of a few great men. And it's idealist - it attributes the behaviour of nations, not only to great (or wicked) men, but to their psychology and ideas. Both modes of thought are widely accepted and used by people in their everyday lives to make sense of the world. According to the madman theory, Ahmadinejad is mad, while the leaders of France, Britain, India and so on, are not. That's why we should be afraid of an Iran in possession of nuclear weapons, but reassured no harm will come from France, Britain, India and other US allies, even though these countries are able to destroy on an immense scale. Kim Jong Il, leader of the DPRK, a country that may or may not have nuclear weapons, is also portrayed as irrational. This makes north Korea appear to pose a credible offensive threat to Japan and the US, when, in fact, it has, at best, a rudimentary nuclear weapons capability and no ability to reliably deliver a warhead over long distances. Ahmadinejad's madness is presented as an irrational, violent, anti-Semitism. He is, we're to believe, driven by a hatred of Jews, which, focussed into an intense antipathy toward Israel, resolves itself into a program of seeking to "wipe Israel off the map" by means of a nuclear strike. An Ahmadinejad in command of a nuclear arsenal would be a clear danger, a madman with plans of genocide - or so the argument goes. Causal Attributions The attribution of the behaviour of nations to the psychology of their leaders is pervasive. Not only is it encouraged by government officials and news media as a way of backing claims that certain foreign governments must be brought down by war, it's currency on the political left is just as strong. Not too long ago I overheard three Canadian women discussing world politics, each expressing dismay at Washington's recurrent pattern of war making, and of Canada's jumping headlong into the service of the US conquest of Afghanistan by committing occupation troops to the Afghan theatre. It was clear they rejected official explanations of why the US and its subordinate Britain had waged war in recent years, on Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq, and of their own government for why it had sent troops to Afghanistan. But they had found no alternative explanation. In the end, they appealed to psychology, settling on "a culture of war" as the explanation for Washington's imperialist foreign policy. It was clear, however, that they were unhappy with the explanation. Their unhappiness was justified. The idea that governments wage aggressive wars because they're in the grips of a culture of war is problematic. The explanation is circular. How do we know a government's leaders are in the grips of a culture of war? Because they wage aggressive wars. Why do they wage aggressive wars? Because they're in the grips of a culture of war. The explanation goes round and round, never leaving its tightly enclosed, self-contained system of internally-consistent logic. If it leaves a feeling of dissatisfaction, it should. The second problem is that even if we assume there's something called a culture of war, where did it come from and how did it grow? It didn't just materialize, springing fully formed from a vacuum. There must be some reason it exists. For example, if we confine our attention to the US, perhaps the country's politically powerful defense industry profits from war, and has used its influence to make the case for a succession of aggressive wars. George Shultz, the former Secretary of State in the Reagan administration, lobbied strenuously for an invasion of Iraq. He's connected to Bechtel, the giant engineering firm that stood to benefit from reconstruction contracts awarded to repair the infrastructure US and British bombs destroyed in Afghanistan and Iraq. Maybe Shultz, and people like him, who can profit from war, have worked hard to create a culture of war to serve their own narrow interests. And what of US oil corporations? Would it be going too far to suggest they have an interest in being able to exploit Iraq's, Iran's and Sudan's oil on terms favourable to the interests of their shareholders, and further, that they might use their enormous political leverage to tilt public policy toward a program of regime-change in economically nationalist oil-rich countries? Explanations of this sort go a whole lot further than attributions of war to either the psychology of the public (the culture of war) or the psychology of leaders (he's mad, he hates Jews, he hates our freedoms, he has a drive for war.) For one thing, appeals to psychology either go round and round in circles and end up back where they started, or are deliberate obfuscations, whose purpose is to build weak or absent threats, into big threats. So, for example, in the face of the obvious difficulty of explaining how a nuclear warhead-possessing Iran would constitute a grave and immediate danger, given that the doctrine of mutually assured destruction creates a formidable deterrent to Tehran launching a first strike, the madman theory sets all doubts to rest. Sure, MAD works to deter the use of nuclear weapons as a rational choice, but Ahmadinejad is not rational. Time magazine summed this up by titling a September 25, 2006 article on the Iranian president, "A Date with A Dangerous Mind." The Economist, for its part, once showed Kim Jong Il on its cover, a mushroom cloud ominously rising behind him -- presumably a warning about what would happen were the insane Korean allowed to linger too long as leader of the "hermit kingdom." Does Ahmadinejad have a dangerous mind? Tzipi Livni, Israel's foreign minister, thinks so. She does a good job of portraying Ahmadinejad and other Iranian leaders as anti-Jewish hate mongers who are working feverishly to build a nuclear bomb to incinerate Israel. "There is no greater challenge to our values," she warns, "than that posed by the leaders of Iran. They deny and mock the Holocaust. They speak proudly and openly of their desire to wipe Israel off the map. And now, by their actions, they pursue weapons to achieve this objective to imperil the region and to threaten the world." [7] Denying the Holocaust or Exposing its Exploitation? In some respects there is considerable ambiguity about what Ahmadinejad's views of the Holocaust are; in other respects, there is none. What's clear is that Ahmadinejad believes the Holocaust is exploited by Israel to justify invading its neighbors and delivering injustice upon injustice to the Palestinians. "The Palestinian people, their lives are being destroyed today under the pretext of the Holocaust. Their lands have been occupied, usurped. What is their fault? What are they to be blamed for? Are they not human beings? Do they have no rights? What role did they play in the Holocaust?" [8] This is hardly a minority view in the Middle East, and it is not a view without foundation. The Holocaust does not justify Zionism, the creation of the Israeli state, the denial of Palestinian rights or the annexation by Israel of foreign territory. In Ahmadinejad's view, the elevation of the Holocaust to the status of sacred cow rings hollow, and points to ulterior political motives. "In the Second World War, over 60 million people lost their lives," he told NBC news anchor Brian Williams [9]. "They were all human beings. Why is it that only a select group of those who were killed have become so prominent and important?" Could the Holocaust have been raised to prominence for a political purpose, he seems to ask? Virginia Tilley points out that, "Skepticism about the Holocaust narrative has started to take hold in the Middle East, not because people hate Jews, but because the narrative is deployed to argue that Israel has a right to `defend itself' by attacking every country in its vicinity. Middle East publics are so used to the canards legitimizing colonial or imperial takeovers that some wonder [whether the Holocaust] is just another myth." [10] Does Ahmadinejad wonder whether the Holocaust as just another myth? Perhaps. But at times it seems he adopts a deliberate agnosticism about the Nazis' attempts to exterminate European Jewry, to provoke a reaction, as if to say, "It's your sacred cow, not mine, and I will not be manipulated by it." Nowhere have I seen Ahmadinejad deny the Holocaust outright, which isn't to say he hasn't, only that I haven't seen it. Even so, interviewers put questions to him as if there's no ambiguity about his views. "You called the Holocaust a myth," Brian Williams told him [11]. Ahmadinejad's invariable response to the charge he denies the Holocaust is to refer to the illegitimacy of using the event as a justification for creating a Jewish state in Palestine on the basis of the mass expulsion of Arabs and of maintaining Israel by uniquely denying Palestinians the right of return. Musayeb Naimi, editor of Al Wefaq, sums up Ahmadinejad's position this way: "Either [the Holocaust] took place or it didn't. If it didn't take place, then it is a fabrication. If it did, it wasn't the Arabs who did it; it was the Europeans. Why then should the Palestinians pay the price of what the Europeans did against the Jews?" [12] In many of his statements Ahmadinejad accepts the Holocaust as a reality. For example, in December, 2005 he asked, "Is the killing of innocent Jewish people by Hitler, the reason for their (the Europeans') support to the occupiers of Jerusalem?" [13] Here he accepts the attempted extermination of European Jewry as a fact. He goes on to argue, "If the Europeans are honest they should give some of their provinces in Europe - like in Germany, Austria or other countries - to the Zionists, and the Zionists can establish their state in Europe. You offer part of Europe, and we will support it." [14] This is a provocative statement, but it makes a point. It is, however, hardly Holocaust-denial. Mocking the Holocaust or Criticizing Israel? Likewise, the claim that Ahmadinejad mocks the Holocaust is a deliberate exaggeration, if not an outright twisting of the truth. The claim is a reference to the Holocaust International Cartoon Contest, held at the Palestinian Contemporary Art Museum in Tehran in August 2006. The purpose of the contest was to expose Western hypocrisy for invoking freedom of expression regarding the publication of anti-Islamic cartoons in the West, while regarding Holocaust-revisionist statements as intolerable. The contest was conceived soon after the Danish newspaper, Jyllands-Posten, ran flagrantly racist cartoons mocking bearers of the Islamic faith. These cartoons were defended by Western governments as a free speech issue. Yet at the time champions of free speech were vigorously defending Jyllands-Posten's right to mock Islam, British writer David Irving was being sentenced to a jail term in Austria for a speech he had made years earlier questioning the Holocaust, and the British parliament was debating a law (since passed) that would deny freedom of speech to anyone who "glorifies terrorism," that is, anyone who speaks favourably of the actions of militant organizations the US, Britain and other Western countries call terrorists. Iran's largest newspaper, Hamshari, cosponsor of the contest, explained: "The serious question for Muslims is whether the West extends freedom of expression to the crimes committed by the United States and Israel, or even such as the Holocaust. Or is it freedom only for insulting religious sanctities?" [15] Added Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, "In this freedom, casting doubt or negating the genocide of the Jews is banned, but insulting the beliefs of 1.5 billion Muslims is allowed." [16] The cartoons displayed at the exhibit did not call the Holocaust into question, present it as a myth, or mock its victims' suffering, but explored the themes of Israeli brutality against the Palestinians, use of the Holocaust to justify anti-Palestinian crimes, and parallels between Israel and Nazi Germany. Among the drawings: A vampire wearing a Star of David drinking the blood of Palestinians; Ariel Sharon in a Nazi uniform; three army helmets together, two with swastikas and one with the Star of David; a rabid dog with a Star of David on its side and the word Holocaust around its collar; a dove prevented from flying because it is chained to a Star of David; US president George Bush seated at a desk swatting doves; an Israeli asleep with three Arab heads mounted to the wall above his bed; an Israeli soldier pouring fuel into a tank from a gasoline can that reads Holocaust on the side; a razor blade in the ground, representing the illegal Israeli-built separation wall, bearing the word Holocaust; two firefighters, each with Stars of David on their chests, using Palestinian blood to extinguish flames issuing from the word Holocaust [17]. While the director of the exhibit correctly pointed out to a New York Times reporter that the drawings were anti-Israeli and anti-Zionist, not anti-Jewish, the newspaper nevertheless ran the story under the headline "Iran exhibits anti-Jewish art." [18] Incinerating Israel or Calling for the Reversal of Ethnic Cleansing? Livni's claim that Ahmadinejad wants to incinerate Israel with nuclear weapons, the spin put on his alleged "wipe Israel off the map" remark, is equally baseless. According to Juan Cole, a Middle East specialist at the University of Michigan, "Ahmadinejad did not say he was going to wipe Israel off the map, because no such idiom exists in Persian. He did say he hoped its regime, i.e., a Jewish-Zionist state occupying Jerusalem, would collapse." [19] Guardian newspaper columnist Jonathan Steele added: "The Iranian president was quoting an ancient statement by Iran's first Islamist leader, the late Ayatollah Khomeini, that 'this regime occupying Jerusalem must vanish from the page of time,' just as the Shah's regime in Iran had vanished. He was not making a military threat. He was calling for an end to the occupation of Jerusalem at some point in the future." [20] Ahmadinejad explained: "Our position toward the Palestinian question is clear: We say that a nation has been displaced from its own land, by those who are not original inhabitants, and they have come from far areas of the world and have occupied these homes. Our suggestion is that five million Palestinian refugees come back to their homes, and then the entire people on those lands hold a referendum and choose their own system of government." [21] Were this to happen, Israel, as a Jewish state, would be metaphorically wiped off the map, since a Jewish state would be rejected by Arab Palestinians, who comprise the majority. Livni would have struck closer to the truth had she said Ahmadinejad denies the legitimacy of the Holocaust as justification for driving Palestinians from their homes, and speaks openly of wanting to see a Jewish state that has spread itself across the better part of Palestine by ethnic cleansing and war, succeeded by a single Palestinian state encompassing all of historic Palestine whose form and nature is decided by the current and pre-Palestinian-diaspora residents. While these beliefs are unquestionably repugnant to Livni and other Zionists, they are not so repugnant to most other people, who could hardly be roused to support a war on Iran to deal with a man whose views seem more humane, democratic and respectful of the rights of others than anti-Semitic, dangerous and (to use Bush's term) Islamo-fascist. On the contrary, most people would probably side with Ahmadinejad on the question of Palestine, not Livni. That being the case, public discourse must be weighted with bamboozling distortions to tilt public sentiment against the Iranian leadership as a precursor to another war of conquest on an economically nationalist oil-rich state. Who Does an Economically Nationalist Iran Threaten? This is not to say that Iran is not a threat, that an Iran with a civilian nuclear energy industry would not be a larger threat, and that an Iran in possession of nuclear weapons would not be a larger threat still. But the question is: Who would Iran be a threat to? And what would the nature of threat be? The answer to both questions can be found in the modern history of Iran. In 1951, the Iranian parliament, under the leadership of Mohammed Mossadegh, nationalized Iran's oil industry, then dominated by the British-owned Anglo-Iranian Oil Company. Mossadegh's nationalist movement was determined to bring Iran's oil resources under Iranian control, to be used for the development of Iran, rather than to expand the capital of a financial oligarchy resident in London. The US had other ideas. The Second World War had left Britain, France, Germany, Japan and particularly the Soviet Union, greatly weakened. But while widely devastating elsewhere, the war had been a good war for the US. Lend-lease orders swept away the mass unemployment of the 30s and filled the coffers of US businesses. After the war, US businesses pressed their government to scour the globe for new investment opportunities. Iran represented just the kind of attractive post-war outlet for surplus US capital businesses were looking for. The problem was, Mossadegh and his nationalists stood in the way. Springing to the aid of US corporations, Kermit Roosevelt, grandson of the US president Theodore Roosevelt, and a senior CIA operative with the agency's Middle East division, engineered a plot to have Mossadegh dismissed from his post as prime minister and to bring back the self-exiled Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, who could be relied on to accommodate the profit-making interests of US capital. The coup succeeded. With Mossadegh out of the way, Iran's doors were opened to the investment opportunities US capitalists were eager to lay hold of. In time, the Shah's rule became increasingly despotic and he was eventually forced into exile, succeeded by revolutionaries led by the Ayatollah Khomeini. Today, US oil companies have no presence in Iran. Major sectors of the economy, including oil, telecommunications, transportation, as well as banking and finance, are in state hands, as prescribed by the country's constitution. When Hell Freezes Over The idea the US simply wants concrete assurances Iran won't use its civilian nuclear power program to develop nuclear warheads is a fraud. It wants to set back the clock to the time it had a compliant ruler in Iran willing to pave the way for US corporations to do business in Iran on profitable terms. In the wake of the US invasion of Iraq, Washington "received a proposal from Iran for a broad dialogue with the United States...including full cooperation on nuclear programs, acceptance of Israel and the termination of Iranian support for Palestinian militant groups. But top Bush administration officials, convinced the Iranian government was on the verge of collapse, belittled the initiative. Richard Haas, head of policy planning at the State Department at the time and now president of the Council on Foreign Relations, said the Iranian approach was swiftly rejected because in the administration `the bias was toward a policy of regime change.'" [22] The US has established new offices in the State Department and Pentagon to organize the overthrow of the Iranian government from within. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice asked the US Congress in February 2006 for $75 million to supplement $10 million already earmarked to finance the activities of a fifth column of dissidents and to expand US government propaganda broadcasts into the country [23]. The effect of openly financing the activities of dissidents is to provoke a crackdown by Iranian authorities, which can then be used as grist for the propaganda mill to blacken the government's reputation further and to raise alarm about human rights abuses. This adds another arrow in the quiver of reasons Iran must be invaded. Perhaps most telling about Washington's indifference to Iran's taking measures to satisfy concerns about proliferation is what a senior Bush official refers to as the "when Hell freezes over clause." According to this clause, even if Iran "has satisfied regulatory bodies that its nuclear ambitions are peaceful" the US will allow Iran to enrich uranium on its own soil only when Hell freezes over. [24] The Iranian leadership appears to be fully aware of US intentions and the reasons behind them. In the view of former Interior Minister, Ali Muhammad Besharati: "If we backed down on the nuclear issue, the US would have found fault with our medical doctors researching stem cells. What they would like to see us do is plant corn, make tomato paste and bottle mineral water. They do not want to see us high-tech." Besharati's "thinking reflects the spirit of [the Iranian] leadership" "who see this not just as a battle over nuclear weapons but a fight for survival against a far more powerful enemy that has lumped them into an `axis of evil' and allocated millions of dollars to oust the government." The leadership regards the fight as "Tehran's frontline effort to block American influence in the region and to never again allow Washington to have an upper hand in Iran." [25] The Threat of Potential Self-Defense The threat a nuclear weapons-armed Iran presents - and this assumes the construction of a nuclear arsenal in an independent Iran is even a valid future possibility - is what Edward Herman has called the threat of potential self-defense [26]; the threat that Iran's assets can't be plundered easily on behalf of the US corporate rich because Tehran might have the means to put up a fight. Iran in possession of nuclear weapons is, it cannot be denied, a threat; but not to ordinary people. It is a threat to the minority of owners and high-level executives in the US who look to Iran, and particularly its oil, as a field for profit-making opportunities, and who, moreover, are perfectly willing to throw young, working class kids, into the service of securing it for them through the sacrifice of their bodies and lives if necessary. But the prospects for success against a nuclear-armed Iran are not what the prospects for success were in invading an effectively disarmed Iraq, and that venture has proved to be a disaster for the US capitalist class. In the past, it could have been said that US military interventions, even if they didn't secure immediate benefits for US corporations, at least sent a warning that communist, socialist and economically nationalist regimes that seek to operate outside the imperialist system will pay a heavy price. In this way, the absence of any immediate benefit would be more than outweighed by the inhibitory effect the intervention would have on other countries. But in the case of the war on Iraq, an entirely different message has been sent, though not by design: if you don't have nuclear weapons, build them to deter the US. Of course, a full scale invasion of Iran is not a possibility today, or even in the near future. US forces are stretched too thin by the demands of the Iraq and Afghanistan occupations. But what is possible is the use of bunker busters, either conventional or nuclear, by the US or Israel or the two working together, to destroy Iran's infant nuclear program. A strike on the country's nuclear infrastructure would serve two goals: (i) it would delay Iran's acquiring the capability of developing a deterrent nuclear threat and so provide the US the breathing room it needs to recover from its Iraq and Afghanistan operations and to marshal forces for a future invasion (this may take quite some time); and (ii) it would set back the development of a civilian nuclear power industry in Iran, thereby inhibiting the country's economic development, assuring that when US forces have been sufficiently built up and freed from other commitments that they do not have to face a more formidable Iran, and - if economic warfare and support for dissidents prove successful - a much weaker one. Conclusion There is no evidence Iran has a nuclear weapons program and no evidence it intends to build one. The only reason it might build one is to develop a deterrent against a possible invasion by the US, and while the possibility of a US invasion is often dismissed as not in the cards, the listing of Iran as an "axis of evil" country; existing US aggressions against Iran in the form of economic warfare and the funding of a fifth column of dissidents committed to bringing down the government; Washington's track record in engineering the ouster of Mossadegh and backing the Shah; and invading a neighbouring economically nationalist oil-rich country on contrived grounds, all say that an invasion, is, indeed, a hand Washington might play at some point. Even though there is no evidence Iran has nuclear weapons or has any plans to develop them, a nuclear-armed Iran would not be an offensive threat to the US and its allies, only a defensive threat to a small class of financiers, high-level executives and corporate lawyers whose common interests lead them to rally around the idea that Iranian oil should be under US control and made available to the project of enlarging the capital of US oil companies. While Iran supports Hezbollah, even as the US supports Israel, Hezbollah is not controlled by Tehran. Even so, were Hassan Nasrallah nothing but an executor of directives formulated in Tehran, this would make no difference. Hezbollah legitimately represents the interests of the people of southern Lebanon against Israeli aggression and in the face of their abandonment by the US-backed Siniora government in Beirut. Iran's connection to Hezbollah is not, therefore, an embarrassment to be denied. The president of Iran does not mock the Holocaust, but deplores its use by Israel to justify Zionism, the creation of the Israeli state, and Israel's continued ethnic cleansing, war-making and breaches of international law. Ahmadinejad does not promote genocide against the Jews. Instead, he opposes Zionism, and the legitimacy of a Jewish national state based on the expulsion of Palestinians from their land. His opposition to Zionism is, not surprisingly, deeply offensive to Zionists, but he does not propose to carry out a genocide against Jews living in Israel. His proposal, that Palestinian refugees be allowed to return to their homes, and that a referendum be organized among all residents of historic Palestine to decide how and in what manner they should be governed, would surely lead to the end of a Jewish national state, and its being succeeded by something altogether different - but this hardly amounts to genocide. Even if it were true that Ahmadinejad was prepared to consider a nuclear strike on Israel to wipe out the Jews living there, this would hardly make sense, since the Palestinians, whose cause he has taken up, would be close enough to the blast to suffer grievously. What's more, Iran hasn't the nuclear weapons to achieve this aim, but if it did manage to develop a few warheads, the deterrent of Israel's 200 to 400 nuclear weapons would surely hold Iran's leadership in check. To threaten Israel, Iran would have to develop a larger arsenal than Israel could develop, with Israel's head start and $3 billion in annual aid from the US - an unlikely prospect. Iran poses no threat, either to the US or Israel, other than the threat of potential self-defense. The claims that the country's leadership mocks the Holocaust and seeks nuclear weapons to carry out a genocide against Jews is pure nonsense, concocted, like the mythical stories of Saddam Hussein's hidden weapons of mass destruction and ties to al-Qaeda, to justify another conquest of an economically nationalist oil-rich state. End Notes 1. Washington Post, July 4, 2005. 2. Williams' argument appears to be a fall out of the practice of adopting a theory as true without evidence, and then grasping at straws to support it, something high-profile journalists are happy to do as their patriotic duty. This was also the strategy that guided the Bush administration in the days following September 11 in the search for a casus belli against Iraq. 3. Mazda Majidi, "Imperialists threaten Iran with war, sanctions over nuclear energy," Socialism and Liberation, August 29, 2006, http://www.pslweb.org/site/News2?page=NewsArticle&id=5560&news_iv_ctrl=1038 4. While Hezbollah's capture of Israeli soldiers was framed in official circles and by the mass media as a provocation worthy of war, little has been said of the capture of Lebanese in Lebanon by Israeli forces during Israel's decades-long occupation of the country. And yet these are the conditions that gave rise to the Hezbollah raid to capture Israeli soldiers, to offer in exchange for the release of Hezbollah militants. Nor has much attention been paid to the repeated instances of Israeli forces that remained in Lebanon after the UN-ordered cease-fire, capturing and detaining Lebanese civilians, and in some cases transporting them to Israel. See The New York Times, September 4, 2006; The Guardian, September 9, 2006. 5. Los Angeles Times, July 14, 2006. 6. New York Times, August 24, 2006. 7. Los Angeles Times, September 21, 2006. 8. Brian Williams' interview with Ahmadinejad, NBC, Sep 20, 2006. 9. Ibid. 10. "Putting Words in Ahmadinejad's Mouth," www.counterpunch.com, August 28, 2006. http://www.counterpunch.com/tilley08282006.html 11. Brian Williams' interview. 12. New York Times, December 20, 2005. 13. Washington Post, December 9, 2005. 14. Ibid. 15. New York Times, February 8, 2006. 16. Ibid. 17. New York Times, August 25, 2006. 18. Ibid. 19. New York Times, June 11, 2006. 20. Ibid. 21. Time, September 25, 2006. 22. Washington Post, June 18, 2006. 23. Los Angeles Times, May 19, 2006. 24. New York Times, September 12, 2006. 25. New York Times, August 28, 2006. 26. Edward Herman, "The U.S. and Israel: Axis of Aggression, Torture, Death, & Devastation," Z Magazine, September, 2006. http://zmagsite.zmag.org/Sep2006/herman0906.html * ================================================================ .NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems . Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us . .339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 http://www.blythe.org .List Archives: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/pipermail/nytr/ .Subscribe: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/mailman/listinfo/nytr ================================================================ ***************************************************************** 5 [NYTr] Times of London: US May Accept Iran "Nuclear Bomb" Date: Mon, 2 Oct 2006 11:44:07 -0500 (CDT) X-Sender-Host-Name: chumbly.math.missouri.edu X-Spam-filter-host: mx.junkemailfilter.net - http://www.junkemailfilter.com X-Spam-Class: HAM Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit sent by Mansoor - Oct 2, 2006 [Here is the latest article on Iranian's quest for nuclear energy rather than nuclear bomb. -Mansoor] The Sunday Times of London - October 01, 2006 http://www.times.co.uk US may accept Iranian nuclear bomb by Sarah Baxter, Washington AMERICA is going to have to learn to live with a nuclear Iran, US intelligence analysts have concluded at a secret meeting near Washington. Senior operatives and outside experts from the intelligence community were almost unanimous in their view that little could be done to stop Iran acquiring the components for a nuclear bomb, The Sunday Times has learnt. Bombing Irans nuclear facilities was rejected on the grounds that the intelligence needed for successful air strikes was lacking. We only have an imperfect understanding of the extent and location of the Iranian programme, said one source with knowledge of the meeting. Even if we got the order to blow it up, we wouldnt know how to. The White Houses earlier enthusiasm for military strikes if all else failed has cooled after warnings from the Pentagon and intelligence analysts that the risk to reward ratio of taking action was too high. At best 80% of the targets are mapped out and then only sketchily. The collateral damage to civilians could be considerable, sources say. Unless you can be 100% effective and set the programme back by two decades, youll just get a short-term delay and you may not produce a result that is better than the current one, an intelligence analyst said. General John Abizaid, commander of US forces in the Middle East, has warned that striking Iran could cripple oil supplies, unleash a surrogate terrorist army and lead to missile attacks on Americas regional allies. The army is particularly concerned about Irans ability to destabilise an already chaotic Iraq. John Negroponte, director of national intelligence, has told President George W Bush that there is no rush to use force as Irans nuclear programme is beset with technical errors. He has been saying, Slow down, its not an immediate problem, said Patrick Clawson, an Iran expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Condoleezza Rice, the secretary of state, has staked her reputation on achieving a negotiated settlement with the help of the EU3 nations of Britain, France and Germany. President Bush is not going to take military action against the advice of the secretary of state, US generals and the director of national intelligence, Clawson said. British sources confirmed that the military option was receding. There are clear signs that the White House is keener on following a political approach, said a senior British source. Theres never been an appetite in the Pentagon for taking Iran on and the EU3 might get a deal that would bring the Iranians to the negotiating table in a reasonable fashion. Despite reports that the Iranians were willing to suspend their programme secretly, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has defiantly announced that Irans atomic work will not stop for a single day. Intelligence analysts concluded at last weeks meeting that there were no negotiating carrots or sticks, such as sanctions, capable of persuading Iran to halt its pursuit of nuclear know-how which it maintains is for peaceful energy purposes. The sobering view is that even if there is a deal, the Iranians would cheat, another source said. The conclusion is that America is going to have to live with the bomb unless theres some miracle, such as a major accident, a major defector or an orange revolution, the source added, referring to the peoples protests that brought reformers to power in Ukraine. None of these scenarios is considered likely. In a sign that a military option remains theoretically on the table, a group of minesweepers that could be used to clear any potential Iranian oil blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have been given prepare to deploy orders, which could see them leaving port for the Gulf as early as today. The biggest deterrent might come from the Israelis, not the Americans. Israeli defence sources are increasingly convinced that it will fall to them to stop a nuclear Iran. In their view Iran should not be allowed to get to the point of no return where it has the know-how to build a bomb. The Israelis are going to have to make a decision earlier than we do, Clawson said. Thats a real problem for us. * ================================================================ .NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems . Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us . .339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 http://www.blythe.org .List Archives: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/pipermail/nytr/ .Subscribe: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/mailman/listinfo/nytr ================================================================ ***************************************************************** 6 IRIB PERSIAN NEWS: Iran not to accept suspension: Elham 2006/10/02 Government Spokesman Gholam-Hossein Elham said Monday that Iran would not accept suspension of uranium enrichment. Elham's remarks came as he addressed domestic and foreign reporters at his weekly press conference. "The issue of suspension of enrichment is not the issue in nuclear talks. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has repeatedly stressed that Iran will not accept suspension and will not surrender the nation's inalienable rights," Elham reiterated. He said the President has spelled out clearly Iran's stance on the nuclear issue, including suspension of uranium enrichment, and its right to access peaceful nuclear technology has the support of many countries. M.H.Z Copyright 2004, All Rights Reserved By Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting News Network Sponsored By IRIB News Computer Center. E-Mail: Info@IRIBNEWS.ir ***************************************************************** 7 AFP: Bush, Putin to keep 'united position' on Iran - White House Mon Oct 2, 1:13 PM ET WASHINGTON (AFP) - US President George W. Bush" /> President George W. Bushand Russian President Vladimir Putin" /> Vladimir Putinhave agreed to stick to "a united position" in the Iranian nuclear standoff, the White House said. The two leaders, in a 17-minute telephone conversation on Monday, "agreed on the need maintain a united position in pressuring Iran" /> Iranto abandon its nuclear weapons program," said Bush spokesman Tony Snow. Bush and Putin also discussed "recent tensions" in Russia-Georgian relations," Snow told reporters. The Kremlin said Putin had warned Bush of the danger of third countries encouraging "destructive policies" in Georgia. In a telephone conversation Monday, Putin "underlined the unacceptability and danger to the peace and stability of the region of any actions by third countries that could be interpreted by the Georgian leadership as encouraging their destructive policies," the Kremlin said in a statement. The Russian warning came as relations between Russia and its ex-Soviet neighbor Georgia deteriorated in a spying row. The Kremlin has long seen Washington's hand in Georgia's efforts towards integration with the West and in particular its possible accession to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization ( NATO" /> NATO). Moscow is strongly opposed to any further enlargement of NATO into former Soviet territory, particularly if it includes strategically located Georgia. Putin has called last week's arrests of four Russian officers by Georgia on spying charges "an act of state terrorism". In Monday's phone conversation, which was initiated by Washington, the two also discussed Russia's bid to join the World Trade Organization" /> World Trade Organizationand Iran's nuclear programme, the statement said. On Iran "the importance was stressed of the need to continue consultations, the main criteria of which should be the aim of fulfilling non-proliferation tasks," the statement said. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 8 AFP: 'Good progress' in drawing up Iran sanctions - US official - Mon Oct 2, 3:18 PM ET WASHINGTON (AFP) - US diplomats have made "good progress" in gaining allies' approval for a list of sanctions to be imposed on Iran" /> Iranif it fails to freeze its uranium enrichment activities, a senior US official said. US Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns has been negotiating with his counterparts from the five permanent UN Security Council members plus Germany on what sanctions to include in a UN resolution if Iran pursues its nuclear program. Those talks have run in parallel with negotiations led by European Union" /> European Unionforeign policy chief Javier Solana aimed at convincing Iran to freeze uranium enrichment in return for a package of economic and diplomatic rewards. Burns "has made pretty good progress in terms of lining up the elements of a resolution with his political director counterparts," said the senior State Department official on condition of anonymity. "I don't think it would be particularly difficult, given the progress they've made, to pull all this together" into a resolution, he said. A timetable for pushing ahead with a sanctions resolution could come out of a possible meeting later this week in Europe of foreign ministers from the six nations dealing with the issue -- Britain, China, France, Russia, the US and Germany, he said. Iran ignored an August 31 deadline set by the UN Security Council for halting enrichment, which can be used to make fuel for nuclear power stations or to provide the core of atomic weapons. The United States has pressed its Security Council allies to use sanctions to increase the pressure on Tehran, but has met stiff resistance, notably from Russia and China. At a meeting last month in New York, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice" /> Condoleezza Riceagreed to give Solana until this week to negotiate a resolution of the standoff with Iran's top nuclear envoy, Ali Larijani, but so far those talks have yielded no results. Rice, who began a trip to the Middle East on Monday to discuss the Iranian issue among other things, said she could meet with her counterparts from the so-called P5-plus-1 countries later this week to take stock of the negotiations. The senior State Department official said that meeting could take place in Europe on Friday. US President George W. Bush" /> President George W. Bushand Russian President Vladimir Putin" /> Vladimir Putinalso discussed the Iranian nuclear issue by telephone on Monday and agreed to stick to "a united position" on the matter, the White House said. The United States is backing the use of progressive sanctions to force Iran's hand, beginning with restrictions on sales of dual-use equipment and technology which could help Tehran's nuclear program, according to US and European officials. Other possible punitive measures include assets freezes and travel bans targeting Iranians involved in the nuclear sector. The senior US official said that while "very good progress" had been made in lining up "the basics" of a first round of sanctions, it could take time to agree on the exact wording of a new UN resolution actually imposing the measures. "As we know from past practice on this, getting 90 percent there is great, getting the last ten percent sometimes takes longer than you wish," he said. While Washington has no specific timetable for trying to get a sanctions resolution adopted by the Security Council, he said, time is running out. "The last few grains of sand in this hour glass seem to be running through," he said. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 9 UPI: Iran: Enrichment suspension out of question United Press International - Intl. Intelligence - 10/2/2006 10:39:00 AM -0400 TEHRAN, Oct. 2 (UPI) -- Iran stressed Monday that suspending uranium enrichment during nuclear negotiations with the West is utterly out of the question. A day after Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vowed to expand uranium enrichment, government spokesman Ghulam Hussein Elham told a press conference in Tehran that "the president has repeated several times that we will not accept to suspend enrichment and we will not give up any rights for people." "Enriching uranium during nuclear negotiations is simply out of the question," Elham was quoted as saying by the official Iranian News Agency, IRNA. In a related development, IRNA reported that Iran has become self-sufficient in producing centrifuges for nuclear operated power plants. It said experts will be replacing British and Korean made centrifuges with locally produced ones in the various power plants. On Sunday, Ahmadinejad told professors at Tehran University that the government plans to produce more nuclear fuel to operate power plants. He rejected demands by the United States and its allies to stop enrichment, saying his country was not seeking nuclear weapons but is committed to generating nuclear fuel for electricity. The process of uranium enrichment can be used to produce electricity or build nuclear weapons depending on the level of enrichment. The United States alleges that Iran is seeking to build nuclear weapons, but Iran maintains that its program is for peaceful purposes. © Copyright 2006 United Press International, Inc. All Rights Reserved ***************************************************************** 10 UPI: Analysis: If and when Bush 'Iraqs' Iran United Press International - Intl. Intelligence - 10/2/2006 11:03:00 AM -0400 By ARNAUD DE BORCHGRAVE UPI Editor at Large WASHINGTON, Oct. 2 (UPI) -- A strategic thinker who called all the correct diplomatic and military plays preceding Operation Iraqi Freedom now sees diplomatic failure and air strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. The war on Iran, he says, started a year ago when the United States began conducting secret recon missions inside Iran. Sam Gardiner, 67, has taught strategy at the National War College, Air War College and Naval War College. The retired Air Force colonel recently published as a Century Foundation Report "The End of the 'Summer of Diplomacy': Assessing the U.S. Military Option on Iran." President Bush and his national security council believe seven "key truths" that eliminate all but the military option, according to Gardiner, who adds his own comments. 1. Iran is developing WMD -- "that is most likely true." 2. Iran is ignoring the international community -- "true." 3. Iran supports Hezbollah and terrorism -- "true." 4. Iran is increasingly inserting itself in Iraq and beginning to get involved in Afghanistan -- "true." 5. The people of Iran want a regime change -- "most likely an exaggeration." 6. Sanctions are not going to work -- "most likely true." 7. You cannot negotiate with these people -- "not proven." Gardiner says when Bush "Iraqs" Iran, air strikes will not be limited to the country's widely scattered nuclear facilities, but will also include military air bases (some of them only 15 minutes flying time from Baghdad); air defense command and control; terrorist training camps; chemical facilities; medium-range ballistic missiles; Gulf-threatening assets; submarines; anti-ship missiles; and naval ships, including small, fast minelayers. He reckons "an attack of relatively high certainty on nuclear targets would require 400 aim points ... 75 of these would require penetrating weapons." Air target planners believe this can be done after five nights of bombing. Vice President Dick Cheney is convinced "if there is even a 1 percent chance of a country passing WMD to a terrorist, the U.S. must act," Gardiner writes, which means, "The Bush administration finds itself obliged to reject non-military options." Israeli pressure on Bush to act before he leaves the White House is also part of the equation, he argues. But the president has a larger agenda than simply retarding Iran's nuclear ambitions. Iran's interference in Iraq is a major source of concern. It continues to supply weapons, funding and training to insurgents as well as militia armies in Iraq. Those who advocate attacking Iran say this justifies U.S. retaliation. But Israel and the Bush administration agree they cannot allow Iran to acquire the knowledge to make a nuclear weapon and that Iran is near "the point of no return." "The case against (Iran's) regime is so forceful, and so multifaceted," Gardiner points out, "that it becomes clear the goal is not simply to do away with the regime's enrichment program ... but to do away with the regime itself." President George W. Bush, writes Gardiner, sees himself like Winston Churchill standing against the appeasers, and "believes the world will only appreciate him after he leaves office, talks about the Middle East in messianic terms, and is said to have told those close to him that he has got to attack Iran because even if a Republican succeeds him ... he will not have the same freedom of action that Bush enjoys." Gardiner reminds us air planners almost always fall short of promises -- e.g., World War II, Korea, Vietnam and more recently Israeli air attacks on Hezbollah. "No serious expert on Iran believes the argument about enabling a regime change," he says, and "it is far more likely such strikes would strengthen the clerical leadership and turn the U.S. into Iran's permanent enemy." Which is what President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad prays for five times a day. Iran's retaliatory capabilities are both regional and global. Hezbollah is the primary line of counter-attack, with terrorist assets in Europe, Canada, the United States and Latin America. Iraqi militia leader Moqtada al-Sadr has said publicly U.S. forces would be targeted if Iran were attacked. Al-Sadr also controls the large 140,000-strong Facilities Protection Service forces that guard oil pipelines and other strategic objectives. No sooner than the first U.S. bomb impact in Iran, mines will be sown in the Strait of Hormuz, through which 40 percent of the world's oil consumption passes daily. Iran also has sleeper cells among Shiite workers in Saudi Arabia's eastern oil fields. Oil would quickly skyrocket to $200 a barrel. With prices surging to this level, concludes Gardiner, a "global synchronized recession, intensified by the existing U.S. trade and fiscal imbalances," would soon follow. Syria and Iran signed a mutual defense agreement June 15 under which Syrian forces would be involved if Iran were attacked. Such a crisis could quickly escalate into a regional war. Unlike the six months of preparations for Operation Desert Field and the deployments that preceded Iraqi Freedom, the Iran buildup will "not be a major CNN event." They will take place below the media's radar screen, such as moving Air Force tankers to staging bases and the movement of additional Navy assets to the region. "We can expect the number of administration references to Iran to significantly increase," Gardiner wrote, with four principal themes -- Iran's nuclear program, terrorism, the threat to Israel's existence, and the Iran-al Qaida link. Congressional approval? When Democratic Congressmen offered an amendment to the Defense bill in June that would have required the president to get authorization before taking military action, the amendment failed. A strike on Iran, as seen by the White House, has already been authorized. It's part of the global war on terrorism. So the strike on Iran could be ordered any time in the next two years. © Copyright 2006 United Press International, Inc. All Rights Reserved ***************************************************************** 11 Guardian Unlimited: EU Official Pushes Iran on Nuclear Plans From the Associated Press [UP] Monday October 2, 2006 8:46 PM AP Photo MSC102 By PAUL AMES Associated Press Writer LEVI, Finland (AP) - The EU foreign policy chief said he was resuming talks with Iran's top nuclear negotiator and warned Monday that the time for continuing negotiations on Tehran's atomic program was limited. But Javier Solana denied he was running out of patience. ``We don't have an infinite length of time in front of us,'' he told reporters. ``I'm not tired and I'm patient because I think that what we have at stake is very important.'' Speaking to reporters on the sidelines of a EU defense ministers meeting, he said he would talk by telephone with Iranian negotiator Ali Larijani later Monday. Solana has been leading negotiations with Larijani on behalf of Britain, France, Germany, China, the United States and Russia, which are seeking to persuade Iran to suspend work on processing uranium in return for a package of incentives. ``We have made progress on some elements but still what is fundamental for us, which is the matter of suspension, has not been finally agreed,'' Solana said. Iran's hardline president said Sunday his country was determined to expand its uranium enrichment program, announcing a plan to produce more nuclear fuel. He denied Iran was seeking to build nuclear weapons and said the program was for generating electricity. On Friday, the Bush administration repeated threats to seek U.N. sanctions unless the negotiations end successfully. However, Russia and China, which have veto rights at the Security Council, are wary of sanctions. Igor Ivanov, the secretary of Russia's presidential Security Council, was scheduled to travel to Iran for talks with Larijani on Tuesday, Russian news agencies said Monday. The process of uranium enrichment can be used to produce electricity or build nuclear weapons depending on the level of enrichment. The U.S. alleges Iran is seeking to build nuclear weapons, but Iran contends that its program is for peaceful purposes. Iran defied a U.N. Security Council deadline calling on it to suspend enrichment by Aug. 31 or face possible international sanctions. Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 12 Japan Times: Weakness prods Pyongyang Monday, Oct. 2, 2006 By KEIZO NABESHIMA Though impoverished and starved, North Korea owns nuclear arms and is developing long-range ballistic missiles, thus posing a growing military threat to the Asia-Pacific region. As the regime of Kim Jong Il has invited sanctions from the international community, it is becoming even more isolated. Under the circumstances, North Korea's national goal, the survival of the Kim regime, may be at risk. Ever since the issuance of joint statement a year ago from the six-nation talks on North Korea's nuclear ambitions, North Korea has boycotted resumption of the talks in protest of U.S. financial sanctions. In July, North Korea conducted ballistic-missile tests, prompting the United Nations Security Council to adopt a resolution of condemnation. North Korea's brinkmanship is bound to bring increasing pressure from Japan, the United States and other nations. One reason Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who assumed power Sept. 26, is popular among the Japanese public is his hardline stance against Pyongyang, which is responsible for the past abduction of Japanese nationals. And Abe's confidence in his diplomatic skills is growing. As chief Cabinet secretary under Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, he coordinated with White House officials in adopting the U.N. Security Council resolution against North Korea, and took the initiative in imposing Japanese financial sanctions on North Korea on Sept. 19. Crucial elements of Abe's "assertive diplomacy" are "national interest and initiative." Before assuming power, he said it is most important that Japanese diplomacy secure national interest and play a leading role in multilateral negotiations. Depending on North Korean strategies, the Abe administration is likely to put more emphasis on applying pressure -- such as stronger sanctions -- than on attempting dialogue in its dealings with the North. In late September, a high-ranking North Korean official is said to have told a visiting U.S. expert that Pyongyang was planning to start nuclear-fuel reprocessing operations before yearend to extract plutonium for nuclear arms. It would do this by removing spent nuclear-fuel rods from a 5,000-megawatt experimental graphite-moderated nuclear reactor. In May 2005, North Korea removed 8,000 used nuclear-fuel rods. According to South Korean intelligence sources, North Korea could conduct nuclear tests anytime, subject to approval by Kim. It is thought that North Korea's mentioning of its plan is aimed at prompting the U.S. to start bilateral talks with the North. In September the International Atomic Energy Agency adopted a resolution urging North Korea to immediately return to the six-nation talks and abandon its nuclear arms. This reflected growing international concern that Pyongyang may be trying to speed up its nuclear-arms development while it boycotts the six-party talks. In a joint statement issued at the six-nation talks in September 2005, North Korea promised to abandon its nuclear arms and nuclear programs and rejoin the nuclear nonproliferation treaty soon. The U.S. confirmed it had no intention of attacking North Korea, and Tokyo and Washington pledged efforts to normalize relations with Pyongyang. However, resolving the North Korean crisis became deadlocked when Pyongyang demanded that the U.S. lift financial sanctions as a condition for resuming the six-nation talks, and insisted on direct talks with Washington. Apparently the purpose of the North Korean missile tests in July was to get the U.S. to agree to direct talks. The international community, however, did not react as North Korea had hoped. Although the U.N. Security Council resolution was watered down to avoid a veto by China and Russia, it was a bitter pill for North Korea. Following the resolution, the Group of Eight industrialized nations' summit in July and a series of ministerial talks related to the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations adopted a number of resolutions against North Korea. The U.N. resolution demanded that North Korea freeze its missile tests and that U.N. member nations halt transfers of missile-related materials and technologies, as well as financial assets, to North Korea. The comprehensive resolution also demanded that North Korea return to the six-party talks and abandon its nuclear programs. China failed to veto the resolution because of the strong international criticism of North Korea. Frustrated by the deadlocked six-party talks, the U.S. began to focus on multilateral efforts to contain North Korea. By taking advantage of the ASEAN Regional Forum meeting in July in Kuala Lumpur, the U.S. got the 10 ASEAN foreign ministers to confirm the need for the implementation of the Security Council resolution. Chinese Foreign Minister Li Zhaoxing has urged his North Korean counterpart, Paek Nam Sun, to attend the six-nation talks, but the latter has declined, showing Beijing's limited influence on Pyongyang these days. The U.S. tried to convene a second round of 10-nation talks on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly, which opened in September. China and Russia's refusal to attend dealt a blow to U.S. hopes for multilateral dialogue. Furthermore, South Korean President Roh Moo Hyun, who is pushing an engagement policy with the North, expressed explicit opposition to international sanctions based on the Security Council resolution at a news conference following his talks with President George W. Bush, indicating sharp differences between Tokyo and Washington over sanctions against Pyongyang. It is now easy for Pyongyang to see the weaknesses of its adversaries. As a freedom-loving nation, South Korea should rebuild its alliances with Japan and the U.S. to deal with security threats from the North. Keizo Nabeshima, former chief editorial writer for Kyodo News, writes on political and international affairs. The Japan Times (C) All rights reserved japantimes.co.jp. ***************************************************************** 13 AFP: Inter-Korean military talks end without agreement by Jun Kwanwoo Mon Oct 2, 7:52 AM ET SEOUL (AFP) - Military officers from North and South Korea" /> South Koreahave held talks for the first time in almost five months but failed to agree on ways to ease tensions on the divided peninsula. The South's team said Monday the communist state's July missile tests were not directly discussed but that it had raised the issue of heightened tensions in general. "There was no agreement ... but it was meaningful to resume the suspended military talks," chief delegate Colonel Moon Sung-Mook told reporters after the two-hour talks on the northern side of the border village of Panmunjom. The North, he said, complained about anti-communist leaflets being spread across the heavily fortified border and about the behaviour of South Korean tourists and business visitors. "We raised the issues of guaranteeing military security for inter-Korean economic cooperation projects, easing military tensions and building trust," Moon said. "The North said it remained unchanged in pushing for the military security guarantee for inter-Korean economic projects but said it was more important for circumstances to mature." Explaining the "circumstances," Moon said the North wants the South to take firmer action to stop the leaflets, spread by balloons across the border's barbed wire, and to control its visitors. "The North complained about our civic groups spreading leaflets along the border, and also South Korean visitors bringing in unauthorised goods and items and making unnecessary contacts with North Koreans at Mount Kumgang and the Kaesong industrial complex," said Colonel Moon. "We explained to them our efforts to prevent such incidents and also asked them to understand the diversity of our society." The offensive items, he said, were cellphones, books, newspapers, magazines and GPS equipment brought to Mount Kumgang. Visitors to the east coast mountain resort are tightly regulated. Kaesong in the west is an industrial zone being developed by South Korean firms. Moon declined to say whether the talks could be considered successful but said no date was set for the next round. It was the first military contact since general-level talks in May to discuss ways to reduce tensions on the world's last Cold War frontier. The North is involved in a standoff with the West over both its missile and nuclear weapons programmes. Seoul has pursued a "sunshine policy" of engagement with its neighbour, including a landmark 2000 summit, but this came under strain after the July 5 missile tests. The South rejected a proposed July military meeting in protest at the missile launches -- the first time since the summit that it had refused dialogue -- but agreed to a North Korean call for Monday's talks. It also suspended regular humanitarian aid following the launches, which sparked UN Security Council condemnation and weapons-related sanctions. North Korea" /> North Korea, which declared in February 2005 that it had built nuclear weapons, is also at odds with the United States and its allies including Seoul over its nuclear ambitions. It has boycotted six-party talks aimed at ending its nuclear weapons program since last November, in protest at US financial sanctions. There have also been media reports it may be planning a nuclear test. The last military talks in May bogged down over the North's demand to redraw the disputed sea border and the South's call for a security guarantee before a cross-border railway reopens. The North has never recognized the Northern Limit Line sea border drawn at the end of the war. The South wants to maintain the line but work out ways of preventing naval skirmishes near it. Naval clashes in 1999 and 2002 left casualties on both sides. Moon said they raised the sea border issue Monday but did not specify the response. The two Koreas have been technically at war since the 1950-53 conflict ended in an armistice and not a peace treaty. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 14 INSIDE JoongAng Daily: China, North Korea make friendly gestures October 02, 2006 ¤Ñ Both Beijing and Pyongyang have sent conciliatory signals in recent days, the most recent one coming from the North's leader himself, the North's Korean Central News Agency reported on Saturday. Kim Jong-il sent a letter to Chinese President Hu Jintao congratulating him on the anniversary of the establishment of Communist China. In his message, the reclusive North Korean leader pledged North Korea's continued friendship. "It has been the consistent position of our party and the government of the republic to strengthen and develop our friendly North Korea-China relationship," Mr. Kim said in the letter, according to the North's official mouthpiece. Pyongyang's defiance to a direct call from Beijing in July not to test fire missiles has put the traditionally strong relationship on a strain. China voted for a UN resolution adopted in response to the missile launch, which reportedly angered Pyongyang. Last week, newly appointed Chinese Ambassador to Pyongyang Liu Xiaoming, who took up his current position earlier this month, paid a visit to the old family house of Kim Il Sung, the North's former leader. At the his visit he stressed the importance of the relationship between the two sides, saying it was the Chinese communist party's strong desire to stay on that course. Beijing has also hosted the six-party talks aimed at getting Pyongyang to give up its nuclear weapons. The North has boycotted the talks over financial sanctions imposed by Washington on a Macao-based bank under Chinese jurisdiction. by Brian Lee africanu@joongang.co.kr> Copyright by Joins.com, Inc. Terms of Use | ***************************************************************** 15 IPS-English POLITICS: Indo-US Nuclear Deal Hits Doldrums Date: Mon, 02 Oct 2006 15:01:40 -0700 X-Nohoney: yes white-hard - relay H=adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net (borg.energy-net.org) [63.203.231.61] X-Sender-Host-Address: 63.203.231.61 X-Sender-Host-Name: adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net X-Spam-Class: HAM-VERY-WHITELIST ROMAIPS AP WD DV SC NU WT=20 POLITICS: Indo-US Nuclear Deal Hits Doldrums Praful Bidwai NEW DELHI, Oct 2 (IPS) - The controversial United States-India =94civilia= n nuclear cooperation=94 agreement met with a major setback over the week= end when the Senate formally went into recess without voting for a bill w= hich would have granted the President George W. Bush the necessary powers= to enable the deal to be implemented.=20 The Indian government has been rattled by this development and is pinning= its hopes on a brief session of the Congress in mid-November, when it re= convenes after elections to be held on Nov.7 to the entire House of Repre= sentatives and one-third of all seats in the Senate.=20 Both the Bush administration and the Indian government had invested a gre= at deal of effort into lobbying for a quick passage of the Bill (number S= .3709) through the Senate. The House has already passed a broadly similar= legislation. The two chambers are later meant to reconcile the two legis= lations and produce a single unified law. This law would implicitly recognise India as a nuclear weapons-state and = permit civilian nuclear commerce with it although India has not signed th= e Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) of 1970 and has become a nuclear= power in violation of it.=20 However, the Senate bill first ran into numerous procedural complications= and then got tied up with extraneous or unrelated agendas of some Senato= rs.=20 For instance, Senate minority leader Harry Reid of the Democratic Party m= oved an amendment that would prevent all spent fuel coming to his native = Nevada state for storage at the Yucca Mountain Repository. This would pre= sumably include fuel burned in reactors supplied to India by the U.S. or = =66rom plants which use materials traded under the India-U.S. nuclear coo= peration deal.=20 On Saturday, the Democrats listed as many as 19 amendments to Bill S.3709= and rejected a proposal by Senate majority leader Bill Frist to have the= Bill passed in its present form through a =94unanimous consent=94 proced= ure, with the promise of some changes to be considered and discussed late= r.=20 Although the Democrats agreed to accord a high priority to the Bill in th= e =94lame duck=94 Senate session coming up after November 13, there is no= guarantee that it will really be taken up for vote. The Democrats are ex= pected to do better than the Republicans in the Senate elections and may = not allow the new chamber to be convened till January.=20 =94All this is bad news for the deal=94, M.V. Ramana, an independent nuc= lear affairs expert based at Centre for Interdisciplinary Studies in Envi= ronment and Development, Bangalore told IPS. =94But it's not terrible new= s. There is still a good chance that the Senate resolution will eventuall= y go through. But there is now a higher probability that more and more ne= w conditions will be imposed, which limit the degree of cooperation permi= tted under the deal or demand special assurances from India, which are no= t reciprocally sought from the U.S.=94=20 If the deal cannot be approved by the present Congress, it will once agai= n have to go through the entire process of drafting of separate resolutio= ns for the two chambers of the new Congress and of securing agreement on = them all over.=20 The more the number of conditions imposed on the deal, the more it will d= iffer in content from the original agreements signed between Bush and Pri= me Minister Manmohan Singh in Jul. 2005 and in Mar. 2006.=20 =94It's clear that the fate of the nuclear deal now depends on the arcane= processes and parochial concerns that mark U.S. domestic politics, rathe= r than on the dynamics of the burgeoning India-United States strategic re= lationship,=94 argues Achin Vanaik, professor of international relations = and global policies at Delhi University. =94Various Senators' preferences= and sectional interests will influence the way the agreement is shaped. = The initiative is no longer in India's hands.=94 The Indian government is particularly disappointed and nervous at the wee= kend's result because it had made a strong pitch for the deal through its= top diplomat and special envoy Shyam Saran, and more recently, through D= efence Minister Pranab Mukherjee.=20 Last week in the U.S., Mukherjee met various members of the India Caucus = in Congress, as well as the Zionist group, the American Jewish Committee,= and influential representatives of the Indian-American community.=20 U.S. business groups, in particular the defence industry lobby and nuclea= r power equipment manufacturers, have also been strongly pitching in for = the nuclear deal, according to Subrata Ghoshroy of the MIT (Massachusetts= Institute of Technology) Centre for International Studies in the U.S. He= calls the deal a =94triumph of the business lobby=94. But the triumph ha= s not yet been fully accomplished. Had the Senate vote gone through before the recess, India would have been= in an advantageous position at consultations which are due later this mo= nth in the Nuclear Suppliers' Group. The deal must be approved by the 45-= member NSG before it becomes effective. The International Atomic Energy A= gency too must clear it.=20 There may be some opposition in the NSG to the agreement from the Nordic = states, Ireland and New Zealand. China too is known to be uncomfortable w= ith it, but is keeping its cards close to its chest. Besides this uncertainty, and problems likely to be caused by a shift in = the balance of power between the Democrats and Republicans in the U.S. Co= ngress, the deal faces two obstacles: one in America, the other in India.= =20 First, the Senate draft resolution explicitly prohibits the =94export or = re-export to India of any equipment, materials, or technology related to = the enrichment of uranium, the reprocessing of spent nuclear fuel or the = production of heavy water.=94 But the Indian nuclear lobby is extremely k= een on the =94right=94 to reprocess spent fuel from power reactors, wheth= er imported or domestic, so that it can extract plutonium from it.=20 India has drawn up super-ambitious plans to produce 275,000 Mw of power = (or more than double the Indian power generation capacity today from all = sources combined) by the mid-21st century. This presumes the use of fast-= breeders reactors based on the reprocessing of spent fuel.=20 India's Atomic Energy Commission chairman is on the record as saying that= he won't accept a deal which does not allow spent fuel reprocessing.=20 It is not clear how the Bush and Singh government will crack this nut. Th= eir difficulties will grow if the Democrats emerge stronger in Congress i= n the November elections. In that case, the influence of the traditional = non-proliferation lobby will grow in the U.S., and the deal's passage wil= l bear its impress.=20 The domestic Indian obstacle is the political opposition, especially the = right-wing Bharatiya Janata Party, which rejects any shift away from the = =94goalposts=94 set by the original Jul. 2005 agreement.=20 It will try to hold the Singh government down to its earlier commitments,= which call for =94full=94 unconditional nuclear cooperation. This is lik= ely to narrow the government's room for manoeuvre and compromise.=20 ***** +Indo-US Nuclear Deal Tests Japan's Policies (http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=3D34716) +India Abandons Global Nuclear Disarmament=20 (http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=3D30776) +Snags Surface in India-US Nuclear Deal=20 (http://ipsnews.net/interna.asp?idnews=3D32050) (END/IPS/AP/WD/NU/DV/SC/WT/PB/RDR/06)=20 =20 =3D 10020542 ORP001 NNNN ***************************************************************** 16 BBC: Musharraf nuclear claims attacked Last Updated: Monday, 2 October 2006 By Gordon Corera Security correspondent, BBC News [Abdul Qadeer Khan ] Dr Khan's confessions sparked worldwide concern The daughter of disgraced Pakistani nuclear scientist AQ Khan has criticised claims made by President Pervez Musharraf in his autobiography. In her first statement since her father's arrest in 2004, Dina Khan said she wanted to set the record straight. She said suggestions that her father asked her to go public on Pakistan's nuclear secrets were "ludicrous". Dr Khan was put under house arrest after admitting passing nuclear secrets to Iran, North Korea and Libya. Perhaps the hope is to have h rot quietly at home, forgotten by all Dina Khan Pakistan's cloistered scientist In his book, President Musharraf said that Dr Khan sent a letter to his daughter, Dina, asking her to "go public on Pakistan's nuclear secrets" through British journalists. Now, Dina Khan has hit back. In a statement provided to the BBC, she says that Gen Musharraf's claims are "ludicrous". Instead, she claims that the letter was for her mother, Dr Khan's wife, and gave details of what had really happened. 'Paying the price' Dr Khan's arrest followed a tense period in which US pressure on Pakistan to act against him was building. [The cover of President Pervez Musharraf's memoirs] Evidence of nuclear arms transfers to Iran would damage Musharraf But moving against Dr Khan was tricky, not least because he remained intensely popular in parts of Pakistan thanks to his role in building Pakistan's own nuclear bomb. He also knew a lot of secrets about the country, including who at the top might have known about his illicit activities passing on technology. It has long been assumed that one of the reasons he has never been put on trial - or interrogated by the CIA - was because of who he might be able to implicate. Details of the letter to his daughter were intended to be released in the event of something happening to Dr Khan. "The letter gave his version of what actually transpired and requested my mother release those details in the event of my father being killed or made to disappear," Dina Khan said. She says the letter mentioned "people and places" but contained no nuclear blueprints or information. Dina Khan also says she was questioned by the British security service MI5 about the document but they were satisfied she had not committed any crimes and was not in possession of any important information. "The mistake my father made was in being far too vocal in his opinion about those in power, and as a result he is now paying the price," she writes. She says that her sister was forbidden from seeing her parents for a period of months, and that she was not allowed to travel to Pakistan for a year. "Our mail is opened, our mobiles are tapped and the house is bugged." 'US pressure' When he was placed under house arrest, pressure had been building on Dr Khan for a number of months. [Pakistan's Shaheen 2 missile] Dr Khan shared nuclear technology with nations like Libya and Iran International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors who visited the Iranian enrichment plant of Natanz in February 2003 had realised that the machines used by Iran were of the same design that Dr Khan had worked on when he was a young scientist in Europe and which he had used to build Pakistan's own programme. At the same time, Colonel Muammar Gaddafi in Libya had opened up a secret channel with MI6 to give up his nuclear programme which had been almost entirely provided by Dr Khan and his network. The US tried to put pressure on President Musharraf to put Dr Khan out of business in September 2003, when CIA director George Tenet confronted him in a New York hotel room with evidence of Dr Khan's activities, but Gen Musharraf still did not act and frustrations grew in Washington. In the end it took a phone call from then US Secretary of State Colin Powell in late January to seal Dr Khan's fate. Mr Powell warned Gen Musharraf that President Bush was about to give a speech and publicly name and shame Dr Khan. As a result, the scientist was brought before President Musharraf and forced to publicly confess. 'Truth' The CIA have never been allowed to interrogate Dr Khan directly, something they would very much like to do since it is still unclear how much nuclear technology he actually passed on to Iran. In the case of Libya, Dr Khan provided an actual nuclear weapons design. Some in Washington believe similar information may have been provided to Iran, proving Iran was after the bomb and not just peaceful nuclear power as Tehran claims, but they have never been able to prove it. However, all questions for Dr Khan have to be filtered through Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency, and no-one is sure they are getting the real truth. Allowing the US access to Dr Khan would be very sensitive within Pakistan, where he still has many supporters, as well as potentially embarrassing for Gen Musharraf, who simply wants to move on from the issue. US officials say, though, that one of the reasons Pakistan will not be offered a civilian nuclear co-operation deal of the type negotiated with India is precisely because of Dr Khan. The scientist remains under house arrest in Islamabad. He was recently allowed out briefly for surgery for prostate cancer. Dina Khan ends her statement with a warning. "The investigation into the nuclear scandal was officially closed months ago, yet my father's situation remains unchanged. Perhaps the hope is to have him rot quietly at home, forgotten by all. "That will never happen. The truth will come out eventually, it always does." ***************************************************************** 17 [NukeNet]NPR story on nuclear power Date: Mon, 02 Oct 2006 15:13:37 -0700 X-Nohoney: yes white-hard - relay H=adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net (borg.energy-net.org) [63.203.231.61] X-Sender-Host-Address: 63.203.231.61 X-Sender-Host-Name: adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net X-Spam-Class: HAM-VERY-WHITELIST NukeNet Anti-Nuclear Network (nukenet@energyjustice.net) Coalition for Peace and Justice; UNPLUG Salem Campaign, 321 Barr Ave, Linwood; NJ08221; 609-601-8583 ---------- From: Odiejoe@aol.com [mailto:Odiejoe@aol.com] Sent: Saturday, September 30, 2006 10:42 AM Subject: NPR story on nuclear power Dear Friends: This week, National Public Radio will air a program "Nuclear Power: Clean, Efficient Energy or a Disaster-in-Waiting". I hope you will tune in --- here are the stations that carry it (looks like those in NY City and Philadelphia are most in luck). Best, Joe Stations Click a column header to sort the list on that term. Station City Frequency Broadcast Time KSKA Anchorage, AK 91.9 FM Mon 9 am KBRW Barrow, AK 91.1 FM Sun 7 pm KXGA Glenallen, AK 90.5 FM Wed 11 am KHNS Haines, AK 102.3 FM Sun 4 pm KBBI Homer, AK 890 AM Sun 5 pm KRBD Ketchikan, AK 105.9 FM Thu 4 am KXKM McCarthy, AK 89.7 FM Wed 11 am KCHU Valdez, AK 770 AM Wed 11 am KUAZ Sierra Vista, AZ 89.1 FM Sun 5 pm KUAZ Tucson, AZ 1550 AM Sun 5 pm KPRX Bakersfield, CA 89.1 FM Sat 6 pm KVPR Fresno, CA 89.3 FM Sat 6 pm KVCR Hesperia, CA 88.1 Sun 2 pm, Mon 10 am KAZU Pacific Grove, CA 90.3 FM Sun 8 pm KVCR San Bernardino, CA 91.9 FM Sun 2 pm, Mon 10 am KCLU Santa Barbara, CA 102.3 FM Sun 7 pm KCLU Thousand Oaks, CA 88.3 FM Thurs 2 pm, Sun 7 pm KCLU Ventura County, CA 88.3 FM Sun 7 pm WETA Washington, DC 90.9 FM Sun 6 am WFSW Panama City, FL 89.1 FM Wed 12 noon WFSU Tallahassee, FL 88.9 FM Wed 1 pm WUSF2 Tampa, FL 89.7 Sat 6 am KPRG Guam, GU 89.3 fm Sat 1 am KIPO Honolulu, HI 89.3 FM Fri 4 pm KWOI [statewide], IA 640 AM Sat 3 pm KWOI Carroll, IA 90.7 FM Sat 3 pm KTPR Fort Dodge, IA 91.1 FM Sat 3 pm WSUI Iowa City, IA 910 AM Sun 9 pm KOWI Lamoni, IA 97.9 FM Sat 3 pm KISU Pocatello, ID 91.1 FM Thu 6 pm WSIU Carbondale, IL 91.9 FM Sun 6 am, 3 pm WVSI Mt. Vernon, IL 88.9 FM Sun 6 am, 3 pm WUSI Olney, IL 90.3 FM Sun 6 am, 3 pm WVPE Elkhart, IN 88.1 FM Sat 7 am WBOI Fort Wayne, IN 89.1 FM Sun 3 pm KMUW Wichita, KS 89.1 FM Sat 3 pm WZAI Brewster, MA 94.3 FM sat 4 pm, sun 4 pm WNAN Nantucket, MA 91.1 FM Sat 4 pm, Sun 4 am WCAI Woods Hole, MA 90.1 FM Sat 4 pm, Sun 4 am WYPR Baltimore, MD 88.1 FM Sun 2 pm WJTM Frederick, MD 88.1 FM Sun 2 pm WETH Hagerstown, MD 89.1 FM Sun 6 am WSDL Ocean City, MD 90.7 FM Fri 8 pm WCML Alpena, MI 91.7 FM Thu 7 pm WUCX Bay City, MI 90.1 FM Thu 7 pm WKAR East Lansing, MI 870 AM Sun 1 pm WCMW Harbor Springs, MI 103.9 FM Thu 7 pm WICA Interlochen, MI 91.5 FM Thu 9 am WCMU Mt. Pleasant, MI 89.5 FM Thu 7 pm WCMB Oscoda, MI 95.7 FM Thu 7 pm WCMZ Sault Ste.Marie, MI 98.3 FM Thu 7 pm WWCM Standish, MI 96.9 FM Thu 7 pm KRNM Saipan, Marianas Is., MP 88.1 FM Wed 8 pm, Sun 10 am KEMC Billings, MT 91.7 FM Thu 7 pm KBMC Bozeman, MT 102.1 FM Thu 7 pm KNMC Havre, MT 90.1 FM Thu 7 pm KECC Miles City, MT 90.7 FM Thu 7 pm KIOS Omaha, NE 91.5 FM Fri 12 noon WNJN Atlantic City, NJ 89.7 FM Sun 4 pm WNJS Berlin, NJ 88.1 FM Sun 4 pm WNJB Bridgeton, NJ 89.3 FM Sun 4 pm WNJZ Cape May Courthouse, NJ 90.3 FM Sun 4 pm WNJM Manahawkin, NJ 89.9 FM Sun 4 pm WNJP Sussex, NJ 88.5 FM Sun 4 pm WNJT Trenton, NJ 88.1 FM Sun 4 pm KANW Albuquerque, NM 89.1 FM Tue 9 am KTDB Pine Hill, NM 89.7 FM Sat 6 PM KNLK Santa Rosa, NM 91.9 FM Tue 9 am WSQX Binghamton, NY 91.5 FM Tue 1 pm WNYE New York, NY 91.5 FM Mon, Wed 4 pm WXXI Rochester, NY AM 1370 Sun 5 am WKSU2 Akron, OH 89.7 Sun 1 pm WOUB Athens, OH 1340 AM Thu 6 pm, Sun 9 am WYSO Yellow Springs, OH 91.3 FM Mon 11 pm WYSU Youngstown, OH 88.5 FM Sat 4 pm KWGS Tulsa, OK 89.5 FM Thu 8 pm WHYY Philadelphia, PA 91 FM Mon 10 pm WQSU Selinsgrove, PA 88.9 FM Sun 8 pm WPLN Madison, TN 1430 AM Sun 12 pm KAMU College Station, TX 90.9 FM Sat 11 am KSTX San Antonio, TX 89.1 FM Mon 7 pm KWBU Waco, TX 103.3 FM Sat 1 pm, Sun 7 pm KUSR Logan, UT 89.5 FM Thu 8 pm KUSU Logan, UT 91.5 FM Thu 8 pm KCPW Salt Lake City, UT 1010 AM Sun 11 am KCPW Salt Lake City, UT 105.3 FM Sun 11 am KCPW Salt Lake City, UT 88.3 FM Sun 11 am WFFC Charlottesville, VA 91.5 FM Sat 9 am, Sun 3 pm WWVT Christiansburg, VA 1260 AM Sat 9 am, Sun 3 pm WFFC Ferrum, VA 89.9 FM Sat 9 am, Sun 3 pm WFFC Lynchburg, VA 89.5 FM Sat 9 am, Sun 3 pm WFFC New River Valley, VA 1260 AM Sat 9 am, Sun 3 pm WRIR Richmond, VA 97.3 FM Tue 10 am WFFC Roanoake, VA 89.7 FM Sat 9 am, Sun 3 pm WISE Wise , VA 90.5 FM Sat 9 am KAOS Olympia, WA 89.3 FM Tue 12 noon KUOW2 Seattle, WA 94.9 FM Sun 8 pm KSFC Spokane, WA 91.9 FM Sat 1 pm, Wed 8 pm WAUA Beckley, WV 89.5 FM Tue 8 pm WVEP Buckhannon, WV 88.9 FM Tue 8 pm WVPW Charleston, WV 88.5 FM Tue 8 pm WVPN Elkins, WV 88.5 FM Tue 8 pm WVWV Huntington, WV 89.9 FM Tue 8 pm WVPG Martinsburg, WV 90.3 FM Tue 8 pm WVPB Matewan, WV 91.7 FM Tue 8 pm WVPM Parkersburg, WV 90.9 FM Tue 8 pm WVNP Wheeling, WV 89.9 FM Tue 8 pm KYPR Gillette, WY 88.9 FM Thu 7 pm _______________________________________________________________________ Subscribe/Unsubscribe Here: http://www.energyjustice.net/nukenet/ Change your settings or access the archives at: http://mail.energyjustice.net/mailman/listinfo/nukenet_energyjustice.net ***************************************************************** 18 Tritium's in water under TMI, study says Date: Mon, 02 Oct 2006 15:13:49 -0700 X-Nohoney: yes white-hard - relay H=adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net (borg.energy-net.org) [63.203.231.61] X-Sender-Host-Address: 63.203.231.61 X-Sender-Host-Name: adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net X-Spam-Class: HAM-VERY-WHITELIST » More From The Patriot-News LONDONDERRY TWP. Tritium's in water under TMI, study says Officials: Low levels pose no threat to public Saturday, September 30, 2006 BY GARRY LENTON Of The Patriot-News An environmental study at Three Mile Island confirmed that small amounts of tritium, a low-level radioactive form of hydrogen, are in groundwater beneath the nuclear power plant. But the study found the amount was far below the federal standard for drinking water, and there was no evidence the contamination was affecting the Susquehanna River or posing a risk to public health. The report did note that the groundwater was carrying the tritium to the Susquehanna, but concluded that the small amount of contaminant was being safely diluted by the river water to undetectable levels. Tritium was found in 42 of 66 water samples taken from more than 60 test wells around the plant. The report traced the contamination to four leaks that have occurred at the plant over the last 20 years, the most recent in June. "We have completed the most extensive tritium sample effort ever conducted at TMI," said TMI Site Vice President Rusty West. "The results show that the TMI station is operating in a manner that protects public health and safety." Exelon Nuclear, which owns TMI, Peach Bottom, Limerick and seven other nuclear plants in the U.S., ordered the inspections of systems that carry tritium-laced water in February. Tritium, a radioactive isotope of hydrogen, is a byproduct of the nuclear reaction that also occurs naturally in water. In large doses, it has been linked to cancer. TMI officials have been monitoring tritium since shortly after the 1979 accident that destroyed the Unit 2 reactor. There are 63 monitoring wells on the island; nearly half of them are new. Tritium leaks have become a much publicized problem for the nuclear industry in recent years, particularly Exelon. The company is in litigation over tritium contamination at its plant in Braidwood, Ill. In the last year, leaks have also been reported at Dresden, Ill., also owned by Exelon; Callaway, Mo.; San Onofre, Calif.; and Kewaunee, Wis. "This is, unfortunately, a predictable problem at aging nuclear power plants," said Eric Epstein, chairman of the watchdog group Three Mile Island Alert. In January, a coalition of public interest and watchdog groups, including TMIA, asked the NRC to require the industry to monitor more aggressively for tritium. "Our concern is that the tritium may have migrated off of the island in areas we have yet to monitor," Epstein said. Higher-than-usual tritium levels were found in a test well at TMI last fall. The amounts never exceeded 19,000 picocuries per liter of water, according to the state Department of Environmental Protection. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency allows up to 20,000 picocuries per liter in drinking water. There is no standard for groundwater. The EPA describes tritium as one of the least dangerous radioactive substances because it emits weak radiation and usually leaves the body within a month. GARRY LENTON: 255-8264 or glenton@patriot-news.com ***************************************************************** 19 [NukeNet] Indian Country Today reporter censored & terminated Date: Mon, 02 Oct 2006 15:13:51 -0700 X-Nohoney: yes white-hard - relay H=adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net (borg.energy-net.org) [63.203.231.61] X-Sender-Host-Address: 63.203.231.61 X-Sender-Host-Name: adsl-63-203-231-61.dsl.snfc21.pacbell.net X-Spam-Class: HAM-VERY-WHITELIST NukeNet Anti-Nuclear Network (nukenet@energyjustice.net) Brenda Norrell wrote much about Ward Valley all throughout that struggle and has written wonderful pieces about all of the nuclear injustice on Indian lands throughout the west. She has also been a voice of fairness, reason and truth in all areas regarding Indian Country. Please contact ICT and let them know they should not have fired this wonderful journalist. Molly September 28,2006 Indian Country reporter censored & terminated. TAKE ACTION NOW! Journalist Brenda Norrell has been fired by the newspaper Indian Country Today after years of undergoing their censorship of what she writes in support of indigenous peoples. Brenda is a long-time friend & ally to people especially throughout American Indian nations, giving voice to the Dineh people of Big Mountain, AZ who are resisting forced relocation, and destruction of their homeland through strip-mining by Peabody Coal. "These true stories being written about community based issues are a threat to the federal government as well as the tribal governments, who are only interested in upholding non-traditional tribal codes that accommodate and facilitate the exploitations and occupations of our homelands. There are less and less stories of real struggle and real warriors reported, and instead we have the implanted ideas and agendas of the corporate media. The real stories of injustice and resistance need to be heard." -Bahe Katenay, Big Mountain, AZ. It is important to not allow this kind of discrimination to continue, especially at a paper that purports to support indigenous rights. Brenda states that "The censoring of vital issues reflects what news reporters are enduring all over America." Brenda has always been there for the people; it's time that we show our support for her!! Please send letters to Indian Country Today expressing your outrage at the censorship of crucial facts and issues, and of an outstanding journalist! (CONTACT INFORMATION SUPPLIED BELOW.) Perhaps we should consider organizing a boycott of the paper the paper if there is no accountability and an end to the censorship! Thank you, ~BMIS ------------ From Brenda: Censorship, the other genocide, killing of the spirit Hello, I was just terminated by Indian Country Today. Since I began this effort as a news reporter in Indian country 23 years ago in pursuit of justice and truth, I feel I owe the readers an apology for allowing ICT to censor the truth in articles I have written. I did protest the censorship, but no retractions were published. Officially, my position is being eliminated on Friday. This comes after I repeatedly complained of censorship at the newspaper. During the past month these issues were censored: --Censored: After all reporters were told to write about the bird flu, I wrote about how Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld is profiteering by millions from the sale of the drug Tamiflu, receiving profits from a company where he holds shares. The article included information on the earlier attempts of companies to profiteer from the sale of ribavirin during the Navajo hantavirus outbreak. My article was censored in ICT and turned into an advertisement for the medication Tamiflu. --Raytheon Missiles on Navajo farm (NAPI) in the recent NAPI/Cuban contract story; I was told not to include in the article the fact that Raytheon is located on the Navajo farm and is responsible for spills leading to cancer in South Tucson, where Chicanos and Indians live. Raytheon produces missiles for the Department of Defense. --Tohono O'odham teen ran over by Border Patrol, recent visit to the site of Bennett Patricio Jr.'s death with Amnesty International; we were followed by undercover agents on tribal land Also, these are some of the articles censored since 2004: --The fact that Ben "Nighthorse" Campbell is Portuguese and grew up in California. His mother is full-blooded Portuguese and his story changed about his father through the years. One Northern Cheyenne medicine man asked ICT who Campbell is. Campbell first claimed to have some Apache blood and later changed it Northern Cheyenne. The Denver Post reported that Campbell is at least 7/8th non-Indian. Campbell did not respond for a request to comment. --Louise Benally of Big Mountain, comments comparing the Long Walk and imprisonment in Bosque Redondo to the atrocities in Iraq (this deleted from a published article) --Denial of prison rights to Leonard Peltier in an article on Indian prison rights --The Montana governor's criticisms of the war in Iraq during his formal address at NCAI's annual convention in 2005 --The handcuffing of Tohono O'odham Ofelia Rivas and attempts to silence her by a non-Indian police officer of the Tohono O'odham Nation --Comments by Bahe Katenay of Big Mountain on how the Navajo sacred place of Creation in Dinetah, near Bloomfield, NM, in the Four Corners area, is inundated with oil and gas wells and pollution from the power plants on tribal land. The ongoing censorship is a violation of the public trust. This is the second time I've been terminated at ICT since the newspaper was purchased by the Oneida Nation. I was already in bankruptcy because of the first time they terminated me in 2001 (for refusing to relocate, even though no male reporters were required to relocate.) To my knowledge, all female reporters who have not resigned have been terminated. To my knowledge, none of the male reporters have ever been terminated since the Oneida Nation purchased the newspaper. However, the bigger issue is censorship. The censoring of vital issues reflects what news reporters are enduring all over America. They are forced into silence because of the necessity of work. However, since ICT/Oneida Nation has already forced me into bankruptcy, I can share a little of the truth. One of those truths is that Indian gaming, at times, offers the illusion of wealth. There are two Indian editors that deserve a great deal of praise for what they have done over the past decades, Navajo Times managing editor Duane Beyal and Indian Country Today founder, Lakota Tim Giago. During the many years I worked for these two editors, I was never censored. When other publications refused to publish voices of Indian people opposing the war in Iraq, the Navajo Times published those. When other publications censored an article on Indians targeted by police in South Dakota, Lakota Journal published it. Those are just two examples. Both Beyal and Giago have championed the pursuit of truth and never attempted to censor Indian peoples' voices. I hope all Indian people will put pressure on Indian Country Today concerning the censorship. There is a select agenda being published in the name of "Indian Country," which does more to advance the interests of the Oneida Nation and Indian gaming. At ICT, I was repeatedly told to halt writing articles about "grassroots people and the genocide of American Indians," by one of the non-Indian managing editors. Also, I hope people will question ICT hiring non-Indian managing editors with no prior experience in Indian issues or Indian country, and little experience in journalism. The managing editors are the ones actually in the New York ICT office, chosing content and putting the paper out. For years there has been a series of non-Indian managing editors with no prior experience in Indian country. The censorship and errors have increased. It is easy to look at ICT and see what the agenda is and what is being censored. There's certainly no articles on Leonard Peltier or how Arizona Indian tribal members are living in poverty while the casino gaming management makes a fortune. (One Tohono O'odham casino manager made $800,000, according to a recent mainstream news article.) Of course, I will continue to write for other Indian media, provide information to radio stations and write for the UN Observer and International Report at the Hague. It is sad that at such a crucial time, while so many reporters are being censored by corporations and the Bush administration, that Indian Country Today has taken all of these extreme acts of censorship. This censorship of Indian voices constitutes another form of genocide, a killing of the spirit of the people. Best, Brenda Norrell Brenda Norrell b_norrell@yahoo. com ------------ --- CONTACT INFORMATION FOR INDIAN COUNTRY TODAY: Print Edition Editor Contact for issues relating to the web articles, staff and print edition of ICT. Email: _editor@indiancount ry.com Editorial Fax: 1.315.829.8393 Current Subscribers & Vendors: ssharkey@indiancoun try.com Address: 3059 Seneca Turnpike Canastota, NY 13032 ------------ ---- About ICT, in their own words: "Since 1981, Indian Country Today has been a persuasive voice in American Indian journalism, leading the way with accurate and timely reporting, incisive analysis and pointed commentary. Indian Country Today publishes more original journalistic content on American Indian issues than any other news source. Our success is due to the professionalism and dedication of our staff journalists based in key regional locations across North America. Whether sounding an alarm from the corridors of the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., or conveying the pounding energy of a Southern plains pow wow, Indian Country Today's gifted news team finds the essence of what's happening in Indian country and carries it faithfully to our readers. In 1998, Four Directions Media, Inc., owned and operated by the Oneida Nation of New York, purchased Indian Country Today and established corporate headquarters in New York State. As we enter our third decade of reporting, we have added the viewpoints of correspondents, guest columnists and photographers to our established journalistic core. Our subscribers in North America and abroad, including most Tribal leaders, U.S. senators and representatives, officials in the Bureau of Indian Affairs, lawyers, educators, students, business professionals, and local and state politicians, rely on Indian Country Today for a American Indian perspective of unparalleled clarity, consistency, credibility, and focus." http://www.blackmes ais.org - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Tori Woodard is a dear friend of mine who now lives in China. She just got back from a 30-day trip through Mongolia. The following quote is from an email to me after visiting a temple - "After we look at some particularly frightening gods, Muugii asks me what my religion is. I shrug and say I don't have one. Her response surprises me: "Then you're free!" Mongolians understand freedom." Molly Johnson 6290 Hawk Ridge Place San Miguel, CA 93451 Cell: 805 296-0524 Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls. Great rates starting at 1¢/min. _______________________________________________________________________ Subscribe/Unsubscribe Here: http://www.energyjustice.net/nukenet/ Change your settings or access the archives at: http://mail.energyjustice.net/mailman/listinfo/nukenet_energyjustice.net ***************************************************************** 20 NRC: NRC to Conduct Special Inspection at Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station News Release - Region IV - 2006-02 U.S. NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Office of Public Affairs, Region IV No. IV-06-022 October 2, 2006 CONTACT: Victor Dricks Phone: 817-860-8128 E-mail: opa4@nrc.gov The Nuclear Regulatory Commission will conduct a special inspection to evaluate problems related to the emergency diesel generators at the Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station, located 50 miles west of Phoenix, Ariz. NRC is taking this action following the failure of a Unit 3 emergency diesel generator to activate during testing on July 25 and Sept. 22. NRC requires the emergency diesel generators be tested monthly to ensure they are capable of performing their safety function. The generators produce electricity for safety systems and components in the event of a loss of offsite power during an emergency. A preliminary review by Arizona Public Service Co., which operates Palo Verde, suggests there may be a problem with a component that is part of an electrical relay used to activate the generators. APS has taken corrective action to ensure the emergency diesel generators will work, said Region IV Administrator Bruce S. Mallett. But we felt it appropriate to take a deeper look at this issue through a special inspection. The special inspection will evaluate the adequacy of the licensees response to the situation, the root cause of the problem, corrective actions, and determine if there are generic implications for other nuclear power plants. The NRCs special inspection team, consisting of two inspectors from the NRCs Region IV office in Arlington, Texas, is expected to begin its review tomorrow. The team will spend about a week on site and prepare a written report that will be issued about four weeks after the inspection is completed. The report will be publicly available on the agencys web site and through its Electronic Reading Room at: http://www.nrc.gov as an Agencywide Document Access and Management System (ADAMS) document. Help in using ADAMS is available through the NRC Public Document Room by calling 1-800-397-4209. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NRC news releases are available through a free list serve subscription at the following Web address: http://www.nrc.gov/public-involve/listserver.html. The NRC homepage at www.nrc.gov also offers a SUBSCRIBE link. E-mail notifications are sent to subscribers when news releases are posted to NRC's Web site. Last revised Monday, October 02, 2006 ***************************************************************** 21 The NewStandard: Senators Move to Rush Yucca Nuke Dump - Nuclear Waste Policy Act Nuclear Regulatory Commission How Much Nuclear Waste Is In The United States? Dept. of Energy Corporations Could Buy: Summary of Industry Giveaways in the 2005 Energy Bill" Public Citizen src="http://peoplesnetworks.net/images/icon_acrobat.png" alt="PDF File - requires Adobe Acrobat - click to obtain" title="PDF File - requires Adobe Acrobat - click to obtain" border="0" /> [Document] "Principles for Safeguarding Nuclear Waste at Reactors" Public Citizen Launch Effort To Secure Spent " Congressmember Hinchey Markey and other Members of Congress Join with Safe Energy Groups in Call" Nuclear Information and Resource Service Catherine Komp is a staff journalist. by Catherine Komp With no long-term solution for the US nuclear waste problem in sight, activists prefer reinforced, on-site storage rather than distant, centralized dumping. Oct. 2 Critics of congressional proposals to address the mounting problem of storing radioactive nuclear waste say lawmakers are ignoring science and jeopardizing public health and safety by proposing to push nuclear waste onto a controversial Nevada site that remains far from approval. Sign up to receive NewStandard headlines and extras by e-mail weekday mornings! Your privacy is strictly respected. Before Congress adjourned last week, Senator Pete Domenici (R–New Mexico) introduced the "Nuclear Waste Acceleration to Yucca" bill, which would permit disposal of nuclear fuel at Yucca Mountain as early as 2010. Critics see Domenici’s move as an attempt to skirt the established process for waste-storage approval, which they have managed to stall, citing environmental and safety concerns. "[I]t is not a site that can be licensed given reasonable standards for health and public safety," said Michele Boyd, legislative counsel with Public Citizen. Domenici’s bill, co-sponsored by Senator Larry Craig (R–Idaho), would also amend the 1982 Nuclear Waste Policy Act – the bill requiring the US government to start disposing of waste by 1998 – to eliminate the cap on the amount of waste that can be stored at Yucca Mountain. Currently, the statutory limit is 70,000 metric tons of high-level radioactive waste for the first permanent nuclear storage facility built in the United States. According to the Department of Energy (DOE), 53,440 metric tons of reactor and "defense-related" radioactive waste is currently awaiting a permanent storage solution. The agency estimates that amount will rise to 119,000 metric tons by 2035. Domenici’s bill would also eliminate the cap on the amount of waste that can be stored at Yucca Mountain. Another provision in the bill would permit the DOE to move spent fuel to Yucca Mountain and begin construction on the waste facility before the site is licensed as a permanent repository by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). "This bill does all these things to put pressure on opening up Yucca Mountain when the basic science of the program is really questionable," Boyd told The NewStandard. The Yucca Mountain site has been mired in controversy since Congress approved it in 2002. Critics have questioned the government’s scientific analysis of the site after the DOE released official e-mails suggesting US Geological Survey scientists were falsifying and manipulating data to move the project forward. Last December, the Department suspended some of the safety and engineering work contractor Bechtel was conducting on the site after whistleblowers revealed the company was engaging in questionable scientific analysis. Domenici, who chairs the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, is also under fire for a provision he attached to the FY 2007 Energy and Water Appropriations Bill that would create interim storage sites, also called Consolidation and Preparation (CAP) facilities, for nuclear waste in dozens of states. According the DOE, 53,440 metric tons of reactor and "defense-related" radioactive waste is currently awaiting a permanent storage solution. The agency estimates that amount will rise to 119,000 metric tons by 2035. A coalition of ten state attorneys general sent a letter to Domenici and co-sponsor Harry Reid (D–Nevada), lambasting the proposal. Their missive said the bill would give the DOE "fast-tracked" and "unchecked power" to stick their states with unwanted waste sites. A TNS analysis of the provision confirms it would authorize the DOE to designate sites for storage of nuclear waste in each of the 31 states that house nuclear reactors "in consultation with" state governors. Senator Reid, an opponent of the Yucca Mountain site, is supporting Domenici’s interim storage site proposal as a way to keep the waste out of Nevada. Ann Alexander, environmental counsel to Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan, said the provision is unclear about states’ prerogative to influence such plans. Madigan told TNS that the bill’s "silence" on the topic of states’ sovereignty constitutes its "real danger." She noted that the legislation empowers the DOE to choose federal or purchased property and establish a site. Alexander said the provision could trump residential zoning laws or state environmental regulations. "If there were some endangered or threatened species, it’s not all clear under this law that the restrictions that would apply when such a species is present on a site would in any way prevent construction" of a waste site," she said. Alexander said they do not take a position on sending waste to Yucca Mountain "except to say that the law does require that a long-term repository be found" by the federal government. State leaders also criticize the short timetable for choosing interim sites – only nine months – and the unaddressed dangers of transporting radioactive waste, including accidents and the potential for terrorist attacks. "These principles for safeguarding nuclear waste … are not a permanent solution for the waste," said Boyd. "But what we are saying is it’s addressing the real problem, and the real problem is security." "The proposal would, given its truncated time frame, effectively require that shipments commence before any of these issues are sufficiently evaluated," wrote the Attorneys General. "The proposal does not contain even basic measures to address the major transportation-safety issues entailed in moving nuclear waste, such as emergency-response preparation, accident prevention, security and public education." Critics also accuse Domenici of hindering public debate about the controversial proposal by attaching it to an appropriations bill that offers no opportunity for public hearings or input. Public-interest groups also suggest the push for interim storage and to move waste quickly to Yucca Mountain is driven by the nuclear power industry. They argue that if the government creates a "solution" for the industry’s waste, companies can speed up the licensing process for new nuclear-power plants. Congress and the Bush Administration, a strong proponent of nuclear power, have authorized billions of dollars in subsidies for the nuclear industry in recent energy appropriations bills. But without a long-term solution for disposing of nuclear waste, groups say, the government should not be facilitating the generation of more nuclear waste. Boyd with Public Citizen, an organization that advocates for the phase-out of nuclear power, says right now the focus should be on protecting the public from the health, safety and security threats posed by storage of nuclear waste at current sites. Boyd said the investigations and audits following the allegedly flawed and manipulated data from government scientists and contractors has prolonged finding a long-term solution, adding that the decision to establish Yucca Mountain as a repository was a "political decision, not a scientific one." "These principles for safeguarding nuclear waste… are not a permanent solution for the waste," said Boyd. "But what we are saying is it’s addressing the real problem, and the real problem is security." Public Citizen and more than 100 public-interest and environmental groups are advocating for "hardened, on-site storage," or HOSS, at current reactors, in which waste is stored in highly reinforced dry casks. The coalition presented a proposal to the House Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality last month that calls for better protection and placement for pools of spent nuclear fuel, more funding to monitor and review sites and a prohibition against reprocessing nuclear waste. Though no states have yet endorsed HOSS, several members of Congress have voiced their support of this method of storing waste, which advocates say is the best way to secure the radioactive material against accidents and attacks. Congress members Edward Markey (D–Massachusetts), Maurice Hinchey (D–New York) and Eliot Engel (D–New York) are urging Congress and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to issue mandates requiring HOSS at the 103 reactor sites across the country. © 2006 The NewStandard. All rights reserved. The NewStandard is a non-profit publisher that encourages noncommercial reproduction of its content. Reprints must prominently attribute the author and The NewStandard, hyperlink to http://newstandardnews.net (online) or display newstandardnews.net (print), and carry this notice. For more information or commercial reprint rights, please see the TNS reprint policy. ***************************************************************** 22 RIA Novosti: Russian nuclear chief speaks on Tianwan NPP construction 02/ 10/ 2006 LIANYUNGANG (China), October 2 (RIA Novosti) - Russia will start building the third and fourth power units of the Tianwan nuclear power plant in China after the first and second units are launched, the country's nuclear chief said Monday. Russia's nuclear power equipment and service export monopoly, Atomstroiexport, has been building the Tianwan NPP, which uses improved VVER-1000 reactors and K-100-6/3000 turbo-generators, under the terms of a Russian-Chinese agreement signed in 1992. "The protocol signed at a session of the Russian-Chinese sub-commission Friday envisions that after work is completed on the first and second units, work will begin on the third and fourth power units of the Tianwan NPP," Sergei Kiriyenko, who took part in a meeting to discuss the construction process, said. Kiriyenko said that in terms of a combination of active and passive security systems, the plant was the world's safest. Atomstroiexport vice president Yevgeny Reshetnikov said Friday: "Russian specialists will be able to meet the previously agreed date for the handover of the first power unit of the Tianwan NPP by November 2006. By October 10 they will be ready to operate the first unit at 75% of capacity, and we are currently waiting for the Chinese side to authorize that." © 2005 RIA Novosti ***************************************************************** 23 The Mercury: Study: Tritium levels safe at power plant Evan Brandt, ebrandt@pottsmerc.com 10/02/2006 LIMERICK -- The Limerick Nuclear Generating Station is not actively leaking radioactive tritium into the groundwater or surface water, according to the final results of a study announced Thursday by Exelon Nuclear. The final results confirm preliminary results released July 31. The study is part of a company-wide assessment of potential tritium leaks at all 11 of Exelon’s nuclear plants across the country, which began in February. Tritium is a radioactive isotope of hydrogen and can be found in the environment as a chemical or a compound mixed with air or, most frequently, water, according to the federal Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry. It is produced in higher concentrations in water used in nuclear power production and its release is regulated by the federal Nuclear Regulatory Commission. "Slightly elevated levels of tritium" were found in six water samples taken from on-site wells at Limerick as well as in one surface water sample. However, the company release said those higher levels are the result of "historic releases." Exelon spokeswoman Beth Rapczynski described the "historic releases" as four "unplanned liquid releases" of tritium that took place "over the past 20 years." She said the spills had all occurred "in isolated areas on the plant property where you don’t normally find tritium" and had all been reported to the NRC and to the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection. All the spills were "within our permitted discharge levels" and there were no fines or violations associated with them, said Rapczynski. The level of radiation in the samples ranged from a low of 222 pico-curies per liter to a high of 1,500 pico-curies per liter. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s EPA safe water drinking standard for tritium is 20,000 pico-curies per liter. Last year, however, an arm of the National Academy of Sciences released a study that concluded that even low-levels of ionizing radiation, of which tritium is one potential source, pose a health risk if exposure occurs over a long period of time. The tests at the Limerick plant were conducted in nine new wells, seven existing wells and 12 surface water locations at the plant. Each sample was analyzed by an independent laboratory. "The news here is good," said Rapczynski. "We examined all of our systems that carry tritiated water and we found what we had expected, that none of them are leaking any tritiated water, and whatever escaped in the past is well below the safe drinking water standard set by the U.S. EPA." "The results from this systemic assessment can reassure our neighbors that we have continued our pledge to only operate in a safe, clean and reliable manner," plant manager Chris Mudrick said in the company’s prepared release. "Moreover, the enhanced detection techniques we have implemented will help ensure the future safe operations of Limerick Generating Station," he said. Rapczynski said the Limerick plant releases "highly diluted" tritiated water into the Schuylkill River, a drinking water source for more than 1.5 million Americans. She said tests taken downstream of the release point show the level of tritium in the water matches the level in samples from upstream. The results at the Limerick plant mirror those at the 11 other Exelon plants, for which results were also released Thursday. According to a company release, the studies show "there are no active leaks of tritium at any of the generating plants." Which is not to say there haven’t been in the past. The release makes note of the "historical release" at the Braidwood Generating Station in Illinois. In that case, a leak of tritiated water occurred over the course of four years, leading to a warning to Exelon from the NRC and a lawsuit by the Illinois attorney general. In its notice of violation, the NRC cited Exelon’s "multiple failures to properly evaluate the radiological impacts" of the releases. The Braidwood leak also triggered an advisory by the NRC, issued July 10, noting that tritium leaks had been discovered at five U.S. nuclear power plants -- three of them owned by Exelon. On July 13, the DEP issued a notice suggesting all nuclear power plants take measures to ensure tritium is not being released improperly from the plants. ©The Mercury 2006 Reader Comments Monday October 02, 2006 Pros and Cons of Power PlantsStudy: Tritium levels safe at power plant By: Monica E. Kirchner Power plants are one thing that everyone knows about. You rarely hear about the behind the scenes occurrences at these plants however. If you were to go up to about 10 people on the street and ask them what happened at all 11 of Exelon’s nuclear plants starting in February of this year, I guarantee that only one or two out of the ten will know. Beginning in February of this year, all eleven of Exelon’s nuclear plants were found to be leaking tritium. Tritium is a radioactive isotope of hydrogen and can be found in the environment as a chemical or a compound mixed with air or, most frequently, water (more info). All tests that were run on the polluted water showed that the levels of tritium were harmless. Nuclear Power Plants of any sort are extremely dangerous to the environment and to every person living on the planet. In this example, we all got lucky. The levels of tritium were harmless, to a point. The real question is, however, what happens when next time the levels are harmful. Then we have a real problem. People becoming sick or deathly ill, mutations in generation-to-generation, and other problems such as problems with the environment. What happens when those levels of nuclear chemicals become so high in our ground water, or it leaks into our well water, that it does do damage? Then these nuclear power plants will be doing far more damage than good. For instance, when there was the almost-meltdown of Three Mile Island, the world was in an uproar. Panic stricken people fled the area to places they hoped would be safe, but the truth was that no matter where they went, it wouldn’t be safe. That one meltdown of that one little plant could devastate the entire globe. The release of the toxins into the environment could go across the globe in a matter of ways. A few things that could happen would be that the chemicals would seep down into our ground water and be distributed to many households, businesses, etc. Another way, possibly even more devastating would be through rain. Everyone has heard of Acid Rain, well this would be acid rain to the extreme. Instead of measuring acidity, we would be trying to figure out how to measure levels of nuclear chemicals in the rain. Nuclear Power Plants are un-safe, hazardous to the environment and the entire globe, and something that more people should know about and hear about on a regular basis. On the other hand, Nuclear Power Plants, as dangerous as they can be, are great economically. In the long run, and possibly in the short, Nuclear Power Plants provide cheap and easy to afford energy for everyone. If it weren’t for the N.P.P.s, many people could not afford to heat or cool their homes. Prices these days have risen dramatically, but the use of these plants helps to bring those prices down to a level that even the below average American can afford. N.P.P.s are popping up all around the world, providing energy for people of all shapes, sizes, ages, races, and religions. They are a great thing for the world to have when it comes to cheaper electricity and heating needs. However, looking at both the negatives and the positives of this issue, I have come to favor one. I believe that even though these N.P.P. are bringing us cheaper electricity, the cons outweigh the pros. When I think about it, I would much rather pay higher amounts of money for heating or cooling, or electricity that have the chance of some deadly chemical(s) leaking out of the plant and polluting the world. I would much rather know that my health isn’t at stake, and the health of my possible future children and grandchildren isn’t at stake either. The leaks at these power plants, however minor they were, still shows that the power plants aren’t one hundred percent safe and that they cannot always keep these toxic chemicals from seeping out into the environment. It just goes to show that there is a good chance for more leaks in the future, and that they could be worse than the ones that have occurred in all of the Exelon’s plants around the country. Monica E. Kirchner, Lebanon, Pennsylvania ©2006 Pottstown Mercury - a Journal Register Property. All Rights reserved. ***************************************************************** 24 NRC: NRC Public Meeting Scheduled for Oct. 6th to Discuss Indian Point Nuclear Plant’s Alert and Notification System News Release - Region I - 2006-05 U.S. NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Office of Public Affairs, Region I No. I-06-054 October 2, 2006 CONTACT: Diane Screnci (610) 337-5330 Neil A. Sheehan (610) 337-5331 E-mail: opa1@nrc.gov Current performance issues involving the Indian Point nuclear power plants emergency notification system will be the topic of an NRC public meeting scheduled for Friday, Oct. 6. The meeting, which will be between NRC and Entergy management, will begin at 1 p.m. at Crystal Bay on the Hudson Charles Point Marina, 5 John Walsh Blvd. in Peekskill, N.Y. (Directions are available at: http://www.crystal-bay.com/location.html.) Following the meeting, which will be open to public observation, NRC staff will be available to answer questions regarding the subject. Entergy Nuclear Northeast operates Indian Point, located in Buchanan, N.Y. Like other U.S. commercial nuclear power plants, Indian Point is required to have an alert and notification system within the 10-mile emergency planning zone around the facility. The system is designed to alert the public in the unlikely event that there is an event at the plant, so that they can listen to the emergency broadcast stations in their area for information and instructions. In recent years, Indian Points siren system has experienced a number of failures. More recently, there have been three occasions when the system was unavailable due to hardware and/or human performance problems. The purpose of the Oct. 6th meeting is to discuss the companys corrective actions to address the systems ongoing performance issues; steps being taken by the company to avoid similar problems with the new system it is installing; and the status of the installation of that new system. In response to an NRC order issued last January that implements requirements in the Energy Policy Act of 2005, Entergy is replacing its current emergency notification system. Among other things, the order requires that the new system feature back-up power. Entergy is required to satisfy the requirements of the order by Jan. 30, 2007. NRC news releases are available through a free list serve subscription at the following Web address: http://www.nrc.gov/public-involve/listserver.html. The NRC homepage at www.nrc.gov also offers a SUBSCRIBE link. E-mail notifications are sent to subscribers when news releases are posted to NRC's Web site. Last revised Monday, October 02, 2006 ***************************************************************** 25 NRC: Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards; Procedures for Meetings FR Doc E6-16136 [Federal Register: October 2, 2006 (Volume 71, Number 190)] [Notices] [Page 58015-58016] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr02oc06-124] Background This notice describes procedures to be followed with respect to meetings conducted by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's (NRC's) Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards (ACRS) pursuant to the Federal Advisory Committee Act (FACA). These procedures are set forth so that they may be incorporated by reference in future notices for individual meetings. The ACRS is a statutory group established by Congress to review and report on nuclear safety matters and applications for the licensing of nuclear facilities. The Committee's reports become a part of the public record. The ACRS meetings are conducted in accordance with FACA. They are normally open to the public and provide opportunities for oral or written statements from members of the public to be considered as part of the Committee's information gathering process. ACRS reviews do not normally encompass matters pertaining to environmental impacts other than those related to radiological safety. The ACRS meetings are not adjudicatory hearings such as those conducted by the NRC's Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel as part of the Commission's licensing process. General Rules Regarding ACRS Full Committee Meetings An agenda will be published in the Federal Register for each full Committee meeting. There may be a need to make adjustments to the agenda to facilitate the conduct of the meeting. The Chairman of the Committee is empowered to make such adjustments to conduct the meeting in a manner that, in his/her judgment, will facilitate the orderly conduct of business, including making provisions to continue the discussion of matters not completed on the scheduled day on another meeting day. Persons planning to attend the meeting may contact the Designated Federal Official (DFO) specified in the Federal Register Notice prior to the meeting to be advised of any changes to the agenda that may have occurred. The following requirements shall apply to public participation in ACRS full Committee meetings: (a) Persons who plan to submit written comments at the meeting should provide 35 copies to the DFO at the beginning of the meeting. Persons who cannot attend the meeting but wish to [[Page 58016]] submit written comments regarding the agenda items may do so by sending a readily reproducible copy addressed to the DFO specified in the Federal Register Notice, care of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC 20555- 0001. Comments should be limited to items being considered by the Committee. Comments should be in the possession of the DFO five days prior to the meeting to allow time for reproduction and distribution. (b) Persons desiring to make oral statements at the meeting should make a request to do so to the DFO. If possible, the request should be made five days before the meeting, identifying the topic(s) on which oral statements will be made and the amount of time needed for presentation so that orderly arrangements can be made. The Committee will hear oral statements on topics being reviewed at an appropriate time during the meeting as scheduled by the Chairman. (c) Information regarding topics to be discussed, changes to the agenda, whether the meeting has been canceled or rescheduled, and the time allotted to present oral statements can be obtained by contacting the DFO. (d) The use of still, motion picture, and television cameras may be limited to selected portions of the meeting as determined by the Chairman and subject to the condition that the use of such equipment will not interfere with the conduct of the meeting. The DFO will have to be notified prior to the meeting and will authorize the use of such equipment after consultation with the Chairman. The use of such equipment will be restricted as is necessary to protect proprietary or privileged information that may be in documents, folders, etc., in the meeting room. Electronic recordings will be permitted only during those portions of the meeting that are open to the public. (e) A transcript will be kept for certain open portions of the meeting and will be available in the NRC Public Document Room (PDR), One White Flint North, Room O-1F21, 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852-2738. A copy of the certified minutes of the meeting will be available at the same location three months following the meeting. Copies may be obtained upon payment of appropriate reproduction charges. ACRS meeting agenda, transcripts, and letter reports are available through the NRC Public Document Room at pdr@nrc.gov, by calling the PDR at 1-800-394-4209, or from the Publicly Available Records System (PARS) component of NRC's document system (ADAMS) which is accessible from the NRC Web site at http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/adams.html or http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/ (ACRS oc-collections/ (ACRS schedules and agendas). (f) Video teleconferencing service is available for observing open sessions of ACRS meetings. Those wishing to use this service for observing ACRS meetings should contact Mr. Theron Brown, ACRS Audio Visual Technician, (301-415-8066) between 7:30 a.m. and 3:45 p.m. Eastern Time at least 10 days before the meeting to ensure the availability of this service. Individuals or organizations requesting this service will be responsible for telephone line charges and for providing the equipment and facilities that they use to establish the video teleconferencing link. The availability of video teleconferencing services is not guaranteed. ACRS Subcommittee Meetings In accordance with the revised FACA, the agency is no longer required to apply the FACA requirements to meetings conducted by the Subcommittees of the NRC Advisory Committees, if the Subcommittee's recommendations would be independently reviewed by its parent Committee. The ACRS, however, chose to conduct its Subcommittee meetings in accordance with the procedures noted above for ACRS full Committee meetings, as appropriate, to facilitate public participation, and to provide a forum for stakeholders to express their views on regulatory matters being considered by the ACRS. When Subcommittee meetings are held at locations other than at NRC facilities, reproduction facilities may not be available at a reasonable cost. Accordingly, 50 copies of the materials to be used during the meeting should be provided for distribution at such meetings. Special Provisions When Proprietary Sessions Are To Be Held If it is necessary to hold closed sessions for the purpose of discussing matters involving proprietary information, persons with agreements permitting access to such information may attend those portions of the ACRS meetings where this material is being discussed upon confirmation that such agreements are effective and related to the material being discussed. The DFO should be informed of such an agreement at least five working days prior to the meeting so that it can be confirmed, and a determination can be made regarding the applicability of the agreement to the material that will be discussed during the meeting. The minimum information provided should include information regarding the date of the agreement, the scope of material included in the agreement, the project or projects involved, and the names and titles of the persons signing the agreement. Additional information may be requested to identify the specific agreement involved. A copy of the executed agreement should be provided to the DFO prior to the beginning of the meeting for admittance to the closed session. Dated: September 26, 2006. Andrew L. Bates, Advisory Committee Management Officer. [FR Doc. E6-16136 Filed 9-29-06; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 7590-01-P ***************************************************************** 26 NRC: Southern Nuclear Operating Company, et al.; Vogtle Electric FR Doc E6-16137 [Federal Register: October 2, 2006 (Volume 71, Number 190)] [Notices] [Page 58014-58015] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr02oc06-123] Generating Plant, Unit 2; Environmental Assessment and Finding of No Significant Impact The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is considering issuance of an exemption from Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR), part 54, section 54.17(c), for Facility Operating License No. NFP-81, issued to Southern Nuclear Operating Company, Inc., (the licensee), for operation of Vogtle Electric Generating Plant, Unit 2 (Vogtle Unit 2), located in Burke County, Georgia. Therefore, as required by 10 CFR 51.21, the NRC is issuing this environmental assessment and finding of no significant impact. Environmental Assessment Identification of the Proposed Action The proposed action would exempt the licensee from the requirement of 10 CFR 54.17(c), which specifies that an applicant (for the purposes of license renewal, the licensee is the applicant) may apply for a renewed operating license no earlier than 20 years before the expiration of the operating license currently in effect. The proposed action is in accordance with the licensee's application for an exemption dated May 22, 2006. [[Page 58015]] The Need for the Proposed Action In accordance with 10 CFR 54.17(c), the earliest date that the applicant could apply for a renewed operating license for Vogtle Unit 2 would be February 9, 2009. The licensee plans to apply for license renewal for Vogtle Units 1 and 2 on June 28, 2007. Vogtle Unit 1 will have accumulated 20 years operating experience by June 28, 2007 and will meet the requirements of 10 CFR 54.17(c). The proposed exemption for Unit 2 is required to allow the licensee to apply for the renewal of both Vogtle operating licenses concurrently. The request seeks only schedular relaxation without any other substantive reliefs. Environmental Impacts of the Proposed Action The NRC has completed its evaluation of the proposed action and concludes that the issuance of the proposed exemption will not have a significant environmental impact. The proposed schedular exemption pertains solely to the future submission of an application to renew the Vogtle 2 operating license. It causes no changes to the current design or operation of Vogtle 2 and imparts no prejudice in the future review of the application for license renewal. The details of the staff's safety evaluation will be provided in the exemption that will be issued as part of the letter to the licensee approving the exemption to the regulation. The proposed action will not significantly increase the probability or consequences of accidents. No changes are being made in the types of effluents that may be released off site. There is no significant increase in the amount of any effluent released off site. There is no significant increase in occupational or public radiation exposure. Therefore, there are no significant radiological environmental impacts associated with the proposed action. With regard to potential non-radiological impacts, the proposed action does not have a potential to affect any historic sites. It does not affect non-radiological plant effluents and has no other environmental impact. Therefore, there are no significant non- radiological environmental impacts associated with the proposed action. Accordingly, the NRC concludes that there are no significant environmental impacts associated with the proposed action. Environmental Impacts of the Alternatives to the Proposed Action As an alternative to the proposed action, the staff considered denial of the proposed action (i.e., the ``no-action'' alternative). Denial of the application would result in no change in current environmental impacts. The environmental impacts of the proposed action and the alternative action are similar. Alternative Use of Resources This action does not involve the use of any different resources than those previously considered in the Final Environmental Statement (FES) for Vogtle Unit 2, NUREG-1087, ``Final Environmental Statement Related to the Operation of the VEGP [Vogtle Electric Generating Plant], Units 1 and 2,'' dated December 1985. Agencies and Persons Consulted In accordance with its stated policy, on August 4, 2006, the staff consulted with the Georgia State official, Mr. Jim Hardeman of the Department of Natural Resources, regarding the environmental impact of the proposed action. The State official had no comments. Finding of No Significant Impact On the basis of the environmental assessment, the NRC concludes that the proposed action will not have a significant effect on the quality of the human environment. Accordingly, the NRC has determined not to prepare an environmental impact statement for the proposed action. For further details with respect to the proposed action, see the licensee's letter dated May 22, 2006. Documents may be examined, and/or copied for a fee, at the NRC's Public Document Room (PDR), located at One White Flint North, Public File Area O1 F21, 11555 Rockville Pike (first floor), Rockville, Maryland. Publicly available records will be accessible electronically from the Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Public Electronic Reading Room on the Internet at the NRC Web site, http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/adams.html. Persons who do not have access to ADAMS or who encounter problems in accessing the documents located in ADAMS should contact the NRC PDR Reference staff by telephone at 1-800-397-4209 or 301-415-4737, or send an e-mail to pdr@nrc.gov. Dated at Rockville, Maryland, this 11th day of September 2006. For the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Christopher Gratton, Sr. Project Manager, Plant Licensing Branch II-1,Division of Operating Reactor Licensing,Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation. [FR Doc. E6-16137 Filed 9-29-06; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 7590-01-P ***************************************************************** 27 NRC: PPL Susquehanna, LLC.; Notice of Receipt and Availability of FR Doc E6-16138 [Federal Register: October 2, 2006 (Volume 71, Number 190)] [Notices] [Page 58014] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr02oc06-122] Application for Renewal of Susquehanna Steam Electric Station, Units 1 and 2 Facility Operating License Nos. NPF-14 and NPF-22 for an Additional 20-Year Period The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC or Commission) has received an application, dated September 13, 2006, from PPL Susquehanna, LLC., filed pursuant to Section 103 of the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended, and Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations Part 54 (10 CFR part 54), to renew the operating license (NPF-14 and NPF-22) for the Susquehanna Steam Electric Station, Units 1 and 2. Renewal of the license would authorize the applicant to operate the facility for an additional 20-year period beyond the period specified in the current operating license. The current operating license for the Susquehanna Steam Electric Station, Units 1 and 2 (NPF- 14 and NPF-22) expires on July 17, 2022 and March 23, 2024 respectively. The Susquehanna Steam Electric Station, Units 1 and 2 are boiling water reactors designed by General Electric. The units are located in Berwick, PA. The acceptability of the tendered application for docketing, and other matters including an opportunity to request a hearing, will be the subject of subsequent Federal Register notices. Copies of the application are available for public inspection at the Commission's Public Document Room (PDR), located at One White Flint North, 11555 Rockville Pike (first floor), Rockville, Maryland 20582, or electronically from the NRC's Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Public Electronic Reading Room under Accession Number ML062630217. The ADAMS Public Electronic Reading Room is accessible from the NRC's Web site at In addition, the application is available at . , on the NRC's Web page, while the application is under review. Persons who do not have access to ADAMS or who encounter problems in accessing the documents located in ADAMS should contact the NRC's PDR Reference staff at 1-800-397-4209, extension 301-415-4737, or by e-mail to . A copy of the license renewal application for the Susquehanna Steam Electric Station, Units 1 and 2 is also available to local residents near the Susquehanna Steam Electric Station at the Berwick Public Library, 205 Chestnut Street Berwick, PA 18603. Dated at Rockville, Maryland, this 26th day of September, 2006. For the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Frank P. Gillespie, Director, Division of License Renewal, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation. [FR Doc. E6-16138 Filed 9-29-06; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 7590-01-P ***************************************************************** 28 IPS: POLITICS: Indo-US Nuclear Deal Hits Doldrums Inter Press Service News Agency Tuesday, October 03, 2006 03:43 GMT Praful Bidwai NEW DELHI, Oct 2 (IPS) - The controversial United States-India "civilian nuclear cooperation" agreement met with a major setback over the weekend when the Senate formally went into recess without voting for a bill which would have granted the President George W. Bush the necessary powers to enable the deal to be implemented. The Indian government has been rattled by this development and is pinning its hopes on a brief session of the Congress in mid-November, when it reconvenes after elections to be held on Nov.7 to the entire House of Representatives and one-third of all seats in the Senate. Both the Bush administration and the Indian government had invested a great deal of effort into lobbying for a quick passage of the Bill (number S.3709) through the Senate. The House has already passed a broadly similar legislation. The two chambers are later meant to reconcile the two legislations and produce a single unified law. This law would implicitly recognise India as a nuclear weapons-state and permit civilian nuclear commerce with it although India has not signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) of 1970 and has become a nuclear power in violation of it. However, the Senate bill first ran into numerous procedural complications and then got tied up with extraneous or unrelated agendas of some Senators. For instance, Senate minority leader Harry Reid of the Democratic Party moved an amendment that would prevent all spent fuel coming to his native Nevada state for storage at the Yucca Mountain Repository. This would presumably include fuel burned in reactors supplied to India by the U.S. or from plants which use materials traded under the India-U.S. nuclear cooperation deal. On Saturday, the Democrats listed as many as 19 amendments to Bill S.3709 and rejected a proposal by Senate majority leader Bill Frist to have the Bill passed in its present form through a "unanimous consent" procedure, with the promise of some changes to be considered and discussed later. Although the Democrats agreed to accord a high priority to the Bill in the "lame duck" Senate session coming up after November 13, there is no guarantee that it will really be taken up for vote. The Democrats are expected to do better than the Republicans in the Senate elections and may not allow the new chamber to be convened till January. "All this is bad news for the deal", M.V. Ramana, an independent nuclear affairs expert based at Centre for Interdisciplinary Studies in Environment and Development, Bangalore told IPS. "But it's not terrible news. There is still a good chance that the Senate resolution will eventually go through. But there is now a higher probability that more and more new conditions will be imposed, which limit the degree of cooperation permitted under the deal or demand special assurances from India, which are not reciprocally sought from the U.S." If the deal cannot be approved by the present Congress, it will once again have to go through the entire process of drafting of separate resolutions for the two chambers of the new Congress and of securing agreement on them all over. The more the number of conditions imposed on the deal, the more it will differ in content from the original agreements signed between Bush and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in Jul. 2005 and in Mar. 2006. "It's clear that the fate of the nuclear deal now depends on the arcane processes and parochial concerns that mark U.S. domestic politics, rather than on the dynamics of the burgeoning India-United States strategic relationship," argues Achin Vanaik, professor of international relations and global policies at Delhi University. "Various Senators' preferences and sectional interests will influence the way the agreement is shaped. The initiative is no longer in India's hands." The Indian government is particularly disappointed and nervous at the weekend's result because it had made a strong pitch for the deal through its top diplomat and special envoy Shyam Saran, and more recently, through Defence Minister Pranab Mukherjee. Last week in the U.S., Mukherjee met various members of the India Caucus in Congress, as well as the Zionist group, the American Jewish Committee, and influential representatives of the Indian-American community. U.S. business groups, in particular the defence industry lobby and nuclear power equipment manufacturers, have also been strongly pitching in for the nuclear deal, according to Subrata Ghoshroy of the MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) Centre for International Studies in the U.S. He calls the deal a "triumph of the business lobby". But the triumph has not yet been fully accomplished. Had the Senate vote gone through before the recess, India would have been in an advantageous position at consultations which are due later this month in the Nuclear Suppliers' Group. The deal must be approved by the 45-member NSG before it becomes effective. The International Atomic Energy Agency too must clear it. There may be some opposition in the NSG to the agreement from the Nordic states, Ireland and New Zealand. China too is known to be uncomfortable with it, but is keeping its cards close to its chest. Besides this uncertainty, and problems likely to be caused by a shift in the balance of power between the Democrats and Republicans in the U.S. Congress, the deal faces two obstacles: one in America, the other in India. First, the Senate draft resolution explicitly prohibits the "export or re-export to India of any equipment, materials, or technology related to the enrichment of uranium, the reprocessing of spent nuclear fuel or the production of heavy water." But the Indian nuclear lobby is extremely keen on the "right" to reprocess spent fuel from power reactors, whether imported or domestic, so that it can extract plutonium from it. India has drawn up super-ambitious plans to produce 275,000 Mw of power (or more than double the Indian power generation capacity today from all sources combined) by the mid-21st century. This presumes the use of fast-breeders reactors based on the reprocessing of spent fuel. India's Atomic Energy Commission chairman is on the record as saying that he won't accept a deal which does not allow spent fuel reprocessing. It is not clear how the Bush and Singh government will crack this nut. Their difficulties will grow if the Democrats emerge stronger in Congress in the November elections. In that case, the influence of the traditional non-proliferation lobby will grow in the U.S., and the deal's passage will bear its impress. The domestic Indian obstacle is the political opposition, especially the right-wing Bharatiya Janata Party, which rejects any shift away from the "goalposts" set by the original Jul. 2005 agreement. It will try to hold the Singh government down to its earlier commitments, which call for "full" unconditional nuclear cooperation. This is likely to narrow the government's room for manoeuvre and compromise. (END/2006) Copyright © 2006 IPS-Inter Press Service. All rights reserved. ***************************************************************** 29 KARE 11 TV: Commission approves Xcel's nuclear waste plan for Monticello kare11.com :: In contrast to stormy meetings of the past on nuclear waste issues, it took less than an hour at a quiet gathering of state regulators for Xcel Energy Inc. to win approval for expanded storage of spent fuel at its Monticello plant. Unless lawmakers intervene early next year, Thursday's decision will become final in June, authorizing Xcel to store highly radioactive nuclear waste in above-ground containers outside its Monticello nuclear plant. The decision was made before a smattering of lobbyists, utility executives and environmental watchdogs, a far cry from the noisy hearings and protests of 1994 and 2003 when Xcel sought to expand storage at its other nuclear plant, Prairie Island. One difference is that this time, the decision was made by the PUC instead of the Legislature. In 2003, lawmakers handed off conditional authority for such issues to the commission, which otherwise regulates electric, natural gas and telephone service. Critics said the PUC was a less challenging arena than the Legislature. Xcel wants to store waste in up to 30 steel-and-concrete containers as part of its application for a 20-year license extension at Monticello, northwest of the Twin Cities. Xcel plans to start building the storage area next summer, and to begin filling the containers in 2008. The Minneapolis-based utility said keeping the plant open is the best option for supplying low-priced electricity and for avoiding air pollution from burning coal or natural gas. Monticello's radioactive waste will stay there until well after a permanent repository, proposed for Yucca Mountain, Nev., becomes available. "Under any scenario, it's going to be a substantial amount of time before all the spent fuel could be moved," said Jim Alders, Xcel's manager of regulatory projects. Beth Goodpaster, an attorney with the Minnesota Center for Environmental Advocacy, lamented the lack of discussion about the long-term hazards of nuclear waste. One PUC member, former state Rep. Tom Pugh, suggested that legislators might take up the issue next winter. But another, former state Rep. LeRoy Koppendrayer, stressed the industry's safety record. He said endorsing Xcel's plan was the correct decision. (Copyright 2006 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.) Last Updated: 9/29/2006 11:43:51 AM ©1998-2006 KARE-11 All Rights Reserved ***************************************************************** 30 San Luis Obispo Tribune: Gov. signs Blakeslee's energy bill 10/02/2006 | Asks state to examine future of nuclear power David Sneed dsneed@thetribunenews.com Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has signed a bill by Assemblyman Sam Blakeslee that requires the state to examine the future of nuclear power. The bill is the first legislative action by the state on nuclear power in 20 years. It requires that the state Energy Commission look at the cost to the state of the federal government’s failure to open an underground nuclear storage facility at Yucca Mountain as well as develop strategies to replace Diablo Canyon nuclear power plant’s electricity if it were lost due to a catastrophic earthquake. Blakeslee, R-San Luis Obispo, said the bill is "critical to ensure that the people of our state – and most importantly those who live in nuclear communities like mine – do not bear potentially significant impacts that may result from unfunded long-term storage." Pacific Gas and Electric is building an aboveground storage facility for Diablo Canyon’s nuclear waste. – David Sneed ***************************************************************** 31 Deseret News: University of Utah gets grant to fight 'dirty bombs' [deseretnews.com] Monday, October 2, 2006 University of Utah gets grant to fight 'dirty bombs' Researchers are developing drugs against radioactivity By Lois M. Collins Deseret Morning News The University of Utah will receive $665,000 to help find drugs to eliminate or reduce health effects of a radioactive or nuclear "dirty bomb" attack. The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases has awarded grants totaling $4 million to five different research organizations, including the U. The goal of the research is to identify and promote development of products that would help the human body get rid of radioactive atoms. Those products could be included in national stockpiles for rapid distribution in case of such an event. The grants are awarded under "Project Bioshield," enacted to help federal agencies speed research on medical countermeasures to protect citizens against chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear attack. In such an attack, radioactive material might be ingested, inhaled or absorbed and the body could excrete it or it could get into the bones, organs and other tissues, according to a news release announcing the grants. If that could be countered by products that bind the radioactive atoms or remove them from the body, lives could be saved. And while the national stockpile already has some anti-radiation treatments available, they want to add new treatments that work against a broader range of radioactive material and that can be rapidly distributed. The U. already has patents on several series of drugs shown to be effective against nuclear exposure, said Scott Miller, professor of radiology and nuclear engineering at the U. and principal investigator. He said it would be used to take the drugs they've developed and "move them toward the FDA approval pathway." When the U. researchers first started working on developing anti-radiation compounds, they were thinking of the need in case of nuclear accidents and worker exposures or because of environmental metals like lead or mercury that could be dangerous to humans. Dirty bombs never crossed their minds, Miller said. It's an important project for the people who live in Utah, he said, where there's a long history of exposures to both radiation and metals — for example, he said, the Nevada test site and uranium mines dumping into the environment. "What we want to do now is begin to look at a greater number of types of materials that might be used in a dirty bomb," said Miller. "We need to determine how effective our drugs are against these other materials and a broader range of metals." Efficacy is the focus of the first stages of testing, Miller said. It's a "rapid development" 18-month project. "We're under a lot of pressure to identify compounds, what they can be used for and get them into development quickly," he said. Two researchers in the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory each received grants that together total about $1.32 million. The other grants go to the University of Florida, Gainesville, $1 million; and University of California/Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, $998,325. E-mail: lois@desnews.com © 2006 Deseret News Publishing Company ***************************************************************** 32 reviewjournal.com: Scientists ponder future of Yucca Mountain dust Oct. 02, 2006 Predictions made on repository performance Scientists huddled in Las Vegas last week to discuss what could happen hundreds or thousands of years after dust settles on Yucca Mountain's nuclear waste containers. While there is still much work to do, consultants to federal agencies found that corrosion on waste containers stemming from dust and water infiltrating the volcanic-rock ridge won't be significant for tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of years. State consultants, however, who examined 2,000-year-old mud brick ovens and 3,500-year-old tunnel deposits in Egypt's harsh desert environment say there's not enough accurate data for computer models to make such predictions. In essence, scientists for Nevada contend their federal counterparts are making too many assumptions on how ideal conditions are going to be. "What we have is garbage going in ... and garbage going out," said Maury Morgenstein, geologist and president of Geosciences Management Institute Inc., a Nevada contractor, referring to the data on which the government is basing its conclusions. To make predictions on how the planned repository, 100 miles northwest of Las Vegas, will perform in the future in light of NRC guidelines, the scientists are attempting to answer a number of questions. Will ingredients in the dust such as salts of chloride, nitrate, sodium and potassium, mix with water vapor to form substances in sufficient amount that corrode the metal-alloy shell surrounding the steel-encased packages of deadly, used nuclear fuel? What role will heat generated by the decaying waste play in the process and will nitrate, for example, slow down the corrosion rate? The answers will weigh in the NRC's review of the repository's design when the Department of Energy submits a license application that's expected before June 30, 2008. Lietai Yang, a senior research engineer for the Center for Nuclear Waste Regulatory Analyses in San Antonio, said his team's work shows the potential for dust mixtures corroding the protective, nickel-chromium Alloy-22 shell around the disposal containers could be higher than once thought above 320 degrees Fahrenheit. That temperature for the waste container will occur first about a century after the repository is loaded, the doors are shut and the ventilation fans are turned off. The temperature will continue to rise for another few centuries then drop back to 320 degrees with dust corrosion occurring during that period of several hundred years, followed by brine corrosion up to several thousand years. In the dust phase, the corrosion rate is 10 times higher than it is as a vapor, Yang said. John Walton, a civil engineering professor at the University of Texas-El Paso and consultant to Nye County, noted that the dust samples that scientists are studying might not be representative of those in the future. His conclusion: "The corrosion environment is dynamic, periodic and poorly understood." After showing slides of a trip to El Hibeth, Egypt, Morgenstein said, "I don't think the question is what does dust look like now, the question really is what will dust look like in the future?" Chris Kouts, director of the Office of Waste Management for the Department of Energy's civilian radioactive waste branch in Washington, said vendors soon will be asked to submit designs for the waste-package system and canisters that will be sealed at reactor sites with spent fuel assemblies inside them. Copyright © Las Vegas Review-Journal, 1997 - 2006 ***************************************************************** 33 The Rebel Yell: Article: Nuclear waste discussed Current: 10/02/2006 Viewing: 10/02/2006 By: Brian Ahern In a dimly lit, sparsely populated conference hall in the Clark County Library on Thursday, the Southern Nevada Chapter of the National Organization for Women (NOW) held its monthly meeting. With less than ten people in attendance the audience may have been small, but the ideas presented and the assertions made were far from modest. Peggy Maze Johnson, Executive Director of Citizen Alert, was the night's guest speaker and the tone of the evening quickly became focused on nuclear power, waste and alternative sources of energy. Citizen Alert is an organization focused on uniting Nevada to overcome environmental and public health threats faced by the state. "I don't think you can be against the Yucca Mountain project without being against nuclear power altogether," Johnson said. She continued, saying that many of the common perceptions supporting nuclear power are not true. "We were being led down this little path," Johnson said. "Nuclear power is not clean and it is not safe." Johnson then placed nuclear power plants in her sights. "If we're going to say that we can't have nuclear waste, then we have to say that we can't have nuclear power plants," Johnson said. The Three Mile Island and Chernobyl disasters were used as examples of the inherent problems involved with nuclear energy and power plants. "We want to build more and more of these things, but we don't even know how to build them." For Johnson, too much is being done to develop nuclear energy, while renewable sources of energy such as solar and wind power are being largely underdeveloped. She criticized UNLV, acknowledging UNLV's increasing presence in the field of nuclear energy research and grants from the federal government. "The university needs to start looking more at renewables, not reprocessing of nuclear waste," Johnson said. Although Johnson was speaking at a NOW event, very little of what she said addressed the agenda of her audience directly. The scattered attention she did give to the interests of the group came in the form of generalities. "I believe that it's women who are looking beyond our generation," Johnson said. As with most speeches given close to elections, the night soon turned political. "It's not an endorsement," Johnson said, "but Dina (Titus) has been the only Nevada politician for years who has been a paid member of Citizen Alert ... she is at the forefront of renewable resources." As her speech came toward its end, Johnson reminded her audience what was at stake and what they needed to do. "This is war folks," Johnson said, urging those in attendance to take part in her crusade. "We have to be extremely vigilant." After the speech, the few attendees gathered around a table exhibiting merchandise for Democratic candidates running for a Nevada office in the quickly-approaching election. They handled stickers, buttons and t-shirts while NOW chapter president Jeri Ivens gazed around the room. "Next time I'll bring coffee and donuts," she said. Copyright © 2000-2006 The Rebel Yell | Privacy Policy | Terms ***************************************************************** 34 Deseret News: Is tailings work slow? [deseretnews.com] Monday, October 2, 2006 Matheson says yes; cleanup chief says no By Joe Bauman Deseret Morning News Rep. Jim Matheson says he is greatly concerned about lack of progress in removing a uranium-mill tailings pile in Moab, but the chief of the project maintains the U.S. Department of Energy has been working hard on it. ['Photo'] Deseret Morning News graphic The comments by the Utah Democrat come in a letter he sent Thursday to Samuel Bodman, the department's secretary. The letter was forwarded to the Deseret Morning News by Matheson's office. Donald Metzler, the department's project manager, could not be reached immediately for comment. Matheson wrote that over the past several months, the department "has repeatedly extended the timeline for issuing contracting requirements without clearly explaining the rationale for this delay." He said he found that worrisome, since the project must be fully budgeted and staffed in the 2008 fiscal year in order to meet the department's "own 2012 timeframe" to remove and relocate the pile. Congress indicated that it supports the pile's removal and the remediation of the site, "and time is of the essence," Matheson added. "In 2006, intense summer thunderstorms twice resulted in flash flooding that eroded the hillside adjacent to the tailings site and the top of the pile itself, possibly endangering the stability of the tailings," he wrote. He expressed concern that a flood could wash radioactive tailings into the nearby Colorado River. In a recent interview, Metzler said the project needs "to bring down a new remedial-action contractor." The current contractor helped the department prepare an environmental-impact statement and do site maintenance and some water cleanup. "We've been working hard all this year with headquarters to procure a new contractor," Metzler said. The department hopes to bring in the new contractor in the fall to begin work "so we can start moving the tailings." He said the situation is, "so far, so good. The Secretary of Energy has given this project a lot of attention." The pile amounts to 16 million tons of tailings, by far the largest that the department has tried to relocate, according to Metzler. The tailings are to be moved 30 miles, mostly by rail, to the vicinity of Crescent Junction, Colo. The department has about 100 people in Moab and Crescent Junction working on the project. "The Secretary of Energy is fully committed to moving these tailings," he added. Some contaminated material was moved onto the pile, shrinking the contaminated area, he said. The project has been bringing in offices, showers and a break room to the work sites at Moab and Crescent Junction. "We've been cleaning up groundwater. We're now starting our fifth year of groundwater cleanup," he said. The department is pumping groundwater contaminated with high ammonia content, pouring it onto the top of the pile, and catching water in a four-acre, lined pond, where it evaporates. That helps prevent thousands of pounds of ammonia and uranium from entering the Colorado River, he added. © 2006 Deseret News Publishing Company ***************************************************************** 35 AU ABC: Soil testing prompts uranium mine fears. 02/10/2006. ABC News Online There is growing concern among landowners on South Australia's Fleurieu Peninsula that their properties may become the site of a uranium mine. About 30 residents near Yankallila have recently been issued notices by the exploration company Marathon Resources about its intention to conduct soil tests on their properties. State Liberal MP Michael Pengilly's electorate of Finiss covers the region. He says the company appears to have taken a confrontational approach. "In other areas where this has taken place, which is quite legal I might add, they've had public information nights to let people know what they're going to do but this just seems to have been very sort of clumsy," he said. The Minister for Mineral Resources Development, Paul Holloway, says although Marathon Resources has a licence to explore the region, it is "highly unlikely" that uranium mining would ever take place. ***************************************************************** 36 DOE: U.S. Department of Energy and NTI Announce Key Nonproliferation Project with Kazakhstan September 29, 2006 Agreement Reached To Downblend HEU and Convert Reactor WASHINGTON, D.C.  The U.S. Department of Energy and the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) today announced that they have reached an important agreement-in-principle with the Government of Kazakhstan to move forward with the down-blending of highly enriched uranium (HEU) currently stored at Kazakhstans Institute of Nuclear Physics. The agreement also calls for the conversion of the VVR-K research reactor to operate on low enriched uranium fuel instead of HEU, which can be used in nuclear weapons. The agreement is an important step forward in fulfilling Kazakhstan President Nursultan Nazarbayevs pledge late last year to rid his country of its HEU. This agreement represents another example of the kind of productive cooperation the United States and Kazakhstan have shared in furthering nuclear nonproliferation, said U.S. Secretary of Energy Samuel W. Bodman. Our cooperative efforts support the Bush Administrations Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism, recently announced by Presidents Bush and Putin." The project will be administered through the Department of Energys National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA). NNSAs Global Threat Reduction Initiative (GTRI) will work with Kazakhstan to make arrangements for the down-blending of the HEU at the Ulba Metallurgical Plant in Kazakhstan and to initiate conversion of the VVR-K reactor. GTRI will contribute at least $4 million to this important threat reduction initiative. NTI played a key role in the agreement being reached by committing up to $1.3 million for a new reactor control and protection system to improve reactor safety and a beryllium reflector to enhance reactor performance. Kazakhstan and the United States are to be commended for the foresight and creativity needed to make this agreement a reality, said former Senator Sam Nunn, the co-chair of NTI. This project is an example of how governments, the private sector, and international organizations can work together to find innovative and effective solutions to make the world safer. NTI is proud to have played a role in making it happen. Under President Nazarbayevs leadership, Kazakhstan led the way in getting rid of all its nuclear weapons after the break-up of the Soviet Union and is once again showing the world a safer path by converting its weapons-usable highly enriched uranium to low enriched uranium. This nonproliferation cooperative project with Kazakhstan is critical to our efforts to eliminate excess amounts of potentially dangerous material around the world. Only through cooperation with the international community can we reduce the threat of nuclear terrorism, said NNSA Administrator Linton F. Brooks. Todays agreement follows a May 2006 agreement between the governments of Kazakhstan and the U.S. related to NNSAs Second Line of Defense program. Under that program, U.S. and Kazakhstan officials are working together to install radiation detection and integrated communications equipment at strategic border crossings in Kazakhstan to identify and deter illicit nuclear and radiological materials. NTI is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization dedicated to reducing the global threats from nuclear, biological and chemical weapons and is governed by an international Board co-chaired by philanthropist Ted Turner and former Senator Sam Nunn. The mission of GTRI is to identify, secure, recover and/or facilitate the final disposition of high-risk vulnerable nuclear and radiological materials around the world as quickly as possible. To date, approximately 230 kilograms of HEU have been returned to the Russian Federation from vulnerable sites around the world and 43 research reactors worldwide have been converted from operating on HEU. Established by Congress in 2000, NNSA is a semi-autonomous agency within the U.S. Department of Energy responsible for enhancing national security through the military application of nuclear science. NNSA maintains and enhances the safety, security, reliability and performance of the U.S. nuclear weapons stockpile without nuclear testing; works to reduce global danger from weapons of mass destruction; provides the U.S. Navy with safe and effective nuclear propulsion; and responds to nuclear and radiological emergencies in the U.S. and abroad. Visit http://www.nnsa.doe.gov/for more information. Media contact(s): Bryan Wilkes, (202) 586-7371 Cathy Gwin, (202) 454-7706 [ ] U.S. Department of Energy | 1000 Independence Ave., SW | Washington, DC 20585 1-800-dial-DOE | f/202-586-4403 ***************************************************************** 37 SF New Mexican: DOE: Energy Department: Sandia project unneeded Mon Oct 2, 2006 6:21 pm By ASSOCIATED PRESS ALBUQUERQUE (AP) - Sandia National Laboratories failed to back up the need for a $60 million project to refurbish an aging motor on a nuclear weapon, the U.S. Department of Energy's inspector general says. Sandia is refurbishing the spin rocket motor, which provides the thrust to arm the B61 nuclear weapon. The first unit is to be finished in December. The DOE's Office of Inspector General, in an audit of the program released last week, recommended the National Nuclear Security Administration make sure future weapons refurbishing projects are based on rigorous tests, that other options are identified and that supporting information is validated. The NNSA, in a response included in the report, disagreed with the findings, although it generally accepted the recommendations. "We absolutely disagree with the inspector general on this," Bryan Wilkes, an NNSA spokesman in Washington, said Monday. Doug Mangum, Sandia's systems engineering manager for the B61, also disagreed with the report. "I think we went through a very detailed review of the need for replacement, and determined ... that the project needed to be done. You don't wait for it to fail to replace it," he said. Mangum said Sandia had both performance and aging concerns with the motor. The audit came after questions were raised about the DOE's decision to proceed with the project. "While we recognize that the age of the spin rocket motor in and of itself may have provided a reasonable basis to be concerned about the performance of the existing motor, the project was approved before problems were fully investigated ... and before the cost impact of various options was fully evaluated," according to the report on the DOE's Web site. Glenn Kuswa and Dyan Clements, Sandia employees responsible for identifying problems in aging bomb parts, filed complaints alleging they were pressured to help sell the project, despite data they said showed the program was not justified, the Albuquerque Journal reported in a copyright story Monday. Kuswa's complaint said he was told in fall 2002 that "management was prepared to make heads roll" if he and his colleagues did not come up with data to quickly sell the replacement program to the federal government. The surveillance program where Kuswa and Clements worked monitors aging weapons, while a separate group designs replacements when problems are found. The inspector general said the NNSA received permission in December 2001 from a nuclear weapons committee to study the feasibility and cost of motor replacement options. The committee approved the development of a new motor in April 2003 based on Sandia's conclusion that the old motors did not perform to specifications in tests between 1997 and 2002 because of "detrimental aging." Some versions of the motor had been used for 30 years. The lab gave the NNSA a list of 20 anomalies in the motors. However, an analysis found 17 of the anomalies did not represent failures and thus did not fully support the lab's assertion that a new motor was needed, the inspector general said. The report also said some issues apparently were resolved before Sandia briefed the committee. It also contended the DOE did not have conclusive information on the cause and impact of test anomalies or information on the cost of other options. It said Sandia did not fully support its cost estimates and assumptions to support developing a new motor rather than refurbishing the old one. And it said the NNSA did not adequately validate key lab information before approving the project. The NNSA said the project was approved through a joint NNSA-Department of Defense process that included aging studies and analysis and peer review. "There was sufficient concern with aging in combination with spin rocket motor margins to justify the prudent course to replace the motor," the NNSA said in a July 24 memo to George W. Collard, assistant inspector for performance audits. "When it comes to components that do not have a clear limit life, it is often very difficult to accurately predict when the component will start to fail due to aging," the memo said. The NNSA said options and their cost were evaluated and that reviews concluded the project was warranted. Mangum said Sandia presented "a strong technical basis" for the project and defended its need to multiple agencies. "We provided the IG a lot of information that doesn't appear to have made it into the report or have been given due consideration," he said. ___ On the Net: DOE report: http://www.ig.energy.gov ©2006, Santa Fe New Mexican, all rights reserved. Opinions ***************************************************************** 38 Knox News: Move of bomb-grade uranium saves millions By By News Sentinel staff October 2, 2006 OAK RIDGE — Relocating stocks of bomb-grade uranium will save the government millions of dollars in security costs, federal officials said today. Ted Sherry, the Oak Ridge head of the National Nuclear Security Administration, said removing the highly enriched uranium from Building 9204-4 — also known as Beta-4 — means officials won’t have to improve the security there to meet new requirements. The reduced security needs at Beta-4 will save $17 million in the short term and about $137 million between now and 2018, when a new Uranium Processing Facility comes online. At that time, all of the plant’s enriched uranium will be stored at two facilities. "By moving out of the Beta-4 facility, we have been able redeploy our protective force personnel and thus reduce the amount of overtime in performing the security mission at Y-12," Sherry said in a statement released to the news media. The NNSA would not specify how much uranium was moved, but Steven Wyatt, a federal spokesman at Y-12, said the transfer involved more than 600 items in 240 containers. The amount of highly enriched uranium in storage at Y-12 is classified. Butch Clements, the plant’s security chief, recently said that the Oak Ridge facility had reduced its uranium storage sites by 30 percent. That means the plant doesn’t have to apply maximum security to as many facilities, he said. © 2006 - Knoxville News Sentinel ***************************************************************** 39 Knox News: Footnote in history Once a stop on itineraries of dignitaries, Oak Ridge Research Reactor awaits demise By FRANK MUNGER, munger@knews.com October 2, 2006 OAK RIDGE - Kings, queens and presidents-to-be. They all visited the Oak Ridge Research Reactor in the nuclear heyday of the 1950s and '60s. "It was the starlight of the world," said Gary Coleman, who watched as the reactor was built in 1957, worked there as an operator and supervisor for many years and was the facility's manager when it was shut down in 1987. JFK stopped there. So did LBJ and Gerald Ford. All before they reached the presidency. "We had tours there constantly," Coleman said. "That was a showplace, and they really showed it off. They brought people in constantly." Today the reactor, known familiarly as the ORR, remains almost intact. It was defueled in 1989, and a few items were later removed or relocated for safety reasons. But the control room is much as it was, lights still flickering on the panel. The reactor pool is filled with 125,000 gallons of de-mineralized water, which circulates there to provide shielding for highly radioactive components stored in the depths. Unlike its next-door neighbor, the Graphite Reactor, which was the world's first continuously operated reactor, the ORR will not become a history museum. The reactor currently is scheduled for demolition in 2013, and that may come sooner if money is available. Walter Perry, a spokesman for the Department of Energy, confirmed that the reactor is part of the Integrated Facilities Disposition Program - a $1.5 billion proposal that is being pushed by DOE's Oak Ridge office. That plan would accelerate the dismantling of dozens of old nuclear facilities at Oak Ridge National Laboratory and the Y-12 National Security Complex. The agreement with environmental regulators calls for removal of structures "at or below grade, depending on cost effectiveness and extent of soil contamination." The rubble and contaminated debris would be transported to the government's nuclear landfill in Oak Ridge. Until then, the reactor will linger in state. The annual maintenance cost is about $135,000, a small fraction of the $2 billion the government spends in Oak Ridge. "Processes and procedures are in place to maintain the building in a safe and stable condition until final decommissioning," said Dennis Hill of Bechtel Jacobs Co., the Department of Energy's cleanup manager. John Ettien, the manager of maintenance and surveillance, said there are weekly, monthly and quarterly checks to evaluate conditions inside the three-story, 37,000-square-foot reactor building. Water levels in the 30-foot-deep reactor pool are continuously monitored, and alarms would sound in the event of a leak, he said. An analytical team from Mississippi State University recently conducted tests of the aluminum plates that line the reactor pool to assess the amount of corrosion, which was deemed acceptable, said Darrell Dillinger, the facility manager. Taking down the 50-year-old reactor building and several others nearby will support an ambitious modernization program at ORNL and seriously alter the look of what's called the central campus, the section of the lab that dates to the World War II Manhattan Project. Wiping ORR from the map will be a sad event for nuclear diehards who remember when the laboratory operated half a dozen reactors of varying sizes and types. "It was something else. We did a lot of good work. We were constantly producing isotopes for medical research and experiments and helped a lot of people, saved their lives," Coleman said. He holds a personal attachment to the ORR. "It was part of my life. I raised my family from that place. I've got three children and all went through college. That place paid for it." Of all the facilities at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, maybe none presented a more compelling photo opportunity - especially during those early Cold War years when nuclear was new and very exciting. The most famous pictures are those of the Kennedys. JFK was still a Democratic senator from Massachusetts, a not-yet-announced candidate for the presidency, but he and his stunning wife, Jackie, were photographed like royalty during their 1959 visit to the nuclear reactor. "We talked with them," said Sam Hurt, a supervisor at the time. "They went out to the poolside at the Oak Ridge Research Reactor. We had a special ladder to get them up on the bridge, so they could see what was going on. We didn't break any rules, but we bent them a little bit, I think, for that sort of occasion." Hurt added: "They were as nice a people as I've ever met. We appreciated having visitors of that caliber." Coleman said the parade of VIPs and world leaders became almost commonplace. "We had them all the time, so it wasn't no big deal." But he especially remembers Queen Frederika of Greece, who did her nuclear tour in 1958. He said she looked the part of royalty. "She had on all them jewels and all that pomp and circumstance," he said. Other royal visitors included King Leopold of Belgium, King Hussein of Jordan and King Adulyadej of Thailand. Indira Nehru, who later became Indira Gandhi and prime minister of India, visited the ORR in 1963. Important delegations from around the world came to Oak Ridge to see nuclear power first-hand and grasp the possibilities for peaceful uses of the atom. The ORR's last mission was in support of nuclear non-proliferation. The reactor was designed to use highly enriched uranium as fuel, the same stuff that is used to make nuclear weapons. In 1987 the reactor's fuel elements were gradually shifted to a low-enriched uranium and tested to see how it performed. The results from that experiment were used to help convert other reactors around the world, thus reducing the amount of materials that could potentially be diverted to weapons use. Senior writer Frank Munger may be reached at 865-342-6329. The Oak Ridge Research Reactor was defueled in 1989 pending its final decommissioning. The reactor pool is 11 feet by 60 feet and contains 125,000 gallons of de-mineralized water to provide a top shield for the activated components remaining at the bottom of the pool. © 2006 - Knoxville News Sentinel ***************************************************************** NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107 this material is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For more information go to: *****************************************************************