***************************************************************** 04/16/06 **** RADIATION BULLETIN(RADBULL) **** VOL 14.90 ***************************************************************** RADBULL IS PRODUCED BY THE ABALONE ALLIANCE CLEARINGHOUSE ***************************************************************** Send News Stories to news@energy-net.org with title on subject line and first line of body NUCLEAR POLICY 1 [southnews] Blair refuses to back Iran strike 2 [NYTr] Blitzing Iran: Risking the Ultimate Blowback 3 [NYTr] Crackdown on Iran could be exactly the wrong thing 4 [NYTr] US analysts detail war plans against Iran 5 [NYTr] Moscow to Host Meeting on Iran Nuclear Crisis 6 UN Atomic Agency Chief Calls For Iran To Suspend Uranium Enrichment 7 IRNA: US policy on Iran nuclear program untrustworthy 8 Guardian Unlimited: Leaders call for calm over Iran's nuclear ambiti 9 Guardian Unlimited: Iranian: U.S. Waging 'Psychological War' 10 Observer: Drumbeat of war is drowning out wiser counsels 11 UK: Observer: So how close is a showdown over Iran? 12 IRNA: African states happy with Iran's joining nuclear world - FM 13 USNews.com: Washington Whispers 14 BBC: Pope calls for end to Iran crisis 15 IRNA: Iran's uranium enrichment a great work: Pak cleric 16 IRNA: FM says nuclear case a national 17 IRNA: FM stresses diplomatic solution to Iran's nuclear case 18 AFP: Iran issues stark military warning to United States 19 AFP: Chinese official hold nuclear talks with Iran 20 IRNA: Pak, Saudi leaders express opposition to use of force against 21 AFP: Iran says US in no position to attack 22 IRNA: Haddad-Adel condemns foreign intervention in regional states - 23 AFP: US analysts detail war plans against Iran 24 AFP: Six major powers to meet in Moscow on Iran nuclear crisis - 25 Xinhua: U.S. plans to design new nuclear warheads: report 26 Zee News: India-US deal will destroy nuclear research 27 CAQ: HIROSHIMA: NEEDLESS SLAUGHTER, USEFUL TERROR 28 London Times: Nuclear break-up on cards - 29 IRNA: Algerian official denounces US double-standard - 30 WorldNetDaily: Busting empty bunkers 31 UK: Independent: What happened to wind power? 32 Japan Times: A-bomb legacy fading: filmmaker NUCLEAR REACTORS 33 Guardian Unlimited: More nuclear power will not avert energy crisis, 34 Guardian Unlimited: Blair hints at go-ahead for new nuclear power pl 35 London Times: More nuclear power ‘likely’ - 36 UK: Observer: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK 37 Guardian Unlimited: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK 38 AU: The Age: Nuclear power's sick legacy - 39 TorontoSun.com: Hydro crisis worse than ever before 40 US: VOA News: Nuclear Power, The Scary IF 41 Korea Herald: The myths of Chernobyl 42 Sunday Herald: Nuclear wont plug power gap - 43 FT.com: UK - Doubts raised over new nuclear plants 44 US: Grist Magazine: Nuclear: no alternatives? 45 Independent: Blair warned of 'energy gap' 46 US: APP.COM: Cracks in Oyster Creek wall questioned 47 AFP: Nuclear not only energy solution: British lawmakers 48 CNIC: Chernobyl 20th Anniversary in Tokyo 49 AFP: Twenty years on, effects from Chernobyl disaster linger 50 US: Brattleboro Reformer: VY passes safety review 51 THERECORD.COM: Nuclear costs unknown 52 US: Burlington Free Press: Let's focus on clean, local energy 53 Daily Times: VIEW: Turning point at Chernobyl 54 People's Daily Online: View of Chernobyl nuclear power plant 55 Japan Times: Myths and misconceptions on Chernobyl 56 AFP: Anti-nuclear activists rally against new reactor for France - 57 US: Boston Globe: Decision looms over Pilgrim - 58 Japan Times: Specter of Chernobyl lingers, 20 years on 59 US: Odessa American Online: God, country and nuclear energy NUCLEAR SECURITY NUCLEAR SAFETY 60 Radio New Zealand: Bikini Islanders file lawsuit against US govt 61 US: Deseret News: Matheson objects to plans for blast in Nevada 62 US: Herald News: New group collecting cancer facts 63 US: Pahrump Valley Times: Bomb test will 'meet air quality regulatio NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE 64 London Times: Watchdog hits at Dounreay’s false reporting - 65 US: Belleville News-Democrat: Despite plant leaks, low tritium level 66 US: Bradenton Herald: Tallevast might not have borders 67 US: Deseret News: County aims to block nuclear waste 68 US: Deseret News: Western governors assail nuclear waste bill 69 Las Vegas SUN: Editorial: A messenger visits Yucca 70 US: reviewjournal.com: Nuclear project draws interest 71 US: Salt Lake Tribune: Feds want states out of nuclear shipping 72 US: Salt Lake Tribune: Mercury levels stir new outcry 73 US: Ely Times: Ely still designated route for nuclear waste 74 US: Pahrump Valley Times: NUCLEAR WASTE REPROCESSING 75 US: WATE: Cleanup of former uranium site months behind schedule 76 Sunday Business Post: Government to oppose any nuclear plants at Sel 77 Pahrump Valley Times: 'The Machine' is highlight of Yucca Mountain t 78 US: Deseret News: Utah leaders assess divisions in '06 session PEACE 79 AU ABC: Aust 'can help curb' nuclear proliferation. US DEPT. OF ENERGY 80 KnoxNews: Oak Ridge engineer gets award for venture 81 KnoxNews: Cleanup of former K-25 site behind schedule ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** FULL NEWS STORIES ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** 1 [southnews] Blair refuses to back Iran strike Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 00:14:53 -0500 (CDT) TONY Blair has told George Bush that Britain cannot offer military support to any strike on Iran, regardless of whether the move wins the backing of the international community, government sources claimed yesterday. The timing of military strikes is now being openly debated in Washington. Cirincione says he believes there will be secret strikes announced by Bush after they happen. Blair refuses to back Iran strike Scotland on Sunday 16 Apr 2006 BRIAN BRADY WESTMINSTER EDITOR TONY Blair has told George Bush that Britain cannot offer military support to any strike on Iran, regardless of whether the move wins the backing of the international community, government sources claimed yesterday. Amid increasing tension over Tehran's attempts to develop a military nuclear capacity, the Prime Minister has laid bare the limits of his support for President Bush, who is believed to be considering an assault on Iran, Foreign Office sources revealed. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is calling on the United Nations to consider new sanctions against Tehran when the Security Council meets next week to discuss the developing crisis. Blair is expected to support the call for a "Chapter 7" resolution, which could effectively isolate Iran from the international community. But, in the midst of international opposition to a pre-emptive strike on Tehran, and Britain's military commitments around the world, the government maintains it cannot contribute to a military assault. "We will support the diplomatic moves, at best," a Foreign Office source told Scotland on Sunday. "But we cannot commit our own resources to a military strike." Meanwhile, a new report on the Iran crisis has warned that neo-conservatives in the Bush administration are on "collision course" with Tehran. The Foreign Policy Centre (FPC), often referred to as Blair's "favourite think-tank", will appeal for a greater effort to find a diplomatic solution in a report to be published later this week. FPC director Stephen Twigg, formerly a Labour minister, explained: "It is essential UK policy on Iran is well informed... We want to engage with the various reformist elements in Iran, both inside and outside the structures of power. "There is potential for political dialogue, economic ties and cultural contacts to act as catalysts for the strengthening of civil society in Iran." While the sense of crisis over Iran has been escalated by the fiery rhetoric between Tehran and the West - particularly Washington - many within the British government are now convinced that the impasse can be resolved by repeating the same sort of painstaking diplomatic activity that returned Libya to the international fold. The approach contrasts sharply with the strategy employed during the run-up to the war in Iraq, when ministers repeatedly issued grim warnings to Saddam Hussein over the consequences of not falling in line with their demands. "The only long-term solution to Iran's problems is democracy," said Alex Bigham, co-author of the FPC report. "But it cannot be dictated, Iraq-style, or it will backfire. Iran may seem superficially like Iraq but we need to treat Iran more like Libya. Diplomatic engagement must be allowed to run its course. There need to be bigger carrots as well as bigger sticks." However, the conciliatory language was not reflected in the approach from Washington, where senior figures in the Bush administration remain keen to stress the danger of Tehran's intentions. In a declaration aimed at America's allies as much as Iran, Rice claimed the Security Council's handling of the Iranian nuclear issue would be a test of the international community's credibility. "If the UN Security Council says: 'You must do these things and we'll assess in 30 days,' and Iran has not only not done those things, but has taken steps that are exactly the opposite of those that are demanded, then the Security Council is going to have to act." Rice dismissed Iran's declaration that it is only interested in enriching uranium for use in civil nuclear power facilities, saying the international community must remain focused on the potential military applications of this technology. "The world community does not want them to have that nuclear know-how and that's why nobody wants them to be able to enrich and reprocess on their territory, getting to the place that they can produce what we call a full-scale nuclear plant to be able to do this," she said. Rice reiterated that President Bush has not taken any option off the table, including a military response, if Iran fails to comply with the demands of the international community. http://news.scotsman.com/uk.cfm?id=577092006 ____________________________- U.S. strike on Iran could make Iraq look like a warm-up bout Fallout around the world would be grim But will cost of inaction be too high? Toronto Star Apr. 15, 2006. 01:00 AM TIM HARPER WASHINGTON BUREAU WASHINGTONOn the ground, more terror. Poison-laced missiles raining down on U.S. troops in Iraq or Afghanistan, the downing of a U.S. passenger airliner, suicide bombers in major cities, perhaps unleashing their deadly payload in a shopping mall food court. It could be 9/11 all over again. Or worse. On the political front, more anti-Americanism. Renewed venom aimed at Washington from European capitals, greater distrust from China and Russia, outright hatred in the Arab and Muslim world. Oil prices spiralling out of control, a global recession at hand. In Iran, a galvanizing of a splintered nation. An end to hopes for political reform, a rally-around-the-leader phenomenon common among the victimized, an ability to rebuild a nuclear program in two to four years. These are the potential costs of a U.S. military strike in Iran. "It would be Iran's Pearl Harbor and it will be the beginning of a war, not the end of a war. It will set back American strategic interests for a generation," says Joseph Cirincione, the director for non-proliferation at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. "The war will take place at a time and location of Iran's choosing. It will make Iraq look like a preliminary bout." But the cost of inaction could be even higher: a defiant nation with an apparently unstable leadership steeped in hatred for Americans in the heart of the Middle East with nuclear capabilities. With Tehran ignoring both threats and cajoling from the international community and declaring itself prematurely part of the world's "nuclear club" this week, talk of the Washington stick moved to the forefront, while the carrot, now discredited, was pushed off centre stage. While the week began with the White House trying to tamp down speculation about military strikes in Iran, reported by The Washington Post and by journalist Seymour Hersh in The New Yorker, it was becoming clear the Bush administration was growing impatient with a diplomatic effort that is not working with Tehran. It may have also welcomed talk of potential military strikes, even if it would be extremely reluctant to use them, simply to remind some recalcitrant United Nations members such as China and Russia that diplomacy does have an end date. The bluntest assessment of diplomatic success came from Karl Rove, U.S. President George W. Bush's political adviser and deputy chief of staff, who told a Houston audience Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was "not a rational human being." "We are engaged in a diplomatic process with our European partners and the United Nations to keep (Iran) from developing such a weapon," Rove said. "It's going to be tough because they are led by ideologues who have a weird sense of history." Ahmadinejad announced this week that Iran had taken its nuclear enrichment program to new levels. Before he did so, he dismissed any influence of the United Nations, according to state media. "They know they cannot do a damned thing," he said. The Iranian government has stated it will construct 3,000 centrifuges at a facility in Natanz and would eventually expand that to 54,000 centrifuges, which spin uranium into fuel rich enough to produce atom bombs. Estimates of their capability date range from 2010 to 2020. Bush has been clear he wants to stop Tehran from acquiring even the knowledge needed to build nuclear weapons, and last month he vowed U.S. military might could be used to protect staunch allies such as Israel. But, earlier this week, Bush called reports of potential military strikes on Iran "wild speculation." British Foreign Minister Jack Straw said the stories were "completely nuts." U.S. Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld weighed in, saying he wouldn't address things from "fantasy land," but then added: "The last thing I'm going to do is to start telling you or anyone else in the press or the world at what point we refresh a plan or don't refresh a plan, and why. It just isn't useful." U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice sternly called for action at the UN, but didn't say what it could be, leaving her spokesman sputtering about "re-underlining" the call for Iran to suspend its enrichment program and vowing this time the Security Council will do more than just release a statement. "This is not a question of Iran's right to civil nuclear power," Rice said. "This is a question that the world does not believe that Iran should have the capability and the technology that could lead to a nuclear weapon. "When the Security Council reconvenes, it will be time for action." The timing of military strikes is now being openly debated in Washington. Cirincione says he believes there will be secret strikes announced by Bush after they happen. But first, he says, Bush should be expected to go to the U.S. Congress for authorization before mid-term elections in November, while Republicans still control the House of Representatives and the Senate. Approval before the elections, the strike after the elections, because the almost certain spike in U.S. gas prices following such action will blunt any rally-round-the-flag effect at election time, he says. John Pike, a military analyst at globalsecurity.org, predicts strikes in the summer of 2007, safely away from the presidential election the next year. He argues, as many do, that Bush already has congressional approval and needs not go back to lawmakers. "It will be a surprise," he says. "There's nothing like dropping bombs on evil-doers to give Republicans some political updraft." Pike argues that, despite all the breast-beating in Congress about misuse of a resolution that got the country into war in Iraq and all the sound and fury about clandestine surveillance in this country, nothing has been done to strip Bush of any power when it comes to war. "He will be looking at atomic ayatollahs. There will be some real downsides (to military action) and there will be efforts to redouble diplomatic moves, but in Tehran, the U.S. is equated with Satan. "What kind of diplomatic solution do they believe they can get from Satan?" Other analysts have been blunt in their assessment of the cost to the United States. "The most dangerous delusion is that a conflict would be either small or quick," says Richard Haass, the president of the non-partisan Council on Foreign Relations. Haass, who until July 2003 was a principal adviser to former secretary of state Colin Powell, says destroying Iran's nuclear capacity would require numerous cruise missiles and aircraft. "Iran would be sure to retaliate, using terrorist groups such as Hezbollah and Hamas and attacking U.S. and British forces and interests in Iraq and Afghanistan," he said in a written analysis this week. "This would require the U.S. to respond militarily against a larger set of targets inside Iran. What would begin as a limited strike would not remain limited for long." Haass also warned that such a strike would likely push oil prices above $100 (U.S.) per barrel, setting off an economic chain reaction that could lead to global recession. He predicts a certain increase in anti-Americanism in Europe, further rage against the U.S. in the Arab and Muslim world, and a questioning of U.S. ties in Russia and China. Ken Pollack of the more liberal Brookings Institution argues for sanctions restricting investment in Tehran. "The world community should force Iranians to have an internal debate do they want their nuclear program more than a healthy economy?" he told a recent forum. But Pollack adds a sobering point. If the administration truly believes it cannot live in a world in which Iran has nuclear weapons, the military option may be the only way to prevent that. But it would be seen as an unprovoked attack on a country that has attacked no one. It would be likened to Osama bin Laden's attack on the U.S., Pollack said, reminding his audience how the United States responded to that. Additional articles by Tim Harper http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/ Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1145051411410&call_pageid=968332188492 The archives of South News can be found at http://southmovement.alphalink.com.au/southnews/ ***************************************************************** 2 [NYTr] Blitzing Iran: Risking the Ultimate Blowback Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 12:33:52 -0400 (EDT) Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit CounterPunch - April 15 / 16, 2006 http://www.counterpunch.org/cloughley04152006.html Don't Blitz Iran Risking the Ultimate Blowback By BRIAN CLOUGHLEY "Iran's testing of a new missile . . . 'demonstrates that Iran has a very active and aggressive military program under way,' US State Department deputy spokesman Adam Ereli said. 'That includes both, as we've talked about before, efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction as well as delivery systems'." -Middle East News, April 1. "The Pentagon is preparing to set off a record-breaking bang, detonating 635 tonnes of high explosives and sending a mushroom cloud into the sky over the Nevada desert. The blast, on June 2, codenamed Divine Strake [sic], is likely to be the biggest controlled conventional explosion in military history, experts said, and is designed to test the impact of bunker-busting [nuclear] bombs aimed at underground targets." -Guardian (UK) April 1. The Bush Administration is preparing for a series of air strikes (or Divine Strakes) on Iran. There is a chance that the Christian fundamentalists of Washington could be persuaded that attacking the country would be insane, but the hard core of loonies will probably win, and there will be yet another war. The consequences for the US and the rest of the world will be terrible. Lots of people will die, but since that is irrelevant to Bush zealots in any context there is no point in examining their plans from the perspectives of morality or international law. An April LA Times' poll showed that 48 per cent of Americans want war on Iran, while only 40 don't, when answering the question "If Iran continued to produce material that can be used to develop nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose military action?" They've been brainwashed, just like the millions who still believe Saddam Hussein was responsible for 9-11, and the Washington mind-benders are licking their lips. Notification of the 'Divine Strake' quasi-nuclear test in June may have been designed in part to frighten Iran's government out of continuing its nuclear program, but its purpose was officially advertised as improvement of "warfighters' confidence in their ability to plan to defeat hardened and deeply buried targets". Don't you love the word "defeat"? What they mean, in their absurd and savage jargon, is "obliterate by nuclear bomb". And if they were anything but bloody-minded barbaric humbugs they would say so. With their fingers poised on the buttons of seven thousand US nukes they trot out fatuous phrases like "weapons of mass destruction" which would reduce us all to fits of laughter if the purpose of these fanatics was not so evil. The psychos intend to destroy the Iranian government, and it will take a near-miracle for their planned onslaught to be cancelled. They do not care about what will happen after they blitz the place with their bunker-busters and all the other demented video-game whizzery at their disposal. The word 'strake' is meaningless in hi-technology language, but preceded by 'Divine' it conveys exactly, crudely and brutally, what is intended : Watch out, Islamic nations : the Crusaders are going to get you. Iran recently tested four items of antique military technology. The missiles and torpedoes it fired off so publicly are about the standard of weapons that the US had 30-40 years ago. But this does not mean to say they won't be effective in achieving the immediate aims of Iran's leaders if their country is attacked. If the US attacks Iran the Tehran government will then try to close the Persian Gulf to the passage of oil tankers. It will also try to destroy as many oilfields as possible along and off the west coast of the Gulf, and fire as many missiles as it can towards the bases of its enemies. What are the Iranians expected to do if they are blitzed by Divine "deep-penetration" nuclear bombs, cruise missiles and sundry other air strikes? Does anyone in their right mind think they will sit back and say 'Oh, well, that's life' after the US has attacked their territory and killed Iranian citizens? (Perhaps thousands of them ; maybe more. Who cares?--not the psychopaths in Washington and their ideological brothers in Tel Aviv.) Of course the Iranians will hit back, and they will do so to the utmost of their power. Sure, that isn't much. But in addition to destabilizing the entire Middle East the US war will ensure that Iran won't lack allies. One thing even Cheney and Bush can't claim is that Al Qaeda and Iran are linked, simply because the former is Sunni Muslim and Iranians are mostly Shias. But when the bombs and cruise missiles thunder down on Iran, there will not be a Sunni Muslim country or organization in the world that will not rally to support the 'victim of the Infidels', no matter that it is Shia. I wouldn't like to be an American citizen on the streets of any country in the world after Washington hit Iran. And the truly terrible thing is that the large and growing number of pro-western young Iranians, hundreds of thousands of them, desperate to be released from a humorless, unmerciful and cretinous medieval theocracy, will automatically unite in hatred of the country that attacked them. The Pentagon has packed the Persian Gulf with dozens of warships that have identified and tracked almost every radar and missile site along the Iraqi coast. Satellites have done the same inland. Strike aircraft from US carriers have been trailing their coats and practicing attacks on Iranian defense installations for years. The shooting down of an Iranian civil airliner by the USS Vincennes was only part of the game. (300 innocent people were murdered and the captain of the ship was decorated, which gave Iran the message about where it stands in the US scheme of things.) Washington will not dare invade Iran, of course, because Iran's military would not be the walkover that the pathetic Iraqi army was, and US ground forces would suffer thousands of casualties. The stand-off attack will be the usual video game, controlled from air-conditioned coke-swigging comfort, followed by ham-handed attempts at public relations damage control. The first US priority after attacking Iran will be to try to stop the Iranians closing the Gulf at the Strait of Hormuz which they could do by sinking a passing tanker. 90 per cent of oil from the Gulf--about two fifths of the world's supply--is moved by tanker through the Strait, which is less than five navigable miles wide. An easy target area. It will probably take only one sunk ship to seriously disrupt world oil supplies. But even if a single tanker doesn't actually block the Strait, the crews of others are not going to be happy about sailing into danger. Insurance rates will go through the roof, and recent spikes in oil prices will be nothing compared with what would come. If the Iranians manage to sink two large tankers at the Gulf choke point, say goodbye to Gulf oil exports for a week or so. Perhaps US citizens will be happy to pay $10 or more per gallon to fill their cars ; but maybe not. Even then, does anyone think that Iran would let the US clear the Hormuz Strait without doing its best to disrupt salvage efforts? Like hell it would. There would be suicide boat attacks, suicide plane attacks, and further missile strikes. Although most airfields in Iran would be destroyed by cruise missiles and much of the Iranian air force would be shot out of the sky by roving US fighter jocks within hours of the war beginning, Tehran would still retain a limited offensive capability. The Iranians would fire most of the some 400 medium-range ballistic missiles they've got at US bases in Iraq and Afghanistan and at the oil fields across the Gulf. They know exactly where they are, without need for all the clever satellite technology the Pentagon has, because their myriad supporters tell them the precise locations. (There are hundreds of thousands of Shias in these countries.) The missiles might not cause many casualties among US troops, but they will destroy a lot of oil production capacity in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the southern Gulf nations. (Some US troops will die, of course : maybe a few hundred if a couple of missiles strike lucky. But what does that matter to the Bush Administration?) If Israel is involved in the attacks (and, given the paranoia of some of Iran's leaders about Israel, probably even if Israel is not involved in the attacks), then some longer-range missiles will be pooped off in a westerly direction, hoping to impact somewhere in Israel, which at least some of them would do. They might deliver biological or chemical warheads, but even if they are just high explosive and cause only a dozen or so casualties each there would be irresistible pressure within Israel to retaliate, probably with nuclear weapons. Nobody except a few Librul peaceniks will care about that. But even before Israel's strikes, the price of oil would have gone to $100 a barrel, and rising. In the US $10 a gallon would be only a memory. In Europe, and especially the UK, governments would be forced to reduce their enormous taxes imposed on vehicle fuel, signaling a downward economic spiral. Russia and China would cope remarkably well, but almost all the developed world, and especially Japan, would suffer to the verge of catastrophe. The social development of thrusting India could unravel with disastrous consequences, given the already critical state of the Naxalite (Maoist) insurrection in eight states of the country. Most of South America would laugh at the plight of the US. The democratically-elected Mr Chavez of Venezuela (excellent piece about him in The Atlantic, this month), so much hated by Bush and Cheney who are plotting his overthrow because Venezuela does not support US Big Oil, would take delight in playing the oil card. It is not well known in the US that Venezuela is so important, even vital, in the matrix of American oil consumption. (Although its oil is thick and difficult to process.) But it produces about 5 per cent of the world's total, and American citizens will rapidly realize that it does, when the oil crunch begins. The US Department of Energy states that "Venezuela contains some of the largest oil and natural gas reserves in the world. It consistently ranks as one the top suppliers of U.S. oil imports and is among the top ten crude oil producers." And this is the country that the Cheney-Bush administration is determined to alienate. If this sort of thing appeared in fiction it would be ridiculed as being too far-fetched. In the Malacca Strait and other sea routes around Indonesia there would be disruption, even if Iran did not manage to close the Gulf. The citizens of Muslim countries of East Asia despise, distrust and hate the US just as much as those elsewhere. It would be surprising, after a US attack on Iran, if there was not an attempt to block these tanker routes. Again, a single flaming tanker hulk could do it, causing enormous extra costs to oil transportation to Japan. The US banned oil imports from Iran after the overthrow of the Shah in 1979, but it is estimated that Iran exports about 4 million barrels a day. This amount is scheduled to rise because India and China and some others have invested in oil and gas production facilities. India resents being ordered by Washington to discontinue its negotiations with Iran about an overland pipeline. China has an agreement worth US$100 billion for supply of Iranian natural gas over the next 25 years. And China, although saying nothing publicly about the US obsession with Iran, is going to react fiercely if its long-term energy plans are disrupted by the Bush administration, which it regards with contempt. A US blitzkrieg on Iran is not going to be regarded favorably by Tehran's trading partners, if only because it will interfere drastically with their economic development. Even if Cheney and Bush are not lunatic enough to send their cruise missiles and bombers to attack Iran they might manage to have harsh economic sanctions imposed, additional to the unilateral ones in place by the US for years. They usually ignore warning signals, so doubtless they dismissed the unmistakable threat in September 2005 that Iran could endure a self-inflicted cut in oil exports in the national interest of combating what it would consider rabidly hostile action. It is estimated that cutting exports would raise the price of oil to $80-100 a barrel. This wouldn't matter to the rich in America, who are all that Cheney and Bush care about. But it would matter to the average man and woman who are even now struggling to make ends meet as a result of the rich-supportive tax policy of the present Administration. There is no point in putting the moral position against attacking Iran. The Cheney-Bush administration has shown itself impervious to argument, and presenting a case against killing thousands of innocent people cuts no ice with blinkered zealots. The planned blitzkrieg of divine strikes will probably take place. It will alter the entire world and create hatred of America that will never be eradicated. And there is nothing we can do about it. At this Easter time (and Thai New Year), God help us all. [Brian Cloughley writes on military and political affairs. He can be reached through his website http://www.briancloughley.com ] * ================================================================ .NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems . Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us . .339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 http://www.blythe.org .List Archives: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/pipermail/nytr/ .Subscribe: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/mailman/listinfo/nytr ================================================================ ***************************************************************** 3 [NYTr] Crackdown on Iran could be exactly the wrong thing Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 13:35:58 -0500 (CDT) Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit St. Petersburg Times - Apr 15, 2006 http://www.sptimes.com/2006/04/15/Worldandnation/Crackdown_on_Iran_cou.shtml Crackdown on Iran could be exactly the wrong thing The world has reason to worry as Iran moves along a course that could lead to development of nuclear weapons. But there's no need to panic or rush into military action, most experts agree. By SUSAN TAYLOR MARTIN Times Senior Correspondent Although it has enriched uranium, Iran is probably seven to eight years away from producing a workable bomb. And if it does develop one, it is unlikely to use it for offensive purposes, but rather as a deterrent against what it sees as two hostile nuclear powers, Israel and the United States. "If somewhere down the line Iran has nuclear capability, the question is: What are they going to do with it?" asks Brian Michael Jenkins, an expert on terrorism at the Rand Corp. "Are they going to launch a missile and wipe out Tel Aviv? Are they going to launch a nuclear weapon against the United States? That would be the end of Iran." Iran has no recent history of aggression against other countries, although it supports Islamic proxies like Hezbollah that have been blamed for terror attacks against Israel and U.S. soldiers in the Middle East. Iranian radicals also held 52 American hostages for 444 days after an Islamic revolution toppled a secular, U.S.-backed government in 1979. "Iran wants to be a nuisance for the U.S. and Israel but they have never taken the real hard steps that would force the U.S. or Israel to enter into conflict," says Abbas Milani, head of the Iranian Studies Program at Stanford. Milani says last week's boast by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that Iran "has joined the club of nuclear nations" had two main goals: to boost internal support for his regime and to convince outsiders that Iran is so far along in uranium enrichment there is no point trying to stop it. "It was partly to build national pride and show Iranians the regime is standing up to the West, but it was also intended for the world in the sense that the enrichment game is a fait accompli," Milani says. "I don't think it is a fait accompli - I think if the Chinese and Russians join the Europeans and U.S. in a very firm position, the regime will have to reconsider." The Bush administration is pressing for a U.N. Security Council resolution that could lead to sanctions or pave the way for force unless Iran drops its nuclear ambitions. But getting a resolution will be hard because two key council members, Russia and China, have strong economic ties to Iran, the world's fourth-largest oil exporter. China, with its huge appetite for fuel, might be especially reluctant to act for fear of jeopardizing its new $100-billion oil deal. In agreeing to let a Chinese company develop a vast oil field, Iran "hopes China will pay back the favor by making sure the council doesn't pass any harsh and punitive resolution," Milani says. China's president, though, will undoubtedly feel pressure from the White House when he visits this week. Since the hostage crisis, the United States has maintained its own economic sanctions against Iran as part of what analysts say has become a counterproductive policy. "Ahmadinejad and the nuclear crisis are the product of U.S. policies toward Iran in the last two decades," says Hooshang Amirahmadi, head of Rutgers' Mideastern studies program and president of the American-Iranian Council. "The more you isolate, the more you sanction, the more you breed dictators. That's just a fact of life - look at Cuba, North Korea, Iraq." Hooshang says there "really is no alternative" to dialogue with Iran, and thinks the United States should resume diplomatic relations. Wouldn't that legitimize a radical regime? "If you have established ties, then you have taken away the regime's most vicious instrument and that is its anti-Americanism," Hooshang says. Despite their president's harsh rhetoric, Iranians are considered among the most pro-American people in the Muslim world. The State Department is asking Congress for $85-million to "promote democracy" in Iran, with the money to be used by dissidents in and out of the country to improve communications, shore up civic education and encourage political participation. However, analysts say the United States must walk a fine line between supporting reforms and appearing to force a new government on Iran's 69-million staunchly independent people. Any change "must be seen as coming from within Iran and shaped by Iranians," Milani says. Most Arab countries are nervous about the growing power of Iran, a non-Arab nation whose influence now extends through Iraq and clear to the Mediterranean. Given the problems in Iraq, however, the United States would have little public support for bombing Iran, a country far larger in size and with more than twice as as many people. "I would be concerned about the United States being put in the position of taking unilateral military action, which others may even secretly want us to do but where we pay the price," says Jenkins of the Rand Corp. He thinks the administration should cool its rhetoric: Continuing the war of words only feeds Iranian nationalism and "plays to a script written in Tehran," he says. Amirahmadi of Rutgers also warns against precipitous military action, noting that in the time it would take to develop a nuclear bomb, Iran will have held two or three presidential elections. "There will be another person in charge, and more importantly, by then most of its first generation of radicals are dead," he says. "But if we continue the way we are, the next generation will also be radical." ) Copyright, St. Petersburg Times. * ================================================================ .NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems . Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us . .339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 http://www.blythe.org .List Archives: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/pipermail/nytr/ .Subscribe: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/mailman/listinfo/nytr ================================================================ ***************************************************************** 4 [NYTr] US analysts detail war plans against Iran Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 13:36:09 -0500 (CDT) Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit AFP - Apr 16, 2006 http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20060416/wl_afp/usirannuclearmilitary_060416083710&printer=1;_ylt=AujaUvmKQ.kJQN2RP9osgECROrgF;_ylu=X3oDMTA3MXN1bHE0BHNlYwN0bWE- US analysts detail war plans against Iran WASHINGTON (AFP) - The United States began planning a full-scale military campaign against Iran that involves missile strikes, a land invasion and a naval operation to establish control over the Strait of Hormuz even before the March 2003 invasion of Iraq, a former US intelligence analyst disclosed. William Arkin, who served as the US Army's top intelligence mind on West Berlin in the 1970s and accurately predicted US military operations against Iraq, said the plan is known in military circles as TIRANNT, an acronym for "Theater Iran Near Term." It includes a scenario for a land invasion led by the US Marine Corps, a detailed analysis of the Iranian missile force and a global strike plan against any Iranian weapons of mass destruction, Arkin wrote in The Washington Post. US and British planners have already conducted a Caspian Sea war game as part of these preparations, the scholar said. "According to military sources close to the planning process, this task was given to Army General John Abizaid, now commander of CENTCOM, in 2002," Arkin wrote, referring to the Florida-based US Central Command. But preparations under TIRANNT began in earnest in May 2003 and never stopped, he said. The plan has since been updated using information collected in Iraq. Air Force planners have modeled attacks against Iranian air defenses, while Navy planners have evaluated coastal targets and drawn up scenarios for keeping control of the Strait of Hormuz. A follow-on TIRANNT analysis, which began in October 2003, calculated the results of different scenarios to provide options to commanders, Arkin wrote. The Marines, meanwhile, have come up with their own document called "Concept of Operations" that explores the possibility of moving forces from ship to shore without establishing a beachhead first. "Though the Marine Corps enemy is described only as a deeply religious revolutionary country named Karona, it is -- with its Revolutionary Guards, WMD and oil wealth -- unmistakably meant to be Iran," Arkin said. Various scenarios involving Iran's missile force have also been examined in another study, initiated in 2004 and known as BMD-I, which is short for "Ballistic Missile Defense -- Iran", Arkin said. In June 2004, US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld alerted the US Strategic Command in Omaha, Nebraska, to be prepared to implement CONPLAN 8022, a global strike plan that includes Iran, according to the scholar. "The new task force, sources have told me, mostly worries that if it were called upon to deliver 'prompt' global strikes against certain targets in Iran under some emergency circumstances, the president might have to be told that the only option is a nuclear one," Arkin said. The US military has been involved in contingency planning against Iran since at least the presidency of Jimmy Carter, who undertook a failed commando operation to rescue US hostages in Tehran in 1980. Following the 1996 bombing of an apartment building used by the US Air Force in Khobar, Saudi Arabia, which was reportedly traced to Iranian agents, the administration of then-president Bill Clinton considered a bombing campaign, according to Richard Clarke and Steven Simon, who held at the time high-level counterterrorism positions at the National Security Council. "But after long debate, the highest levels of the military could not forecast a way in which things would end favorably for the United States," the two experts wrote in Sunday's New York Times. They warned Iran could retaliate against the United States by using its terrorist networks "that are far superior to anything Al-Qaeda was ever able to field." President George W. Bush last week dismissed talk of war planning against Iran as "wild speculation." But Dianne Feinstein, a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, warned this weekend that "there are some in this administration who have been pushing to make nuclear weapons more 'usable.' "This is pure folly," the Democratic senator commented in The Los Angeles Times. "First use of nuclear weapons by the United States should be unthinkable." Copyright ) 2006 Agence France Presse. * ================================================================ .NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems . Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us . .339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 http://www.blythe.org .List Archives: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/pipermail/nytr/ .Subscribe: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/mailman/listinfo/nytr ================================================================ ***************************************************************** 5 [NYTr] Moscow to Host Meeting on Iran Nuclear Crisis Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 18:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit Prensa Latina, Havana http://www.plenglish.com Moscow to Host Meeting on Iran Nuclear Crisis New York, Apr 16 (Prensa Latina) Representatives from six of the world4s most powerful countries world will meet in Moscow on Tuesday to discuss Iran4s atomic energy program after Tehran announced its scientists had enriched uranium to 3.5 percent to make nuclear fuel. The Moscow meeting is expected to be attended by virtually the same officials who met in New York in March 20 and failed to agree on a long-term strategy to deal with Iran. The officials include US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Nicholas Burns, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Kislyak and foreign ministry political directors John Sawers of Britain, Stanislas de Laboulaye of France, and Michael Schaefer of Germany. China however said it would be represented by Assistant Foreign Minister Cui Tiankai, instead of ministry political director Zhang Yan, who attended the New York meeting last month. Meanwhile, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad again insisted that his country's nuclear work was peaceful. Western diplomats cautioned not to expect a call for immediate sanctions let alone military action. Russia and China keep opposing such drastic measures and instead urge patient diplomacy spearheaded by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stressed that he was convinced that there can be no resolution of the problem through use of force. mh/ajs * ================================================================ .NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems . Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us . .339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 http://www.blythe.org .List Archives: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/pipermail/nytr/ .Subscribe: https://olm.blythe-systems.com/mailman/listinfo/nytr ================================================================ ***************************************************************** 6 UN Atomic Agency Chief Calls For Iran To Suspend Uranium Enrichment Activities Date: Sat, 15 Apr 2006 18:00:49 -0400 X-Online-Freedom: http://www.eff.org, http://www.dearaol.com UN ATOMIC AGENCY CHIEF CALLS FOR IRAN TO SUSPEND URANIUM ENRICHMENT ACTIVITIES New York, Apr 15 2006 6:00PM Following meetings in Tehran with senior officials, the Director-General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has called on Iran to suspend uranium enrichment activities. Speaking to the press in Teheran on Thursday, Mohamed ElBaradei emphasized that Iran needs to take confidence-building measures, including suspension of uranium enrichment activities and the clarification of all outstanding issues related to the verification of its nuclear programme. He also noted that IAEA safeguards inspectors are continuing verification activities in Iran. Mr. ElBaradei met with Gholamreza Aghazadeh, Vice-President of Iran and Chairman of the country's Atomic Energy Organization and with Ali Larijani, Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council. The Director-General is scheduled to report to the Security Council at the end of April on the Iranian nuclear issue. An IAEA report was requested by the Security Council on 29 March. On that occasion, in its first official action after the matter was referred to it by the Agency, the Council called on Iran to re-establish full and sustained suspension of all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities, including research and development. This action followed Iran's decision to resume its efforts to produce enriched uranium, a substance that can be used for peaceful purposes, such as generating energy, or for making nuclear weapons. The Tehran Government denies claims by the United States and other countries that it is trying to develop nuclear weapons. 2006-04-15 00:00:00.000 ________________ For more details go to UN News Centre at http://www.un.org/news To change your profile or unsubscribe go to: http://www.un.org/apps/news/email/ ***************************************************************** 7 IRNA: US policy on Iran nuclear program untrustworthy , April 15, IRNA - The United States has escalated its political hue and cry and psychological war against Iran's peaceful nuclear activities. To Western pundits and reputable foreign media, Washington is just craving to confront Iran. Of the world countries, the US and its nuclear ally Israel claim that Iran's nuclear activities are not trustworthy and that Tehran is moving in the wrong direction. They have waged a psychological war to improve their international status. However Iran's transparent cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has caused the world to become suspicious of the US and Israeli behavior. Even their traditional allies are now suspicious about these political moves. The psychological war against development of weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) in Iraq was a ploy Washington resorted to and Israel fully backed. Now the US by making false claims is trying the same method to confront Iran. Today the public opinion in different countries particularly in the US's traditional allies rarely agree with Washington's policies and the White House performance. The world now knows very well that the US is not honest about its words and policies and is just striving to colonize other states and establish its own version of democracy. Ted Galen Carpenter, the US vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at Cato Institute, says Washington is willing to lead an anti-Iran move but that other countries have no desire to help it. He argues that the row between the US and Europe on the behavior toward Iran is among reasons behind this opposition. Capenter says the US Administration has little confidence in its traditional allies and international bodies. Sam Brown Back, a US Republican Senator, believes military action against Iran due to the current US position in the "war against terrorism" is not politically possible. Under the current circumstances, the US prefers to support a diplomatic solution, he opines. In its anti-Iran move, the US has a tough task for finding allies and stepping up diplomatic pressure on Iran, noted the Senator justifying that China, Russia, and France have made huge investments in that country. Kofi Annan, the UN secretary general, has called on all parties to refuse to make statements that would mount tensions. He has also called for a diplomatic solution. He expressed hope that Iran will return to the negotiating table and settle the case through talks. The British news agency Reuters Friday quoted the US State Department as reporting that the two veto-wielding member states of the UN Security Council, China and Russia, have strongly opposed the use of force against Iran. Other UNSC member states, including Britain, do not agree with military option, either. According to the BBC, new diplomatic efforts to settle Iran's nuclear case have started. China and Russia with strong trade ties with Iran, are against the expanded influence of the West, in particular the US, in the region, said the BBC. ***************************************************************** 8 Guardian Unlimited: Leaders call for calm over Iran's nuclear ambitions Brian Whitaker and agencies Monday April 17, 2006 World leaders, as well as Americans close to the Bush administration, called for calm over Iran's nuclear programme yesterday amid persistent reports that the US is considering a military attack. In his Easter message from the Vatican, Pope Benedict spoke of "international crises linked to nuclear power" and urged: "May an honourable solution be found for all parties, through serious and honest negotiations." UN secretary general Kofi Annan also cautioned against a rush towards confrontation, saying that military action against Iran would only worsen an already tense situation. "I think the issue is being handled properly by the International Atomic Energy Agency," Mr Annan said in an interview with Spanish newspaper ABC. "I still believe that the best solution is a negotiated one, and I don't see what a military operation would resolve. I hope that a negotiating spirit prevails and that the military option is just fruit of speculation." Perhaps more significantly for the Bush administration, there were also warnings from several prominent figures in the US. Republican senator Richard Lugar urged less haste in taking action against Iran and suggested direct talks between Washington and Tehran "would be useful". Mr Lugar, who is chairman of the influential senate foreign relations committee, told ABC TV there was a need "to make more headway diplomatically". Former White House counterterrorism chief Richard Clarke also joined the fray, arguing armed conflict with Iran could backfire and prove even more damaging to US interests than the war with Iraq. Iran would probably respond with terrorist attacks against the US and could also hamper American efforts in Iraq, he wrote in an article for the New York Times, co-authored with Steven Simon, a former state department official. Far from toppling the government in Tehran, bombing would also be likely to guarantee the regime's survival for "decades more". Although Mr Bush has dismissed reports of war planning as wild speculation, the article warned: "The parallels to the run-up to war with Iraq are all too striking: remember that in May 2002 President Bush declared that there was 'no war plan on my desk', despite having actually spent months working on detailed plans for the Iraq invasion. "Congress did not ask the hard questions then. It must not permit the administration to launch another war whose outcome cannot be known, or worse, known all too well." Speculation about a US attack intensified last week when Iran announced that it had successfully enriched uranium for the first time using 164 centrifuges, a small but significant step towards production of material that can be used either for weapons or generating electricity in a nuclear reactor. Iran, which insists that its activities are for civilian purposes only, has rejected a call from the UN security council to stop enriching uranium by April 28. Officials from Britain, France, Germany, Russia, the US and China will be meeting in Moscow tomorrow to review the situation. "It is part of a regular series of meetings to discuss the next steps," said a Foreign Office spokeswoman who declined to elaborate. "These meetings happen all the time and we can't really give a commentary on each one." In Tehran talk of strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities has prompted a rush to volunteer for "martyrdom missions", particularly against the US and Britain. "Because of the recent threats we have started to register more volunteers since Friday," Mohammad Ali Samadi, spokesman for the Committee for the Commemoration of Martyrs of the Global Islamic Campaign, told Reuters. Q 13.04.2006: Iran's nuclear programme [UP] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 9 Guardian Unlimited: Iranian: U.S. Waging 'Psychological War' From the Associated Press [UP] Monday April 17, 2006 12:46 AM AP Photo KUW102 By SAMAR KASSABLI Associated Press Writer DAMASCUS, Syria (AP) - Iran's former president accused the United States Sunday of waging ``a psychological war'' against Tehran and said an American strike against the Islamic republic would not be in Washington's interests. Former Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani, who heads the Expediency Council, a powerful body that mediates between Iran's parliament and clerical hierarchy, said Western nations' attempts to block Iran's nuclear program were ``unjust.'' ``Iran's success in uranium enrichment is for the interest of the region's countries and all Islamic countries,'' Rafsanjani said. He reiterated the government position that Iran's nuclear program was not intended to harm any country in the region. ``If the United States launched a military strike against Iran, that would be neither in its interests nor in the interests of the entire region,'' Rafsanjani told a joint news conference in Damascus with Syrian Vice President Farouk al-Sharaa. He said he believed that the United States was ``incapable of taking a risk or engaging in a new war in the region without discussing the subject seriously.'' U.S. media reports have said the Bush administration was considering a military attack on Iran over its nuclear program, which Washington claims is designed to produce nuclear weapons. Iran says it is purely for generating energy. President Bush has dismissed reports on attack plans as ``wild speculation.'' On Tuesday, Iran's hard-line president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, announced that Iran had successfully enriched uranium, which can be used to fuel nuclear reactors or build atomic bombs. Iran has rejected a U.N. Security Council demand for it to stop enriching uranium by April 28. U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan wants a negotiated solution to the crisis over Iran's nuclear ambitions, he said in an interview published Sunday in the ABC newspaper. Annan told the conservative Madrid daily during a visit last week to Spain that any military operation against Iran would worsen a tense international situation. ``I think the issue is being handled properly by the International Atomic Energy Agency. I still believe that the best solution is a negotiated one, and I don't see what a military operation would resolve,'' ABC quoted Annan as saying. Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 10 Observer: Drumbeat of war is drowning out wiser counsels [UP] Comment Hugh Barnes Sunday April 16, 2006 The neo-con regimes in Washington and Tehran are on collision course after last week's announcement by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that his country has 'joined the nuclear club'. Being able to enrich uranium to a low level of 3.5 per cent is a significant breakthrough for the Islamic Republic, but it still leaves the mullahs a long way from the 93 per cent-plus needed to make a bomb. In the United States, however, the doom-sayers and war-mongers - who often overlap - reacted with a hardening of rhetoric. The fundamentalists on both sides are in danger of talking themselves into a war. The rising drumbeat of warrior journalism has almost created the illusion that a US military attack on Iran is inevitable. Writing in the New Yorker last week, Seymour Hersh even quoted a former Pentagon official as saying that defence chiefs have considered targeting Iran with nuclear weapons to destroy underground research sites. Few believe the US would be reckless enough to use such weapons. Not only would it produce large amounts of radiation, killing thousands of civilians, but after Iraq the political implications of launching a nuclear attack on a Muslim country are unthinkable. Some kind of attack is possible, but it is neither imminent nor inevitable. In the meantime, the US administration should reflect on the words of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, who warned that any military strike on Iran would spark a 'dangerous explosive blaze' in the Middle East. US military action would have two aims: first, to damage Iran's nuclear-related sites and, second, to send a message that America is willing to take pre-emptive action not only to prevent WMD proliferation but also to stop Iran supporting terrorism. This strategy could well backfire - and not simply because the UN will almost certainly decline to give it political or moral legitimacy. Even with conventional weapons, any attack on the reactor at Bushehr would be catastrophic. Iran might respond to 'unjustified' US aggression in a number of other ways that would harm regional peace and security. It could, for example, seek to prevent the supply of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, but most worrying of all, Ahmadinejad could further destabilise the south of Iraq by inciting Shia militias against coalition troops and the Sunni insurgency. The likely outcome would be civil war. Moreover, even a successful US military campaign would set back Iran's research programme only by five years or so. In the meantime, the logical step for Iran would be to withdraw from the Non-Proliferation Treaty and expel UN inspectors altogether. Some neo-cons in the US believe that a military air assault would cause the people of Iran to rise up against their leaders. In fact, every analysis suggests that a threat of military action would only rally Iranians behind their undemocratic government. The strategic thinking of the regime has been quite simple: the US invaded Iraq because Iraq did not have nuclear weapons; the US has not invaded North Korea because North Korea has nuclear weapons. Instead of launching a premature military adventure, the US could simply acknowledge that Iran has security concerns - Pakistan, India and Israel all are nuclear-armed. As a first step, President Bush should endorse the idea of creating a regional security organisation in the Middle East, which would include Iran. It is likely that a more secure Iran would create better conditions for a pro-Western, peaceful, democratic movement inside the country. And then the neo-cons in Washington might even see their dream of regime change in Tehran become a reality. · Hugh Barnes is the director of the Foreign Policy Centre's democracy and conflict programme. [UP] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 11 UK: Observer: So how close is a showdown over Iran? [UP] News of British involvement in a mock invasion of Iran is just the latest step in what seems a slow slide to war. Paul Harris in Washington, Gaby Hinsliff in London and Robert Tait in Tehran report Sunday April 16, 2006 It would seem, to Middle Eastern eyes scanning the latest headlines online yesterday, yet further evidence of secret plans for the conflict that everyone is now dreading. Britain, it was suggested, had taken part in an American war game that simulated an invasion of Iran, in an apparent mockery of both countries' insistence that they want a diplomatic - not a military - solution to the Iranian nuclear crisis. But in the overheated atmosphere of current debate over Iran, nothing is quite what it seems. The simulated battle, fought in 2004 and codenamed Hotspur, was in fact one of a series of 'paper exercises' that have been conducted every few weeks by senior military planners on both sides of the Atlantic since the Sixties to test strategic readiness. Each time, a different country is invaded. To save inventing new topography every time, maps of real countries around the world are used in strict rotation. In July 2004 - before the current president came to power in Tehran - it happened to be Iran. A few weeks ago, it was Scotland. If Tehran is panicking as a result of the story, so too should Edinburgh. For all that, the story on the front page of yesterday's Guardian is an indication, if not of imminent invasion, of an intense period of smoke and mirrors both in Washington and Tehran: of posturing, lobbying and hyperbole that is as much to do with the domestic politics of the US and Iran, as with the threat posed by either country. The war talk comes as a new report will argue this week that George Bush's war on terror is itself to blame for the nuclear stand-off over Iran. The regime in Tehran has concluded, says the Foreign Policy Centre think-tank, that the US is too bogged down fighting the insurgency in Iraq to try to stop the Iranians getting the bomb, making their defiance of the United Nations 'one of the little-noticed consequences of America's failure in Iraq'. Controversially, it also argues that Iran 'cannot be entirely faulted' for seeking nuclear capability when it feels threatened by US troops in neighbouring countries and saw North Korea, a nuclear power, left untouched while the relatively undefended Iraq was invaded. Which leaves a fundamental question to be answered. Amid the fanning of the flames by both sides, how real is the prospect of war? Reading recent headlines, it would seem very real indeed, as they have warned of potential nuclear strikes by the US against Iran's nuclear facilities, floated by the veteran US investigative reporter Seymour Hersh and described by the Foreign Office as 'completely nuts'. The reality, however, is far more complex. In truth the anonymous and warlike noises emanating from Washington reflect a debate about possible military action against Iran that has pitted hawks in the Bush administration - including such senior neo-conservatives as Vice- President Dick Cheney and the US Ambassador to the UN John Bolton - against large segments of the military, intelligence and political establishment. In fact the debate in America is not over whether the US can or should stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, but on how best to stop them. At the moment the overwhelming consensus centres on a diplomatic strategy. Yet it is also certain that military options are being studied, if only theoretically. While insisting that the military option will still be considered, the White House itself has moved sharply to distance itself from reporting on the issue. There is no doubt, however, that signs emerging from the administration are familiar to any of those following events in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq - not least the building up of the threat posed by Iran by senior administration officials. To some, the parallels are convincing enough. 'I would expect an attack in the next six months,' says Larry Johnson, a former deputy director in the State Department's counter-terrorism office. 'This is not just planning for possible military contingencies. There is real planning under way for carrying out a military strike against Iran.' But many point to the huge problems of carrying out any form of attack - not least that it would fail to destroy much of an Iranian nuclear research programme buried deep underground. Then there is the risk to the US military in Iraq after any attack on Iran. Iran's close links to the majority Shias would likely see a widespread uprising against the US forces. Finally, such a move would be unlikely to have any international support, except possibly from Israel, which is nervous of the potential consequences from Iran's Hizbollah allies on its northern border. Such enormous difficulties - and the belief that the US joint chiefs of staff are against an attack - could mean that the public pronouncement and behind-the-scenes leaks and hints are just part of a complex game designed to convince Iran that the threat is real enough to dissuade its nuclear ambitions. Johnson believes that the key task for US intelligence is to understand the threat of a nuclear Iran. Does Tehran want the bomb to attack US interests and Israel, or is it for self-preservation? 'They have learned the lesson of North Korea. Once you have nuclear weapons, the US sabre-rattling becomes much less. After all, with North Korea you have a genuine madman in control of a country with the bomb and yet we don't hear very much about them at all,' Johnson said. The real US policy, enunciated by a senior State Department official close to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, revolves around a belief that Iran's hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is weaker than his bellicose attitude might suggest and is vulnerable to the pressure of international sanctions. It is the figure of Ahmadinejad who is at the centre of the conundrum of whether Iran and the US are slipping towards war. On Friday Ahmadinejad was in Tehran at a conference on Palestinian aspirations for statehood. Such, however, was the international outcry surrounding his announcement three days earlier in the city of Mashhad that Iran had mastered the basics of uranium enrichment, that this subject seemed to be a mere sideshow to Iran's intensifying confrontation with the West. With the President bearing the triumphal tidings in the presence of the country's atomic energy chief and an assortment of senior mullahs and military top brass, the outward impression was of a regime united in the face of intense pressure from the UN Security Council, which set a 30-day deadline last month for Iran to suspend its nuclear enrichment activities. Such unanimity, however, is by many accounts only superficial. Behind the scenes, a bitter war of words has taken place over Ahmadinejad's inflammatory rhetoric. Hashemi Rafsanjani - the influential former president and a strong advocate of holding official talks with America - is a particular critic and is said to have denounced the President's tactics to his face. Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, has also warned about the international effects of the often-febrile remarks made by Ahmadinejad, who on Friday called yet again for Israel's destruction. Rafsanjani made his feelings clear by trumping the President's announcement in an interview with a Kuwaiti news agency, meaning the news was public hours in advance. 'There are some Iranian leaders, not least Rafsanjani, who think we should act more prudently and who don't approve of this radical trend,' said Dr Sadegh Zibakalam, a politics lecturer at Tehran University. 'They think we should buy friends in the international community by saying, for example, that we understand the anxiety about Iran's nuclear programme, but we can assure the West that it would in no way be intended to move towards an atomic weapon and that Iran is quite prepared to compromise.' The deep divisions over tone are matched by differences over substance. Some analysts speculate that last week's announcement - having been sold as a historic national achievement - could presage a climbdown that would involve a return to negotiations. 'The main point for Iran throughout has been that voluntary suspension of nuclear activities could deprive it of the opportunity to complete the fuel cycle forever,' one analyst said. 'The West, especially the US, is pressing for a revision to the additional protocol of the NPT [nuclear non-proliferation treaty] that would bar non-fuel-producing countries from pursuing their own cycle. In that context, last week's move can be interpreted as a sign of Iran's willingness to compromise. Even those pushing for a tougher Iranian line agree that we could take several steps ahead before retreating, because then we would have something in our hands to bargain with.' Zibakalam dismisses this as 'wishful thinking' and says Iran's leaders are determined to push ahead. They may, he says, eventually settle for a deal in which they agree to suspend industrial enrichment of uranium for two to five years while continuing laboratory work under international supervision. If that is unacceptable to the West, then Iran is facing, at the very least, economic sanctions. Whether ordinary Iranians will take heed is far from certain. 'We have needs other than the nuclear programme from a President who gave many promises to the young people,' said Ali Reza Ghamsari, 36, an official in a shipbuilding company. 'They need jobs and security. It's better for Iran to negotiate and co-ordinate its actions with the international community. I think the majority of the nation asks for such a thing. Otherwise, there is a high probability of sanctions and the President won't be able to deliver his promises.' Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 12 IRNA: African states happy with Iran's joining nuclear world - FM Tehran, April 15, IRNA Africa-Iran-Nuclear Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said here Saturday that African states were satisfied with Iran's joining the world nuclear countries. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on April 11 said that Iran has joined the world's nuclear countries, adding that Iran has completed production of nuclear fuel at laboratory scale and produced enriched uranium with the purity needed for a nuclear power station on April 9, this year. Mottaki, who was on a tour to the eastern African countries, made the remark while talking to reporters at Mehrabad International Airport upon his return home. "Visits to Uganda, Zimbabwe and Brazzaville Congo were successful. It was the first tour to the African states. It was a good opportunity to discuss potentials of African countries," he said. "The sides have not used their utmost potentials yet," Mottaki said expressing the hope the visit would bear fruits in this regard. "We should reconsider our capacities and potentials in African states since Iran enjoys a special position in the African continent," the Iranian foreign minister noted. In Brazzaville Congo, which is a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council and rotatory chairman of the African Union, the sides stressed the importance of expanding bilateral cooperation in all fields." He assessed as good his talks with Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe, saying implementation of joint projects were among issues discussed in the meeting. There are good opportunities for Iranian companies and private sector in Zimbabwe to implement certain agricultural projects, Mottaki added. He further stated the two sides also exchanged views on Iraq, Palestine and regional countries. ***************************************************************** 13 USNews.com: Washington Whispers By Kevin Whitelaw 4/24/06 Iranian Nukes? Hey, What's the Rush? The main lesson that the Senate Intelligence Committee drew from the run-up to the Iraq war was that Washington needs intense scrutiny of intelligence on weapons of mass destruction. So with all the buzz about nukes in Iran, it would be safe to assume that the committee is deep into an inquiry, right? Well, not quite. Kansas Republican Sen. Pat Roberts, the committee chair, warns that "we have not made the progress on our oversight of Iran intelligence, which is critical." The panel has done only piecemeal scrutiny of the spy agencies' work on Iran. "There is no organized committee staff effort to look at Iran right now," says majority staff director Bill Duhnke. "It's all sort of on hold." Roberts blames it on Democrats who are "more focused on intelligence failures of the past." Committee staffers who would conduct the Iran inquiry are instead tied up with the long-awaited second phase of the panel's review of prewar intelligence on Iraq (which covers how the Bush administration used the intelligence). Democrats say Roberts is stalling on Phase 2. "If the committee has not conducted a review of Iran intelligence, it's not because of a lack of resources," says Wendy Morigi, spokeswoman for Sen. Jay Rockefeller, the committee's ranking Democrat. Roberts says he is pushing hard to complete the Iraq inquiry, which could take several more months. Then, the committee can focus more on Iran. Perhaps Tehran will be kind enough to wait for them. Copyright © 2006 U.S.News & World Report, L.P. All ***************************************************************** 14 BBC: Pope calls for end to Iran crisis Last Updated: Sunday, 16 April 2006 [Pope Benedict XVI ] The Pope marks Easter Sunday on his 79th birthday Pope Benedict XVI has called for a negotiated solution to the Iran nuclear crisis, in his traditional Easter message in St Peter's Square in Rome. "May an honourable solution be found for all parties, through honest and serious negotiations," he said. He also affirmed Israel's "just right to exist in peace" while calling on the international community to help the Palestinians move towards statehood. It is Pope Benedict XVI's first Easter as pontiff. His Easter message - "Urbi et Orbi" - was broadcast live on television to more than 50 countries, while about 100,000 people gathered in the square. 'Peaceful co-existence' Speaking on Iraq, the Pope called for peace to "finally prevail over the tragic violence that continues mercilessly to claim victims". [Way of Cross procession at the Coliseum i Rome] In pictures: Easter Sunday He also prayed that those "caught up in the conflict in the Holy Land may find peace, and I invite all to patient and persevering dialogue, so as to remove both ancient and new obstacles". In an apparent allusion to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's recent threats against Israel, Pope Benedict defended Israel's right to exist. But he said it was also important for the Palestinian people to have a "state that is truly their own". The pontiff also prayed that leaders and international organisations would strengthen their will to "achieve peaceful co-existence among different races, cultures and religions". Addressing the humanitarian crisis in Sudan's Darfur region, the Pope prayed for the spirit of Christ to bring relief to people who were "living in a dramatic humanitarian situation that is no longer sustainable". Better living conditions were also needed for millions of people in Latin America, he said. Cheers went up among the crowd when the Pope prayed for "harmony" in Italy, an allusion to disputes over the outcome of the recent general election. Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has refused to concede defeat to opposition leader Romano Prodi, who was declared the provisional winner on Tuesday. The pope prayed Italian leaders would be strengthened in a "keen desire to reach the objectives of harmony and authentic development, for the good of all". ***************************************************************** 15 IRNA: Iran's uranium enrichment a great work: Pak cleric Islamabad, April 15, IRNA Pakistan-Iran-Uranium A Pakistani cleric on Saturday hailed the Iranian government for enrichment of uranium and described it as a great work. In an interview with IRNA in Peshawar, Maulana Yaqub Al-Qasimi appreciated Iran for achieving a breakthrough on the uranium enrichment. The leader of United Movement said that while respecting the international laws, Iran has enriched uranium for peaceful use of nuclear technology. In this connection, Al-Qasmi, who is prayers leader at Jamaia Mosque, Peshawar, said that Iran had made a commitment to the world community that its nuclear program was for peaceful use of nuclear energy. He stressed that according to the UN charter and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) laws, all countries enjoy equal right for making peaceful use of nuclear technology. During their meetings with senior US officials, President General Pervez Musharraf and Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz called for peaceful solution to Iran's nuclear case. Any other way to address the issue would yield serious repercussions not only for Pakistan but for all regional countries, they maintained. ***************************************************************** 16 IRNA: FM says nuclear case a national Tehran, April 16, IRNA Palestine Conference-Meet Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said here Saturday the nuclear energy issue has become a matter of national concern for Iran. Mottaki made the remarks during a meeting with the president of the Malaysian Senate, Abdul Hamid Pawanteh, on the sidelines of the Third International Conference on Qods and Support for the Rights of the Palestinian People which kicked off here Friday afternoon. "Iran intends to resolve the nuclear standoff through diplomacy and in line with its ongoing cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). "The United States should acknowledge the fact that it is no longer in a position to cause a crisis in the region," the minister said. He, moreover, said that pressures currently imposed on Iran were meant to force it to abandon its rights. "But if we retreat from our rights today pressures will be imposed on other countries of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) tomorrow," he pointed out. He said rights and obligations are the two important aspects of international conventions and treaties, and argued that "just as we have commitments we should also be able to enjoy our rights." Some three years ago the US attacked Iraq and declared war over after three months, he noted, but that the occupation continues because "after three years, Washington is still unable to solve the Iraqi problem and has even called for help." Likewise, he added, "it (US) attacked Afghanistan to establish stability in the country but after four years even UN Secretary- General Kofi Annan has acknowledged that insecurity is still the main problem in Afghanistan." Moreover, Mottaki stressed the importance of promoting the concept of an `Asian parliament' as distinguished from the "European Parliament'. Pointing to what he described as the "very good relations" between Tehran and Kuala Lumpur particularly in the parliamentary field, the minister called on the two sides to exploit their potentials to further expand their technological and industrial cooperation. Pawanteh, who praised Iran's important position in the Islamic world, said Iran and Asia have never enjoyed such influential ties as they do now. Referring to Iran's nuclear case, he said technology and knowhow are God-given assets for human beings and cannot be monopolized by certain states or persons. The Malaysian speaker, who noted that oil resources were not unlimited, called for the use of other sources of energy. He said nuclear energy was a matter of countries' survival, and therefore technology should be availed of to ensure their survival. ***************************************************************** 17 IRNA: FM stresses diplomatic solution to Iran's nuclear case Tehran, April 16, IRNA Palestine-Conference-Nuclear Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki here Saturday said that Iran's nuclear case ought to be settled through diplomatic channels. Mottaki made the remarks while meeting with Parliament deputies and members of the Foreign Policy Commission of Mexico on the sidelines of the Third International Conference on Qods and Support for the Rights of the Palestinian People, which is due to conclude later today. "The language of threat is not appropriate for resolving international issues. Access to peaceful nuclear energy is our right. Through hard work, Iran has joined the world's nuclear club," he pointed out. He reiterated that Iran "has always been committed to the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and should enjoy its rights" under this document. On the other hand, "certain countries which have nuclear weapons and which are not committed to the NPT are trying to block Iran's access to peaceful nuclear energy," he added. Mottaki declared that nuclear energy is a national demand and that no one can deprive Iran of this right. He expressed hope Iran and Mexico can use their potentials to further boost their "good relations." Pointing to Iran's historical and geo-political importance in the Middle East region, the minister said US policies on the region have been faulty. "These policies have not led to establishment of peace and security in the region but, on the other hand, increased war and insecurity." On the Palestinian issue, he reminded the international community and "peace and stability should be fair and sustainable" in order to be enduring. "Europe and the US are faced with a political paradox since they claim to be advocates of democracy but refuse to accept the results of the recent parliamentary elections in Palestine," adding "this showed they are pursuing double-standard policies." The Mexican side expressed support for Iran's right to have access to peaceful nuclear technology. The commission members pointed to Iran's important position in the region and praised the country's vigorous support for the Palestinian people. ***************************************************************** 18 AFP: Iran issues stark military warning to United States Sat Apr 15, 4:51 AM ET TEHRAN (AFP) - Iran" /> Iransaid it could defeat any American military action over its controversial nuclear drive, in one of the Islamic regime's boldest challenges yet to the United States. "You can start a war but it won't be you who finishes it," said General Yahya Rahim Safavi, the head of the Revolutionary Guards and among the regime's most powerful figures. "The Americans know better than anyone that their troops in the region and in Iraq" /> Iraqare vulnerable. I would advise them not to commit such a strategic error," he told reporters on the sidelines of a pro-Palestinian conference in Tehran. The United States accuses Iran of using an atomic energy drive as a mask for weapons development. Last weekend US news reports said President George W. Bush" /> President George W. Bush's administration was refining plans for preventive strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. "I would advise them to first get out of their quagmire in Iraq before getting into an even bigger one," General Safavi said with a grin. "We have American forces in the region under total surveillance. For the past two years, we have been ready for any scenario, whether sanctions or an attack." Iran announced this week it had successfully enriched uranium to make nuclear fuel, despite a UN Security Council demand for the sensitive work to be halted by April 28. The Islamic regime says it only wants to generate atomic energy, but enrichment can be extended to make the fissile core of a nuclear warhead -- something the United States is convinced that "axis of evil" member Iran wants to acquire. At a Friday prayer sermon in Tehran, senior cleric Ayatollah Ahmad Janati simply branded the US as a "decaying power" lacking the "stamina" to block Iran's ambitions. And hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told AFP that a US push for tough United Nations" /> United Nationssanctions was of "no importance." "She is free to say whatever she wants," the president replied when asked to respond to comments by US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice" /> Condoleezza Ricehighlighting part of the UN charter that provides for sanctions backed up by the threat of military action. "We give no importance to her comments," he said with a broad smile. On Thursday, Rice said that faced with Iran's intransigence, the United States "will look at the full range of options available to the United Nations." "There is no doubt that Iran continues to defy the will of the international community," Rice said, after Iran also dismissed a personal appeal from the UN atomic watchdog chief Mohamed ElBaradei. The International Atomic Energy Agency" /> International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA) chief must give a report at the end of April on Iranian compliance with the Security Council demand. In Tehran he said that after three years of investigations Iran's activities were "still hazy and not very clear." Although the United States has been prodding the council to take a tough stand against the Islamic republic, including possible sanctions, it has run into opposition from veto-wielding members Russia and China. Representatives of the five permanent members of the Security Council plus Germany are to meet in Moscow Tuesday to discuss the crisis. In seeking to deter international action, Iran has been playing up its oil wealth, its military might in strategic Gulf waters and its influence across the region -- such as in Iraq, Lebanon and the Palestinian territories. At the Tehran conference, Iran continued to thumb its nose at the United States and Israel" /> Israel. "The Zionist regime is an injustice and by its very nature a permanent threat," Ahmadinejad told the gathering of regime officials, visiting Palestinian militant leaders and foreign sympathizers. "Whether you like it or not, the Zionist regime is on the road to being eliminated," said Ahmadinejad, whose regime does not recognise Israel and who drew international condemnation last year when he said Israel should be "wiped off the map." Unfazed by his critics, the hardliner went on to repeat his controversial stance on the Holocaust. "If there is serious doubt over the Holocaust, there is no doubt over the catastrophe and Holocaust being faced by the Palestinians," said the president, who had previously dismissed as a "myth" the killing of an estimated six million Jews by the Nazis and their allies during World War II. "I tell the governments who support Zionism to ... let the migrants (Jews) return to their countries of origin. If you think you owe them something, give them some of your land," he said. Iran's turbaned supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, also accused the United States of seeking to place the entire region under Israeli control. "The plots by the American government against Iran, Iraq, Syria" /> Syriaand Lebanon aimed at governing the Middle East with the control of the Zionist regime will not succeed," Khamenei said. There was no immediate reaction from Washington, but French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy severely condemned Ahmadinejad for his latest remarks on Israel. "As I have had occasion to do before, when the Iranian president made similar statements, I condemn these inacceptable remarks in the strongest possible terms," Douste-Blazy said in a statement. "Israel's right to exist and the reality of the Holocaust should not be disputed," he added. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 19 AFP: Chinese official hold nuclear talks with Iran Sun Apr 16, 5:29 AM ET TEHRAN (AFP) - A senior Chinese diplomat has held talks with Iran" /> 's top national security official, Iranian television has reported, amid mounting international tensions over the Islamic republic's nuclear drive. The report said China's assistant foreign minister, Cui Tiankai, met with Iran's Supreme National Security Council chief Ali Larijani as well as nuclear negotiator Javad Vaidi. No further details on the talks were given. The visit comes in the wake of Iran's announcement that it had successfully enriched uranium to the level needed to make reactor fuel. Uranium enrichment can be extended to make weapons, and the UN Security Council -- on which China has a permanent seat -- has given Iran's hardline leadership until April 28 to freeze the sensitive fuel cycle work. "We are concerned about the announcement and are also worried about the possible development of the situation," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Jianchao said in Beijing on Thursday. China had also announced that the political directors of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany would meet Tuesday in Moscow to discuss the Iranian issue. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 20 IRNA: Pak, Saudi leaders express opposition to use of force against Iran - Islamabad, April 16, IRNA Pakistan-S Arabia-Iran Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have come up with the unanimous view that the Iran nuclear issue should be resolved peacefully, local media reports said on Sunday. President Musharraf and visiting Saudi Crown Prince Sultan Bin Abdul Aziz Al-Saud, in talks Sunday night, exchanged views on regional and international issues of common concern, including the situation in Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine, Kashmir dispute, Iran nuclear issue and OIC reforms. The Saudi crown prince arrived in Islamabad on Saturday for a two-day state visit. Prince Saud is scheduled to hold talks with Pakistani Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz later today. In the meeting Saturday night, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia decided to give a new look to the 57-member Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) in a way that would encourage member countries to work together for the socio-economic uplift of the Muslim ummah. President Musharraf and Saudi Crown Prince Sultan Bin Abdul Aziz Al-Saud also stressed the need for enhancing intra-OIC trade and cooperation in science and technology. Cooperation in the trade, economic and defence fields were the main focus of attention between the two leaders. The leadership of both the countries also discussed anti-terror measures and pledged to work with the international community to put an end to the menace. They vowed to put in extra efforts to solve political disputes affecting Muslims and promote inter-faith harmony in the interest of establishing peace, development and security all over the world. Regarding the situation in the Middle East, the two leaders were of the view that it was incumbent on the international community to accept Hamas as the democratically elected government in the Occupied Territories. President Musharraf also apprised the visiting Saudi leader on Pakistan-India relations and efforts to achieve an early resolution of the Kashmir dispute including their confidence-building measures, people-to-people contacts and revival of transportation links. A large delegation comprising cabinet ministers and investors are accompanying the Saudi crown prince, who is also the deputy premier, minister for defence and aviation as well as inspector-general of Saudi Arabia. Identifying energy, refinery and infrastructure and food processing as some of the most potential areas for Saudi investment in Pakistan, the president said Islamabad would facilitate investment by Saudi entrepreneurs in Pakistan. ***************************************************************** 21 AFP: Iran says US in no position to attack Sun Apr 16, 6:47 AM ET TEHRAN (AFP) - Iran" /> Iranappears convinced it can deter or even win a military confrontation with the United States, with the Islamic regime buoyed by high oil prices, support from militants across the region and American woes in Iraq" /> Iraq. The regime gave fresh signals on Sunday that it was in no mood for a compromise over its disputed nuclear programme, with officials openly flouting a UN Security Council demand for a freeze in uranium enrichment by April 28. "We are trying to find a diplomatic solution for our (nuclear) problem, and the United States should be aware that it is not in a position to create another crisis in the region," Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki told the official news agency IRNA. "More than three years have passed since the United States invaded Iraq and after all these years they are now asking for help," he said, referring to Washington's request for talks with Tehran on the insurgency. The crisis over Iran's nuclear ambitions has worsened over the past week following the regime's announcement that its scientists managed to enrich uranium to the level needed to make reactor fuel. Iran insists its programme is strictly peaceful, but enrichment technology can also be extended to make atomic weapons -- hence the UN demand for a moratorium while an International Atomic Energy Agency" /> International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA) probe continues. The United States is now pushing for tough UN action against Iran, with several US press reports also saying that military options to deal with the oil-rich regime were being looked into. "You can start a war but it won't be you who finishes it," General Yahya Rahim Safavi, the head of the Revolutionary Guards and among the regime's most powerful figures, said on Friday in one of Iran's boldest statements yet. In a direct threat, he also pointed out that US troops in Iraq and the region were "vulnerable" -- while other regime figures stepped up their vitriolic anti-Western rhetoric. "The Zionist regime is an injustice and by its very nature a permanent threat," firebrand President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told a pro-Palestinian conference on Friday, also voicing "serious doubts" over the Holocaust and predicting the "elimination" of the Jewish state. Palestinian militant leaders, in Tehran to attend the conference, have also rallied behind Tehran -- strengthening Iran's hand in the stand-off. Hamas supremo Khaled Meshaal vowed the new Palestinian government will not recognise Israel" /> Israelregardless of mounting international pressure on the militant group to do so -- sticking with the tough position supported by Iran. Islamic Jihad chief Abdullah Ramadan Shala also joined Hamas by vowing his Palestinian militant group would stand by Iran in the event of any military action by the United States or Israel. "Any threat to the Islamic republic is a threat to the Palestinians, and Iran will not be alone in facing these threats. And any aggression against Iran is an aggression against the Palestinians," he said. IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei was in Tehran on Thursday to push for a suspension -- but sent home empty-handed -- while a senior Chinese diplomat has also held talks with top national security officials in Tehran. State television reported Sunday that China's assistant foreign minister, Cui Tiankai, met Iran's Supreme National Security Council chief Ali Larijani as well as nuclear negotiator Javad Vaidi. China had also announced that representatives of the five permanent members of the Security Council plus Germany would meet Tuesday in Moscow to discuss the Iranian issue. But Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, Aliasghar Soltanieh, signalled no concessions were on the horizon. "The IAEA secretary and inspectors get into too many details," he complained in an interview with state television. "The information and the issues brought up during inspections make trouble." "The agency has to be cautious now that such claims (of secret nuclear weapons work) have proved unfounded," he said, telleing the IAEA "not to request inspections" of sensitive military sites. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 22 IRNA: Haddad-Adel condemns foreign intervention in regional states - Tehran, April 15, IRNA Palestine-Conference-Syria Majlis Speaker Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel here Saturday condemned any foreign intervention in domestic affairs of regional states including Syria. Haddad-Adel made the remark in a meeting with the visiting speaker of Syrian People's Assembly, Mahmoud al-Abrash, on the second day of the Third International Conference on Qods and Support for the Rights of Palestinian People. In the meeting, the Iranian speaker praised the growing trend of bilateral relations between Tehran and Damascus and stressed the importance of further promotion of ties. He called for boosting political, economic and cultural exchanges between the two countries. He praised the initiative of Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri in bringing together Lebanese groups to forge understanding. Haddad-Adel said Iran would continue its principled policies at regional and international levels, adding, "Despite the existing concerns over developments in Iraq and Palestine, we are witnessing more stability and bigger role played by the people in these two countries in determining their fate." He expressed satisfaction over the successful outcomes of al-Aqsa Intifada and resistance of the Palestinian people in forcing Zionist regime to withdraw. The speaker also welcomed Hamas victory in recent parliamentary election in Palestine, saying, "The Islamic world will come closer to its real status through continuation of the Palestinians' resistance and more support by Islamic states." Briefing his Syrian counterpart on developments in Iran's nuclear case, he said, "We expect our friends and neighbors not to pay heed to the insinuations of the US and the West and regard Iran's peaceful nuclear activities as a step towards independence of the region from foreigners." Al-Abrash, for his part, welcomed holding Tehran conference on Palestine and said speeches by the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khomeini and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad echoed the viewpoints of the world Muslims. Turning to the conspiracies hatched by certain Western countries against Muslim states particularly Iran and Syria, he quoted the statements of the late Founder of the Islamic Republic Imam Khomeini as saying the West cannot do a damn thing. The Syrian speaker said Iran's nuclear success is an achievement for the entire region and felicitated the Iranian government and nation. The international conference kicked off in Tehran Friday afternoon with a key note speech by the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei. ***************************************************************** 23 AFP: US analysts detail war plans against Iran Sun Apr 16, 6:12 AM ET WASHINGTON (AFP) - The United States began planning a full-scale military campaign against Iran" /> Iranthat involves missile strikes, a land invasion and a naval operation to establish control over the Strait of Hormuz even before the March 2003 invasion of Iraq" /> Iraq, a former US intelligence analyst disclosed. William Arkin, who served as the US Army's top intelligence mind on West Berlin in the 1970s and accurately predicted US military operations against Iraq, said the plan is known in military circles as TIRANNT, an acronym for "Theater Iran Near Term." It includes a scenario for a land invasion led by the US Marine Corps, a detailed analysis of the Iranian missile force and a global strike plan against any Iranian weapons of mass destruction, Arkin wrote in The Washington Post. US and British planners have already conducted a Caspian Sea war game as part of these preparations, the scholar said. "According to military sources close to the planning process, this task was given to Army General John Abizaid, now commander of CENTCOM, in 2002," Arkin wrote, referring to the Florida-based US Central Command. But preparations under TIRANNT began in earnest in May 2003 and never stopped, he said. The plan has since been updated using information collected in Iraq. Air Force planners have modeled attacks against Iranian air defenses, while Navy planners have evaluated coastal targets and drawn up scenarios for keeping control of the Strait of Hormuz. A follow-on TIRANNT analysis, which began in October 2003, calculated the results of different scenarios to provide options to commanders, Arkin wrote. The Marines, meanwhile, have come up with their own document called "Concept of Operations" that explores the possibility of moving forces from ship to shore without establishing a beachhead first. "Though the Marine Corps enemy is described only as a deeply religious revolutionary country named Karona, it is -- with its Revolutionary Guards, WMD and oil wealth -- unmistakably meant to be Iran," Arkin said. Various scenarios involving Iran's missile force have also been examined in another study, initiated in 2004 and known as BMD-I, which is short for "Ballistic Missile Defense -- Iran", Arkin said. In June 2004, US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld alerted the US Strategic Command in Omaha, Nebraska, to be prepared to implement CONPLAN 8022, a global strike plan that includes Iran, according to the scholar. "The new task force, sources have told me, mostly worries that if it were called upon to deliver 'prompt' global strikes against certain targets in Iran under some emergency circumstances, the president might have to be told that the only option is a nuclear one," Arkin said. The US military has been involved in contingency planning against Iran since at least the presidency of Jimmy Carter, who undertook a failed commando operation to rescue US hostages in Tehran in 1980. Following the 1996 bombing of an apartment building used by the US Air Force in Khobar, Saudi Arabia, which was reportedly traced to Iranian agents, the administration of then-president Bill Clinton" /> Bill Clintonconsidered a bombing campaign, according to Richard Clarke and Steven Simon, who held at the time high-level counterterrorism positions at the National Security Council. "But after long debate, the highest levels of the military could not forecast a way in which things would end favorably for the United States," the two experts wrote in Sunday's New York Times. They warned Iran could retaliate against the United States by using its terrorist networks "that are far superior to anything Al-Qaeda was ever able to field." President George W. Bush" /> President George W. Bushlast week dismissed talk of war planning against Iran as "wild speculation." But Dianne Feinstein, a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, warned this weekend that "there are some in this administration who have been pushing to make nuclear weapons more 'usable.' "This is pure folly," the Democratic senator commented in The Los Angeles Times. "First use of nuclear weapons by the United States should be unthinkable." Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 24 AFP: Six major powers to meet in Moscow on Iran nuclear crisis - Sunday April 16, 12:41 PM UNITED NATIONS (AFP) - Six major powers will meet in Moscow on Tuesday to take stock after Iran announced its scientists had enriched uranium to make nuclear fuel, in open defiance of a UN demand for a freeze of such sensitive work. The United States says possible punitive measures such as the freezing of assets and travel restrictions on Iranian representatives will be on the agenda though China and Russia have been reluctant to back sanctions against Tehran. The high-level gathering, on the sidelines of a meeting of foreign ministry political directors of the Group of Eight (G8) powers, was to bring together top officials from Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States -- the five permanent members of the UN Security Council -- plus Germany. It will come 10 days before the expiry of a 30-day deadline unanimously set by the council for Iran to comply with International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) demands for a enrichment freeze to allay suspicions it is seeking nuclear weapons capability. But Tuesday, Iran revealed that its scientists had enriched uranium to 3.5 percent, the purity required for civilian reactor fuel, and vowed to move quickly to industrial-scale enrichment, which could be used to make the fissile core of an atomic bomb. The news drew worldwide condemnation but Iranian leaders defiantly told visiting IAEA head Mohamed ElBaradei in Tehran Wednesday that they would not back down. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad again insisted that his country's nuclear work was peaceful. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice Thursday demanded tough action by the 15-member Security Council, which is awaiting an assessment report from ElBaradei, and said Washington "will look at the full range of options available to the United Nations". Rice raised the prospect of invoking chapter seven of the UN Charter which can authorize sanctions or even the use of force in case of a threat to international peace and security or an act of aggression. The State Department said there were several possible options to punish Iran if it failed to heed the UN Security Council. "Those would include asset freezes...(and) would potentially include restrictions on the ability of some members of that regime to travel," State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said. But Western diplomats here cautioned not to expect a call for immediate sanctions let alone military action. Russia and China, which have significant economic interests in Iran, oppose such drastic measures and instead urge patient diplomacy spearheaded by the IAEA. Western countries, however, are hoping that Tehran's intransigence will persuade Moscow and Beijing to back a chapter seven resolution that would aim to make mandatory the demands outlined in the March 29 non-binding council statement. "There would then be a legal obligation for Iran to comply (with the IAEA demands)," said a diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity. US Ambassador John Bolton told reporters this week that he was gratified by Russia's reaction to Tehran's enrichment announcement. "We believe this is a step in the wrong direction," Russian foreign ministry spokesman Mikhail Kamynin said Wednesday. Diplomats said that sanctions envisaged would be calibrated so as not to hurt the Iranian people, with the pressure on Tehran ratcheted up gradually. But Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stressed that he was convinced that "there can be no resolution of the problem through use of force." In Tehran, recent US news reports that Washington was refining plans for pre-emptive strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities prompted a warning from the regime that military action would represent "a strategic error." "The Americans know better than anyone that their troops in the region and in Iraq are vulnerable," said General Yahya Rahim Safavi, the head of the Revolutionary Guards and among the Iranian regime's most powerful figures. "I would advise them not to commit such a strategic error." US President George W. Bush has dismissed reports of pre-emptive strikes as "wild speculation" although US officials insist that all options remain on the table to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. The Moscow meeting is expected to be attended by virtually the same officials who met here March 20 and failed to agree on a long-term strategy to deal with Iran. They include US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Nicholas Burns, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Kislyak and foreign ministry political directors John Sawers of Britain, Stanislas de Laboulaye of France, and Michael Schaefer of Germany. China however said it would represented by Assistant Foreign Minister Cui Tiankai, instead of ministry political director Zhang Yan, who attended the New York meeting last month. Copyright © 2006 AFP. All rights reserved. All information ***************************************************************** 25 Xinhua: U.S. plans to design new nuclear warheads: report www.xinhuanet.com www.chinaview.cn 2006-04-15 22:46:09 WASHINGTON, April 15 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. government plans, by the end of the year, to select the design of a new generation of nuclear warheads that would be more dependable and possibly able to be disarmed in the event they fell into terrorist hands, The Washington Post reported Saturday. The new warheads would be based on nuclear technology that has already been tested, which means they could be produced more than a decade from now to gradually replace at lower numbers the existing U.S. stockpile of about 6,000 warheads without additional underground testing, Linton F. Brooks, administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), and other government officials were quoted as saying. The NNSA oversees the U.S. nuclear weapons complex. The warhead redesign is part of a larger, multibillion-U.S. dollar program to refurbish the nation's nuclear-weapons stockpile and to consolidate nuclear plants and facilities in nearly a dozen states, the report said. The next-generation warheads will be larger and more stable than the existing ones but slightly less powerful, and might contain "use controls" that would enable the military to disable the weapons by remote control if they are stolen by terrorists, according to the report. The NNSA will choose between two competing designs submitted by teams at the Los Alamos and Lawrence Livermore national laboratories by November, Brooks said in an interview with the Post. The Reliable Replacement Warhead Program was first proposed two years ago, and has been adopted as part of a major restructuring of the U.S. nuclear weapons complex being proposed by the Bush administration in light of the findings of its 2002 Nuclear Posture Review. But this is just the beginning of a decades-long process of replacing the stockpile with smaller warheads. Even if the government meets its year-end deadline for choosing a feasible design for engineering development and production, Congress will still have to debate and approve the choice. After that, it will probably take almost 10 more years before the first new warheads appear, the report said. Enditem Editor: Luan Shanglin Copyright ©2003 Xinhua News Agency. All rights reserved. ***************************************************************** 26 Zee News: India-US deal will destroy nuclear research Alternative & Independent Source of Indian Subcontinent News By P.K. Iyengar and M. Gupta The initial impression of the July 18 Joint Statement as an outline of the nuclear deal Prime Minister Manmohan Singh signed with President George W. Bush was that it may herald a new chapter in India-US scientific cooperation. But the PM’s suo motu statement in Parliament of March 7, 2006 and the recent release of the “Separation Plan,” disabused the scientific community of any such hope. Particularly surprising was the Indian government agreeing to put research facilities like the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research (TIFR); Variable Energy Cyclotron Centre (VECC), Saha Institute of Nuclear Physics (SINP), Institute for Plasma Research, Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Physics, Tata Memorial Centre, Board of Radiation and Isotope Technology, and Harish Chandra Research Institute, which are legitimately safeguards-irrelevant, under International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards. This is especially disturbing since the Prime Minister owned up to the fact that India had surrendered the right to decide for itself which facilities will come under IAEA safeguards. Moreover, since the Manmohan Singh government has virtually accepted a non-nuclear weapons State status for the country in the Non-Proliferation Treaty regime, negotiating India-specific safeguards and Additional Protocol with the IAEA, will be worrisome. It is well known that the Additional Protocol has evolved in recent years specifically to deal with “rogue States” attempting to acquire sensitive technology clandestinely. The problem has clearly arisen due to artificially imposed requirements of categorising the various components of the Department of Atomic Energy into “civil” or “military.” Thus the Bhabha Atomic Research Centre and the Indira Gandhi Centre for Atomic Research have been rendered strictly “military” to avoid attracting safeguards, when more than 90 per cent of the work carried out in these institutions is “civilian.” It is well known that safeguard inspections by IAEA when applied to non-nuclear States, are extremely intrusive, immensely disruptive, and are often conducted in an atmosphere vitiated by suspicion. Without any substantiated assurances to the contrary, there is little reason to assume that such will not be the case for India. That the “judicious” use of suspicion may serve to irreversibly tilt the balance is best illustrated by the Iranian affair where the right of an NPT signatory to develop technology (in this case, the centrifuge to enrich uranium), is subject to advance approval from the IAEA. The resulting inspection regime, if applied to fundamental research facilities in India, would imply that any or all research may come under scrutiny or have to be first vetted by the large 65 member Board of Governors ruling the intricate IAEA bureaucracy. With India not being a Non-Proliferation Treaty signatory, would the topics “allowed” for scientific investigation not be decided within the framework of rules applicable to non-nuclear weapons countries or, worse, rogue States? What would be the yardstick for deciding what research is “sanctioned”? Would this mean that “civilian” scientists cannot collaborate with their “military” counterparts since separation must be maintained? To extend the argument, since such constraints would necessarily have to be focused on indigenous research, criteria could be selective (foreign collaborations with “acceptable” countries may not be scrutinised) and/or restrictive (it may become increasingly difficult for India to choose its research collaborators if they happen to belong to the “wrong” country). In such an environment, there will be little scope for pursuing India’s tried and proven self-reliance policy in the future since all indigenous work would invite invasive scrutiny. It has been mentioned that in the event of a national crisis, perhaps none of the trained workforce, equipment or any technology fall-out from such research will be available for military work since India has accepted “in perpetuity” safeguards on all civilian facilities and purportedly given up its sovereign right to cite national security reasons for withdrawal — a privilege enjoyed by all technologically advanced nations. Such an artificial “segregation” would create multiple problems of its own. There is adequate proof that the DAE’s applied programmes have drawn heavily from human resources developed in these institutions. In the absence of sensible and responsible negotiations, if inspections include “pursuit” in principle as they may in the case of nuclear fuel, associated universities, grant funding institutions such as the Department of Science and Technology and other organisations like the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, etc., will be forced to submit to humiliating and intrusive supervision. Gone will be the days of unfettered technology development via collaborative research with, say, a private biotechnology company. An international “licence-permit raj” on Indian scientific creativity will be here to stay and the army of IAEA inspectors will invade all related public and private sector entities, sometimes even without prior intimation. At the very least it would guarantee that scientists and engineers would be endlessly tied up in bureaucratic red-tape so as to satisfy an infinite number of queries so that very little constructive work is actually achieved. It is far from true that the entities on the list are “merely” academic institutions when one realises that BARC in its entirety was born from TIFR which was the first institute of its kind in the nation devoted to the physical sciences and mathematics. Recall that Homi Bhabha’s vision was to build up indigenous capability through promoting manpower generation in the basic sciences. He wrote in 1944 to J.R.D. Tata that the Tata Institute should be created in order to produce the experts for nuclear energy in India when it becomes feasible. With the firm grounding that such training inculcates, professionals can adapt themselves with alacrity to the requirements of creating technology and its spin-offs. Indeed, this has been the way all technological innovations have happened throughout the world. To enable this in India the DAE created autonomous institutions like SINP, VECC and others to create and sustain a strong and wide base of specialisations providing an unshakeable foundation for a healthy technological future. Such institutions have also enabled us to initiate new research, such as in the fusion programme. It helped India gain entrance to the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor project, and register successes in computing technologies, and space and nano-particle research and a whole gamut of laser based scientific research to name a few areas. Regardless of the exact nature of the safeguards, the scientific community in India is extremely upset and alarmed that the autonomy of these institutions may now be severely eroded and their research programmes subjected to the worst external interference. Having been put to great inconvenience of the kind related here. NPT signatory Brazil, for example, has finally been forced to object to IAEA inspections on projects funded by the Brazilian atomic energy agency in the university sector. But as a non-NPT state, the Indian government may not have retained an escape route in its haste to please Washington. In advanced nuclear countries such as the United States, premier institutions and universities funded by its atomic energy commission would consider it inconceivable to give up their autonomy, which is jealously preserved to enable new and innovative research in the frontiers of science to take seed, grow and flourish. There can be no artificial constraints on the dissemination of scientific thought and the world has reaped the benefits of a free system, as has India. To put centres of excellence under safeguards of whatever type, would be to serve a body blow to the future of indigenous Indian science. Since scientific and technological strength has brought us to where we are today, this is obviously too high a price to pay. The negative ramifications of such a drastic step would be hard to envisage in their entirety. On the whole, it is clear that inserting these facilities into the already complex problem of separating the DAE’s civilian and military programmes as required by the nuclear deal is a fatal mistake. If it has happened as a result of bureaucratic oversight, this must be corrected. Scientists must come forward with their concerns and initiate a constructive dialogue with the Prime Minister’s Office and the ministry of external affairs to prevent such an outcome. The government of India needs to be far more transparent and to consult with a range of retired and serving scientists from the science establishment before actively assisting in the demise of basic research in this country. Dr P.K. Iyengar retired as Chairman, Atomic Energy Commission. Dr M. Gupta is a physicist at the Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Karnataka (Source : Zee News) © 2003-Copyrights World News Exchange. Site maintained and ***************************************************************** 27 CAQ: HIROSHIMA: NEEDLESS SLAUGHTER, USEFUL TERROR Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 21:00:21 -0500 (CDT) HIROSHIMA: NEEDLESS SLAUGHTER, USEFUL TERROR by William Blum Covert Action Quarterly #53 While Japan was desperately trying to surrender, the U.S. knowing that the war could be ended without a land invasion dropped two A-bombs: The opening shot of cold war. Does winning World War II and the Cold War mean never having to say you're sorry? The Germans apologized to the Jews and the Poles. The Japanese apologized to the Chinese and the Koreans, and to the United States for failing to break off diplomatic relations before attacking Pearl Harbor. The Russians apologized to the Poles for atrocities committed against civilians, and to the Japanese for abuse of prisoners. The Soviet Communist Party even apologized for foreign policy errors that heightened tension with the West. Is there any reason for the U.S. to apologize to Japan for atomizing Hiroshima and Nagasaki? Those on opposing sides of this question are lining up in battle formation for the 50th anniversary of the dropping of the atom bombs on August 6 and 9. During last year's raw-meat controversy surrounding the Smithsonian Institution's Enola Gay exhibit, U.S. veterans went ballistic. They condemned the emphasis on the ghastly deaths caused by the bomb and the lingering aftereffects of radiation, and took offense at the portrayal of Japanese civilians as blameless victims. An Air Force group said vets were feeling nuked. In Japan, too, the anniversary has rekindled controversy. The mayors of the two Japanese cities in question spoke out about a wide perception gap between the two countries. Nagasaki Mayor Hitoshi Motoshima, surmounting a cultural distaste for offending, called the bombings one of the two great crimes against humanity in the 20th Century, along with the Holocaust. Defenders of the U.S. action counter that the bomb actually saved lives: It ended the war sooner and obviated the need for a land invasion. Estimates of the hypothetical body count, however, which ranged from 20,000 to 1.2 million, owe more to political agendas than to objective projections. But in any event, defining the issue as a choice between the A-bomb and a land invasion is an irrelevant and wholly false dichotomy. By 1945, Japan's entire military and industrial machine was grinding to a halt as the resources needed to wage war were all but eradicated. The navy and air force had been destroyed ship by ship, plane by plane, with no possibility of replacement. When, in the spring of 1945, the island nation's lifeline to oil was severed, the war was over except for the fighting. By June, Gen. Curtis LeMay, in charge of the air attacks, was complaining that after months of terrible firebombing, there was nothing left of Japanese cities for his bombers but garbage can targets. By July, U.S. planes could fly over Japan without resistance and bomb as much and as long as they pleased. Japan could no longer defend itself. REJECTED OVERTURES After the war, the world learned what U.S. leaders had known by early 1945: Japan was militarily defeated long before Hiroshima; it had been trying for months, if not for years, to surrender; and the U.S. had consistently rebuffed these overtures. A May 5 cable, intercepted and decoded by the U.S., dispelled any possible doubt that the Japanese were eager to sue for peace. Sent to Berlin by the German ambassador in Tokyo, after he talked to a ranking Japanese naval officer, it read: Since the situation is clearly recognized to be hopeless, large sections of the Japanese armed forces would not regard with disfavor an American request for capitulation even if the terms were hard. As far as is known, Washington did nothing to pursue this opening. Later that month, Secretary of War Henry L. Stimson almost capriciously dismissed three separate high-level recommendations from within the administration to activate peace negotiations. The proposals advocated signaling Japan that the U.S. was willing to consider the all-important retention of the emperor system; i.e., the U.S. would not insist upon unconditional surrender. Stimson, like other high U.S. officials, did not really care in principle whether or not the emperor was retained. The term unconditional surrender was always a propaganda measure; wars are always ended with some kind of conditions. To some extent the insistence was a domestic consideration not wanting to appear to appease the Japanese. More important, however, it reflected a desire that the Japanese not surrender before the bomb could be used. One of the few people who had been aware of the Manhattan Project from the beginning, Stimson had come to think of it as his bomb, my secret, as he called it in his diary. On June 6, he told President Truman he was fearful that before the A-bombs were ready to be delivered, the Air Force would have Japan so bombed out that the new weapon would not have a fair background to show its strength. In his later memoirs, Stimson admitted that no effort was made, and none was seriously considered, to achieve surrender merely in order not to have to use the bomb. And that effort could have been minimal. In July, before the leaders of the U.S., Great Britain, and the Soviet Union met at Potsdam, the Japanese government sent several radio messages to its ambassador, Naotake Sato, in Moscow, asking him to request Soviet help in mediating a peace settlement. His Majesty is extremely anxious to terminate the war as soon as possible ..., said one communication. Should, however, the United States and Great Britain insist on unconditional surrender, Japan would be forced to fight to the bitter end. On July 25, while the Potsdam meeting was taking place, Japan instructed Sato to keep meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Molotov to impress the Russians with the sincerity of our desire to end the war [and] have them understand that we are trying to end hostilities by asking for very reasonable terms in order to secure and maintain our national existence and honor (a reference to retention of the emperor). Having broken the Japanese code years earlier, Washington did not have to wait to be informed by the Soviets of these peace overtures; it knew immediately, and did nothing. Indeed, the National Archives in Washington contains U.S. government documents reporting similarly ill-fated Japanese peace overtures as far back as 1943. Thus, it was with full knowledge that Japan was frantically trying to end the war, that President Truman and his hardline secretary of state, James Byrnes, included the term unconditional surrender in the July 26 Potsdam Declaration. This final warning and expression of surrender terms to Japan was in any case a charade. The day before it was issued, Harry Truman had al- ready approved the order to release a 15 kiloton atomic bomb over the city of Hiroshima. POLITICAL BOMBSHELL Many U.S. military officials were less than enthusiastic about the demand for unconditional surrender or use of the atomic bomb. At the time of Potsdam, Gen. Hap Arnold asserted that conventional bombing could end the war. Adm. Ernest King believed a naval blockade alone would starve the Japanese into submission. Gen. Douglas MacArthur, convinced that retaining the emperor was vital to an orderly transition to peace, was appalled at the demand for unconditional surrender. Adm. William Leahy concurred. Refusal to keep the emperor would result only in making the Japanese desperate and thereby increase our casualty lists, he argued, adding that a nearly defeated Japan might stop fighting if unconditional surrender were dropped as a demand. At a loss for a military explanation for use of the bomb, Leahy believed that the decision was clearly a political one, reached perhaps because of the vast sums that had been spent on the project. Finally, we have Gen. Dwight Eisenhower's account of a conversation with Stimson in which he told the secretary of war that: "Japan was already defeated and that dropping the bomb was completely unnecessary. ... I thought our country should avoid shocking world opinion by the use of a weapon whose employment was, I thought, no longer mandatory as a measure to save American lives. It was my belief that Japan was, at that very moment, seeking some way to surrender with a minimum loss of face. The secretary was deeply perturbed by my attitude, almost angrily refuting the reasons I gave for my quick conclusions." BOMB-SLINGING DIPLOMATS If, as appears to be the case, U.S. policy in 1945 was based on neither the pursuit of the earliest possible peace nor the desire to avoid a land invasion, we must look elsewhere to explain the dropping of the A-bombs. It has been asserted that dropping of the atomic bombs was not so much the last military act of the Second World War as the first act of the Cold War. Although Japan was targeted, the weapons were aimed straight to the red heart of the USSR. For three-quarters of a century, the determining element of U.S. foreign policy, virtually its sine qua non, has been the communist factor. World War II and a battlefield alliance with the USSR did not bring about an ideological change in the anti-communists who owned and ran America. It merely provided a partial breather in a struggle that had begun with the U.S. invasion of the Soviet Union in 1918. It is hardly surprising then, that 25 years later, as the Soviets were sustaining the highest casualties of any nation in WW II, the U.S. systematically kept them in the dark about the A-bomb project while sharing information with the British. According to Manhattan Project scientist Leo Szilard, Secretary of State Byrnes had said that the bomb's biggest benefit was not its effect on Japan but its power to make Russia more manageable in Europe. The U.S. was planning ahead. A Venezuelan diplomat reported to his government after a May 1945 meeting that Assistant Secretary of State Nelson Rockefeller communicated to us the anxiety of the United States Government about the Russian attitude. U.S. officials, he said, were beginning to speak of Communism as they once spoke of Nazism and are invoking continental solidarity and hemispheric defense against it. Churchill, who had known about the weapon before Truman, applauded and understood its use: Here then was a speedy end to the Second World War, he said about the bomb, and added, thinking of Russian advances into Europe, and perhaps to much else besides. ... We now had something in our hands which would redress the balance with the Russians. Referring to the immediate aftermath of Nagasaki, Stimson wrote: "In the State Department there developed a tendency to think of the bomb as a diplomatic weapon. Outraged by constant evidence of Russian perfidy, some of the men in charge of foreign policy were eager to carry the bomb for a while as their ace-in-the-hole. ... American statesmen were eager for their country to browbeat the Russians with the bomb held rather ostentatiously on our hip." This policy, which came to be known as atomic diplomacy did not, of course, spring forth full-grown on the day after Nagasaki. The psychological effect on Stalin [of the bombs] was twofold, noted historian Charles L. Mee, Jr. The Americans had not only used a doomsday machine; they had used it when, as Stalin knew, it was not militarily necessary. It was this last chilling fact that doubtless made the greatest impression on the Russians. KILLING NAGASAKI After the Enola Gay released its cargo on Hiroshima, common sense common decency wouldn't apply here would have dictated a pause long enough to allow Japanese officials to travel to the city, confirm the extent of the destruction, and respond before the U.S. dropped a second bomb. At 11 o'clock in the morning of August 9, Prime Minister Kintaro Suzuki addressed the Japanese Cabinet: Under the present circumstances I have concluded that our only alternative is to accept the Potsdam Proclamation and terminate the war. Moments later, the second bomb fell on Nagasaki. Some hundreds of thousands of Japanese civilians died in the two attacks; many more suffered terrible injury and permanent genetic damage. After the war, His Majesty the Emperor still sat on his throne, and the gentlemen who ran the United States had absolutely no problem with this. They never had. ***************************************************************** 28 London Times: Nuclear break-up on cards - Sunday Times - Times Online Sunday Times April 16, 2006 Tracey Boles THE government is thought to be considering splitting up British Nuclear Group and selling its stake in the Atomic Weapons Establishment (AWE)separately from the rest of the organisation. BNG, best known for its nuclear clean-up work around Britain, was put up for sale by the government at the beginning of the month. The AWE site at Aldermaston in Berkshire is where Britain's nuclear warheads are designed, manufactured and decommissioned. It is run on behalf of the Ministry of Defence by a management company that is a consortium divided equally between BNG, Serco and Lockheed Martin. Under the terms of the consortium, if one company sells, the others have the right to buy its stake. The contract makes a big contribution to BNG's business, insiders say, although not many of its staff work at the AWE, whose other sites include Burghfield, also in Berkshire. BNG could still be sold as an integrated whole. The Department of Trade and Industry said: "BNG's sale is in the early days." The MoD said it would be "inappropriate" for it to comment on a commercial process. BNG said: "We are continuing to keep both the MoD and AWE Management Limited's other shareholders fully informed on the sale of BNG." Britain has been secretly designing a new nuclear warhead at Aldermaston, which was once omitted from Ordnance Survey maps for security reasons. BNG will compete for new clean-up contracts worth tens of billions of pounds for 20 nuclear sites around Britain from later this year. The Times and The Sunday Times. Copyright 2006 Times Newspapers Ltd. ***************************************************************** 29 IRNA: Algerian official denounces US double-standard - April 15, IRNA Algerian Minister of State without Portfolio Boudjerra Soltani denounced the double-standard policy the US has adopted vis-a-vis the world issues. The US and the west should not overlook the Israeli nuclear policy while they impose pressure on Iran for its peaceful nuclear program, he told reporters on the sidelines of the international Palestine conference. Iran has opened the doors of its nuclear facilities to the inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) many times which indicated civilian nature of Iran's nuclear programs, he stated. Shifting to the mutual relations between Iran and Algeria, he noted the cooperation is expanding in all areas. The three-day conference kicked off here Friday afternoon with a keynote speech by the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei. ***************************************************************** 30 WorldNetDaily: Busting empty bunkers Founded 1997 Sunday, April 16, 2006 Today's Edition [Supercritical Thoughts] [Gordon Prather] Posted: April 15, 2006 © 2006 WorldNetDaily.com On April 12, Bloomberg News "reported"that: Iran, defying United Nations Security Council demands to halt its nuclear program, may be capable of making a nuclear bomb within 16 days, a U.S. State Department official said. Iran will move to "industrial scale'' uranium enrichment involving 54,000 centrifuges at its Natanz plant, the Associated Press quoted deputy nuclear chief Mohammad Saeedi as telling state-run television today. "Using those 50,000 centrifuges they could produce enough highly enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon in 16 days,'' Stephen Rademaker, U.S. assistant secretary of state for international security and nonproliferation, told reporters today in Moscow. Well, the Security Council made no such demand, and the "sense" of what neo-crazy Rademaker said has deliberately been misrepresented to you. Rademaker did not say that Iran would be "capable" of "making" a nuclear bomb within 16 days after installing and getting to operate satisfactorily uranium-enrichment cascades, involving more than 50,000 gas-centrifuges. The "sense" of what Rademaker said is that when and if the Iranians have manufactured an additional 50,000 or so gas-centrifuges, installed them in cascades in the underground "bunker" at Natanz, and gotten the cascades to operate satisfactorily – all done under the watchful sensors of inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Safeguards and Physical Security regime – they could then withdraw from the Treaty on Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, could then throw out the IAEA, could then perhaps reconfigure their gas-centrifuge cascades so as to produce several hundred pounds of bomb-grade [almost pure U-235] enriched uranium, rather than the tons of reactor-grade enriched-uranium the cascades were designed, built and operated to produce. It takes about 120 pounds to make a simple gun-type nuke like the one we dropped on Hiroshima. It takes maybe 40 or 50 pounds of bomb-grade enriched uranium to make an implosion-type nuke. Of course, virtually every implosion-type nuke that has ever been made – including the one we dropped on Nagasaki – used almost pure Pu-239, not almost pure U-235. (It is not possible to make a simple gun-type nuke with Plutonium." Furthermore, making an implosion nuke is not easy. If it were, then there would be no doubt whatsoever that North Korea, or DPRK, now has a dozen or so Pu-239 implosion-type nukes. And if they do, it is President Bush's fault. When Bush became president, all DPRK nuclear materials, reactors and associated facilities were "frozen" under IAEA lock and key, subject to the US-IAEA-DPRK Agreed Framework of 1994. But, shortly after the White House Iraq Group was set up to manage the Operation Iraqi Freedom pre-war propaganda campaign, Bush unilaterally abrogated the Agreed Framework. The Koreans responded by withdrawing from the NPT – which made the DPRK-IAEA Safeguards Agreement null and void – restarting their weapons-grade plutonium-producing reactor and chemically separating out the weapons-grade plutonium they had already produced. By neo-crazy logic, the North Koreans now have at least a dozen plutonium implosion-type nukes. And if they do, it is without any question Bush's "bad." Bush claimed he abrogated the Agreed Framework because he had "intelligence" that the Koreans has a secret nuke-oriented uranium-enrichment program, unknown and undetected by the IAEA. No evidence has ever been found for such a program. You may recall that the principal rationale Bush gave for launching a pre-emptive war – neither authorized by Congress or sanctioned by the U.N. Security Council – against Iraq in 2003 was that he had "intelligence" that the Iraqis had a secret nuke-oriented uranium-enrichment program, unknown and undetected by the IAEA. No evidence has ever been found for such a program. Now comes Seymour Hersh's stunning article, "The Iran Plans"in the New Yorker magazine – plus interviews of Hersh on Wolf Blitzer's Showand by Amy Goodman on Democracy Now– about Bush plans to pre-emptively "take out" the Iranian secret nuke-oriented uranium-enrichment program, unknown and undetected by the IAEA. According to Hersh, one of the options that the White House adamantly refuses to take "off the table" – despite the pleading of Pentagon military planners and our allies – is the use of bunker-busting nukes. It seems military planners told the White House that if they wanted to be sure to destroy the underground uranium-enrichment bunker at Natanz – which is to eventually hold those 50,000 gas-centrifuges, but is now empty – they'd have to nuke it. According to Hersh, plans to destroy all Iranian nuclear facilities, combat aircraft, anti-aircraft batteries and command-control centers are in the early stages of implementation. No one in the Bush-Cheney administration is denying that. Even the option to nuke an empty bunker. Physicist James Gordon Prather has served as a policy implementing official for national security-related technical matters in the Federal Energy Agency, the Energy Research and Development Administration, the Department of Energy, the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the Department of the Army. He also served as legislative assistant for national security affairs to U.S. Sen. Henry Bellmon, R-Okla. Dr. Prather had earlier worked as a nuclear weapons physicist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California and Sandia National Laboratory in New Mexico. Copyright 1997-2006 All Rights Reserved. WorldNetDaily.com Inc. ***************************************************************** 31 UK: Independent: What happened to wind power? Beset by high costs, the Government's great hope for clean, sustainable electricity is drifting out to sea By Tim Webb Published: 16 April 2006 Earlier this month, over 300 company executives, consultants and advisers gathered at the Queen Elizabeth II conference centre in Westminster for the annual offshore conference of the British Wind Energy Association (BWEA). Delegates say the mood was not as upbeat as in previous years. During coffee breaks, wind farm developers cornered turbine manufacturers to ask them when supply problems would be eased and the promised, more powerful models introduced. Talking among themselves, the developers agreed that many of the larger projects were no longer viable without more government support. Offshore wind, like much of the policy on renewables trumpeted in the Energy White Paper three years ago, is floundering. Onshore wind isn't doing much better. Both are central to the Government meeting its targets for renewables. The current energy minister, Malcolm Wicks (who writes below), is the third since the last review. He is preparing to start drafting the latest Energy White Paper after submissions to the consultation closed on Friday. Before he decides whether to sanction the building of more nuclear reactors, the Government is being warned that its last favoured technology, wind power, is in trouble. At the end of 2005, according to the European Wind Energy Association (EWEA), the farms installed in the UK generated just over 1,300 megawatts (MW) of electricity, the vast majority produced onshore. That's enough to power a city slightly larger than Birmingham and amounts to around 1.6 per cent of the UK's total generating capacity. The total contribution from renewable sources is just under 4 per cent, the rest mostly made up from old hydro projects in Scotland. To get anywhere near the Government's target of generating a 10th of the UK's electricity from renewable sources like wind by 2010, rising to a fifth by 2020, hundreds of wind farms need to be built. With many of the most practical onshore sites already taken, much of the new capacity will have to come from offshore farms. Under current conditions, this is unlikely to happen, say developers surveyed by The Independent on Sunday. Rather than becoming cheaper with experience and economies of scale, as the industry and Government had hoped, building offshore wind farms has got more expensive, says Dave Farrier, head of development for UK renewables at the German-owned energy giant E.ON. In the past two years, the cost of building offshore farms has increased from around £1.2m per MW to £1.6m - almost twice as expensive as onshore projects. The soaring cost of steel, and the demand from Asia and the US for wind farms, have pushed up the price of turbines and limited the availability of the equipment needed to install them. Turbine makers like General Electric and Danish firm Vestas are concentrating on the much larger, and more proven, global market for onshore farms. Indeed, while the UK is planning to build at least half its wind farms offshore, the EWEA reports that only 2 per cent of wind-generating capacity in Europe is offshore and this is unlikely to rise significantly. Gearoid Lane, director of gas and power procurement at Centrica, the UK's largest offshore wind developer, says that for each MW of capacity built in the UK, the company loses £300,000. So with a 300MW plant, for example, the developer faces a £90m funding shortfall. "This makes the economics quite challenging for companies like ours." In 2001, in the first phase of the Government's planned development of offshore wind power, it released licences for 13 sites to generate a total of 1,500MW. Of these projects, three are in operation, one is being built and two have been put on hold indefinitely because they are no longer economically viable. Of the seven projects remaining, all three developers that returned calls to the IoS last week said they would not be in operation until 2008 at the earliest - two years later than originally envisaged. The prospects for the much larger second round of projects, slated to deliver between 5,400MW and 7,200MW, are worse still, although they are at a much earlier stage. Once all the planning consents have been received, over the next 12 months, developers will have to decide whether to go ahead, and the signs do not look encouraging. Alastair Gill, development manager for "npower renewables", part of Germany's RWE, says: "We are seeing other companies put projects on hold because they can't make the economics work. I cannot say we would definitely go ahead with round two without more government support." Mr Farrier at E.ON adds: "The hope was that two or three of the first-round projects would be constructed every year. But we are only managing one per year. It's difficult to see how round two can happen under current market conditions." Most of the wind farm developers are global players and so can choose where to invest, and Mr Gill at npower says it is getting harder to secure backing for UK renewable projects. In Germany and Portugal, for example, there is more certainty because projects can sell their electricity on long-term contracts guaranteed by the government. In the UK, developers must rely on renewable obligation certificates (ROCs), which electricity suppliers have to buy on the market if they miss their renewable targets. The proceeds from the sale of ROCs are distributed among the developers. Simon Currie, energy finance specialist at law firm Norton Rose, says: "Has this market-based incentive delivered the hoped-for rapid utilisation of abundant offshore wind resources? The answer is clearly no." His view is shared by most developers. Progress has been made. The capacity of installed wind farms in the UK doubled in the two years to the end of 2005, and other technologies like clean coal are being developed (npower announced last week that it plans to build a plant in Tilbury). But the experiences of wind farms do not inspire confidence in the next set of promises that the Government will make in its Energy Review. © 2006 Independent News and Media Limited ***************************************************************** 32 Japan Times: A-bomb legacy fading: filmmaker American seeks hibakusha stories for future generations By MANDY WILLINGHAM LOS ANGELES (Kyodo) After the 60th anniversary of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki passed last August, filmmaker Steven Okazaki began worrying that the attacks and their cautionary lessons are being forgotten. [News photo] Filmmaker Steven Okazaki and his wife, Peggy Orenstein, pose at the U.S. Academy Awards in Hollywood in March. "If you really ask young people, they know very little about Hiroshima and Nagasaki," the 54-year-old Japanese-American said. "I think that's very disturbing." While doing research recently for his upcoming film, the Oscar-winning filmmaker asked young people in Tokyo's trendy Harajuku district about the significance of Aug. 6, 1945. He expected at least half of them would recognize it as the day Hiroshima was bombed. "We asked and all of them said 'I don't know,' " said Okazaki. "It was not a big survey, but not one of them knew the significance (of the date). And these people will grow up to be the voters of Japan." Okazaki is also concerned that Americans have little knowledge about their country's nuclear legacy. "In American schools we learn very little," he said. "I think 90 to 95 percent of Americans know almost nothing about Hiroshima and Nagasaki." Hoping to increase awareness of the 1945 attacks, particularly the stories of the hibakusha, the filmmaker, who hails from Berkeley, has spent the past year developing a comprehensive documentary for U.S. cable network HBO. "I feel like I'm going to contribute something and that when the hibakusha are gone (there will) be some record," Okazaki said. The documentary, set to air in 2007, will feature interviews with 30 hibakusha as well as scientists and plane navigators who were involved in the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombings. The filmmaker said he wants to tell the stories of survivors and participants without academic or political analysis. "(There will) be an American point of view and a Japanese point of view, but no historians and no politicians," Okazaki said. Okazaki's interest in Hiroshima and Nagasaki began more than 25 years ago when his friends translated "Barefoot Gen," Keiji Nakazawa's classic autobiographical comic of the Hiroshima bombing, into English. Impressed by Nakazawa's work, he later met a group of hibakusha living in San Francisco who inspired him to make his first feature documentary, "Survivors." Okazaki followed the 1982 film with other projects documenting the complexities of racism, drug addiction and cultural identity. His 1991 film, "Days of Waiting," which tells the story of Estelle Ishigo, an American married to a Japanese, put in a Japanese-American internment camp during World War II, earned Okazaki an Academy Award for Best Documentary Short. His film,"The Mushroom Club," was nominated for an Oscar in 2005 for best documentary short subject. It is a personal look at how hibakusha live with the emotional and often physical scars of the bombing while the significance of the devastating attack has faded in the minds of Hiroshima's younger generations. Okazaki said it is a challenge for the atomic bomb victims to share their experiences and speak out against nuclear warfare. "I think the hibakusha feel like they've been telling their stories for so many years and not getting any response," he said. "Many go to different places around the world to speak out against nuclear arms, but it's to the same groups of people, and they don't seem to be getting any bigger." It is important for Americans to hear the stories of the hibakusha and understand their continued relevance, the filmmaker said. "Americans like to argue about Hiroshima and Nagasaki, but they don't know anything about the hibakusha," he said. "I feel like before you say 'Bombs are bad,' you should show what happened to these people." Okazaki attributed the American public's lack of knowledge about the nuclear attacks and the aftermath to a failure by politicians, educators and other individuals to address the difficult subject. "It's a remarkable thing, how much misunderstanding and mythology there is," he said. Despite the lack of attention given to Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Okazaki is hopeful about what he says is a renewed motivation of hibakusha speak about their experiences. "I think now there's a surge of energy because the hibakusha have realized that this could be their last time to speak out," the filmmaker said. "I feel like right now there's more energy in the hibakusha movement than there's been in many, many years." The Japan Times: Saturday, April 15, 2006 (C) All rights reserved ***************************************************************** 33 Guardian Unlimited: More nuclear power will not avert energy crisis, say MPs John Vidal, environment editor Monday April 17, 2006 The Guardian A new generation of nuclear power stations will be unable to avert a serious energy crisis within 10 years, a committee of MPs said yesterday. In a scathing analysis of how Britain intends to generate power in future and of the way decisions are being made today, the environment audit committee urged the government to start investing heavily in alternative power sources to meet increasing demand and global warming objectives. The committee's report said the government had become "too focused" on nuclear, and now risked the lights going out by not investing heavily in energy efficiency and more wind and gas stations. It called for a significant growth in renewables as well as political leadership. The 16-member cross-party group with a majority of Labour MPs said that by 2016, 25% of Britain's electricity generating capacity will have to be replaced. Even if a new generation of nuclear reactors were agreed tomorrow, this would be too late to fill the "power gap" between supply and demand forecast for the UK by 2016. The proposed new nuclear network would not be generating at full capacity until as late as 2030 because nuclear power takes so long to plan and build. The report is the second from a government committee in three months to reject nuclear power, and will be a major setback to the industry which is pressing hard to build 10 new stations. It will also disappoint Mr Blair, who is committed to nuclear on the recommendtion of the chief scientist, Sir David King, and other advisers. The MPs said any decision to opt for nuclear must not be rushed. "There are also serious concerns relating to safety, the threat of terrorism, and the proliferation of nuclear power across the world. Moreover ... it is by no means clear whether investors will wish to commit themselves to 70 years of nuclear generation." The committee noticed striking similarities to 1980 "when a similar large scale nuclear programme eventually resulted in the construction of only one new reactor - Sizewell B". But the MPs said opting for nuclear power could stymie the advance of renewable technologies like solar and tidal. The committee accused the Treasury of discouraging energy efficiency and said that it had no confidence in government modelling of Britain's future needs for power. It said renewable energy sources could provide 20% the UK's electricity by the year 2020 but the government did not appear to be committed to developing them. The Treasury was making it as difficult as possible for some technologies to be adopted. Useful link Green party of England and Wales Email us Email your comments for publication to politics.editor@guardianunlimited.co.uk [UP] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 34 Guardian Unlimited: Blair hints at go-ahead for new nuclear power plants Patrick Wintour, political editor Monday April 17, 2006 Tony Blair has given his strongest indication yet that he will press ahead with a new generation of nuclear power stations despite a highly critical report from MPs yesterday claiming that Britain's coming energy gap can best be filled by new carbon efficient gas stations. Mr Blair, speaking ahead of the government's energy review in June, said Britain will need both new nuclear and renewable energy to fill the energy gap. Asked in a video interview, before the parliamentary recess, if Britain should rely on nuclear or on renewables, Mr Blair replied: "I have a feeling it is possible we may need both." He added: "We are investing a lot in renewable energy, it is very, very important, but we are going to lose 20% of our power from nuclear, which is what we get at the moment. Looking forward, for reasons of energy security as much as for reasons of climate change, I think there is going to be a huge need to develop all of this." Britain is set to lose 20GW of electricity generating capacity by the end of 2015, largely due to the decommissioning of old nuclear stations. The environmental audit select committee, which issued its report yesterday, claims new nuclear stations could not come on line until 2019 at the earliest. But ministers hope to overcome this by problem by speeding up the planning process, and have formally requested that the health and safety executive consider whether it could give licence consents to prospective designs for reactors before assessing specific projects, thereby foreshortening the construction process. The HSE has acknowledged that "potential private licensees may wish to reduce project and commercial risk, by seeking preliminary, or pre-licensing regulatory assessments of prospective reactor designs, before large-scale financial commitments are made". Since the reactors are likely to be of foreign design, the HSE may also rely more than in the past on the safety assessment of foreign regulators. [UP] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 35 London Times: More nuclear power ‘likely’ - Britain - Times Online By David Charter THE prospect of new nuclear power stations appeared to come closer yesterday when a minister said that a mix of energy supply sources would fuel Britain in the future. Malcolm Wicks, the Energy Minister, also emphasised the need to cut greenhouse gases, one of the key arguments used by the pro-nuclear lobby, despite a sceptical report from MPs on nuclear power benefits. The cross-party Commons Environmental Audit Committee said that a new generation of gas-fired power stations would be needed to prevent energy shortages over the next decade. It was "scandalous" that more research into alternative technologies was not being funded, the committee said, adding that nuclear was expensive and vulnerable to terrorism. Mr Wicks said that the government review would propose a "mix" of solutions, interpreted as a sign that nuclear stations will be commissioned. The Times and The Sunday Times. Copyright 2006 Times Newspapers Ltd. ***************************************************************** 36 UK: Observer: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK [UP] Ned Temko, chief political correspondent Sunday April 16, 2006 British consumers will have to pay more for their electricity and use less of it as part of any workable future energy strategy, a group of MPs warns in a report published today. The report, by the Commons Environmental Audit Committee, says Britain will have to find a way to replace about a quarter of its existing electricity provision over the next decade, as old nuclear stations and other facilities are decommissioned. It will also have to meet the government's targets for reducing environmentally harmful emissions. As reported in The Observer last week, the committee strongly warns Tony Blair against opting for a new generation of nuclear power stations. The report says these would not come on stream quickly enough to have any effect on supply. The report says that while cleaner gas-powered stations will fill the electricity 'generation gap' in the short term, the government will inevitably also have to make stronger efforts to promote other 'lower-carbon sources'. If, as the committee hopes, this does not mean new nuclear stations, it says other options could include 'renewables' such as wind farms or new 'carbon capture' technologies. But the report says 'all lower-carbon-generating technologies are more expensive than coal' and all 'will require financial support'. It adds: 'The government should accept that the shift to a sustainable energy strategy cannot be based ... on maintaining low energy prices.' Consumers would also have to use less electricity. 'We cannot emphasise enough that reducing demand is also a vital component on the path to a sustainable energy strategy,' the report says. 'We urge the government to consider setting absolute targets for reductions in demand as a way of stimulating the growth of energy efficiency and guaranteeing the level of carbon savings achieved.' [UP] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 37 Guardian Unlimited: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK Ned Temko, chief political correspondent Sunday April 16, 2006 The Observer British consumers will have to pay more for their electricity and use less of it as part of any workable future energy strategy, a group of MPs warns in a report published today. The report, by the Commons Environmental Audit Committee, says Britain will have to find a way to replace about a quarter of its existing electricity provision over the next decade, as old nuclear stations and other facilities are decommissioned. It will also have to meet the government's targets for reducing environmentally harmful emissions. As reported in The Observer last week, the committee strongly warns Tony Blair against opting for a new generation of nuclear power stations. The report says these would not come on stream quickly enough to have any effect on supply. The report says that while cleaner gas-powered stations will fill the electricity 'generation gap' in the short term, the government will inevitably also have to make stronger efforts to promote other 'lower-carbon sources'. If, as the committee hopes, this does not mean new nuclear stations, it says other options could include 'renewables' such as wind farms or new 'carbon capture' technologies. But the report says 'all lower-carbon-generating technologies are more expensive than coal' and all 'will require financial support'. It adds: 'The government should accept that the shift to a sustainable energy strategy cannot be based ... on maintaining low energy prices.' Consumers would also have to use less electricity. 'We cannot emphasise enough that reducing demand is also a vital component on the path to a sustainable energy strategy,' the report says. 'We urge the government to consider setting absolute targets for reductions in demand as a way of stimulating the growth of energy efficiency and guaranteeing the level of carbon savings achieved.' Green party of England and Wales Email us Email your comments for publication to politics.editor@guardianunlimited.co.uk [UP] Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006 ***************************************************************** 38 AU: The Age: Nuclear power's sick legacy - Opinion - theage.com.au 'The Government is embarked on another mendacious, ill-advised, and downright dangerous enterprise.' Illustration: Dyson By Helen Caldicott April 17, 2006 The noted American writer Mary McCarthy once famously observed of the equally noted but politically discredited playwright Lillian Hellman: "every word she utters is a lie, including 'and' and 'but' ". As we have seen over the past 10 years, the same can be said of the Howard Government from the children-overboard scandal to "there will never be a GST" to "yes, there are weapons of mass destruction in Iraq". Now - joined by misguided and misinformed members of the ALP and a few scientists who should know better - the Government is embarked on another mendacious, ill-advised, and downright dangerous enterprise: transforming Australia into a nuclear-powered, uranium-exporting nation, deploying as a rhetorical fig leaf the spurious message that nuclear power is emissions-free, green, and safe and will save Australia - and indeed the world - from the effects of global warming. Let's pull away that tattered fig leaf and look at the facts. The global warming carbon dioxide (CO2) gas is released at every stage of the nuclear fuel cycle - from uranium mining and milling, from uranium enrichment, from construction of huge concrete reactors, and from the transport and long-term storage of intensely radioactive waste. Nuclear power plants generate only one-third as much CO2 as a similar-sized gas-fired plant. But because the supply of highly concentrated uranium ore, which is relatively easy to mine and enrich, is limited, the energy eventually required to mine and enrich uranium will greatly increase. If today's global electricity production was converted to nuclear power, there would only be three years' supply of accessible uranium to fuel the reactors. Uranium is therefore a finite commodity. CO2 is not the only global warming gas emitted by nuclear power. The Pacudah enrichment plant in Kentucky, which processes uranium from many countries, including Australia, annually leaks 93 per cent of the CFC-114 gas released by the US. Banned under the Montreal protocol, CFC is a prodigious destroyer of the ozone layer and it also is a potent global warming agent. Furthermore, nuclear reactors routinely emit large amounts of radioactive materials, including the fat-soluble noble gases xenon, krypton and argon. Deemed "inert" by the nuclear industry, they are readily inhaled by populations near reactors and absorbed into the bloodstream where they concentrate in the fat pads of the abdomen and upper thighs, exposing ovaries and testicles to mutagenic gamma radiation (like X-rays). Tritium, radioactive hydrogen, is also regularly discharged from reactors. Combining with oxygen, it forms tritiated water, which passes readily through skin, lungs and gut. Contrary to industry propaganda, tritium is a dangerous carcinogenic element producing cancers, congenital malformations and genetic deformities in low doses in animals, and by extrapolation in humans. In the age of terrorism, nuclear reactors are inviting targets. It is relatively easy to induce a reactor meltdown by either severing the external electricity supply, by disrupting the 3 million litres a minute intake of cooling water, by infiltrating the control room, or by a well co-ordinated terrorist attack. Surprisingly, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission has failed to upgrade security at the 103 nuclear reactors since the September 11 attack. A meltdown at the Indian Point nuclear power plant 56 kilometres from Manhattan could render that city uninhabitable for thousands of years if prevailing winds blew in the right direction. Above all, nuclear waste is the industry's Achilles heel. The US has no viable solution for radioactive waste storage. A total of 60,000 tonnes are temporarily stored in so-called swimming pools beside nuclear reactors, awaiting final disposal. Yucca Mountain in Nevada, transected by 32 earthquake faults, has been identified as the final geological repository. Made of permeable pumice, it is unsuitable as a radioactive geological waste receptacle and recent fraudulent projections of the mountain's ability to retard leakage by the United States Geological Survey have rendered this project to be almost untenable. Already, radioactive elements in many nuclear-powered countries are leaking into underground water systems, rivers, and oceans, progressively concentrating at each level of the food chain. Strontium 90, which causes bone cancer and leukaemia, and cesium 137, which induces rare muscle and brain cancers, are radioactive for 600 years. Food and human breast milk will become increasingly radioactive near numerous waste sites. Cancers will inevitably increase in frequency in exposed populations, as will genetic diseases such as cystic fibrosis in their descendants. Each typical 1000-megawatt reactor makes 200 kilograms of plutonium a year. Less than one-millionth of a gram is carcinogenic. Handled like iron by the body, it causes liver, lung and bone cancer and leukaemia. Crossing the placenta to induce congential deformities, it has a predilection for the testicle, where inevitably it will cause genetic abnormalities. With a radiological life of 240,000 years, released in the ecosphere it will affect biological systems forever. Because only five kilograms of plutonium is critical mass, countries importing our uranium to fuel their nuclear reactors could, theoretically, manufacture plutonium for many nuclear bombs each year. The under-resourced International Atomic Energy Agency admits that it is physically impossible to prevent a determined country, whether a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty or not, from using imported uranium or its byproduct, plutonium, to make nuclear weapons. A truly informed national debate about the production, export, and use of Australian uranium is imperative as China, Taiwan and India line up to receive our yellowcake. Time is short. Once the waste is produced, its legacy will affect all future generations. Helen Caldicott is president of the Nuclear Policy Research Institute. Copyright © 2006. The Age Company Ltd. ***************************************************************** 39 TorontoSun.com: Hydro crisis worse than ever before Commentary - EDITORIAL: editor@tor.sunpub.com April 15, 2006 When Sir Adam Beck tabled Ontario Hydro's charter legislation in 1906, his dream was that it would always provide Ontarians with reliable power at an affordable cost. Flash forward a century to Ontario's latest hydro rate hike -- amid threats of summer brownouts and blackouts -- and it's clear Beck's dream has turned into a nightmare. Today, we have unreliable power at an increasingly unaffordable cost. The latest increases will see the average Toronto homeowner's annual utility bill rise by 5.8%, or $73, starting May 1. Many Ontario communities will be hit much harder. Premier Dalton McGuinty, who promised in the 2003 election to cap hydro rates until 2006, has thus broken his word -- again. Or, more accurately, rebroken it. Conservative Leader John Tory charged hydro rates have gone up 55% since McGuinty came to power. NDP Leader Howard Hampton accused him of failing to invest in conservation. But the fact is, Ontario's power woes have been building for decades and every major political party shares the blame. Under the Red Tories of Bill Davis starting in the 1970s, the old, publicly owned Ontario Hydro was allowed to run amok. Over the years it ran up huge debts, paid exorbitant salaries, made inaccurate estimates of Ontario's power needs and overestimated the durability of its nuclear plants. But no Ontario government was ever prepared to bite the bullet, fix the problems and admit that so many costly errors had been made, that Ontarians would be paying for them through higher hydro rates for many years to come. And so, Hydro's problems and debt grew through the Liberal government of David Peterson, the NDP era of Bob Rae and the "Common Sense Revolution" of the Mike Harris/Ernie Eves Tories, the latter of whom totally botched privatization. Thus, today's crisis can't all be blamed on McGuinty. What McGuinty can be blamed for, however, is sticking to his crazy election promise to close all of Ontario's coal-fired energy plants by 2009 (originally 2007) and replace them with more costly natural gas plants in the middle of a supply crisis. All this while Ontario's conservation efforts are at the baby stage. In other words, hold onto your wallets, because this sickening rate-hike ride is about to get really rough. Copyright © 2006, Canoe Inc.All rights reserved. Proprietor and Publisher - Sun Media (Toronto) Corporation, 333 King St. E., Toronto, ON, M5A 3X5 Test--> ***************************************************************** 40 VOA News: Nuclear Power, The Scary IF By Zulima Palacio Washington, DC 13 April 2006 watch Nuclear Power report / Real broadband [video clip] It is estimated that the world's consumption of energy will increase by 60 percent over the next 20 years. And the United States already has problems in the way it meets its current energy needs. President Bush says the country is addicted to oil, and is urging alternative fuels. And half of U.S. electricity is generated by coal, which is responsible for over 80 percent of carbon dioxide emissions, a contributor to global warming. There is an energy source that could help meet future needs, but it is one that has been off-limits for years. This is uranium in its natural form. And this is the sound of radiation. This is a pellet of uranium like the ones used in nuclear reactors. Ray Golden is the Communications Manager at the San Onofre Nuclear plant in California. "This one little pellet is the energy equivalent of 150 gallons of gasoline, there is no other technology in the world as concentrated as uranium," he said. There are only 103 active plants in the U.S., yet they still represent nearly 20 percent of the country's energy production. But nuclear power scares many people, thanks to the dramatic nuclear accidents of Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania in March of 1979 and Chernobyl in Ukraine in April of 1986. It has been almost 30 years since a permit was issued for a nuclear plant in the United States. Now, things are changing, according to Adrian Heymer, Director of New Plant Deployment at the Nuclear Energy Institute. "I think it is going to grow tremendously. We believe we'll start construction in 2010. There are nine companies moving forward, preparing licensing applications. They will start to be submitted in 2007 through 2009," Heymer said. The nine new nuclear plants will be built mostly in the southeast of the U.S. Another five companies are evaluating their possibilities. Each reactor will cost in the billions of dollars. Mr. Heymer says it will be costly. "In simple terms it comes down to a little over $2.5 billion," he said. The high price of generating nuclear energy at plants such as San Onofre, half way between Los Angeles and San Diego in California, could be higher still, if we consider the risk and potential dangers that surround nuclear plants. There are three main safety issues: the potential for a radiation accident, the production of nuclear waste, and the plants' vulnerability as terrorist targets. Ray Golden works for the San Onofre plant. "I cannot stand here and say on any given day that this plant will never have an accident and if it has an accident it will release radiation and if it releases radiation it may increase the incidence of cancer of people living near by, I can't say no to that," he said. During the last 20 years no serious accidents have been reported around any reactor in the U.S. Safety measures have been a very expensive priority. However, it is the production of nuclear waste in the form of millions of used, highly radioactive, uranium pellets that continues to be a major concern. Paul Gunter is the Director of the Reactor Watchdog Project for Nuclear Information in Washington. "We are constantly playing a game of Russian roulette with nuclear power, where risk and probability of an accident are ever present," he said. The first cup full of nuclear waste generated 50 years ago is still mismanaged. We don't know what to do with it. It will be a problem passed from one generation to the next." "This is a very serious technology and it has a legacy which is the used nuclear fuel that is going to be radioactive for tens of thousands of years. But the benefit to me far out weighs the risk, even if this means leaving this legacy to future generations," Golden added. According to scientists, some nuclear waste can remain radioactive for millions of years. In the U.S., nuclear waste has been stored near nuclear facilities, mostly in underground steel-lined tanks and thick walls of concrete. But some tanks are getting old and now are leaking high-level nuclear contamination into groundwater, like at Hanford in the State of Washington. Over the last 20 years, the government has been talking about Yucca Mountain in Nevada as a central repository for the growing stockpile of nuclear waste. But the expense required, local opposition, and safety concerns have prevented the project from starting. And then there is the vulnerability to terrorism. Adrian Heymer, from the Nuclear Energy Institute, says the industry has spent billions of dollars on plant security. "Since September 11/01 we have spent $1.2 billion on improvements and modifications to the plants to make them safer," he said. But Paul Gunter says nuclear plants are still vulnerable. "Radio active waste, the risk of nuclear accidents, the vulnerability to terrorism that uses these sites which are sitting ducks to spread radiation across the land, all of these add up to what the real cost of nuclear power is and is really a cost that is not worth bearing," he said. Even though nuclear power is controversial, many countries have concluded it is necessary. Nearly 450 nuclear plants generate some 16 percent of the world's electricity today. Twenty-four new plants are under construction in 10 countries, mostly in India and China. ***************************************************************** 41 Korea Herald: The myths of Chernobyl By Kalman Mizsei and Louisa Vinton 2006.04.17 Editorial The 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl nuclear accident of April 26, 1986 is prompting a new wave of alarmist claims about its impact on human health and the environment. As has become a ritual on such commemorative occasions, the death toll is tallied in the hundreds of thousands, and fresh reports are made of elevated rates of cancer, birth defects, and overall mortality. This picture is both badly distorted - and harmful to the victims of the Chernobyl accident. All reputable scientific studies conducted so far have concluded that the impact of radiation has been less damaging than was feared. A few dozen emergency workers who battled the fire at the reactor succumbed to acute radiation sickness. Studies are still under way into elevated rates of cancer and cardiovascular disease among the "liquidators" who worked at the reactor site in the months following the accident. And some 5,000 cases of thyroid cancer, attributed to radioactive iodine absorbed through consumption of milk in the weeks immediately following the accident, have been detected among those who were children at the time. There has been real suffering, particularly among the 330,000 people who were relocated after the accident. About that there is no doubt. But, for the five million people living in affected regions who are designated as Chernobyl "victims," radiation has had no discernable impact on physical health. This is because these people were exposed to low radiation doses that in most cases were comparable to natural background levels. Two decades of natural decay and remediation measures mean that most territories originally deemed "contaminated" no longer merit that label. Aside from thyroid cancer, which has been successfully treated in 98.5 percent of cases, scientists have not been able to document any connection between radiation and any physical condition. Where a clear impact has been found is mental health. Fear of radiation, it seems, poses a far more potent health threat than does radiation itself. Symptoms of stress are rampant, and many residents of affected areas firmly believe themselves to be condemned by radiation to ill health and early death. In part, this is because the initial Soviet response was secretive: Mikhail Gorbachev, the Soviet leader at the time, addressed the issue on television only weeks later, on May 14, 1986. Myths and misconceptions have taken root, and these have outlasted subsequent efforts to provide reliable information. Combined with sweeping government benefit policies that classify millions of people living in Chernobyl-affected areas as invalids, such myths encouraged fatalistic and passive behaviors and created a "culture of dependency" among affected communities. The United Nations Chernobyl Forum, a consortium of eight U.N. agencies and representatives of Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine, reinforced these findings. Chernobyl Forum was created to address the prevailing confusion concerning the impact of the accident, both among the public and government officials, by declaring a clear verdict on issues where a scientific consensus could be found. The Forum succeeded in this effort, and a fresh and reassuring message on the impact of radiation was made public in September. The Chernobyl Forum findings should have brought relief, for they show that the specter haunting the region is not invincible radiation, but conquerable poverty. What the region needs are policies aimed at generating new livelihoods rather than reinforcing dependency; public-health campaigns that address the lifestyle issues (smoking and drinking) that undermine health across the former Soviet Union; and community development initiatives that promote self-reliance and a return to normalcy. But the reception given to the Chernobyl Forum's message has been surprisingly mixed. Some officials have reverted to alarmist language on the number of fatalities attributed to Chernobyl. Some NGO's and Chernobyl charities have responded with disbelief, citing as evidence the general population's admittedly poor health. Opponents of nuclear power have suggested that self-interest has compromised the Chernobyl Forum's integrity. Set against the impressive body of science underpinning the Chernobyl Forum, such responses reflect the tenacity not only of myths and misconceptions, but also of vested interests. The new view on Chernobyl threatens the existence of charities - such as those offering health "respites" abroad for children - that depend for their fund-raising on graphic footage of deformed babies. The new understanding also deprives the region's officials of a routine way to seek international sympathy, even if the repetition of such appeals after two decades yields little financial aid. By misstating the problems, these approaches threaten to divert scarce resources into the wrong remedies. The twentieth anniversary of the Chernobyl accident is an ideal occasion for all actors to do some honest soul-searching. Governments are right to worry about the fate of Chernobyl-affected territories, but the way forward will require fresh thinking and bold decisions, particularly a shift in priorities from paying paltry benefits to millions to targeted spending that helps to promote jobs and economic growth. Similarly, charities are right to worry about the population's health, but they should focus on promoting healthy lifestyles in affected communities rather than whisking children abroad as if their homes were poisonous. All parties are right to worry about the affected populations, but, more than any sophisticated diagnostic equipment, what is needed is credible information, presented in a digestible format, to counter Chernobyl's destructive legacy of fear. The children of Chernobyl are all grown up; their interests, and those of their own children, are best served not by continually evoking the nightmare of radiation, but by giving them the tools and authority they need to rebuild their own communities. Kalman Mizsei is the assistant administrator and regional director of UNDP Regional Bureau for Europe and CIS. Louisa Vinton is the UNDP senior program manager responsible for the Western CIS and Caucasus countries, as well as Chernobyl. - Ed. ***************************************************************** 42 Sunday Herald: Nuclear wont plug power gap - Scotland's award-winning independent newspaper Est Environmental Audit Committee roasts reactors idea By Rob Edwards, Environment Editor Tony Blairs ambitions for nuclear power have been given another roasting, this time by MPs from his own party. A programme to build new reactors would be fraught with risks and could not plug the electricity gap, concludes a report by the House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee. The report savages the UK government for not doing enough to boost energy efficiency, renewables and clean coal. And it is scathing about the Prime Ministers energy review, suggesting that it is unnecessary and doomed to failure. In Scotland, the reports findings are reinforced by a new expert study for local authorities which says that the nation could meet its future energy needs by replacing nuclear power with wind and other renewables. The Environmental Audit Committee consists of 16 MPs, nine of whom are Labour, including the environment minister Elliot Morley. It was set up by Blair in 1997 to demonstrate Labours green credentials. Its new report, out today, warns that the risk of terrorist attacks on nuclear plants and the spread of nuclear weapons are serious. It echoes the position adopted by the Scottish Executive by suggesting that the problem of nuclear waste needs to be resolved before a decision is taken on a new nuclear programme. The report argues that nuclear power is incapable of filling the 20 gigawatt power gap forecast for the UK in 2016. It is simply not possible to build new reactors fast enough to replace the stations that are scheduled to close, it says. If we want to keep the lights on, the gap will have to be filled instead by a major investment in gas-fired power stations, wind farms and increasing energy efficiency. The Blair government is now certain to miss its target of generating 10% of electricity from renewables by 2010, it claims. Westminster departments, particularly the Treasury, have failed to take decisive action to improve energy efficiency, the report says. The lack of progress in developing clean coal technologies to capture and store climate-wrecking carbon emissions is condemned as scandalous. The nature of the energy review itself is unclear and the case for a wider ranging review of energy policy has not been made, the report states. As a result it could fail to command the support of the public and politicians. We are concerned with the governments focus on nuclear power, said the committees chairman, Tory MP Tim Yeo. We do not think that is necessarily the answer. Progress on carbon capture and offshore wind had been non-existent or faltering, he added. And the three years since energy policy was last reviewed had been a wasted opportunity. Environmentalists welcome the report, describing it as a body blow to Blair. Nuclear power is simply an expensive and polluting distraction to the sensible alternatives, said Duncan McLaren, the chief executive of Friends of the Earth Scotland. Blairs review is an exercise designed to try to find a way to justify new nuclear power stations, according to Mark Ruskell MSP, the Green Partys speaker on the environment. The Greens are demanding a Scottish parliamentary review of how the countrys energy needs can be met. The answer, according to a new study, is without using nuclear power. Glasgow consultants Garrad Hassan say that a combination of gas, coal and renewables will be able to supply all the nations electricity in 2023. Scotland doesnt need any more nuclear power stations and this report shows that we can cope quite easily without them, said Pete Roche, a consultant to the Scottish group of nuclear-free local authorities. Blair should get the message that Scotland doesnt want any. 16 April 2006 © newsquest (sunday herald) limited. all rights reserved ***************************************************************** 43 FT.com: UK - Doubts raised over new nuclear plants By Fiona Harvey, Environment Correspondent Published: April 15 2006 03:00 | Last updated: April 15 2006 Doubts have been raised over the government's ability to push ahead with new nuclear power stations. The Commons environmental audit committee is expected to say tomorrow that the economic viability of new nuclear plants has not been proved and that concerns over the safety of the disposal of nuclear waste, and the possibility of terrorist attack on nuclear facilities, have not been allayed. The report by the committee chaired by Tim Yeo, the former Conservative environment spokesman, comes as the government begins the final stage of its energy review, which is due to be completed this summer. The deadline for submissions to the review passed yesterday, and the government will now assess the responses. However, in its final decision on energy policy, ministers may choose to ignore the environmental audit committee in favour of other experts who have been vociferous in their support for nuclear power. Sir David King, the government's chief scientific adviser, has spoken out strongly for nuclear power. He has said nuclear power should make up 40 per cent of the country's energy mix. This would require a massive investment in new reactors, as at present nuclear accounts for about a fifth of electricity generation, but only one of the current fleet of nuclear plants is scheduled to remain in operation after 2023. Both sides in the debate are gearing up for several months of intense lobbying. The prime minister, Tony Blair is thought to be in favour of nuclear power, but public opinion is divided. Surveys have found most people prefer renewable energy, but a small majority would be prepared to accept nuclear power if it were necessary to avoid dangerous climate change. Roger Higman, climate change campaigner at the pressure group Friends of the Earth, said: "The nuclear industry has been running a very big PR spin campaign, but it does not know what the costs [of new-build] are going to be, and it doesn't have a solution to the waste problem. Meanwhile, there are lots of alternatives, like energy efficiency and renewables. People think the nuclear spin has had its day." David Howarth, energy spokesman for the Liberal Democrats, said: "Nuclear power is not renewable. The expense of any new programme would risk crowding out all development of genuinely renewable technologies." © Copyright The Financial Times Ltd 2006. "FT" and "Financial Times" are trademarks of the Financial Times. ***************************************************************** 44 Grist Magazine: Nuclear: no alternatives? | Gristmill: The environmental news Posted by David Roberts at 12:52 AM on 16 Apr 2006 Kevin Drum, whose judgment and writing I very much admire, has made a rare lapse. He points to this Washington Post editorial from Patrick Moore-- deceptively described only as a "co-founder of Greenpeace" -- and sighs that although he struggled with the decision, he's come to the conclusion that aside from nuclear power, "there aren't any other realistic alternatives for replacing coal-fired facilities." Rather than repeat myself, I'll just reprint two comments I left on Kevin's site (slightly edited), in reverse order. On Patrick Moore: Patrick Moore did not just now "change his mind" about nuclear. He's been advocating for it for years. And describing him only as "one of the founders of Greenpeace" is extraordinarily misleading. He's a notorious crank and industry shill. And on nuclear power: How disappointing to see everyone here parroting this tired conventional wisdom. Nuclear seems to have become some kind of totem by which progressives prove themselves "reasonable." Aren't we sick of getting duped that way yet? The idea that wind, solar, geothermal, and hydrokinetic should, individually or collectively, "replace" coal is a straw man. What greens are proposing is a new paradigm, pairing aggressive energy efficiency and conservation (easily the cheapest "source" of energy) with distributed small-scale sources appropriate to regional context, and smart grids. People say it will take too long to scale this up and implement appropriate policy. But a new generation of nuclear plants will take a minimum of 10 years to get going. What could efficiency + renewables do in 10 years, with comparable public subsidies and aggressive political support? We know they couldn't address the energy shortfall? How? Let's ask the market. Investment money is streaming into small-scale, distributed power, but the nuclear industry is utterly moribund. If it were revived, it would be a Frankenstein, entirely sustained by government largess. Mining uranium is an environmental nightmare; building the plants is prohibitively costly; the risks are all but uninsurable. What we're talking about is creating a(nother) huge, centralized, politically connected energy cartel forever seeking to increase its take from the public teat. We need more of those? Do not accept the oft-repeated canard that we cannot fundamentally change our energy situation, that we must simply plug one massive, unsavory power cartel in to replace another. We can build better vehicles, better cities, better infrastructure. We can drive less, consume less, and change our food system to reduce freight distances. We can shift policy to internalize industry externalities. We can tax carbon. And we can lavish the same attention, subsidies, and tax breaks on renewables that we do now on oil, coal, and agribusiness. Can clean energy fill the coal gap? It's got momentum, investment enthusiasm, and the arc of history on its side. Nuclear is the "least worst" option that everyone holds their nose to support. It feels wrong, because it is wrong, and a culture that remembered back when it used to have some fucking balls and ambition would throw itself behind what it knows is right. I share a doubtful view of Moore ... As I said about four years ago, Greenpeace's position on nuclear energy has always seemed entirely commercial to me. De jure opposition to hydrocarbons, de facto opposition to the only thing that has yet made a dent in them, so as to bring in those donations from public servants (so to speak). So I expect their leading lights to be as ecological as is consistent with being on the take. Moore is a former leading light. Has he therefore suddenly become trustworthy? "We can tax carbon", you say. Indeed we can, and we do, with a vengeance. All that fossil money to our decision-making class means they see the fossil fuel industry's continued security and privilege as inextricably tied to their own. That is to say, the "public teat" is fed by fossil fuel consumers about ten times what the producers take; and they could never take what they do if everyone in government weren't aware that the dollar they give to the oil patch enables them to take ten from you and me. If you continue on the track of ignoring that tenfold return, every station you come to is going to be the wrong station. Nuclear is clean, and the seventh generation of our descendants will be using much more of it than we are today. --- Graham Cowan, former hydrogen fan B: internal combustion, nuclear cachet by GRLCowan at 7:34 AM on 16 Apr 2006 There are alternatives Good non-fossil alternatives to nuclear energy can be envisioned, let me hasten to add, but I think the token by which we shall know them, when they become a threat to the public purse's petrodollars, is -- they'll attract the same sort of hydra-headed opposition as nuclear does. by GRLCowan at 7:44 AM on 16 Apr 2006 unfortunate I think it's unfortunate that efficiency and conservation are being grouped with "alternatives" to nuclear. I've seen that elsewhere. Speaking as someone in California, getting electric power from everything (nuclear and coal, out through natural gas, geothermal, wind, solar biomass, ....), I see efficiency as orthogonal to all that. Efficiency takes the pressure off while all these other battles are being fought. by odograph at 8:44 AM on 16 Apr 2006 Well said Dave!! Excellent response all around. That is the way to put some guts into our seemingly hopeless fight for global survival. Now if someone could get Feingold to start talking this way? Who knows? We might win even against hopeless odds. http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog by amazingdrx at 8:50 AM on 16 Apr 2006 ***************************************************************** 45 Independent: Blair warned of 'energy gap' www.independent.co.uk By Thair Shaikh Published: 17 April 2006 Tony Blair was warned about a possible energy "gap" by senior MPs last night, and urged to rethink his plans for a new generation of nuclear power stations to tackle the country's predicted energy crisis. With almost a quarter of the country's current electricity-generating capacity to be decommissioned by 2016, the Commons Environmental Audit Committee said that there was not time to wait for a new generation of nuclear reactors, which, if built, may not be generating at full capacity until 2030. The committee said that Britain could face the prospect of electricity black-outs within a decade unless there was urgent investment in new gas-fired power stations. The committee chairman Tim Yeo urged ministers to return to the strategy laid out in the Energy White Paper of 2003 which focused on energy efficiency and renewables as the cornerstones of a sustainable energy policy. "The Government must be far more imaginative and radical in pursuing the twin goals of the Energy White Paper - energy efficiency and renewables," he said. Greenpeace welcomed the committee's report as "significant and timely". "Building more nuclear reactors and creating more nuclear waste is not only unsafe but also is no solution to climate change or energy security," said campaigner Sarah North. © 2006 Independent News and Media Limited ***************************************************************** 46 APP.COM: Cracks in Oyster Creek wall questioned | Asbury Park Press Online Back Issues:Sunday, April 16, 2006 BY STAFF WRITER Regulators concerned about aging parts at the Oyster Creek nuclear power plant say they want to know more about hairline cracks in a wall meant to contain radiation. But three independent experts who reviewed a public document about the damage said the flaws are normal and not much to fuss over — at least not yet. The cracks, which appear in a reinforced concrete shield around the Lacey reactor, are similar to those in weather-worn sidewalks: Small stress marks don't necessarily foreshadow a collapse. To make sure changes in cracks don't go unnoticed at the Lacey plant, federal regulators are reviewing the operator's inspection plans before deciding whether to allow Oyster Creek to run for an additional 20 years under a renewed license. Some trust the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and plant operator AmerGen Energy Co. to make sure Oyster Creek grows old gracefully. Others do not. "If they get their license for another 20 years, it's going to be a very harrowing time, knowing what we know," said Brick Mayor Joseph Scarpelli, who wants Oyster Creek closed when its initial 40-year license expires less than three years from now. Close calls at other plants and AmerGen's reluctance to inspect a metal vessel that surrounds the reactor are some reasons renewal opponents are skeptical. Those who back the renewal say Oyster Creek has operated without a major accident since it started up in 1969. Lacey Mayor Mark Dykoff said he has never heard from a disgruntled plant employee. Workers he has met say the plant is safe, he said. "Where there is smoke, there is fire, and I don't see no smoke," Dykoff said. The public will have an opportunity to decide whether to trust AmerGen and the commission by attending a meeting between the two sides Thursday afternoon. At issue will be AmerGen's plans for monitoring the aging of certain safety components, including radiation barriers, during an extended operating period. The discussion is expected to be technical, but it could provide insight into what regulators are thinking part way through their review. A decision on the license isn't expected until May 2007. Since AmerGen applied for a renewal in July, regulators have been reviewing the company's 2,400-page renewal application, asking AmerGen for additional information and touring the plant to verify aspects of the application. In one document pertaining to the commission's review, regulators say they have "a concern that several potential aging issues may not have been adequately addressed." Regulators then go on to ask questions about cracks in the concrete wall, which is meant to stop some of the radiation and heat generated by the reactor from entering parts of the containment building on the other side. Also mentioned in the document, dated March 9, were questions about cracks around a water-filled pool that holds highly radioactive spent fuel. In both areas, the cracks appeared normal to three independent experts. "I don't see anything unusual about this one," said Ted Quinn, past president of the American Nuclear Society, an educational organization for professionals. Samin Anghaie, a professor in the nuclear engineering department at the University of Florida, also reviewed the document and reached the same conclusion. In the document, a representative for AmerGen went over the company's plans for monitoring the cracks. Cracks in concrete structures at nuclear power plants are just as common as cracks found in buildings, bridges and roads. They sometimes form when concrete settles, said David Lochbaum, director of the Nuclear Safety Project for the Union of Concerned Scientists, a nonprofit alliance of citizens and scientists. It might not even make sense for a plant operator to fix a crack unless it's getting worse, even in vital structures, Lochbaum said. Spending money to fix harmless cracks would mean less funding for needed repairs, he said. But cracks can become a big deal when large, unexpected, ones are spotted for the first time. That could mean a plant operator is not conducting inspections often enough or in the right places, he said. Using the wrong criteria to measure a crack's significance — its width, for instance — could lead to catastrophe, Lochbaum said. "If you're inspecting cracks and then all of the sudden your structure collapses, then the criteria you're using isn't doing what it is supposed to do," he said. Nicholas Clunn: (609) 978-4597 or [E-mail] E-mail Copyright © 2006 Asbury Park Press. All rights reserved. ***************************************************************** 47 AFP: Nuclear not only energy solution: British lawmakers Sun Apr 16, 5:31 PM ET LONDON (AFP) - Nuclear power is not the only solution to Britain's energy needs, and cash must be invested in new gas-fired power stations, lawmakers warned in a report. The country could face electricity black-outs unless an "extensive programme" of new gas power stations is launched, alongside moves towards renewable energy sources such as wind power, the Commons Environmental Audit Committee said. The government's review into Britain's future energy supplies -- due for publication later this year -- is widely expected to recommend reviving Britain's nuclear power program. With the first of any new nuclear plants not coming on stream until 2017 at the earliest, it could take until 2030 for full generating capacity of such a programme to become available. And with almost one quarter of Britain's current energy generating capacity due to be decommissioned by 2016, the committee said that the country would face a "generating gap" which could be filled by new gas-fired power stations. "Over the next nine years, therefore, very substantial investment in new generating capacity and energy efficiency will be required if the lights are to stay on -- even in the absence of demand growth," the report said. British Prime Minister Tony Blair" /> , who is widely believed to be in favour of a revival of nuclear power, ordered a review into the country's future energy supplies late last year. He said at the time that urgent action was needed because of rising energy prices, dwindling North Sea gas and oil supplies and to counter the effects of climate change. Britain currently has around a dozen nuclear power stations, most of them built in the 1960s and 1970s, providing around 25 percent of the country's electricity. Natural gas provides about 40 percent. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 48 CNIC: Chernobyl 20th Anniversary in Tokyo (Citizens' Nuclear Information Center) (Sunday, April 16, 2006) Symposium and exhibition: 20 years after the Chernobyl Catastrophe - What happened and what continues now? NGOs will hold a symposium to commemorate the 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl tragedy. The symposium will be an opportunity to reconsider our dependence on nuclear energy. Hoping to promote a nuclear revival, historical revisionists have sought to downplay the consequences of the Chernobyl accident(1). In doing so, they insult the memory of those who died and the suffering of those who survived. This symposium will set the record straight. Dr. Yuri Scherbak, former Ukrainian Ambassador to the US, will speak about his experiences of Chernobyl. Various themes related to Chernobyl will be discussed during a panel discussion after the lecture. Three panelists - a nuclear scientist, a photo journalist and a medical doctor - will present their views about Chernobyl. See program below for details, including other events to be held at the same venue. The conference will be in Japanese. The keynote speaker, Yuri Shcherbak, will give his presentation in Russian. Date: 16 April 2006 Venue: National Olympic Memorial Youth Center, 3-1 Yoyogi Kamizono-cho, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo (81-3-3467-7201) Program Speakers: Dr. Yuri Shcherbak (doctor and author, former Ukrainian Ambassador to the US) Ryuichi Hirokawa (photojournalist) radiation researcher) Music (during symposium): Oksana Stepanyuk (singer and Ukrainian harp player) Video: "The Sacrifice" (25 minute video to be played from 10am to 1pm) Exhibition of children's pictures and photographs (1pm-6pm) Contact: Philip White, CNIC International Liaison Officer 81-3-5330-9520 1. See, for example, the September 2005 report of The Chernobyl Forum (an initiative of the International Atomic Energy Agency) Citizens' Nuclear Information Center TEL.03-5330-9520 FAX.03-5330-9530 ***************************************************************** 49 AFP: Twenty years on, effects from Chernobyl disaster linger Sun Apr 16, 1:07 AM ET CHERNOBYL, Ukraine (AFP) - Twenty years ago, explosions at the Chernobyl power plant sent a huge radioactive cloud into the air in the world's worst civilian nuclear accident that still affects millions of people today. At 1:23 am on April 26, 1986, a series of explosions ripped through reactor four at the plant in the north of what is today Ukraine, near its border with Belarus. Radiation fell across much of Europe. For days, the Soviet leadership refused to admit -- either to its own people or to the world -- what had happened less than 100 kilometers (62 miles) north of a major city, Kiev, and near the huge Dniepr River that criss-crossed Ukraine and provided much of its water supply. Only after the news blackout ended were 135,000 people evacuated from the most affected areas around the plant. To this day, Chernobyl fuels controversies over the use of nuclear power, attracts tourists and researchers, feeds fears of another release, continues to claim victims, and gobbles huge amounts of international funds. An army of some 600,000 "liquidators" -- firemen, soldiers and civilians -- helped to construct a concrete sarcophagus meant to contain the reactor for 20 to 30 years before a more permanent structure could be built. The fate awaiting these people and others exposed to radiation from the blast is one of the main controversies still surrounding the plant. In its latest report on the disaster released in September, the United Nations" /> United Nationsestimated that fewer people will eventually perish than was initially predicted. The report, the work of some 100 scientists from eight UN agencies, said up to 4,000 would eventually die as a result of the accident, in addition to the nearly 60 people who have already died. Environmental groups like Greenpeace rejected the findings as "whitewash," collusion "with the nuclear lobby" and "insulting for the victims." They estimate that the death toll will be in the tens of thousands. In addition to health effects like thyroid cancer, survivors also deal with psychological problems. A study of more than 2,000 "liquidators" by the Serbsky Psychiatric Institute in Moscow found that two thirds of them suffered from psychological illnesses. "Considering their young age at the time of the accident, all of the negative effects have not appeared yet," said Galina Rumyantseva, who led the study. Regions affected by the accident remain today both socially and economically devastated. Some 350,000 people have been evacuated from the surrounding areas in all. Some 784,320 hectares of prime agricultural land remain ruined, as do 700,000 hectares of forest. The United Nations estimates that the eventual price tag of the disaster will run to hundreds of billions of dollars. Today, the sarcophagus over reactor four is cracked and crumbling, raising fears that more radiation can be released. Some 28 countries have pledged to chip in more than 750 million dollars toward the construction of a new 20,000-tonne steel case. The cover is expected to cost between one and two billion dollars and is hoped to be finished by 2012. But it will take at least a hundred years to safely get rid of dangerous fuel and debris inside the plant, said spokeswoman Yulia Marusich. The plant, whose last reactor was shut down for good only in 2000, continues to attract attention -- tourists come to gawk, while researchers come to observe the remarkable flourishing of flora and fauna. Hundreds of mostly elderly people who lived in villages around the plant have ignored government restrictions and warnings of radiation to resettle in the 30-kilometre (18.6-mile) exclusion zone around the plant, raising animals and eating fruits and berries from the radiation-soaked land. The final effects from the series of explosions that occurred in the early hours at a Soviet nuclear power plant in 1986 may not be known for years, scientists say. "We may not see anything today, but genetic modifications can appear in 20, 50 years," says Rudolf Alexakhin, director of the Agricultural Radiology Institute in Moscow. Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The ***************************************************************** 50 Brattleboro Reformer: VY passes safety review By KRISTI CECCAROSSI, Reformer Staff Saturday, April 15 BRATTLEBORO -- Last year Vermont Yankee operated safely, so says a recent report from its federal regulators. Inspectors found no extraordinary problems at the plant, which means the nuclear power plant requires no additional oversight right now from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory inspects and issues reports on the plant quarterly, but just released a letter assessing Vermont Yankee's operation for all of 2005. "Overall Vermont Yankee operated in a manner that preserve public health and safety and fully met all cornerstone objectives," wrote Brian Holian, director of NRC Region 1, division of reactor projects. NRC will be in town next Thursday to discuss the plant's annual review. Entergy Nuclear, plant owners, will be represented. The public is welcome to ask questions. The meeting starts at 2 p.m. at the Quality Inn on Putney Road. The NRC uses color codes to grade findings at the plant, and if the plant is sited a certain number of high-alert colors, it affects the annual review. Last year, the plant received a number of "green findings," said NRC spokesman Neil Sheehan, which indicates a "very low safety issue." The findings were attached to things like maintenance procedure and monitoring systems. A green finding doesn't mean there's not any safety issue there, he said, but one with such a "low significance" that the NRC doesn't determine the plant needs extra oversight. In 2004, Vermont Yankee didn't get the same high marks from the NRC. The commission cited plant owners with a "white finding" for failure to provide tone-alert radios to the full population of the emergency evacuation zone around the plant. Sheehan said Entergy corrected that since, but local emergency planners insist that there is still a shortage of alert radios, and still too many residents without them. Of course the NRC's annual review doesn't include recent activities at Vermont Yankee, including an effort to increase the plant's power output by 20 percent. Nearly two months ago, plant engineers began boosting the reactor's output, in 5 percent increments. Engineers halted the process twice because excess acoustic vibrations were detected in the plant's steam line. Similar problems in other plants that have been power "uprated" have led to instrument failures. Right now, Vermont Yankee is operating at 112.5 percent of its original power capacity. Plant spokesman Rob Williams says the possible impact of the acoustic vibrations is being analyzed and more information should be known next week. Sheehan, of the NRC, said he couldn't speculate as to whether in next year's annual review of the plant, the uprate procedure would be recognized as a safety concern. "We have to see how this plays out," he said. "If we find out any shortcomings on the company's part as a result of (the uprate), but it would be premature to say there would be any enforcement action ... as a result of power ascension." New England Newspapers, Inc. ***************************************************************** 51 THERECORD.COM: Nuclear costs unknown PETER BLACK (Apr 15, 2006) I am responding to the April 10 letter of the day, The Real Cost Of Coal-Fired Plants Is $4.4 Billion, from Dr. Patrick Moore. Moore states that coal-fired plant costs are far in excess of nuclear energy costs. Moore should realize that the "real costs" of nuclear are not known. No government, agency or consultant has been able to make a convincing calculation. Ontario has set aside a mere $700 million to cover future disposal costs. The Canadian Nuclear Association is running TV ads stating that nuclear is dependable, safe and inexpensive. This is misleading and wrong. The real cost of nuclear is not known. Experts such as Moore would be more productive if they invested their talents in finding alternate energy sources instead of debating two unacceptable energy sources. Peter Black, C.A. Truly Independent Energy Advisor S. Leslie Enterprises Kitchener 160 King St. East, Kitchener, Ontario, Canada, N2G 4E5 519-894-2231 ***************************************************************** 52 Burlington Free Press: Let's focus on clean, local energy Opinion burlingtonfreepress.com | Burlington, Vermont Published: Saturday, April 15, 2006 By James Moore Iwas pleased to see the recent Free Press editorial and the opinion piece by John DiToro of IBM (March 31) addressing our looming energy crisis. Vermont is indeed at an energy crossroads, but both of these commentaries left out or undervalued the essential role that clean, local energy sources can play in Vermont's future. This is a fundamental oversight in a conversation where the wrong decision could leave future generations of Vermonters with higher electric bills, more pollution and the ongoing threat of a nuclear disaster. Let's start with the facts: Right now, Vermont is too dependent on dirty and dangerous sources of power. Thirty-five percent of our electricity comes from Vermont Yankee, one of the oldest nuclear plants in the country. The plant has already generated more than one million pounds of toxic nuclear waste, and despite the fact that it is cranking out more radioactive waste than ever, it still has no permanent and safe way to store the deadly material. Another 15 percent of our electricity comes from natural gas, coal, and oil-fired power plants scattered about New England. Together that means that roughly half of Vermont's electricity is coming from a source that creates acid rain, global warming, smog, and/or toxic nuclear waste. Vermont is also heavily dependent on out-of-state power generators. More than one third of our electricity comes from Hydro Quebec. The massive transmission lines that carry that electricity could leave Vermont more vulnerable to power shortages in the event of an accident or inclement weather. And when you combine Hydro Quebec with the aforementioned polluting power we import from power plants across New England, this means we ship over half of our electricity dollars to out of state generators. The final critical fact is that Vermont's energy future is about to change, one way or another. In the next six to 10 years, Vermont Yankee is scheduled to shut down and our long-term contracts with Hydro Quebec's will expire. Even if one of those contracts were to be renewed, it would be at market rates that are already causing rate increases of up to 80 percent for some of our New England neighbors. Armed with these facts, it is time for Vermonters to consider our choices. Some are favoring the Bush administration's plan emphasizing more coal plants, oil drilling and a whole new generation of nuclear power while giving a nod to renewable energy. We can do better than that. VPIRG supports a more secure energy future relying on conservation, efficiency and clean, renewable power sources. Last December, Gov. Douglas took a big step in the right direction by joining six other regional governors in a commitment to reduce our overdependence on dirty energy. However, the governor's agreement could become an empty promise unless we begin a serious investment in renewable energy and efficiency. The Free Press has recognized that we must begin with investments efficiency. Studies have shown that if we invest in efficiency now we could lower our state's electricity demand by 20 to 30 percent within 10 years, saving Vermonters millions of dollars. But efficiency alone will not meet the demand for electricity in Vermont in 2016 and beyond. Wind power is the most plentiful untapped energy source in Vermont. Wind farms provide price stability and the electricity they produce is less expensive than the price we're already paying on the open market. If we invest in efficiency first, along with renewable energy sources including wind, biomass, hydro, and net-metering generation like small wind turbines and solar panels, we can meet Vermont's energy needs. When asked what kind of energy future they want, Vermonters overwhelmingly support safe, clean and affordable power that is locally generated. It's often said that when the people lead, our leaders will follow. It's time for our elected leaders to start listening to what the people want. James Moore is clean-energy advocate for the Vermont Public Interest Research Group (VPIRG) in Montpelier. Copyright ©2006 Burlingtonfreepress.com All rights reserved. ***************************************************************** 53 Daily Times: VIEW: Turning point at Chernobyl Monday, April 17, 2006 — Mikhail S Gorbachev Chernobyl opened my eyes like nothing else: it showed the horrible consequences of nuclear power, even when it is used for non-military purposes. One could now imagine much more clearly what might happen if a nuclear bomb exploded. According to scientific experts, one SS-18 rocket could contain 100 Chernobyls The nuclear meltdown at Chernobyl this month 20 years ago, even more than my launch of perestroika, was perhaps the real cause of the collapse of the Soviet Union five years later. Indeed, the Chernobyl catastrophe was an historic turning point: there was the era before the disaster, and there is the very different era that has followed. The very morning of the explosion at the Chernobyl nuclear station on April 26, 1986, the Politburo met to discuss the situation, and then organised a government commission to deal with the consequences. The commission was to control the situation, and to ensure that serious measures were taken, particularly in regard to people’s health in the disaster zone. Moreover, the Academy of Science established a group of leading scientists, who were immediately dispatched to the Chernobyl region. The Politburo did not immediately have appropriate and complete information that would have reflected the situation after the explosion. Nevertheless, it was the general consensus of the Politburo that we should openly deliver the information upon receiving it. This would be in the spirit of the glasnost policy that was by then already established in the Soviet Union. Thus, claims that the Politburo engaged in concealment of information about the disaster is far from the truth. One reason I believe that there was no deliberate deception is that, when the governmental commission visited the scene right after the disaster and stayed overnight in Polesie, near Chernobyl, its members all had dinner with regular food and water, and they moved about without respirators, like everybody else who worked there. If the local administration or the scientists knew the real impact of the disaster, they would not have risked doing this. In fact, nobody knew the truth, and that is why all our attempts to receive full information about the extent of the catastrophe were in vain. We initially believed that the main impact of the explosion would be in Ukraine, but Belarus, to the northwest, was hit even worse, and then Poland and Sweden suffered the consequences. Of course, the world first learnt of the Chernobyl disaster from Swedish scientists, creating the impression that we were hiding something. But in truth we had nothing to hide, as we simply had no information for a day and a half. Only a few days later, we learnt that what happened was not a simple accident, but a genuine nuclear catastrophe — an explosion of Chernobyl’s fourth reactor. Although the first report on Chernobyl appeared in Pravda on April 28, the situation was far from clear. For example, when the reactor blew up, the fire was immediately put out with water, which only worsened the situation as nuclear particles began spreading through the atmosphere. Meanwhile we were still able to take measures to help people in the disaster zone; they were evacuated, and more than 200 medical organisations were involved in testing the population for radiation poisoning. There was a serious danger that the contents of the nuclear reactor would seep into the soil, and then leak into the Dnepr river, thus endangering the population of Kiev and other cities along the riverbanks. Therefore, we started the job of protecting the river banks, initiating a total deactivation of the Chernobyl plant. The resources of a huge country were mobilised to control the devastation, including work to prepare the sarcophagus that would encase the fourth reactor. The Chernobyl disaster, more than anything else, opened the possibility of much greater freedom of expression, to the point that the system as we knew it could no longer continue. It made absolutely clear how important it was to continue the policy of glasnost, and I must say that I started to think about time in terms of pre-Chernobyl and post-Chernobyl. The price of the Chernobyl catastrophe was overwhelming, not only in human terms, but also economically. Even today, the legacy of Chernobyl affects the economies of Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus. Some even suggest that the economic price for the USSR was so high that it stopped the arms race, as I could not keep building arms while paying to clean up Chernobyl. This is wrong. My declaration of January 15, 1986, is well known around the world. I addressed arms reduction, including nuclear arms, and I proposed that by the year 2000 no country should have atomic weapons. I personally felt a moral responsibility to end the arms race. But Chernobyl opened my eyes like nothing else: it showed the horrible consequences of nuclear power, even when it is used for non-military purposes. One could now imagine much more clearly what might happen if a nuclear bomb exploded. According to scientific experts, one SS-18 rocket could contain 100 Chernobyls. Unfortunately, the problem of nuclear arms is still very serious today. Countries that have them — the members of the so-called “nuclear club” — are in no hurry to get rid of them. On the contrary, they continue to refine their arsenals, while countries without nuclear weapons want them, believing that the nuclear club’s monopoly is a threat to the world peace. The 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl catastrophe reminds us that we should not forget the horrible lesson taught to the world in 1986. We should do everything in our power to make all nuclear facilities safe and secure. We should also start seriously working on the production of the alternative sources of energy. The fact that world leaders now increasingly talk about this imperative suggests that the lesson of Chernobyl is finally being understood. —DT-PS Mikhail Gorbachev, the last president of the USSR, is chairman of the Gorbachev Foundation in Moscow and the head of the International Green Cross Daily Times - All Rights Reserved ***************************************************************** 54 People's Daily Online: View of Chernobyl nuclear power plant UPDATED: 10:21, April 16, 2006 The photo taken on April 14, 2006 shows reactor No. 4 of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, 130 kilometers north of Kiev, capital of Ukraine. Ukraine prepares to mark the 20th anniversary of the world's worst nuclear leakage triggered by an explosion happening at reactor No. 4 on April 26, 1986. [Photo: