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NUCLEAR POLICY
1 [southnews] Blair refuses to back Iran strike
2 [NYTr] Blitzing Iran: Risking the Ultimate Blowback
3 [NYTr] Crackdown on Iran could be exactly the wrong thing
4 [NYTr] US analysts detail war plans against Iran
5 [NYTr] Moscow to Host Meeting on Iran Nuclear Crisis
6 UN Atomic Agency Chief Calls For Iran To Suspend Uranium Enrichment
7 IRNA: US policy on Iran nuclear program untrustworthy
8 Guardian Unlimited: Leaders call for calm over Iran's nuclear ambiti
9 Guardian Unlimited: Iranian: U.S. Waging 'Psychological War'
10 Observer: Drumbeat of war is drowning out wiser counsels
11 UK: Observer: So how close is a showdown over Iran?
12 IRNA: African states happy with Iran's joining nuclear world - FM
13 USNews.com: Washington Whispers
14 BBC: Pope calls for end to Iran crisis
15 IRNA: Iran's uranium enrichment a great work: Pak cleric
16 IRNA: FM says nuclear case a national
17 IRNA: FM stresses diplomatic solution to Iran's nuclear case
18 AFP: Iran issues stark military warning to United States
19 AFP: Chinese official hold nuclear talks with Iran
20 IRNA: Pak, Saudi leaders express opposition to use of force against
21 AFP: Iran says US in no position to attack
22 IRNA: Haddad-Adel condemns foreign intervention in regional states -
23 AFP: US analysts detail war plans against Iran
24 AFP: Six major powers to meet in Moscow on Iran nuclear crisis -
25 Xinhua: U.S. plans to design new nuclear warheads: report
26 Zee News: India-US deal will destroy nuclear research
27 CAQ: HIROSHIMA: NEEDLESS SLAUGHTER, USEFUL TERROR
28 London Times: Nuclear break-up on cards -
29 IRNA: Algerian official denounces US double-standard -
30 WorldNetDaily: Busting empty bunkers
31 UK: Independent: What happened to wind power?
32 Japan Times: A-bomb legacy fading: filmmaker
NUCLEAR REACTORS
33 Guardian Unlimited: More nuclear power will not avert energy crisis,
34 Guardian Unlimited: Blair hints at go-ahead for new nuclear power pl
35 London Times: More nuclear power ‘likely’ -
36 UK: Observer: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK
37 Guardian Unlimited: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK
38 AU: The Age: Nuclear power's sick legacy -
39 TorontoSun.com: Hydro crisis worse than ever before
40 US: VOA News: Nuclear Power, The Scary IF
41 Korea Herald: The myths of Chernobyl
42 Sunday Herald: Nuclear wont plug power gap -
43 FT.com: UK - Doubts raised over new nuclear plants
44 US: Grist Magazine: Nuclear: no alternatives?
45 Independent: Blair warned of 'energy gap'
46 US: APP.COM: Cracks in Oyster Creek wall questioned
47 AFP: Nuclear not only energy solution: British lawmakers
48 CNIC: Chernobyl 20th Anniversary in Tokyo
49 AFP: Twenty years on, effects from Chernobyl disaster linger
50 US: Brattleboro Reformer: VY passes safety review
51 THERECORD.COM: Nuclear costs unknown
52 US: Burlington Free Press: Let's focus on clean, local energy
53 Daily Times: VIEW: Turning point at Chernobyl
54 People's Daily Online: View of Chernobyl nuclear power plant
55 Japan Times: Myths and misconceptions on Chernobyl
56 AFP: Anti-nuclear activists rally against new reactor for France -
57 US: Boston Globe: Decision looms over Pilgrim -
58 Japan Times: Specter of Chernobyl lingers, 20 years on
59 US: Odessa American Online: God, country and nuclear energy
NUCLEAR SECURITY
NUCLEAR SAFETY
60 Radio New Zealand: Bikini Islanders file lawsuit against US govt
61 US: Deseret News: Matheson objects to plans for blast in Nevada
62 US: Herald News: New group collecting cancer facts
63 US: Pahrump Valley Times: Bomb test will 'meet air quality regulatio
NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE
64 London Times: Watchdog hits at Dounreay’s false reporting -
65 US: Belleville News-Democrat: Despite plant leaks, low tritium level
66 US: Bradenton Herald: Tallevast might not have borders
67 US: Deseret News: County aims to block nuclear waste
68 US: Deseret News: Western governors assail nuclear waste bill
69 Las Vegas SUN: Editorial: A messenger visits Yucca
70 US: reviewjournal.com: Nuclear project draws interest
71 US: Salt Lake Tribune: Feds want states out of nuclear shipping
72 US: Salt Lake Tribune: Mercury levels stir new outcry
73 US: Ely Times: Ely still designated route for nuclear waste
74 US: Pahrump Valley Times: NUCLEAR WASTE REPROCESSING
75 US: WATE: Cleanup of former uranium site months behind schedule
76 Sunday Business Post: Government to oppose any nuclear plants at Sel
77 Pahrump Valley Times: 'The Machine' is highlight of Yucca Mountain t
78 US: Deseret News: Utah leaders assess divisions in '06 session
PEACE
79 AU ABC: Aust 'can help curb' nuclear proliferation.
US DEPT. OF ENERGY
80 KnoxNews: Oak Ridge engineer gets award for venture
81 KnoxNews: Cleanup of former K-25 site behind schedule
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FULL NEWS STORIES
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1 [southnews] Blair refuses to back Iran strike
Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 00:14:53 -0500 (CDT)
TONY Blair has told George Bush that Britain cannot offer military
support to any strike on Iran, regardless of whether the move wins the
backing of the international community, government sources claimed
yesterday.
The timing of military strikes is now being openly debated in
Washington. Cirincione says he believes there will be secret strikes
announced by Bush after they happen.
Blair refuses to back Iran strike
Scotland on Sunday 16 Apr 2006
BRIAN BRADY WESTMINSTER EDITOR
TONY Blair has told George Bush that Britain cannot offer military
support to any strike on Iran, regardless of whether the move wins the
backing of the international community, government sources claimed
yesterday.
Amid increasing tension over Tehran's attempts to develop a military
nuclear capacity, the Prime Minister has laid bare the limits of his
support for President Bush, who is believed to be considering an assault
on Iran, Foreign Office sources revealed.
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is calling on the United Nations
to consider new sanctions against Tehran when the Security Council meets
next week to discuss the developing crisis. Blair is expected to support
the call for a "Chapter 7" resolution, which could effectively isolate
Iran from the international community.
But, in the midst of international opposition to a pre-emptive strike on
Tehran, and Britain's military commitments around the world, the
government maintains it cannot contribute to a military assault. "We
will support the diplomatic moves, at best," a Foreign Office source
told Scotland on Sunday. "But we cannot commit our own resources to a
military strike."
Meanwhile, a new report on the Iran crisis has warned that
neo-conservatives in the Bush administration are on "collision course"
with Tehran.
The Foreign Policy Centre (FPC), often referred to as Blair's "favourite
think-tank", will appeal for a greater effort to find a diplomatic
solution in a report to be published later this week. FPC director
Stephen Twigg, formerly a Labour minister, explained: "It is essential
UK policy on Iran is well informed... We want to engage with the various
reformist elements in Iran, both inside and outside the structures of power.
"There is potential for political dialogue, economic ties and cultural
contacts to act as catalysts for the strengthening of civil society in
Iran."
While the sense of crisis over Iran has been escalated by the fiery
rhetoric between Tehran and the West - particularly Washington - many
within the British government are now convinced that the impasse can be
resolved by repeating the same sort of painstaking diplomatic activity
that returned Libya to the international fold.
The approach contrasts sharply with the strategy employed during the
run-up to the war in Iraq, when ministers repeatedly issued grim
warnings to Saddam Hussein over the consequences of not falling in line
with their demands.
"The only long-term solution to Iran's problems is democracy," said Alex
Bigham, co-author of the FPC report. "But it cannot be dictated,
Iraq-style, or it will backfire. Iran may seem superficially like Iraq
but we need to treat Iran more like Libya. Diplomatic engagement must be
allowed to run its course. There need to be bigger carrots as well as
bigger sticks."
However, the conciliatory language was not reflected in the approach
from Washington, where senior figures in the Bush administration remain
keen to stress the danger of Tehran's intentions.
In a declaration aimed at America's allies as much as Iran, Rice claimed
the Security Council's handling of the Iranian nuclear issue would be a
test of the international community's credibility. "If the UN Security
Council says: 'You must do these things and we'll assess in 30 days,'
and Iran has not only not done those things, but has taken steps that
are exactly the opposite of those that are demanded, then the Security
Council is going to have to act."
Rice dismissed Iran's declaration that it is only interested in
enriching uranium for use in civil nuclear power facilities, saying the
international community must remain focused on the potential military
applications of this technology.
"The world community does not want them to have that nuclear know-how
and that's why nobody wants them to be able to enrich and reprocess on
their territory, getting to the place that they can produce what we call
a full-scale nuclear plant to be able to do this," she said.
Rice reiterated that President Bush has not taken any option off the
table, including a military response, if Iran fails to comply with the
demands of the international community.
http://news.scotsman.com/uk.cfm?id=577092006
____________________________-
U.S. strike on Iran could make Iraq look like a warm-up bout
Fallout around the world would be grim
But will cost of inaction be too high?
Toronto Star Apr. 15, 2006. 01:00 AM
TIM HARPER
WASHINGTON BUREAU
WASHINGTONOn the ground, more terror.
Poison-laced missiles raining down on U.S. troops in Iraq or
Afghanistan, the downing of a U.S. passenger airliner, suicide bombers
in major cities, perhaps unleashing their deadly payload in a shopping
mall food court. It could be 9/11 all over again. Or worse.
On the political front, more anti-Americanism.
Renewed venom aimed at Washington from European capitals, greater
distrust from China and Russia, outright hatred in the Arab and Muslim
world. Oil prices spiralling out of control, a global recession at hand.
In Iran, a galvanizing of a splintered nation. An end to hopes for
political reform, a rally-around-the-leader phenomenon common among the
victimized, an ability to rebuild a nuclear program in two to four years.
These are the potential costs of a U.S. military strike in Iran.
"It would be Iran's Pearl Harbor and it will be the beginning of a war,
not the end of a war. It will set back American strategic interests for
a generation," says Joseph Cirincione, the director for
non-proliferation at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
"The war will take place at a time and location of Iran's choosing. It
will make Iraq look like a preliminary bout."
But the cost of inaction could be even higher: a defiant nation with an
apparently unstable leadership steeped in hatred for Americans in the
heart of the Middle East with nuclear capabilities.
With Tehran ignoring both threats and cajoling from the international
community and declaring itself prematurely part of the world's
"nuclear club" this week, talk of the Washington stick moved to the
forefront, while the carrot, now discredited, was pushed off centre stage.
While the week began with the White House trying to tamp down
speculation about military strikes in Iran, reported by The Washington
Post and by journalist Seymour Hersh in The New Yorker, it was becoming
clear the Bush administration was growing impatient with a diplomatic
effort that is not working with Tehran.
It may have also welcomed talk of potential military strikes, even if it
would be extremely reluctant to use them, simply to remind some
recalcitrant United Nations members such as China and Russia that
diplomacy does have an end date.
The bluntest assessment of diplomatic success came from Karl Rove, U.S.
President George W. Bush's political adviser and deputy chief of staff,
who told a Houston audience Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was
"not a rational human being."
"We are engaged in a diplomatic process with our European partners and
the United Nations to keep (Iran) from developing such a weapon," Rove
said. "It's going to be tough because they are led by ideologues who
have a weird sense of history."
Ahmadinejad announced this week that Iran had taken its nuclear
enrichment program to new levels. Before he did so, he dismissed any
influence of the United Nations, according to state media. "They know
they cannot do a damned thing," he said.
The Iranian government has stated it will construct 3,000 centrifuges at
a facility in Natanz and would eventually expand that to 54,000
centrifuges, which spin uranium into fuel rich enough to produce atom
bombs. Estimates of their capability date range from 2010 to 2020.
Bush has been clear he wants to stop Tehran from acquiring even the
knowledge needed to build nuclear weapons, and last month he vowed U.S.
military might could be used to protect staunch allies such as Israel.
But, earlier this week, Bush called reports of potential military
strikes on Iran "wild speculation." British Foreign Minister Jack Straw
said the stories were "completely nuts."
U.S. Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld weighed in, saying he wouldn't
address things from "fantasy land," but then added: "The last thing I'm
going to do is to start telling you or anyone else in the press or the
world at what point we refresh a plan or don't refresh a plan, and why.
It just isn't useful."
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice sternly called for action at
the UN, but didn't say what it could be, leaving her spokesman
sputtering about "re-underlining" the call for Iran to suspend its
enrichment program and vowing this time the Security Council will do
more than just release a statement.
"This is not a question of Iran's right to civil nuclear power," Rice
said. "This is a question that the world does not believe that Iran
should have the capability and the technology that could lead to a
nuclear weapon.
"When the Security Council reconvenes, it will be time for action."
The timing of military strikes is now being openly debated in Washington.
Cirincione says he believes there will be secret strikes announced by
Bush after they happen. But first, he says, Bush should be expected to
go to the U.S. Congress for authorization before mid-term elections in
November, while Republicans still control the House of Representatives
and the Senate.
Approval before the elections, the strike after the elections, because
the almost certain spike in U.S. gas prices following such action will
blunt any rally-round-the-flag effect at election time, he says. John
Pike, a military analyst at globalsecurity.org, predicts strikes in the
summer of 2007, safely away from the presidential election the next
year. He argues, as many do, that Bush already has congressional
approval and needs not go back to lawmakers. "It will be a surprise," he
says. "There's nothing like dropping bombs on evil-doers to give
Republicans some political updraft."
Pike argues that, despite all the breast-beating in Congress about
misuse of a resolution that got the country into war in Iraq and all the
sound and fury about clandestine surveillance in this country, nothing
has been done to strip Bush of any power when it comes to war. "He will
be looking at atomic ayatollahs. There will be some real downsides (to
military action) and there will be efforts to redouble diplomatic moves,
but in Tehran, the U.S. is equated with Satan.
"What kind of diplomatic solution do they believe they can get from Satan?"
Other analysts have been blunt in their assessment of the cost to the
United States.
"The most dangerous delusion is that a conflict would be either small or
quick," says Richard Haass, the president of the non-partisan Council on
Foreign Relations.
Haass, who until July 2003 was a principal adviser to former secretary
of state Colin Powell, says destroying Iran's nuclear capacity would
require numerous cruise missiles and aircraft.
"Iran would be sure to retaliate, using terrorist groups such as
Hezbollah and Hamas and attacking U.S. and British forces and interests
in Iraq and Afghanistan," he said in a written analysis this week. "This
would require the U.S. to respond militarily against a larger set of
targets inside Iran. What would begin as a limited strike would not
remain limited for long."
Haass also warned that such a strike would likely push oil prices above
$100 (U.S.) per barrel, setting off an economic chain reaction that
could lead to global recession. He predicts a certain increase in
anti-Americanism in Europe, further rage against the U.S. in the Arab
and Muslim world, and a questioning of U.S. ties in Russia and China.
Ken Pollack of the more liberal Brookings Institution argues for
sanctions restricting investment in Tehran.
"The world community should force Iranians to have an internal debate
do they want their nuclear program more than a healthy economy?" he told
a recent forum.
But Pollack adds a sobering point. If the administration truly believes
it cannot live in a world in which Iran has nuclear weapons, the
military option may be the only way to prevent that.
But it would be seen as an unprovoked attack on a country that has
attacked no one. It would be likened to Osama bin Laden's attack on the
U.S., Pollack said, reminding his audience how the United States
responded to that.
Additional articles by Tim Harper
http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/
Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1145051411410&call_pageid=968332188492
The archives of South News can be found at
http://southmovement.alphalink.com.au/southnews/
*****************************************************************
2 [NYTr] Blitzing Iran: Risking the Ultimate Blowback
Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 12:33:52 -0400 (EDT)
Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit
CounterPunch - April 15 / 16, 2006
http://www.counterpunch.org/cloughley04152006.html
Don't Blitz Iran
Risking the Ultimate Blowback
By BRIAN CLOUGHLEY
"Iran's testing of a new missile . . . 'demonstrates that Iran has a very
active and aggressive military program under way,' US State Department
deputy spokesman Adam Ereli said. 'That includes both, as we've talked about
before, efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction as well as delivery
systems'." -Middle East News, April 1.
"The Pentagon is preparing to set off a record-breaking bang, detonating 635
tonnes of high explosives and sending a mushroom cloud into the sky over the
Nevada desert. The blast, on June 2, codenamed Divine Strake [sic], is
likely to be the biggest controlled conventional explosion in military
history, experts said, and is designed to test the impact of bunker-busting
[nuclear] bombs aimed at underground targets." -Guardian (UK) April 1.
The Bush Administration is preparing for a series of air strikes (or Divine
Strakes) on Iran. There is a chance that the Christian fundamentalists of
Washington could be persuaded that attacking the country would be insane,
but the hard core of loonies will probably win, and there will be yet
another war.
The consequences for the US and the rest of the world will be terrible. Lots
of people will die, but since that is irrelevant to Bush zealots in any
context there is no point in examining their plans from the perspectives of
morality or international law.
An April LA Times' poll showed that 48 per cent of Americans want war on
Iran, while only 40 don't, when answering the question "If Iran continued to
produce material that can be used to develop nuclear weapons, would you
support or oppose military action?" They've been brainwashed, just like the
millions who still believe Saddam Hussein was responsible for 9-11, and the
Washington mind-benders are licking their lips.
Notification of the 'Divine Strake' quasi-nuclear test in June may have been
designed in part to frighten Iran's government out of continuing its nuclear
program, but its purpose was officially advertised as improvement of
"warfighters' confidence in their ability to plan to defeat hardened and
deeply buried targets". Don't you love the word "defeat"? What they mean, in
their absurd and savage jargon, is "obliterate by nuclear bomb". And if they
were anything but bloody-minded barbaric humbugs they would say so. With
their fingers poised on the buttons of seven thousand US nukes they trot out
fatuous phrases like "weapons of mass destruction" which would reduce us all
to fits of laughter if the purpose of these fanatics was not so evil.
The psychos intend to destroy the Iranian government, and it will take a
near-miracle for their planned onslaught to be cancelled. They do not care
about what will happen after they blitz the place with their bunker-busters
and all the other demented video-game whizzery at their disposal. The word
'strake' is meaningless in hi-technology language, but preceded by 'Divine'
it conveys exactly, crudely and brutally, what is intended : Watch out,
Islamic nations : the Crusaders are going to get you.
Iran recently tested four items of antique military technology. The missiles
and torpedoes it fired off so publicly are about the standard of weapons
that the US had 30-40 years ago. But this does not mean to say they won't be
effective in achieving the immediate aims of Iran's leaders if their country
is attacked.
If the US attacks Iran the Tehran government will then try to close the
Persian Gulf to the passage of oil tankers. It will also try to destroy as
many oilfields as possible along and off the west coast of the Gulf, and
fire as many missiles as it can towards the bases of its enemies.
What are the Iranians expected to do if they are blitzed by Divine
"deep-penetration" nuclear bombs, cruise missiles and sundry other air
strikes? Does anyone in their right mind think they will sit back and say
'Oh, well, that's life' after the US has attacked their territory and killed
Iranian citizens? (Perhaps thousands of them ; maybe more. Who cares?--not
the psychopaths in Washington and their ideological brothers in Tel Aviv.)
Of course the Iranians will hit back, and they will do so to the utmost of
their power. Sure, that isn't much. But in addition to destabilizing the
entire Middle East the US war will ensure that Iran won't lack allies. One
thing even Cheney and Bush can't claim is that Al Qaeda and Iran are linked,
simply because the former is Sunni Muslim and Iranians are mostly Shias. But
when the bombs and cruise missiles thunder down on Iran, there will not be a
Sunni Muslim country or organization in the world that will not rally to
support the 'victim of the Infidels', no matter that it is Shia. I wouldn't
like to be an American citizen on the streets of any country in the world
after Washington hit Iran.
And the truly terrible thing is that the large and growing number of
pro-western young Iranians, hundreds of thousands of them, desperate to be
released from a humorless, unmerciful and cretinous medieval theocracy, will
automatically unite in hatred of the country that attacked them.
The Pentagon has packed the Persian Gulf with dozens of warships that have
identified and tracked almost every radar and missile site along the Iraqi
coast. Satellites have done the same inland. Strike aircraft from US
carriers have been trailing their coats and practicing attacks on Iranian
defense installations for years. The shooting down of an Iranian civil
airliner by the USS Vincennes was only part of the game. (300 innocent
people were murdered and the captain of the ship was decorated, which gave
Iran the message about where it stands in the US scheme of things.)
Washington will not dare invade Iran, of course, because Iran's military
would not be the walkover that the pathetic Iraqi army was, and US ground
forces would suffer thousands of casualties. The stand-off attack will be
the usual video game, controlled from air-conditioned coke-swigging comfort,
followed by ham-handed attempts at public relations damage control.
The first US priority after attacking Iran will be to try to stop the
Iranians closing the Gulf at the Strait of Hormuz which they could do by
sinking a passing tanker. 90 per cent of oil from the Gulf--about two fifths
of the world's supply--is moved by tanker through the Strait, which is less
than five navigable miles wide. An easy target area.
It will probably take only one sunk ship to seriously disrupt world oil
supplies. But even if a single tanker doesn't actually block the Strait, the
crews of others are not going to be happy about sailing into danger.
Insurance rates will go through the roof, and recent spikes in oil prices
will be nothing compared with what would come. If the Iranians manage to
sink two large tankers at the Gulf choke point, say goodbye to Gulf oil
exports for a week or so. Perhaps US citizens will be happy to pay $10 or
more per gallon to fill their cars ; but maybe not.
Even then, does anyone think that Iran would let the US clear the Hormuz
Strait without doing its best to disrupt salvage efforts? Like hell it
would. There would be suicide boat attacks, suicide plane attacks, and
further missile strikes. Although most airfields in Iran would be destroyed
by cruise missiles and much of the Iranian air force would be shot out of
the sky by roving US fighter jocks within hours of the war beginning, Tehran
would still retain a limited offensive capability.
The Iranians would fire most of the some 400 medium-range ballistic missiles
they've got at US bases in Iraq and Afghanistan and at the oil fields across
the Gulf. They know exactly where they are, without need for all the clever
satellite technology the Pentagon has, because their myriad supporters tell
them the precise locations. (There are hundreds of thousands of Shias in
these countries.) The missiles might not cause many casualties among US
troops, but they will destroy a lot of oil production capacity in Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia and the southern Gulf nations. (Some US troops will die, of
course : maybe a few hundred if a couple of missiles strike lucky. But what
does that matter to the Bush Administration?)
If Israel is involved in the attacks (and, given the paranoia of some of
Iran's leaders about Israel, probably even if Israel is not involved in the
attacks), then some longer-range missiles will be pooped off in a westerly
direction, hoping to impact somewhere in Israel, which at least some of them
would do. They might deliver biological or chemical warheads, but even if
they are just high explosive and cause only a dozen or so casualties each
there would be irresistible pressure within Israel to retaliate, probably
with nuclear weapons. Nobody except a few Librul peaceniks will care about
that.
But even before Israel's strikes, the price of oil would have gone to $100 a
barrel, and rising. In the US $10 a gallon would be only a memory. In
Europe, and especially the UK, governments would be forced to reduce their
enormous taxes imposed on vehicle fuel, signaling a downward economic
spiral. Russia and China would cope remarkably well, but almost all the
developed world, and especially Japan, would suffer to the verge of
catastrophe. The social development of thrusting India could unravel with
disastrous consequences, given the already critical state of the Naxalite
(Maoist) insurrection in eight states of the country.
Most of South America would laugh at the plight of the US. The
democratically-elected Mr Chavez of Venezuela (excellent piece about him in
The Atlantic, this month), so much hated by Bush and Cheney who are plotting
his overthrow because Venezuela does not support US Big Oil, would take
delight in playing the oil card.
It is not well known in the US that Venezuela is so important, even vital,
in the matrix of American oil consumption. (Although its oil is thick and
difficult to process.) But it produces about 5 per cent of the world's
total, and American citizens will rapidly realize that it does, when the oil
crunch begins. The US Department of Energy states that "Venezuela contains
some of the largest oil and natural gas reserves in the world. It
consistently ranks as one the top suppliers of U.S. oil imports and is among
the top ten crude oil producers." And this is the country that the
Cheney-Bush administration is determined to alienate. If this sort of thing
appeared in fiction it would be ridiculed as being too far-fetched.
In the Malacca Strait and other sea routes around Indonesia there would be
disruption, even if Iran did not manage to close the Gulf. The citizens of
Muslim countries of East Asia despise, distrust and hate the US just as much
as those elsewhere. It would be surprising, after a US attack on Iran, if
there was not an attempt to block these tanker routes. Again, a single
flaming tanker hulk could do it, causing enormous extra costs to oil
transportation to Japan.
The US banned oil imports from Iran after the overthrow of the Shah in 1979,
but it is estimated that Iran exports about 4 million barrels a day. This
amount is scheduled to rise because India and China and some others have
invested in oil and gas production facilities. India resents being ordered
by Washington to discontinue its negotiations with Iran about an overland
pipeline. China has an agreement worth US$100 billion for supply of Iranian
natural gas over the next 25 years. And China, although saying nothing
publicly about the US obsession with Iran, is going to react fiercely if its
long-term energy plans are disrupted by the Bush administration, which it
regards with contempt. A US blitzkrieg on Iran is not going to be regarded
favorably by Tehran's trading partners, if only because it will interfere
drastically with their economic development.
Even if Cheney and Bush are not lunatic enough to send their cruise missiles
and bombers to attack Iran they might manage to have harsh economic
sanctions imposed, additional to the unilateral ones in place by the US for
years. They usually ignore warning signals, so doubtless they dismissed the
unmistakable threat in September 2005 that Iran could endure a
self-inflicted cut in oil exports in the national interest of combating what
it would consider rabidly hostile action. It is estimated that cutting
exports would raise the price of oil to $80-100 a barrel. This wouldn't
matter to the rich in America, who are all that Cheney and Bush care about.
But it would matter to the average man and woman who are even now struggling
to make ends meet as a result of the rich-supportive tax policy of the
present Administration.
There is no point in putting the moral position against attacking Iran. The
Cheney-Bush administration has shown itself impervious to argument, and
presenting a case against killing thousands of innocent people cuts no ice
with blinkered zealots. The planned blitzkrieg of divine strikes will
probably take place. It will alter the entire world and create hatred of
America that will never be eradicated. And there is nothing we can do about
it. At this Easter time (and Thai New Year), God help us all.
[Brian Cloughley writes on military and political affairs. He can be reached
through his website http://www.briancloughley.com ]
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3 [NYTr] Crackdown on Iran could be exactly the wrong thing
Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 13:35:58 -0500 (CDT)
Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit
St. Petersburg Times - Apr 15, 2006
http://www.sptimes.com/2006/04/15/Worldandnation/Crackdown_on_Iran_cou.shtml
Crackdown on Iran could be exactly the wrong thing
The world has reason to worry as Iran moves along a course that could lead
to development of nuclear weapons. But there's no need to panic or rush into
military action, most experts agree.
By SUSAN TAYLOR MARTIN
Times Senior Correspondent
Although it has enriched uranium, Iran is probably seven to eight years away
from producing a workable bomb. And if it does develop one, it is unlikely
to use it for offensive purposes, but rather as a deterrent against what it
sees as two hostile nuclear powers, Israel and the United States.
"If somewhere down the line Iran has nuclear capability, the question is:
What are they going to do with it?" asks Brian Michael Jenkins, an expert on
terrorism at the Rand Corp.
"Are they going to launch a missile and wipe out Tel Aviv? Are they going to
launch a nuclear weapon against the United States? That would be the end of
Iran."
Iran has no recent history of aggression against other countries, although
it supports Islamic proxies like Hezbollah that have been blamed for terror
attacks against Israel and U.S. soldiers in the Middle East.
Iranian radicals also held 52 American hostages for 444 days after an
Islamic revolution toppled a secular, U.S.-backed government in 1979.
"Iran wants to be a nuisance for the U.S. and Israel but they have never
taken the real hard steps that would force the U.S. or Israel to enter into
conflict," says Abbas Milani, head of the Iranian Studies Program at
Stanford.
Milani says last week's boast by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that Iran
"has joined the club of nuclear nations" had two main goals: to boost
internal support for his regime and to convince outsiders that Iran is so
far along in uranium enrichment there is no point trying to stop it.
"It was partly to build national pride and show Iranians the regime is
standing up to the West, but it was also intended for the world in the sense
that the enrichment game is a fait accompli," Milani says.
"I don't think it is a fait accompli - I think if the Chinese and Russians
join the Europeans and U.S. in a very firm position, the regime will have to
reconsider."
The Bush administration is pressing for a U.N. Security Council resolution
that could lead to sanctions or pave the way for force unless Iran drops its
nuclear ambitions. But getting a resolution will be hard because two key
council members, Russia and China, have strong economic ties to Iran, the
world's fourth-largest oil exporter.
China, with its huge appetite for fuel, might be especially reluctant to act
for fear of jeopardizing its new $100-billion oil deal. In agreeing to let a
Chinese company develop a vast oil field, Iran "hopes China will pay back
the favor by making sure the council doesn't pass any harsh and punitive
resolution," Milani says. China's president, though, will undoubtedly feel
pressure from the White House when he visits this week.
Since the hostage crisis, the United States has maintained its own economic
sanctions against Iran as part of what analysts say has become a
counterproductive policy.
"Ahmadinejad and the nuclear crisis are the product of U.S. policies toward
Iran in the last two decades," says Hooshang Amirahmadi, head of Rutgers'
Mideastern studies program and president of the American-Iranian Council.
"The more you isolate, the more you sanction, the more you breed dictators.
That's just a fact of life - look at Cuba, North Korea, Iraq."
Hooshang says there "really is no alternative" to dialogue with Iran, and
thinks the United States should resume diplomatic relations. Wouldn't that
legitimize a radical regime?
"If you have established ties, then you have taken away the regime's most
vicious instrument and that is its anti-Americanism," Hooshang says.
Despite their president's harsh rhetoric, Iranians are considered among the
most pro-American people in the Muslim world. The State Department is asking
Congress for
$85-million to "promote democracy" in Iran, with the money to be used by
dissidents in and out of the country to improve communications, shore up
civic education and encourage political participation.
However, analysts say the United States must walk a fine line between
supporting reforms and appearing to force a new government on Iran's
69-million staunchly independent people.
Any change "must be seen as coming from within Iran and shaped by Iranians,"
Milani says.
Most Arab countries are nervous about the growing power of Iran, a non-Arab
nation whose influence now extends through Iraq and clear to the
Mediterranean. Given the problems in Iraq, however, the United States would
have little public support for bombing Iran, a country far larger in size
and with more than twice as as many people.
"I would be concerned about the United States being put in the position of
taking unilateral military action, which others may even secretly want us to
do but where we pay the price," says Jenkins of the Rand Corp. He thinks the
administration should cool its rhetoric: Continuing the war of words only
feeds Iranian nationalism and "plays to a script written in Tehran," he
says.
Amirahmadi of Rutgers also warns against precipitous military action, noting
that in the time it would take to develop a nuclear bomb, Iran will have
held two or three presidential elections.
"There will be another person in charge, and more importantly, by then most
of its first generation of radicals are dead," he says. "But if we continue
the way we are, the next generation will also be radical."
) Copyright, St. Petersburg Times.
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4 [NYTr] US analysts detail war plans against Iran
Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 13:36:09 -0500 (CDT)
Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit
AFP - Apr 16, 2006
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20060416/wl_afp/usirannuclearmilitary_060416083710&printer=1;_ylt=AujaUvmKQ.kJQN2RP9osgECROrgF;_ylu=X3oDMTA3MXN1bHE0BHNlYwN0bWE-
US analysts detail war plans against Iran
WASHINGTON (AFP) - The United States began planning a full-scale military
campaign against Iran that involves missile strikes, a land invasion and a
naval operation to establish control over the Strait of Hormuz even before
the March 2003 invasion of Iraq, a former US intelligence analyst disclosed.
William Arkin, who served as the US Army's top intelligence mind on West
Berlin in the 1970s and accurately predicted US military operations against
Iraq, said the plan is known in military circles as TIRANNT, an acronym for
"Theater Iran Near Term."
It includes a scenario for a land invasion led by the US Marine Corps, a
detailed analysis of the Iranian missile force and a global strike plan
against any Iranian weapons of mass destruction, Arkin wrote in The
Washington Post.
US and British planners have already conducted a Caspian Sea war game as
part of these preparations, the scholar said.
"According to military sources close to the planning process, this task was
given to Army General John Abizaid, now commander of CENTCOM, in 2002,"
Arkin wrote, referring to the Florida-based US Central Command.
But preparations under TIRANNT began in earnest in May 2003 and never
stopped, he said. The plan has since been updated using information
collected in Iraq.
Air Force planners have modeled attacks against Iranian air defenses, while
Navy planners have evaluated coastal targets and drawn up scenarios for
keeping control of the Strait of Hormuz.
A follow-on TIRANNT analysis, which began in October 2003, calculated the
results of different scenarios to provide options to commanders, Arkin
wrote.
The Marines, meanwhile, have come up with their own document called "Concept
of Operations" that explores the possibility of moving forces from ship to
shore without establishing a beachhead first.
"Though the Marine Corps enemy is described only as a deeply religious
revolutionary country named Karona, it is -- with its Revolutionary Guards,
WMD and oil wealth -- unmistakably meant to be Iran," Arkin said.
Various scenarios involving Iran's missile force have also been examined in
another study, initiated in 2004 and known as BMD-I, which is short for
"Ballistic Missile Defense -- Iran", Arkin said.
In June 2004, US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld alerted the US Strategic
Command in Omaha, Nebraska, to be prepared to implement CONPLAN 8022, a
global strike plan that includes Iran, according to the scholar.
"The new task force, sources have told me, mostly worries that if it were
called upon to deliver 'prompt' global strikes against certain targets in
Iran under some emergency circumstances, the president might have to be told
that the only option is a nuclear one," Arkin said.
The US military has been involved in contingency planning against Iran since
at least the presidency of Jimmy Carter, who undertook a failed commando
operation to rescue US hostages in Tehran in 1980.
Following the 1996 bombing of an apartment building used by the US Air Force
in Khobar, Saudi Arabia, which was reportedly traced to Iranian agents, the
administration of then-president Bill Clinton considered a bombing campaign,
according to Richard Clarke and Steven Simon, who held at the time
high-level counterterrorism positions at the National Security Council.
"But after long debate, the highest levels of the military could not
forecast a way in which things would end favorably for the United States,"
the two experts wrote in Sunday's New York Times.
They warned Iran could retaliate against the United States by using its
terrorist networks "that are far superior to anything Al-Qaeda was ever able
to field."
President George W. Bush last week dismissed talk of war planning against
Iran as "wild speculation."
But Dianne Feinstein, a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, warned
this weekend that "there are some in this administration who have been
pushing to make nuclear weapons more 'usable.'
"This is pure folly," the Democratic senator commented in The Los Angeles
Times. "First use of nuclear weapons by the United States should be
unthinkable."
Copyright ) 2006 Agence France Presse.
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5 [NYTr] Moscow to Host Meeting on Iran Nuclear Crisis
Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 18:37:20 -0500 (CDT)
Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit
Prensa Latina, Havana
http://www.plenglish.com
Moscow to Host Meeting on Iran Nuclear Crisis
New York, Apr 16 (Prensa Latina) Representatives from six of the
world4s most powerful countries world will meet in Moscow on Tuesday
to discuss Iran4s atomic energy program after Tehran announced its
scientists had enriched uranium to 3.5 percent to make nuclear fuel.
The Moscow meeting is expected to be attended by virtually the same
officials who met in New York in March 20 and failed to agree on a
long-term strategy to deal with Iran.
The officials include US Under Secretary of State for Political
Affairs Nicholas Burns, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Kislyak
and foreign ministry political directors John Sawers of Britain,
Stanislas de Laboulaye of France, and Michael Schaefer of Germany.
China however said it would be represented by Assistant Foreign
Minister Cui Tiankai, instead of ministry political director Zhang
Yan, who attended the New York meeting last month.
Meanwhile, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad again insisted that
his country's nuclear work was peaceful.
Western diplomats cautioned not to expect a call for immediate
sanctions let alone military action.
Russia and China keep opposing such drastic measures and instead urge
patient diplomacy spearheaded by the International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA).
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stressed that he was convinced
that there can be no resolution of the problem through use of force.
mh/ajs
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6 UN Atomic Agency Chief Calls For Iran To Suspend Uranium Enrichment Activities
Date: Sat, 15 Apr 2006 18:00:49 -0400
X-Online-Freedom: http://www.eff.org, http://www.dearaol.com
UN ATOMIC AGENCY CHIEF CALLS FOR IRAN TO SUSPEND URANIUM ENRICHMENT
ACTIVITIES
New York, Apr 15 2006 6:00PM
Following meetings in Tehran with senior officials, the Director-General
of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has called
on Iran to suspend uranium enrichment activities.
Speaking to the press in Teheran on Thursday, Mohamed ElBaradei emphasized
that Iran needs to take confidence-building measures, including
suspension of uranium enrichment activities and the clarification
of all outstanding issues related to the verification of
its nuclear programme.
He also noted that IAEA safeguards inspectors are continuing verification
activities in Iran.
Mr. ElBaradei met with Gholamreza Aghazadeh, Vice-President of Iran
and Chairman of the country's Atomic Energy Organization and with
Ali Larijani, Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council.
The Director-General is scheduled to report to the Security Council
at the end of April on the Iranian nuclear issue.
An IAEA report was requested by the Security Council on 29 March.
On that occasion, in its first official action after the matter
was referred to it by the Agency, the Council called on Iran to re-establish
full and sustained suspension of all enrichment-related
and reprocessing activities, including research and development.
This action followed Iran's decision to resume its efforts to produce
enriched uranium, a substance that can be used for peaceful
purposes, such as generating energy, or for making nuclear weapons.
The Tehran Government denies claims by the United States and other
countries that it is trying to develop nuclear weapons.
2006-04-15 00:00:00.000
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7 IRNA: US policy on Iran nuclear program untrustworthy
, April 15, IRNA
-
The United States has escalated its political hue and cry and
psychological war against Iran's peaceful nuclear activities.
To Western pundits and reputable foreign media, Washington is
just craving to confront Iran.
Of the world countries, the US and its nuclear ally Israel
claim that Iran's nuclear activities are not trustworthy and
that Tehran is moving in the wrong direction. They have waged a
psychological war to improve their international status.
However Iran's transparent cooperation with the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has caused the world to become
suspicious of the US and Israeli behavior. Even their
traditional allies are now suspicious about these political
moves.
The psychological war against development of weapons of mass
destruction (WMDs) in Iraq was a ploy Washington resorted to and
Israel fully backed. Now the US by making false claims is trying
the same method to confront Iran.
Today the public opinion in different countries particularly in
the US's traditional allies rarely agree with Washington's
policies and the White House performance. The world now knows
very well that the US is not honest about its words and policies
and is just striving to colonize other states and establish its
own version of democracy.
Ted Galen Carpenter, the US vice president for defense and
foreign policy studies at Cato Institute, says Washington is
willing to lead an anti-Iran move but that other countries have
no desire to help it.
He argues that the row between the US and Europe on the
behavior toward Iran is among reasons behind this opposition.
Capenter says the US Administration has little confidence in
its traditional allies and international bodies.
Sam Brown Back, a US Republican Senator, believes military
action against Iran due to the current US position in the "war
against terrorism" is not politically possible.
Under the current circumstances, the US prefers to support a
diplomatic solution, he opines.
In its anti-Iran move, the US has a tough task for finding
allies and stepping up diplomatic pressure on Iran, noted the
Senator justifying that China, Russia, and France have made huge
investments in that country.
Kofi Annan, the UN secretary general, has called on all parties
to refuse to make statements that would mount tensions. He has
also called for a diplomatic solution.
He expressed hope that Iran will return to the negotiating
table and settle the case through talks.
The British news agency Reuters Friday quoted the US State
Department as reporting that the two veto-wielding member states
of the UN Security Council, China and Russia, have strongly
opposed the use of force against Iran.
Other UNSC member states, including Britain, do not agree with
military option, either.
According to the BBC, new diplomatic efforts to settle Iran's
nuclear case have started.
China and Russia with strong trade ties with Iran, are against
the expanded influence of the West, in particular the US, in the
region, said the BBC.
*****************************************************************
8 Guardian Unlimited: Leaders call for calm over Iran's nuclear ambitions
Brian Whitaker and agencies
Monday April 17, 2006
World leaders, as well as Americans close to the Bush
administration, called for calm over Iran's nuclear programme
yesterday amid persistent reports that the US is considering a
military attack.
In his Easter message from the Vatican, Pope Benedict spoke of
"international crises linked to nuclear power" and urged: "May an
honourable solution be found for all parties, through serious and
honest negotiations." UN secretary general Kofi Annan also
cautioned against a rush towards confrontation, saying that
military action against Iran would only worsen an already tense
situation.
"I think the issue is being handled properly by the International
Atomic Energy Agency," Mr Annan said in an interview with Spanish
newspaper ABC. "I still believe that the best solution is a
negotiated one, and I don't see what a military operation would
resolve. I hope that a negotiating spirit prevails and that the
military option is just fruit of speculation."
Perhaps more significantly for the Bush administration, there
were also warnings from several prominent figures in the US.
Republican senator Richard Lugar urged less haste in taking
action against Iran and suggested direct talks between
Washington and Tehran "would be useful". Mr Lugar, who is
chairman of the influential senate foreign relations committee,
told ABC TV there was a need "to make more headway
diplomatically".
Former White House counterterrorism chief Richard Clarke also
joined the fray, arguing armed conflict with Iran could backfire
and prove even more damaging to US interests than the war with
Iraq.
Iran would probably respond with terrorist attacks against the
US and could also hamper American efforts in Iraq, he wrote in
an article for the New York Times, co-authored with Steven
Simon, a former state department official. Far from toppling the
government in Tehran, bombing would also be likely to guarantee
the regime's survival for "decades more".
Although Mr Bush has dismissed reports of war planning as wild
speculation, the article warned: "The parallels to the run-up to
war with Iraq are all too striking: remember that in May 2002
President Bush declared that there was 'no war plan on my desk',
despite having actually spent months working on detailed plans
for the Iraq invasion.
"Congress did not ask the hard questions then. It must not
permit the administration to launch another war whose outcome
cannot be known, or worse, known all too well."
Speculation about a US attack intensified last week when Iran
announced that it had successfully enriched uranium for the
first time using 164 centrifuges, a small but significant step
towards production of material that can be used either for
weapons or generating electricity in a nuclear reactor.
Iran, which insists that its activities are for civilian
purposes only, has rejected a call from the UN security council
to stop enriching uranium by April 28.
Officials from Britain, France, Germany, Russia, the US and
China will be meeting in Moscow tomorrow to review the
situation. "It is part of a regular series of meetings to
discuss the next steps," said a Foreign Office spokeswoman who
declined to elaborate. "These meetings happen all the time and
we can't really give a commentary on each one."
In Tehran talk of strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities has
prompted a rush to volunteer for "martyrdom missions",
particularly against the US and Britain.
"Because of the recent threats we have started to register more
volunteers since Friday," Mohammad Ali Samadi, spokesman for the
Committee for the Commemoration of Martyrs of the Global Islamic
Campaign, told Reuters.
Q
13.04.2006: Iran's nuclear programme
[UP]
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006
*****************************************************************
9 Guardian Unlimited: Iranian: U.S. Waging 'Psychological War'
From the Associated Press
[UP]
Monday April 17, 2006 12:46 AM
AP Photo KUW102
By SAMAR KASSABLI
Associated Press Writer
DAMASCUS, Syria (AP) - Iran's former president accused the
United States Sunday of waging ``a psychological war'' against
Tehran and said an American strike against the Islamic republic
would not be in Washington's interests.
Former Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani, who heads the
Expediency Council, a powerful body that mediates between Iran's
parliament and clerical hierarchy, said Western nations'
attempts to block Iran's nuclear program were ``unjust.''
``Iran's success in uranium enrichment is for the interest of
the region's countries and all Islamic countries,'' Rafsanjani
said. He reiterated the government position that Iran's nuclear
program was not intended to harm any country in the region.
``If the United States launched a military strike against Iran,
that would be neither in its interests nor in the interests of
the entire region,'' Rafsanjani told a joint news conference in
Damascus with Syrian Vice President Farouk al-Sharaa.
He said he believed that the United States was ``incapable of
taking a risk or engaging in a new war in the region without
discussing the subject seriously.''
U.S. media reports have said the Bush administration was
considering a military attack on Iran over its nuclear program,
which Washington claims is designed to produce nuclear weapons.
Iran says it is purely for generating energy.
President Bush has dismissed reports on attack plans as ``wild
speculation.''
On Tuesday, Iran's hard-line president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,
announced that Iran had successfully enriched uranium, which can
be used to fuel nuclear reactors or build atomic bombs. Iran has
rejected a U.N. Security Council demand for it to stop enriching
uranium by April 28.
U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan wants a negotiated solution to
the crisis over Iran's nuclear ambitions, he said in an
interview published Sunday in the ABC newspaper.
Annan told the conservative Madrid daily during a visit last
week to Spain that any military operation against Iran would
worsen a tense international situation.
``I think the issue is being handled properly by the
International Atomic Energy Agency. I still believe that the
best solution is a negotiated one, and I don't see what a
military operation would resolve,'' ABC quoted Annan as saying.
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006
*****************************************************************
10 Observer: Drumbeat of war is drowning out wiser counsels
[UP]
Comment
Hugh Barnes
Sunday April 16, 2006
The neo-con regimes in Washington and Tehran are on collision
course after last week's announcement by Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that his country has 'joined the nuclear
club'.
Being able to enrich uranium to a low level of 3.5 per cent is a
significant breakthrough for the Islamic Republic, but it still
leaves the mullahs a long way from the 93 per cent-plus needed
to make a bomb. In the United States, however, the doom-sayers
and war-mongers - who often overlap - reacted with a hardening
of rhetoric. The fundamentalists on both sides are in danger of
talking themselves into a war.
The rising drumbeat of warrior journalism has almost created the
illusion that a US military attack on Iran is inevitable.
Writing in the New Yorker last week, Seymour Hersh even quoted a
former Pentagon official as saying that defence chiefs have
considered targeting Iran with nuclear weapons to destroy
underground research sites. Few believe the US would be reckless
enough to use such weapons. Not only would it produce large
amounts of radiation, killing thousands of civilians, but after
Iraq the political implications of launching a nuclear attack on
a Muslim country are unthinkable.
Some kind of attack is possible, but it is neither imminent nor
inevitable. In the meantime, the US administration should
reflect on the words of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov,
who warned that any military strike on Iran would spark a
'dangerous explosive blaze' in the Middle East.
US military action would have two aims: first, to damage Iran's
nuclear-related sites and, second, to send a message that
America is willing to take pre-emptive action not only to
prevent WMD proliferation but also to stop Iran supporting
terrorism.
This strategy could well backfire - and not simply because the
UN will almost certainly decline to give it political or moral
legitimacy. Even with conventional weapons, any attack on the
reactor at Bushehr would be catastrophic.
Iran might respond to 'unjustified' US aggression in a number of
other ways that would harm regional peace and security. It
could, for example, seek to prevent the supply of oil through
the Strait of Hormuz, but most worrying of all, Ahmadinejad
could further destabilise the south of Iraq by inciting Shia
militias against coalition troops and the Sunni insurgency. The
likely outcome would be civil war.
Moreover, even a successful US military campaign would set back
Iran's research programme only by five years or so. In the
meantime, the logical step for Iran would be to withdraw from
the Non-Proliferation Treaty and expel UN inspectors altogether.
Some neo-cons in the US believe that a military air assault
would cause the people of Iran to rise up against their leaders.
In fact, every analysis suggests that a threat of military
action would only rally Iranians behind their undemocratic
government.
The strategic thinking of the regime has been quite simple: the
US invaded Iraq because Iraq did not have nuclear weapons; the
US has not invaded North Korea because North Korea has nuclear
weapons.
Instead of launching a premature military adventure, the US
could simply acknowledge that Iran has security concerns -
Pakistan, India and Israel all are nuclear-armed. As a first
step, President Bush should endorse the idea of creating a
regional security organisation in the Middle East, which would
include Iran. It is likely that a more secure Iran would create
better conditions for a pro-Western, peaceful, democratic
movement inside the country. And then the neo-cons in Washington
might even see their dream of regime change in Tehran become a
reality.
· Hugh Barnes is the director of the Foreign Policy Centre's
democracy and conflict programme.
[UP]
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006
*****************************************************************
11 UK: Observer: So how close is a showdown over Iran?
[UP]
News of British involvement in a mock invasion of Iran is just
the latest step in what seems a slow slide to war. Paul Harris
in Washington, Gaby Hinsliff in London and Robert Tait in Tehran
report
Sunday April 16, 2006
It would seem, to Middle Eastern eyes scanning the latest
headlines online yesterday, yet further evidence of secret plans
for the conflict that everyone is now dreading. Britain, it was
suggested, had taken part in an American war game that simulated
an invasion of Iran, in an apparent mockery of both countries'
insistence that they want a diplomatic - not a military -
solution to the Iranian nuclear crisis.
But in the overheated atmosphere of current debate over Iran,
nothing is quite what it seems. The simulated battle, fought in
2004 and codenamed Hotspur, was in fact one of a series of
'paper exercises' that have been conducted every few weeks by
senior military planners on both sides of the Atlantic since the
Sixties to test strategic readiness. Each time, a different
country is invaded.
To save inventing new topography every time, maps of real
countries around the world are used in strict rotation. In July
2004 - before the current president came to power in Tehran - it
happened to be Iran. A few weeks ago, it was Scotland. If Tehran
is panicking as a result of the story, so too should Edinburgh.
For all that, the story on the front page of yesterday's
Guardian is an indication, if not of imminent invasion, of an
intense period of smoke and mirrors both in Washington and
Tehran: of posturing, lobbying and hyperbole that is as much to
do with the domestic politics of the US and Iran, as with the
threat posed by either country.
The war talk comes as a new report will argue this week that
George Bush's war on terror is itself to blame for the nuclear
stand-off over Iran.
The regime in Tehran has concluded, says the Foreign Policy
Centre think-tank, that the US is too bogged down fighting the
insurgency in Iraq to try to stop the Iranians getting the bomb,
making their defiance of the United Nations 'one of the
little-noticed consequences of America's failure in Iraq'.
Controversially, it also argues that Iran 'cannot be entirely
faulted' for seeking nuclear capability when it feels threatened
by US troops in neighbouring countries and saw North Korea, a
nuclear power, left untouched while the relatively undefended
Iraq was invaded.
Which leaves a fundamental question to be answered. Amid the
fanning of the flames by both sides, how real is the prospect of
war?
Reading recent headlines, it would seem very real indeed, as
they have warned of potential nuclear strikes by the US against
Iran's nuclear facilities, floated by the veteran US
investigative reporter Seymour Hersh and described by the
Foreign Office as 'completely nuts'. The reality, however, is
far more complex.
In truth the anonymous and warlike noises emanating from
Washington reflect a debate about possible military action
against Iran that has pitted hawks in the Bush administration -
including such senior neo-conservatives as Vice- President Dick
Cheney and the US Ambassador to the UN John Bolton - against
large segments of the military, intelligence and political
establishment.
In fact the debate in America is not over whether the US can or
should stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, but on how best
to stop them.
At the moment the overwhelming consensus centres on a diplomatic
strategy. Yet it is also certain that military options are being
studied, if only theoretically.
While insisting that the military option will still be
considered, the White House itself has moved sharply to distance
itself from reporting on the issue.
There is no doubt, however, that signs emerging from the
administration are familiar to any of those following events in
the run-up to the invasion of Iraq - not least the building up
of the threat posed by Iran by senior administration officials.
To some, the parallels are convincing enough. 'I would expect an
attack in the next six months,' says Larry Johnson, a former
deputy director in the State Department's counter-terrorism
office. 'This is not just planning for possible military
contingencies. There is real planning under way for carrying out
a military strike against Iran.'
But many point to the huge problems of carrying out any form of
attack - not least that it would fail to destroy much of an
Iranian nuclear research programme buried deep underground. Then
there is the risk to the US military in Iraq after any attack on
Iran. Iran's close links to the majority Shias would likely see
a widespread uprising against the US forces.
Finally, such a move would be unlikely to have any international
support, except possibly from Israel, which is nervous of the
potential consequences from Iran's Hizbollah allies on its
northern border.
Such enormous difficulties - and the belief that the US joint
chiefs of staff are against an attack - could mean that the
public pronouncement and behind-the-scenes leaks and hints are
just part of a complex game designed to convince Iran that the
threat is real enough to dissuade its nuclear ambitions.
Johnson believes that the key task for US intelligence is to
understand the threat of a nuclear Iran. Does Tehran want the
bomb to attack US interests and Israel, or is it for
self-preservation? 'They have learned the lesson of North Korea.
Once you have nuclear weapons, the US sabre-rattling becomes
much less. After all, with North Korea you have a genuine madman
in control of a country with the bomb and yet we don't hear very
much about them at all,' Johnson said.
The real US policy, enunciated by a senior State Department
official close to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, revolves
around a belief that Iran's hardline President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad is weaker than his bellicose attitude might suggest
and is vulnerable to the pressure of international sanctions.
It is the figure of Ahmadinejad who is at the centre of the
conundrum of whether Iran and the US are slipping towards war.
On Friday Ahmadinejad was in Tehran at a conference on
Palestinian aspirations for statehood. Such, however, was the
international outcry surrounding his announcement three days
earlier in the city of Mashhad that Iran had mastered the basics
of uranium enrichment, that this subject seemed to be a mere
sideshow to Iran's intensifying confrontation with the West.
With the President bearing the triumphal tidings in the presence
of the country's atomic energy chief and an assortment of senior
mullahs and military top brass, the outward impression was of a
regime united in the face of intense pressure from the UN
Security Council, which set a 30-day deadline last month for
Iran to suspend its nuclear enrichment activities.
Such unanimity, however, is by many accounts only superficial.
Behind the scenes, a bitter war of words has taken place over
Ahmadinejad's inflammatory rhetoric.
Hashemi Rafsanjani - the influential former president and a
strong advocate of holding official talks with America - is a
particular critic and is said to have denounced the President's
tactics to his face. Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, Ali
Larijani, has also warned about the international effects of the
often-febrile remarks made by Ahmadinejad, who on Friday called
yet again for Israel's destruction. Rafsanjani made his feelings
clear by trumping the President's announcement in an interview
with a Kuwaiti news agency, meaning the news was public hours in
advance.
'There are some Iranian leaders, not least Rafsanjani, who think
we should act more prudently and who don't approve of this
radical trend,' said Dr Sadegh Zibakalam, a politics lecturer at
Tehran University. 'They think we should buy friends in the
international community by saying, for example, that we
understand the anxiety about Iran's nuclear programme, but we
can assure the West that it would in no way be intended to move
towards an atomic weapon and that Iran is quite prepared to
compromise.'
The deep divisions over tone are matched by differences over
substance. Some analysts speculate that last week's announcement
- having been sold as a historic national achievement - could
presage a climbdown that would involve a return to negotiations.
'The main point for Iran throughout has been that voluntary
suspension of nuclear activities could deprive it of the
opportunity to complete the fuel cycle forever,' one analyst
said. 'The West, especially the US, is pressing for a revision
to the additional protocol of the NPT [nuclear non-proliferation
treaty] that would bar non-fuel-producing countries from
pursuing their own cycle. In that context, last week's move can
be interpreted as a sign of Iran's willingness to compromise.
Even those pushing for a tougher Iranian line agree that we
could take several steps ahead before retreating, because then
we would have something in our hands to bargain with.'
Zibakalam dismisses this as 'wishful thinking' and says Iran's
leaders are determined to push ahead. They may, he says,
eventually settle for a deal in which they agree to suspend
industrial enrichment of uranium for two to five years while
continuing laboratory work under international supervision.
If that is unacceptable to the West, then Iran is facing, at the
very least, economic sanctions. Whether ordinary Iranians will
take heed is far from certain.
'We have needs other than the nuclear programme from a President
who gave many promises to the young people,' said Ali Reza
Ghamsari, 36, an official in a shipbuilding company. 'They need
jobs and security. It's better for Iran to negotiate and
co-ordinate its actions with the international community. I
think the majority of the nation asks for such a thing.
Otherwise, there is a high probability of sanctions and the
President won't be able to deliver his promises.'
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006
*****************************************************************
12 IRNA: African states happy with Iran's joining nuclear world - FM
Tehran, April 15, IRNA
Africa-Iran-Nuclear
Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said here Saturday that
African states were satisfied with Iran's joining the world
nuclear countries.
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on April 11 said that Iran has
joined the world's nuclear countries, adding that Iran has
completed production of nuclear fuel at laboratory scale and
produced enriched uranium with the purity needed for a nuclear
power station on April 9, this year.
Mottaki, who was on a tour to the eastern African countries,
made the remark while talking to reporters at Mehrabad
International Airport upon his return home.
"Visits to Uganda, Zimbabwe and Brazzaville Congo were
successful.
It was the first tour to the African states. It was a good
opportunity to discuss potentials of African countries," he said.
"The sides have not used their utmost potentials yet," Mottaki
said expressing the hope the visit would bear fruits in this
regard.
"We should reconsider our capacities and potentials in African
states since Iran enjoys a special position in the African
continent," the Iranian foreign minister noted.
In Brazzaville Congo, which is a non-permanent member of the UN
Security Council and rotatory chairman of the African Union, the
sides stressed the importance of expanding bilateral cooperation
in all fields."
He assessed as good his talks with Zimbabwean President Robert
Mugabe, saying implementation of joint projects were among
issues discussed in the meeting.
There are good opportunities for Iranian companies and private
sector in Zimbabwe to implement certain agricultural projects,
Mottaki added.
He further stated the two sides also exchanged views on Iraq,
Palestine and regional countries.
*****************************************************************
13 USNews.com: Washington Whispers
By Kevin Whitelaw
4/24/06
Iranian Nukes? Hey, What's the Rush?
The main lesson that the Senate Intelligence Committee drew from
the run-up to the Iraq war was that Washington needs intense
scrutiny of intelligence on weapons of mass destruction. So with
all the buzz about nukes in Iran, it would be safe to assume
that the committee is deep into an inquiry, right? Well, not
quite. Kansas Republican Sen. Pat Roberts, the committee chair,
warns that "we have not made the progress on our oversight of
Iran intelligence, which is critical."
The panel has done only piecemeal scrutiny of the spy agencies'
work on Iran.
"There is no organized committee staff effort to look at Iran
right now," says majority staff director Bill Duhnke.
"It's all sort of on hold."
Roberts blames it on Democrats who are "more focused on
intelligence failures of the past."
Committee staffers who would conduct the Iran inquiry are instead
tied up with the long-awaited second phase of the panel's review
of prewar intelligence on Iraq (which covers how the Bush
administration used the intelligence).
Democrats say Roberts is stalling on Phase 2. "If the committee
has not conducted a review of Iran intelligence, it's not because
of a lack of resources," says Wendy Morigi, spokeswoman for Sen.
Jay Rockefeller, the committee's ranking Democrat.
Roberts says he is pushing hard to complete the Iraq inquiry,
which could take several more months. Then, the committee can
focus more on Iran. Perhaps Tehran will be kind enough to wait
for them.
Copyright © 2006 U.S.News & World Report, L.P. All
*****************************************************************
14 BBC: Pope calls for end to Iran crisis
Last Updated: Sunday, 16 April 2006
[Pope Benedict XVI ]
The Pope marks Easter Sunday on his 79th birthday
Pope Benedict XVI has called for a negotiated solution to the
Iran nuclear crisis, in his traditional Easter message in St
Peter's Square in Rome.
"May an honourable solution be found for all parties, through
honest and serious negotiations," he said.
He also affirmed Israel's "just right to exist in peace" while
calling on the international community to help the Palestinians
move towards statehood.
It is Pope Benedict XVI's first Easter as pontiff.
His Easter message - "Urbi et Orbi" - was broadcast live on
television to more than 50 countries, while about 100,000 people
gathered in the square.
'Peaceful co-existence'
Speaking on Iraq, the Pope called for peace to "finally prevail
over the tragic violence that continues mercilessly to claim
victims".
[Way of Cross procession at the Coliseum i Rome] In pictures:
Easter Sunday
He also prayed that those "caught up in the conflict in the Holy
Land may find peace, and I invite all to patient and persevering
dialogue, so as to remove both ancient and new obstacles".
In an apparent allusion to Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad's recent threats against Israel, Pope Benedict
defended Israel's right to exist.
But he said it was also important for the Palestinian people to
have a "state that is truly their own".
The pontiff also prayed that leaders and international
organisations would strengthen their will to "achieve peaceful
co-existence among different races, cultures and religions".
Addressing the humanitarian crisis in Sudan's Darfur region, the
Pope prayed for the spirit of Christ to bring relief to people
who were "living in a dramatic humanitarian situation that is no
longer sustainable".
Better living conditions were also needed for millions of people
in Latin America, he said.
Cheers went up among the crowd when the Pope prayed for
"harmony" in Italy, an allusion to disputes over the outcome of
the recent general election.
Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has refused to concede defeat
to opposition leader Romano Prodi, who was declared the
provisional winner on Tuesday.
The pope prayed Italian leaders would be strengthened in a "keen
desire to reach the objectives of harmony and authentic
development, for the good of all".
*****************************************************************
15 IRNA: Iran's uranium enrichment a great work: Pak cleric
Islamabad, April 15, IRNA
Pakistan-Iran-Uranium
A Pakistani cleric on Saturday hailed the Iranian government for
enrichment of uranium and described it as a great work.
In an interview with IRNA in Peshawar, Maulana Yaqub Al-Qasimi
appreciated Iran for achieving a breakthrough on the uranium
enrichment.
The leader of United Movement said that while respecting the
international laws, Iran has enriched uranium for peaceful use
of nuclear technology.
In this connection, Al-Qasmi, who is prayers leader at Jamaia
Mosque, Peshawar, said that Iran had made a commitment to the
world community that its nuclear program was for peaceful use of
nuclear energy.
He stressed that according to the UN charter and the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) laws, all countries
enjoy equal right for making peaceful use of nuclear technology.
During their meetings with senior US officials, President
General Pervez Musharraf and Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz called
for peaceful solution to Iran's nuclear case. Any other way to
address the issue would yield serious repercussions not only for
Pakistan but for all regional countries, they maintained.
*****************************************************************
16 IRNA: FM says nuclear case a national
Tehran, April 16, IRNA
Palestine Conference-Meet
Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said here Saturday the
nuclear energy issue has become a matter of national concern for
Iran.
Mottaki made the remarks during a meeting with the president of
the Malaysian Senate, Abdul Hamid Pawanteh, on the sidelines of
the Third International Conference on Qods and Support for the
Rights of the Palestinian People which kicked off here Friday
afternoon.
"Iran intends to resolve the nuclear standoff through diplomacy
and in line with its ongoing cooperation with the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
"The United States should acknowledge the fact that it is no
longer in a position to cause a crisis in the region," the
minister said.
He, moreover, said that pressures currently imposed on Iran
were meant to force it to abandon its rights.
"But if we retreat from our rights today pressures will be
imposed on other countries of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM)
tomorrow," he pointed out.
He said rights and obligations are the two important aspects of
international conventions and treaties, and argued that "just as
we have commitments we should also be able to enjoy our rights."
Some three years ago the US attacked Iraq and declared war over
after three months, he noted, but that the occupation continues
because "after three years, Washington is still unable to solve
the Iraqi problem and has even called for help."
Likewise, he added, "it (US) attacked Afghanistan to establish
stability in the country but after four years even UN Secretary-
General Kofi Annan has acknowledged that insecurity is still the
main problem in Afghanistan."
Moreover, Mottaki stressed the importance of promoting the
concept of an `Asian parliament' as distinguished from the
"European Parliament'.
Pointing to what he described as the "very good relations"
between Tehran and Kuala Lumpur particularly in the
parliamentary field, the minister called on the two sides to
exploit their potentials to further expand their technological
and industrial cooperation.
Pawanteh, who praised Iran's important position in the Islamic
world, said Iran and Asia have never enjoyed such influential
ties as they do now.
Referring to Iran's nuclear case, he said technology and
knowhow are God-given assets for human beings and cannot be
monopolized by certain states or persons.
The Malaysian speaker, who noted that oil resources were not
unlimited, called for the use of other sources of energy.
He said nuclear energy was a matter of countries' survival, and
therefore technology should be availed of to ensure their
survival.
*****************************************************************
17 IRNA: FM stresses diplomatic solution to Iran's nuclear case
Tehran, April 16, IRNA
Palestine-Conference-Nuclear
Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki here Saturday said that
Iran's nuclear case ought to be settled through diplomatic
channels.
Mottaki made the remarks while meeting with Parliament deputies
and members of the Foreign Policy Commission of Mexico on the
sidelines of the Third International Conference on Qods and
Support for the Rights of the Palestinian People, which is due
to conclude later today.
"The language of threat is not appropriate for resolving
international issues. Access to peaceful nuclear energy is our
right.
Through hard work, Iran has joined the world's nuclear club,"
he pointed out.
He reiterated that Iran "has always been committed to the
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and should enjoy its rights"
under this document.
On the other hand, "certain countries which have nuclear
weapons and which are not committed to the NPT are trying to
block Iran's access to peaceful nuclear energy," he added.
Mottaki declared that nuclear energy is a national demand and
that no one can deprive Iran of this right.
He expressed hope Iran and Mexico can use their potentials to
further boost their "good relations."
Pointing to Iran's historical and geo-political importance in
the Middle East region, the minister said US policies on the
region have been faulty.
"These policies have not led to establishment of peace and
security in the region but, on the other hand, increased war and
insecurity."
On the Palestinian issue, he reminded the international
community and "peace and stability should be fair and
sustainable" in order to be enduring.
"Europe and the US are faced with a political paradox since
they claim to be advocates of democracy but refuse to accept the
results of the recent parliamentary elections in Palestine,"
adding "this showed they are pursuing double-standard policies."
The Mexican side expressed support for Iran's right to have
access to peaceful nuclear technology.
The commission members pointed to Iran's important position in
the region and praised the country's vigorous support for the
Palestinian people.
*****************************************************************
18 AFP: Iran issues stark military warning to United States
Sat Apr 15, 4:51 AM ET
TEHRAN (AFP) - Iran" /> Iransaid it could defeat any American
military action over its controversial nuclear drive, in one of
the Islamic regime's boldest challenges yet to the United
States.
"You can start a war but it won't be you who finishes it," said
General Yahya Rahim Safavi, the head of the Revolutionary Guards
and among the regime's most powerful figures.
"The Americans know better than anyone that their troops in the
region and in Iraq" /> Iraqare vulnerable. I would advise them
not to commit such a strategic error," he told reporters on the
sidelines of a pro-Palestinian conference in Tehran.
The United States accuses Iran of using an atomic energy drive
as a mask for weapons development. Last weekend US news reports
said President George W. Bush" /> President George W. Bush's
administration was refining plans for preventive strikes on
Iran's nuclear facilities.
"I would advise them to first get out of their quagmire in Iraq
before getting into an even bigger one," General Safavi said
with a grin.
"We have American forces in the region under total surveillance.
For the past two years, we have been ready for any scenario,
whether sanctions or an attack."
Iran announced this week it had successfully enriched uranium to
make nuclear fuel, despite a UN Security Council demand for the
sensitive work to be halted by April 28.
The Islamic regime says it only wants to generate atomic energy,
but enrichment can be extended to make the fissile core of a
nuclear warhead -- something the United States is convinced that
"axis of evil" member Iran wants to acquire.
At a Friday prayer sermon in Tehran, senior cleric Ayatollah
Ahmad Janati simply branded the US as a "decaying power" lacking
the "stamina" to block Iran's ambitions.
And hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told AFP that a US
push for tough United Nations" /> United Nationssanctions was of
"no importance."
"She is free to say whatever she wants," the president replied
when asked to respond to comments by US Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice" /> Condoleezza Ricehighlighting part of the UN
charter that provides for sanctions backed up by the threat of
military action.
"We give no importance to her comments," he said with a broad
smile.
On Thursday, Rice said that faced with Iran's intransigence, the
United States "will look at the full range of options available
to the United Nations."
"There is no doubt that Iran continues to defy the will of the
international community," Rice said, after Iran also dismissed a
personal appeal from the UN atomic watchdog chief Mohamed
ElBaradei.
The International Atomic Energy Agency" /> International Atomic
Energy Agency(IAEA) chief must give a report at the end of April
on Iranian compliance with the Security Council demand. In
Tehran he said that after three years of investigations Iran's
activities were "still hazy and not very clear."
Although the United States has been prodding the council to take
a tough stand against the Islamic republic, including possible
sanctions, it has run into opposition from veto-wielding members
Russia and China.
Representatives of the five permanent members of the Security
Council plus Germany are to meet in Moscow Tuesday to discuss
the crisis.
In seeking to deter international action, Iran has been playing
up its oil wealth, its military might in strategic Gulf waters
and its influence across the region -- such as in Iraq, Lebanon
and the Palestinian territories.
At the Tehran conference, Iran continued to thumb its nose at
the United States and Israel" /> Israel.
"The Zionist regime is an injustice and by its very nature a
permanent threat," Ahmadinejad told the gathering of regime
officials, visiting Palestinian militant leaders and foreign
sympathizers.
"Whether you like it or not, the Zionist regime is on the road
to being eliminated," said Ahmadinejad, whose regime does not
recognise Israel and who drew international condemnation last
year when he said Israel should be "wiped off the map."
Unfazed by his critics, the hardliner went on to repeat his
controversial stance on the Holocaust.
"If there is serious doubt over the Holocaust, there is no doubt
over the catastrophe and Holocaust being faced by the
Palestinians," said the president, who had previously dismissed
as a "myth" the killing of an estimated six million Jews by the
Nazis and their allies during World War II.
"I tell the governments who support Zionism to ... let the
migrants (Jews) return to their countries of origin. If you
think you owe them something, give them some of your land," he
said.
Iran's turbaned supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, also
accused the United States of seeking to place the entire region
under Israeli control.
"The plots by the American government against Iran, Iraq, Syria"
/> Syriaand Lebanon aimed at governing the Middle East with the
control of the Zionist regime will not succeed," Khamenei said.
There was no immediate reaction from Washington, but French
Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy severely condemned
Ahmadinejad for his latest remarks on Israel.
"As I have had occasion to do before, when the Iranian president
made similar statements, I condemn these inacceptable remarks in
the strongest possible terms," Douste-Blazy said in a statement.
"Israel's right to exist and the reality of the Holocaust should
not be disputed," he added.
Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The
*****************************************************************
19 AFP: Chinese official hold nuclear talks with Iran
Sun Apr 16, 5:29 AM ET
TEHRAN (AFP) - A senior Chinese diplomat has held talks with
Iran" /> 's top national security official, Iranian television
has reported, amid mounting international tensions over the
Islamic republic's nuclear drive.
The report said China's assistant foreign minister, Cui Tiankai,
met with Iran's Supreme National Security Council chief Ali
Larijani as well as nuclear negotiator Javad Vaidi.
No further details on the talks were given.
The visit comes in the wake of Iran's announcement that it had
successfully enriched uranium to the level needed to make
reactor fuel.
Uranium enrichment can be extended to make weapons, and the UN
Security Council -- on which China has a permanent seat -- has
given Iran's hardline leadership until April 28 to freeze the
sensitive fuel cycle work.
"We are concerned about the announcement and are also worried
about the possible development of the situation," Chinese
Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Jianchao said in Beijing on
Thursday.
China had also announced that the political directors of the
five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany
would meet Tuesday in Moscow to discuss the Iranian issue.
Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The
*****************************************************************
20 IRNA: Pak, Saudi leaders express opposition to use of force against Iran -
Islamabad, April 16, IRNA
Pakistan-S Arabia-Iran
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have come up with the unanimous view
that the Iran nuclear issue should be resolved peacefully, local
media reports said on Sunday.
President Musharraf and visiting Saudi Crown Prince Sultan Bin
Abdul Aziz Al-Saud, in talks Sunday night, exchanged views on
regional and international issues of common concern, including
the situation in Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine, Kashmir dispute,
Iran nuclear issue and OIC reforms.
The Saudi crown prince arrived in Islamabad on Saturday for a
two-day state visit.
Prince Saud is scheduled to hold talks with Pakistani Prime
Minister Shaukat Aziz later today.
In the meeting Saturday night, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia
decided to give a new look to the 57-member Organization of the
Islamic Conference (OIC) in a way that would encourage member
countries to work together for the socio-economic uplift of the
Muslim ummah.
President Musharraf and Saudi Crown Prince Sultan Bin Abdul
Aziz Al-Saud also stressed the need for enhancing intra-OIC
trade and cooperation in science and technology.
Cooperation in the trade, economic and defence fields were the
main focus of attention between the two leaders.
The leadership of both the countries also discussed anti-terror
measures and pledged to work with the international community to
put an end to the menace.
They vowed to put in extra efforts to solve political disputes
affecting Muslims and promote inter-faith harmony in the
interest of establishing peace, development and security all
over the world.
Regarding the situation in the Middle East, the two leaders
were of the view that it was incumbent on the international
community to accept Hamas as the democratically elected
government in the Occupied Territories.
President Musharraf also apprised the visiting Saudi leader on
Pakistan-India relations and efforts to achieve an early
resolution of the Kashmir dispute including their
confidence-building measures, people-to-people contacts and
revival of transportation links.
A large delegation comprising cabinet ministers and investors
are accompanying the Saudi crown prince, who is also the deputy
premier, minister for defence and aviation as well as
inspector-general of Saudi Arabia.
Identifying energy, refinery and infrastructure and food
processing as some of the most potential areas for Saudi
investment in Pakistan, the president said Islamabad would
facilitate investment by Saudi entrepreneurs in Pakistan.
*****************************************************************
21 AFP: Iran says US in no position to attack
Sun Apr 16, 6:47 AM ET
TEHRAN (AFP) - Iran" /> Iranappears convinced it can deter or
even win a military confrontation with the United States, with
the Islamic regime buoyed by high oil prices, support from
militants across the region and American woes in Iraq" /> Iraq.
The regime gave fresh signals on Sunday that it was in no mood
for a compromise over its disputed nuclear programme, with
officials openly flouting a UN Security Council demand for a
freeze in uranium enrichment by April 28.
"We are trying to find a diplomatic solution for our (nuclear)
problem, and the United States should be aware that it is not in
a position to create another crisis in the region," Foreign
Minister Manouchehr Mottaki told the official news agency IRNA.
"More than three years have passed since the United States
invaded Iraq and after all these years they are now asking for
help," he said, referring to Washington's request for talks with
Tehran on the insurgency.
The crisis over Iran's nuclear ambitions has worsened over the
past week following the regime's announcement that its
scientists managed to enrich uranium to the level needed to make
reactor fuel.
Iran insists its programme is strictly peaceful, but enrichment
technology can also be extended to make atomic weapons -- hence
the UN demand for a moratorium while an International Atomic
Energy Agency" /> International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA) probe
continues.
The United States is now pushing for tough UN action against
Iran, with several US press reports also saying that military
options to deal with the oil-rich regime were being looked into.
"You can start a war but it won't be you who finishes it,"
General Yahya Rahim Safavi, the head of the Revolutionary Guards
and among the regime's most powerful figures, said on Friday in
one of Iran's boldest statements yet.
In a direct threat, he also pointed out that US troops in Iraq
and the region were "vulnerable" -- while other regime figures
stepped up their vitriolic anti-Western rhetoric.
"The Zionist regime is an injustice and by its very nature a
permanent threat," firebrand President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told
a pro-Palestinian conference on Friday, also voicing "serious
doubts" over the Holocaust and predicting the "elimination" of
the Jewish state.
Palestinian militant leaders, in Tehran to attend the
conference, have also rallied behind Tehran -- strengthening
Iran's hand in the stand-off.
Hamas supremo Khaled Meshaal vowed the new Palestinian
government will not recognise Israel" /> Israelregardless of
mounting international pressure on the militant group to do so
-- sticking with the tough position supported by Iran.
Islamic Jihad chief Abdullah Ramadan Shala also joined Hamas by
vowing his Palestinian militant group would stand by Iran in the
event of any military action by the United States or Israel.
"Any threat to the Islamic republic is a threat to the
Palestinians, and Iran will not be alone in facing these
threats. And any aggression against Iran is an aggression
against the Palestinians," he said.
IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei was in Tehran on Thursday to push
for a suspension -- but sent home empty-handed -- while a senior
Chinese diplomat has also held talks with top national security
officials in Tehran.
State television reported Sunday that China's assistant foreign
minister, Cui Tiankai, met Iran's Supreme National Security
Council chief Ali Larijani as well as nuclear negotiator Javad
Vaidi.
China had also announced that representatives of the five
permanent members of the Security Council plus Germany would
meet Tuesday in Moscow to discuss the Iranian issue.
But Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, Aliasghar Soltanieh,
signalled no concessions were on the horizon.
"The IAEA secretary and inspectors get into too many details,"
he complained in an interview with state television. "The
information and the issues brought up during inspections make
trouble."
"The agency has to be cautious now that such claims (of secret
nuclear weapons work) have proved unfounded," he said, telleing
the IAEA "not to request inspections" of sensitive military
sites.
Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The
*****************************************************************
22 IRNA: Haddad-Adel condemns foreign intervention in regional states -
Tehran, April 15, IRNA
Palestine-Conference-Syria
Majlis Speaker Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel here Saturday condemned
any foreign intervention in domestic affairs of regional states
including Syria.
Haddad-Adel made the remark in a meeting with the visiting
speaker of Syrian People's Assembly, Mahmoud al-Abrash, on the
second day of the Third International Conference on Qods and
Support for the Rights of Palestinian People.
In the meeting, the Iranian speaker praised the growing trend
of bilateral relations between Tehran and Damascus and stressed
the importance of further promotion of ties.
He called for boosting political, economic and cultural
exchanges between the two countries.
He praised the initiative of Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih
Berri in bringing together Lebanese groups to forge
understanding.
Haddad-Adel said Iran would continue its principled policies at
regional and international levels, adding, "Despite the existing
concerns over developments in Iraq and Palestine, we are
witnessing more stability and bigger role played by the people
in these two countries in determining their fate."
He expressed satisfaction over the successful outcomes of
al-Aqsa Intifada and resistance of the Palestinian people in
forcing Zionist regime to withdraw.
The speaker also welcomed Hamas victory in recent parliamentary
election in Palestine, saying, "The Islamic world will come
closer to its real status through continuation of the
Palestinians' resistance and more support by Islamic states."
Briefing his Syrian counterpart on developments in Iran's
nuclear case, he said, "We expect our friends and neighbors not
to pay heed to the insinuations of the US and the West and
regard Iran's peaceful nuclear activities as a step towards
independence of the region from foreigners."
Al-Abrash, for his part, welcomed holding Tehran conference on
Palestine and said speeches by the Supreme Leader of the Islamic
Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khomeini and President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad echoed the viewpoints of the world Muslims.
Turning to the conspiracies hatched by certain Western
countries against Muslim states particularly Iran and Syria, he
quoted the statements of the late Founder of the Islamic
Republic Imam Khomeini as saying the West cannot do a damn
thing.
The Syrian speaker said Iran's nuclear success is an
achievement for the entire region and felicitated the Iranian
government and nation.
The international conference kicked off in Tehran Friday
afternoon with a key note speech by the Supreme Leader of the
Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei.
*****************************************************************
23 AFP: US analysts detail war plans against Iran
Sun Apr 16, 6:12 AM ET
WASHINGTON (AFP) - The United States began planning a full-scale
military campaign against Iran" /> Iranthat involves missile
strikes, a land invasion and a naval operation to establish
control over the Strait of Hormuz even before the March 2003
invasion of Iraq" /> Iraq, a former US intelligence analyst
disclosed.
William Arkin, who served as the US Army's top intelligence mind
on West Berlin in the 1970s and accurately predicted US military
operations against Iraq, said the plan is known in military
circles as TIRANNT, an acronym for "Theater Iran Near Term."
It includes a scenario for a land invasion led by the US Marine
Corps, a detailed analysis of the Iranian missile force and a
global strike plan against any Iranian weapons of mass
destruction, Arkin wrote in The Washington Post.
US and British planners have already conducted a Caspian Sea war
game as part of these preparations, the scholar said.
"According to military sources close to the planning process,
this task was given to Army General John Abizaid, now commander
of CENTCOM, in 2002," Arkin wrote, referring to the
Florida-based US Central Command.
But preparations under TIRANNT began in earnest in May 2003 and
never stopped, he said. The plan has since been updated using
information collected in Iraq.
Air Force planners have modeled attacks against Iranian air
defenses, while Navy planners have evaluated coastal targets and
drawn up scenarios for keeping control of the Strait of Hormuz.
A follow-on TIRANNT analysis, which began in October 2003,
calculated the results of different scenarios to provide options
to commanders, Arkin wrote.
The Marines, meanwhile, have come up with their own document
called "Concept of Operations" that explores the possibility of
moving forces from ship to shore without establishing a
beachhead first.
"Though the Marine Corps enemy is described only as a deeply
religious revolutionary country named Karona, it is -- with its
Revolutionary Guards, WMD and oil wealth -- unmistakably meant
to be Iran," Arkin said.
Various scenarios involving Iran's missile force have also been
examined in another study, initiated in 2004 and known as BMD-I,
which is short for "Ballistic Missile Defense -- Iran", Arkin
said.
In June 2004, US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld alerted the
US Strategic Command in Omaha, Nebraska, to be prepared to
implement CONPLAN 8022, a global strike plan that includes Iran,
according to the scholar.
"The new task force, sources have told me, mostly worries that
if it were called upon to deliver 'prompt' global strikes
against certain targets in Iran under some emergency
circumstances, the president might have to be told that the only
option is a nuclear one," Arkin said.
The US military has been involved in contingency planning
against Iran since at least the presidency of Jimmy Carter, who
undertook a failed commando operation to rescue US hostages in
Tehran in 1980.
Following the 1996 bombing of an apartment building used by the
US Air Force in Khobar, Saudi Arabia, which was reportedly
traced to Iranian agents, the administration of then-president
Bill Clinton" /> Bill Clintonconsidered a bombing campaign,
according to Richard Clarke and Steven Simon, who held at the
time high-level counterterrorism positions at the National
Security Council.
"But after long debate, the highest levels of the military could
not forecast a way in which things would end favorably for the
United States," the two experts wrote in Sunday's New York
Times.
They warned Iran could retaliate against the United States by
using its terrorist networks "that are far superior to anything
Al-Qaeda was ever able to field."
President George W. Bush" /> President George W. Bushlast week
dismissed talk of war planning against Iran as "wild
speculation."
But Dianne Feinstein, a member of the Senate Intelligence
Committee, warned this weekend that "there are some in this
administration who have been pushing to make nuclear weapons
more 'usable.'
"This is pure folly," the Democratic senator commented in The
Los Angeles Times. "First use of nuclear weapons by the United
States should be unthinkable."
Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The
*****************************************************************
24 AFP: Six major powers to meet in Moscow on Iran nuclear crisis -
Sunday April 16, 12:41 PM
UNITED NATIONS (AFP) - Six major powers will meet in Moscow on
Tuesday to take stock after Iran announced its scientists had
enriched uranium to make nuclear fuel, in open defiance of a UN
demand for a freeze of such sensitive work.
The United States says possible punitive measures such as the
freezing of assets and travel restrictions on Iranian
representatives will be on the agenda though China and Russia
have been reluctant to back sanctions against Tehran.
The high-level gathering, on the sidelines of a meeting of
foreign ministry political directors of the Group of Eight (G8)
powers, was to bring together top officials from Britain, China,
France, Russia and the United States -- the five permanent
members of the UN Security Council -- plus Germany.
It will come 10 days before the expiry of a 30-day deadline
unanimously set by the council for Iran to comply with
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) demands for a
enrichment freeze to allay suspicions it is seeking nuclear
weapons capability.
But Tuesday, Iran revealed that its scientists had enriched
uranium to 3.5 percent, the purity required for civilian reactor
fuel, and vowed to move quickly to industrial-scale enrichment,
which could be used to make the fissile core of an atomic bomb.
The news drew worldwide condemnation but Iranian leaders
defiantly told visiting IAEA head Mohamed ElBaradei in Tehran
Wednesday that they would not back down. Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad again insisted that his country's nuclear
work was peaceful.
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice Thursday demanded tough
action by the 15-member Security Council, which is awaiting an
assessment report from ElBaradei, and said Washington "will look
at the full range of options available to the United Nations".
Rice raised the prospect of invoking chapter seven of the UN
Charter which can authorize sanctions or even the use of force
in case of a threat to international peace and security or an
act of aggression.
The State Department said there were several possible options to
punish Iran if it failed to heed the UN Security Council.
"Those would include asset freezes...(and) would potentially
include restrictions on the ability of some members of that
regime to travel," State Department spokesman Sean McCormack
said.
But Western diplomats here cautioned not to expect a call for
immediate sanctions let alone military action.
Russia and China, which have significant economic interests in
Iran, oppose such drastic measures and instead urge patient
diplomacy spearheaded by the IAEA.
Western countries, however, are hoping that Tehran's
intransigence will persuade Moscow and Beijing to back a chapter
seven resolution that would aim to make mandatory the demands
outlined in the March 29 non-binding council statement.
"There would then be a legal obligation for Iran to comply (with
the IAEA demands)," said a diplomat, speaking on condition of
anonymity.
US Ambassador John Bolton told reporters this week that he was
gratified by Russia's reaction to Tehran's enrichment
announcement.
"We believe this is a step in the wrong direction," Russian
foreign ministry spokesman Mikhail Kamynin said Wednesday.
Diplomats said that sanctions envisaged would be calibrated so
as not to hurt the Iranian people, with the pressure on Tehran
ratcheted up gradually.
But Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stressed that he was
convinced that "there can be no resolution of the problem
through use of force."
In Tehran, recent US news reports that Washington was refining
plans for pre-emptive strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities
prompted a warning from the regime that military action would
represent "a strategic error."
"The Americans know better than anyone that their troops in the
region and in Iraq are vulnerable," said General Yahya Rahim
Safavi, the head of the Revolutionary Guards and among the
Iranian regime's most powerful figures. "I would advise them not
to commit such a strategic error."
US President George W. Bush has dismissed reports of pre-emptive
strikes as "wild speculation" although US officials insist that
all options remain on the table to prevent Iran from acquiring
nuclear weapons.
The Moscow meeting is expected to be attended by virtually the
same officials who met here March 20 and failed to agree on a
long-term strategy to deal with Iran.
They include US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
Nicholas Burns, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Kislyak
and foreign ministry political directors John Sawers of Britain,
Stanislas de Laboulaye of France, and Michael Schaefer of
Germany.
China however said it would represented by Assistant Foreign
Minister Cui Tiankai, instead of ministry political director
Zhang Yan, who attended the New York meeting last month.
Copyright © 2006 AFP. All rights reserved. All information
*****************************************************************
25 Xinhua: U.S. plans to design new nuclear warheads: report
www.xinhuanet.com
www.chinaview.cn 2006-04-15 22:46:09
WASHINGTON, April 15 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. government plans,
by the end of the year, to select the design of a new generation
of nuclear warheads that would be more dependable and possibly
able to be disarmed in the event they fell into terrorist hands,
The Washington Post reported Saturday.
The new warheads would be based on nuclear technology that
has already been tested, which means they could be produced more
than a decade from now to gradually replace at lower numbers the
existing U.S. stockpile of about 6,000 warheads without
additional underground testing, Linton F. Brooks, administrator
of the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), and
other government officials were quoted as saying.
The NNSA oversees the U.S. nuclear weapons complex.
The warhead redesign is part of a larger, multibillion-U.S.
dollar program to refurbish the nation's nuclear-weapons
stockpile and to consolidate nuclear plants and facilities in
nearly a dozen states, the report said.
The next-generation warheads will be larger and more stable
than the existing ones but slightly less powerful, and might
contain "use controls" that would enable the military to disable
the weapons by remote control if they are stolen by terrorists,
according to the report.
The NNSA will choose between two competing designs submitted
by teams at the Los Alamos and Lawrence Livermore national
laboratories by November, Brooks said in an interview with the
Post.
The Reliable Replacement Warhead Program was first proposed
two years ago, and has been adopted as part of a major
restructuring of the U.S. nuclear weapons complex being proposed
by the Bush administration in light of the findings of its 2002
Nuclear Posture Review.
But this is just the beginning of a decades-long process of
replacing the stockpile with smaller warheads. Even if the
government meets its year-end deadline for choosing a feasible
design for engineering development and production, Congress will
still have to debate and approve the choice. After that, it will
probably take almost 10 more years before the first new warheads
appear, the report said. Enditem
Editor: Luan Shanglin
Copyright ©2003 Xinhua News Agency. All rights reserved.
*****************************************************************
26 Zee News: India-US deal will destroy nuclear research
Alternative & Independent Source of Indian Subcontinent News
By P.K. Iyengar and M. Gupta
The initial impression of the July 18 Joint Statement as an
outline of the nuclear deal Prime Minister Manmohan Singh signed
with President George W. Bush was that it may herald a new
chapter in India-US scientific cooperation.
But the PM’s suo motu statement in Parliament of March 7, 2006
and the recent release of the “Separation Plan,” disabused the
scientific community of any such hope.
Particularly surprising was the Indian government agreeing to
put research facilities like the Tata Institute of Fundamental
Research (TIFR); Variable Energy Cyclotron Centre (VECC), Saha
Institute of Nuclear Physics (SINP), Institute for Plasma
Research, Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of
Physics, Tata Memorial Centre, Board of Radiation and Isotope
Technology, and Harish Chandra Research Institute, which are
legitimately safeguards-irrelevant, under International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards.
This is especially disturbing since the Prime Minister owned up
to the fact that India had surrendered the right to decide for
itself which facilities will come under IAEA safeguards.
Moreover, since the Manmohan Singh government has virtually
accepted a non-nuclear weapons State status for the country in
the Non-Proliferation Treaty regime, negotiating India-specific
safeguards and Additional Protocol with the IAEA, will be
worrisome. It is well known that the Additional Protocol has
evolved in recent years specifically to deal with “rogue States”
attempting to acquire sensitive technology clandestinely.
The problem has clearly arisen due to artificially imposed
requirements of categorising the various components of the
Department of Atomic Energy into “civil” or “military.” Thus the
Bhabha Atomic Research Centre and the Indira Gandhi Centre for
Atomic Research have been rendered strictly “military” to avoid
attracting safeguards, when more than 90 per cent of the work
carried out in these institutions is “civilian.”
It is well known that safeguard inspections by IAEA when applied
to non-nuclear States, are extremely intrusive, immensely
disruptive, and are often conducted in an atmosphere vitiated by
suspicion. Without any substantiated assurances to the contrary,
there is little reason to assume that such will not be the case
for India. That the “judicious” use of suspicion may serve to
irreversibly tilt the balance is best illustrated by the Iranian
affair where the right of an NPT signatory to develop technology
(in this case, the centrifuge to enrich uranium), is subject to
advance approval from the IAEA.
The resulting inspection regime, if applied to fundamental
research facilities in India, would imply that any or all
research may come under scrutiny or have to be first vetted by
the large 65 member Board of Governors ruling the intricate IAEA
bureaucracy. With India not being a Non-Proliferation Treaty
signatory, would the topics “allowed” for scientific
investigation not be decided within the framework of rules
applicable to non-nuclear weapons countries or, worse, rogue
States? What would be the yardstick for deciding what research
is “sanctioned”? Would this mean that “civilian” scientists
cannot collaborate with their “military” counterparts since
separation must be maintained?
To extend the argument, since such constraints would necessarily
have to be focused on indigenous research, criteria could be
selective (foreign collaborations with “acceptable” countries
may not be scrutinised) and/or restrictive (it may become
increasingly difficult for India to choose its research
collaborators if they happen to belong to the “wrong” country).
In such an environment, there will be little scope for pursuing
India’s tried and proven self-reliance policy in the future
since all indigenous work would invite invasive scrutiny.
It has been mentioned that in the event of a national crisis,
perhaps none of the trained workforce, equipment or any
technology fall-out from such research will be available for
military work since India has accepted “in perpetuity”
safeguards on all civilian facilities and purportedly given up
its sovereign right to cite national security reasons for
withdrawal — a privilege enjoyed by all technologically advanced
nations.
Such an artificial “segregation” would create multiple problems
of its own. There is adequate proof that the DAE’s applied
programmes have drawn heavily from human resources developed in
these institutions. In the absence of sensible and responsible
negotiations, if inspections include “pursuit” in principle as
they may in the case of nuclear fuel, associated universities,
grant funding institutions such as the Department of Science and
Technology and other organisations like the Council of
Scientific and Industrial Research, etc., will be forced to
submit to humiliating and intrusive supervision.
Gone will be the days of unfettered technology development via
collaborative research with, say, a private biotechnology
company. An international “licence-permit raj” on Indian
scientific creativity will be here to stay and the army of IAEA
inspectors will invade all related public and private sector
entities, sometimes even without prior intimation. At the very
least it would guarantee that scientists and engineers would be
endlessly tied up in bureaucratic red-tape so as to satisfy an
infinite number of queries so that very little constructive work
is actually achieved.
It is far from true that the entities on the list are “merely”
academic institutions when one realises that BARC in its
entirety was born from TIFR which was the first institute of its
kind in the nation devoted to the physical sciences and
mathematics. Recall that Homi Bhabha’s vision was to build up
indigenous capability through promoting manpower generation in
the basic sciences. He wrote in 1944 to J.R.D. Tata that the
Tata Institute should be created in order to produce the experts
for nuclear energy in India when it becomes feasible. With the
firm grounding that such training inculcates, professionals can
adapt themselves with alacrity to the requirements of creating
technology and its spin-offs.
Indeed, this has been the way all technological innovations have
happened throughout the world. To enable this in India the DAE
created autonomous institutions like SINP, VECC and others to
create and sustain a strong and wide base of specialisations
providing an unshakeable foundation for a healthy technological
future. Such institutions have also enabled us to initiate new
research, such as in the fusion programme. It helped India gain
entrance to the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor
project, and register successes in computing technologies, and
space and nano-particle research and a whole gamut of laser
based scientific research to name a few areas.
Regardless of the exact nature of the safeguards, the scientific
community in India is extremely upset and alarmed that the
autonomy of these institutions may now be severely eroded and
their research programmes subjected to the worst external
interference. Having been put to great inconvenience of the kind
related here. NPT signatory Brazil, for example, has finally
been forced to object to IAEA inspections on projects funded by
the Brazilian atomic energy agency in the university sector.
But as a non-NPT state, the Indian government may not have
retained an escape route in its haste to please Washington. In
advanced nuclear countries such as the United States, premier
institutions and universities funded by its atomic energy
commission would consider it inconceivable to give up their
autonomy, which is jealously preserved to enable new and
innovative research in the frontiers of science to take seed,
grow and flourish.
There can be no artificial constraints on the dissemination of
scientific thought and the world has reaped the benefits of a
free system, as has India. To put centres of excellence under
safeguards of whatever type, would be to serve a body blow to
the future of indigenous Indian science. Since scientific and
technological strength has brought us to where we are today,
this is obviously too high a price to pay. The negative
ramifications of such a drastic step would be hard to envisage
in their entirety.
On the whole, it is clear that inserting these facilities into
the already complex problem of separating the DAE’s civilian and
military programmes as required by the nuclear deal is a fatal
mistake. If it has happened as a result of bureaucratic
oversight, this must be corrected. Scientists must come forward
with their concerns and initiate a constructive dialogue with
the Prime Minister’s Office and the ministry of external affairs
to prevent such an outcome. The government of India needs to be
far more transparent and to consult with a range of retired and
serving scientists from the science establishment before
actively assisting in the demise of basic research in this
country.
Dr P.K. Iyengar retired as Chairman, Atomic Energy Commission.
Dr M. Gupta is a physicist at the Manipal Academy of Higher
Education, Manipal, Karnataka
(Source : Zee News)
© 2003-Copyrights World News Exchange. Site maintained and
*****************************************************************
27 CAQ: HIROSHIMA: NEEDLESS SLAUGHTER, USEFUL TERROR
Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2006 21:00:21 -0500 (CDT)
HIROSHIMA: NEEDLESS SLAUGHTER, USEFUL TERROR
by William Blum
Covert Action Quarterly #53
While Japan was desperately trying to surrender, the U.S. knowing
that the war could be ended without a land invasion dropped two
A-bombs: The opening shot of cold war.
Does winning World War II and the Cold War mean never having to say
you're sorry? The Germans apologized to the Jews and the Poles. The
Japanese apologized to the Chinese and the Koreans, and to the
United States for failing to break off diplomatic relations before
attacking Pearl Harbor. The Russians apologized to the Poles for
atrocities committed against civilians, and to the Japanese for
abuse of prisoners. The Soviet Communist Party even apologized for
foreign policy errors that heightened tension with the West.
Is there any reason for the U.S. to apologize to Japan for atomizing
Hiroshima and Nagasaki? Those on opposing sides of this question
are lining up in battle formation for the 50th anniversary of the
dropping of the atom bombs on August 6 and 9. During last year's
raw-meat controversy surrounding the Smithsonian Institution's Enola
Gay exhibit, U.S. veterans went ballistic. They condemned the
emphasis on the ghastly deaths caused by the bomb and the lingering
aftereffects of radiation, and took offense at the portrayal of
Japanese civilians as blameless victims. An Air Force group said
vets were feeling nuked.
In Japan, too, the anniversary has rekindled controversy. The mayors
of the two Japanese cities in question spoke out about a wide
perception gap between the two countries. Nagasaki Mayor Hitoshi
Motoshima, surmounting a cultural distaste for offending, called
the bombings one of the two great crimes against humanity in the
20th Century, along with the Holocaust.
Defenders of the U.S. action counter that the bomb actually saved
lives: It ended the war sooner and obviated the need for a land
invasion. Estimates of the hypothetical body count, however, which
ranged from 20,000 to 1.2 million, owe more to political agendas
than to objective projections.
But in any event, defining the issue as a choice between the A-bomb
and a land invasion is an irrelevant and wholly false dichotomy.
By 1945, Japan's entire military and industrial machine was grinding
to a halt as the resources needed to wage war were all but eradicated.
The navy and air force had been destroyed ship by ship, plane by
plane, with no possibility of replacement. When, in the spring of
1945, the island nation's lifeline to oil was severed, the war was
over except for the fighting. By June, Gen. Curtis LeMay, in charge
of the air attacks, was complaining that after months of terrible
firebombing, there was nothing left of Japanese cities for his
bombers but garbage can targets. By July, U.S. planes could fly
over Japan without resistance and bomb as much and as long as they
pleased. Japan could no longer defend itself.
REJECTED OVERTURES
After the war, the world learned what U.S. leaders had known by
early 1945: Japan was militarily defeated long before Hiroshima;
it had been trying for months, if not for years, to surrender; and
the U.S. had consistently rebuffed these overtures. A May 5 cable,
intercepted and decoded by the U.S., dispelled any possible doubt
that the Japanese were eager to sue for peace. Sent to Berlin by
the German ambassador in Tokyo, after he talked to a ranking Japanese
naval officer, it read: Since the situation is clearly recognized
to be hopeless, large sections of the Japanese armed forces would
not regard with disfavor an American request for capitulation even
if the terms were hard.
As far as is known, Washington did nothing to pursue this opening.
Later that month, Secretary of War Henry L. Stimson almost capriciously
dismissed three separate high-level recommendations from within the
administration to activate peace negotiations. The proposals advocated
signaling Japan that the U.S. was willing to consider the all-important
retention of the emperor system; i.e., the U.S. would not insist
upon unconditional surrender.
Stimson, like other high U.S. officials, did not really care in
principle whether or not the emperor was retained. The term
unconditional surrender was always a propaganda measure; wars are
always ended with some kind of conditions. To some extent the
insistence was a domestic consideration not wanting to appear to
appease the Japanese. More important, however, it reflected a desire
that the Japanese not surrender before the bomb could be used. One
of the few people who had been aware of the Manhattan Project from
the beginning, Stimson had come to think of it as his bomb, my
secret, as he called it in his diary. On June 6, he told President
Truman he was fearful that before the A-bombs were ready to be
delivered, the Air Force would have Japan so bombed out that the
new weapon would not have a fair background to show its strength.
In his later memoirs, Stimson admitted that no effort was made, and
none was seriously considered, to achieve surrender merely in order
not to have to use the bomb.
And that effort could have been minimal. In July, before the leaders
of the U.S., Great Britain, and the Soviet Union met at Potsdam,
the Japanese government sent several radio messages to its ambassador,
Naotake Sato, in Moscow, asking him to request Soviet help in
mediating a peace settlement. His Majesty is extremely anxious to
terminate the war as soon as possible ..., said one communication.
Should, however, the United States and Great Britain insist on
unconditional surrender, Japan would be forced to fight to the
bitter end.
On July 25, while the Potsdam meeting was taking place, Japan
instructed Sato to keep meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Molotov
to impress the Russians with the sincerity of our desire to end the
war [and] have them understand that we are trying to end hostilities
by asking for very reasonable terms in order to secure and maintain
our national existence and honor (a reference to retention of the
emperor).
Having broken the Japanese code years earlier, Washington did not
have to wait to be informed by the Soviets of these peace overtures;
it knew immediately, and did nothing. Indeed, the National Archives
in Washington contains U.S. government documents reporting similarly
ill-fated Japanese peace overtures as far back as 1943.
Thus, it was with full knowledge that Japan was frantically trying
to end the war, that President Truman and his hardline secretary
of state, James Byrnes, included the term unconditional surrender
in the July 26 Potsdam Declaration. This final warning and expression
of surrender terms to Japan was in any case a charade. The day
before it was issued, Harry Truman had al- ready approved the order
to release a 15 kiloton atomic bomb over the city of Hiroshima.
POLITICAL BOMBSHELL
Many U.S. military officials were less than enthusiastic about the
demand for unconditional surrender or use of the atomic bomb. At
the time of Potsdam, Gen. Hap Arnold asserted that conventional
bombing could end the war. Adm. Ernest King believed a naval blockade
alone would starve the Japanese into submission. Gen. Douglas
MacArthur, convinced that retaining the emperor was vital to an
orderly transition to peace, was appalled at the demand for
unconditional surrender. Adm. William Leahy concurred. Refusal to
keep the emperor would result only in making the Japanese desperate
and thereby increase our casualty lists, he argued, adding that a
nearly defeated Japan might stop fighting if unconditional surrender
were dropped as a demand. At a loss for a military explanation for
use of the bomb, Leahy believed that the decision was clearly a
political one, reached perhaps because of the vast sums that had
been spent on the project. Finally, we have Gen. Dwight Eisenhower's
account of a conversation with Stimson in which he told the secretary
of war that:
"Japan was already defeated and that dropping the bomb was completely
unnecessary. ... I thought our country should avoid shocking world
opinion by the use of a weapon whose employment was, I thought, no
longer mandatory as a measure to save American lives. It was my
belief that Japan was, at that very moment, seeking some way to
surrender with a minimum loss of face. The secretary was deeply
perturbed by my attitude, almost angrily refuting the reasons I
gave for my quick conclusions."
BOMB-SLINGING DIPLOMATS
If, as appears to be the case, U.S. policy in 1945 was based on
neither the pursuit of the earliest possible peace nor the desire
to avoid a land invasion, we must look elsewhere to explain the
dropping of the A-bombs.
It has been asserted that dropping of the atomic bombs was not so
much the last military act of the Second World War as the first act
of the Cold War. Although Japan was targeted, the weapons were aimed
straight to the red heart of the USSR. For three-quarters of a
century, the determining element of U.S. foreign policy, virtually
its sine qua non, has been the communist factor. World War II and
a battlefield alliance with the USSR did not bring about an ideological
change in the anti-communists who owned and ran America. It merely
provided a partial breather in a struggle that had begun with the
U.S. invasion of the Soviet Union in 1918. It is hardly surprising
then, that 25 years later, as the Soviets were sustaining the highest
casualties of any nation in WW II, the U.S. systematically kept
them in the dark about the A-bomb project while sharing information
with the British.
According to Manhattan Project scientist Leo Szilard, Secretary of
State Byrnes had said that the bomb's biggest benefit was not its
effect on Japan but its power to make Russia more manageable in
Europe.
The U.S. was planning ahead. A Venezuelan diplomat reported to his
government after a May 1945 meeting that Assistant Secretary of
State Nelson Rockefeller communicated to us the anxiety of the
United States Government about the Russian attitude. U.S. officials,
he said, were beginning to speak of Communism as they once spoke
of Nazism and are invoking continental solidarity and hemispheric
defense against it.
Churchill, who had known about the weapon before Truman, applauded
and understood its use: Here then was a speedy end to the Second
World War, he said about the bomb, and added, thinking of Russian
advances into Europe, and perhaps to much else besides. ... We now
had something in our hands which would redress the balance with the
Russians.
Referring to the immediate aftermath of Nagasaki, Stimson wrote:
"In the State Department there developed a tendency to think of the
bomb as a diplomatic weapon. Outraged by constant evidence of Russian
perfidy, some of the men in charge of foreign policy were eager to
carry the bomb for a while as their ace-in-the-hole. ... American
statesmen were eager for their country to browbeat the Russians
with the bomb held rather ostentatiously on our hip."
This policy, which came to be known as atomic diplomacy did not,
of course, spring forth full-grown on the day after Nagasaki. The
psychological effect on Stalin [of the bombs] was twofold, noted
historian Charles L. Mee, Jr. The Americans had not only used a
doomsday machine; they had used it when, as Stalin knew, it was not
militarily necessary. It was this last chilling fact that doubtless
made the greatest impression on the Russians.
KILLING NAGASAKI
After the Enola Gay released its cargo on Hiroshima, common sense
common decency wouldn't apply here would have dictated a pause long
enough to allow Japanese officials to travel to the city, confirm
the extent of the destruction, and respond before the U.S. dropped
a second bomb. At 11 o'clock in the morning of August 9, Prime
Minister Kintaro Suzuki addressed the Japanese Cabinet: Under the
present circumstances I have concluded that our only alternative
is to accept the Potsdam Proclamation and terminate the war.
Moments later, the second bomb fell on Nagasaki. Some hundreds of
thousands of Japanese civilians died in the two attacks; many more
suffered terrible injury and permanent genetic damage. After the
war, His Majesty the Emperor still sat on his throne, and the
gentlemen who ran the United States had absolutely no problem with
this. They never had.
*****************************************************************
28 London Times: Nuclear break-up on cards -
Sunday Times - Times Online
Sunday Times April 16, 2006
Tracey Boles
THE government is thought to be considering splitting up British
Nuclear Group and selling its stake in the Atomic Weapons
Establishment (AWE)separately from the rest of the organisation.
BNG, best known for its nuclear clean-up work around Britain, was
put up for sale by the government at the beginning of the month.
The AWE site at Aldermaston in Berkshire is where Britain's
nuclear warheads are designed, manufactured and decommissioned.
It is run on behalf of the Ministry of Defence by a management
company that is a consortium divided equally between BNG, Serco
and Lockheed Martin. Under the terms of the consortium, if one
company sells, the others have the right to buy its stake.
The contract makes a big contribution to BNG's business, insiders
say, although not many of its staff work at the AWE, whose other
sites include Burghfield, also in Berkshire.
BNG could still be sold as an integrated whole. The Department of
Trade and Industry said: "BNG's sale is in the early days." The
MoD said it would be "inappropriate" for it to comment on a
commercial process. BNG said: "We are continuing to keep both the
MoD and AWE Management Limited's other shareholders fully
informed on the sale of BNG."
Britain has been secretly designing a new nuclear warhead at
Aldermaston, which was once omitted from Ordnance Survey maps for
security reasons.
BNG will compete for new clean-up contracts worth tens of
billions of pounds for 20 nuclear sites around Britain from later
this year.
The Times and The Sunday Times.
Copyright 2006 Times Newspapers Ltd.
*****************************************************************
29 IRNA: Algerian official denounces US double-standard -
April 15, IRNA
Algerian Minister of State without Portfolio Boudjerra Soltani
denounced the double-standard policy the US has adopted
vis-a-vis the world issues.
The US and the west should not overlook the Israeli nuclear
policy while they impose pressure on Iran for its peaceful
nuclear program, he told reporters on the sidelines of the
international Palestine conference.
Iran has opened the doors of its nuclear facilities to the
inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) many
times which indicated civilian nature of Iran's nuclear
programs, he stated.
Shifting to the mutual relations between Iran and Algeria, he
noted the cooperation is expanding in all areas.
The three-day conference kicked off here Friday afternoon with
a keynote speech by the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution
Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei.
*****************************************************************
30 WorldNetDaily: Busting empty bunkers
Founded 1997 Sunday, April 16, 2006 Today's Edition
[Supercritical Thoughts] [Gordon Prather]
Posted: April 15, 2006
© 2006 WorldNetDaily.com
On April 12, Bloomberg News "reported"that:
Iran, defying United Nations Security Council demands to halt
its nuclear program, may be capable of making a nuclear bomb
within 16 days, a U.S. State Department official said.
Iran will move to "industrial scale'' uranium enrichment
involving 54,000 centrifuges at its Natanz plant, the Associated
Press quoted deputy nuclear chief Mohammad Saeedi as telling
state-run television today.
"Using those 50,000 centrifuges they could produce enough highly
enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon in 16 days,'' Stephen
Rademaker, U.S. assistant secretary of state for international
security and nonproliferation, told reporters today in Moscow.
Well, the Security Council made no such demand, and the "sense"
of what neo-crazy Rademaker said has deliberately been
misrepresented to you.
Rademaker did not say that Iran would be "capable" of "making" a
nuclear bomb within 16 days after installing and getting to
operate satisfactorily uranium-enrichment cascades, involving
more than 50,000 gas-centrifuges.
The "sense" of what Rademaker said is that when and if the
Iranians have manufactured an additional 50,000 or so
gas-centrifuges, installed them in cascades in the underground
"bunker" at Natanz, and gotten the cascades to operate
satisfactorily – all done under the watchful sensors of
inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Safeguards and
Physical Security regime – they could then withdraw from the
Treaty on Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, could then throw
out the IAEA, could then perhaps reconfigure their
gas-centrifuge cascades so as to produce several hundred pounds
of bomb-grade [almost pure U-235] enriched uranium, rather than
the tons of reactor-grade enriched-uranium the cascades were
designed, built and operated to produce.
It takes about 120 pounds to make a simple gun-type nuke like
the one we dropped on Hiroshima. It takes maybe 40 or 50 pounds
of bomb-grade enriched uranium to make an implosion-type nuke.
Of course, virtually every implosion-type nuke that has ever
been made – including the one we dropped on Nagasaki – used
almost pure Pu-239, not almost pure U-235. (It is not possible
to make a simple gun-type nuke with Plutonium."
Furthermore, making an implosion nuke is not easy. If it were,
then there would be no doubt whatsoever that North Korea, or
DPRK, now has a dozen or so Pu-239 implosion-type nukes. And if
they do, it is President Bush's fault.
When Bush became president, all DPRK nuclear materials, reactors
and associated facilities were "frozen" under IAEA lock and key,
subject to the US-IAEA-DPRK Agreed Framework of 1994. But,
shortly after the White House Iraq Group was set up to manage
the Operation Iraqi Freedom pre-war propaganda campaign, Bush
unilaterally abrogated the Agreed Framework.
The Koreans responded by withdrawing from the NPT – which made
the DPRK-IAEA Safeguards Agreement null and void – restarting
their weapons-grade plutonium-producing reactor and chemically
separating out the weapons-grade plutonium they had already
produced.
By neo-crazy logic, the North Koreans now have at least a dozen
plutonium implosion-type nukes. And if they do, it is without
any question Bush's "bad."
Bush claimed he abrogated the Agreed Framework because he had
"intelligence" that the Koreans has a secret nuke-oriented
uranium-enrichment program, unknown and undetected by the IAEA.
No evidence has ever been found for such a program.
You may recall that the principal rationale Bush gave for
launching a pre-emptive war – neither authorized by Congress or
sanctioned by the U.N. Security Council – against Iraq in 2003
was that he had "intelligence" that the Iraqis had a secret
nuke-oriented uranium-enrichment program, unknown and undetected
by the IAEA.
No evidence has ever been found for such a program.
Now comes Seymour Hersh's stunning article, "The Iran Plans"in
the New Yorker magazine – plus interviews of Hersh on Wolf
Blitzer's Showand by Amy Goodman on Democracy Now– about
Bush plans to pre-emptively "take out" the Iranian secret
nuke-oriented uranium-enrichment program, unknown and undetected
by the IAEA.
According to Hersh, one of the options that the White House
adamantly refuses to take "off the table" – despite the pleading
of Pentagon military planners and our allies – is the use of
bunker-busting nukes.
It seems military planners told the White House that if they
wanted to be sure to destroy the underground uranium-enrichment
bunker at Natanz – which is to eventually hold those 50,000
gas-centrifuges, but is now empty – they'd have to nuke it.
According to Hersh, plans to destroy all Iranian nuclear
facilities, combat aircraft, anti-aircraft batteries and
command-control centers are in the early stages of
implementation.
No one in the Bush-Cheney administration is denying that.
Even the option to nuke an empty bunker.
Physicist James Gordon Prather has served as a policy
implementing official for national security-related technical
matters in the Federal Energy Agency, the Energy Research and
Development Administration, the Department of Energy, the Office
of the Secretary of Defense and the Department of the Army. He
also served as legislative assistant for national security
affairs to U.S. Sen. Henry Bellmon, R-Okla. Dr. Prather had
earlier worked as a nuclear weapons physicist at Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory in California and Sandia National
Laboratory in New Mexico.
Copyright 1997-2006
All Rights Reserved. WorldNetDaily.com Inc.
*****************************************************************
31 UK: Independent: What happened to wind power?
Beset by high costs, the Government's great hope for clean,
sustainable electricity is drifting out to sea
By Tim Webb
Published: 16 April 2006
Earlier this month, over 300 company executives, consultants and
advisers gathered at the Queen Elizabeth II conference centre in
Westminster for the annual offshore conference of the British
Wind Energy Association (BWEA). Delegates say the mood was not as
upbeat as in previous years. During coffee breaks, wind farm
developers cornered turbine manufacturers to ask them when supply
problems would be eased and the promised, more powerful models
introduced. Talking among themselves, the developers agreed that
many of the larger projects were no longer viable without more
government support.
Offshore wind, like much of the policy on renewables trumpeted in
the Energy White Paper three years ago, is floundering. Onshore
wind isn't doing much better. Both are central to the Government
meeting its targets for renewables.
The current energy minister, Malcolm Wicks (who writes below), is
the third since the last review. He is preparing to start
drafting the latest Energy White Paper after submissions to the
consultation closed on Friday. Before he decides whether to
sanction the building of more nuclear reactors, the Government is
being warned that its last favoured technology, wind power, is in
trouble.
At the end of 2005, according to the European Wind Energy
Association (EWEA), the farms installed in the UK generated just
over 1,300 megawatts (MW) of electricity, the vast majority
produced onshore. That's enough to power a city slightly larger
than Birmingham and amounts to around 1.6 per cent of the UK's
total generating capacity. The total contribution from renewable
sources is just under 4 per cent, the rest mostly made up from
old hydro projects in Scotland.
To get anywhere near the Government's target of generating a
10th of the UK's electricity from renewable sources like wind by
2010, rising to a fifth by 2020, hundreds of wind farms need to
be built. With many of the most practical onshore sites already
taken, much of the new capacity will have to come from offshore
farms.
Under current conditions, this is unlikely to happen, say
developers surveyed by The Independent on Sunday. Rather than
becoming cheaper with experience and economies of scale, as the
industry and Government had hoped, building offshore wind farms
has got more expensive, says Dave Farrier, head of development
for UK renewables at the German-owned energy giant E.ON.
In the past two years, the cost of building offshore farms has
increased from around £1.2m per MW to £1.6m - almost twice as
expensive as onshore projects. The soaring cost of steel, and
the demand from Asia and the US for wind farms, have pushed up
the price of turbines and limited the availability of the
equipment needed to install them. Turbine makers like General
Electric and Danish firm Vestas are concentrating on the much
larger, and more proven, global market for onshore farms.
Indeed, while the UK is planning to build at least half its wind
farms offshore, the EWEA reports that only 2 per cent of
wind-generating capacity in Europe is offshore and this is
unlikely to rise significantly.
Gearoid Lane, director of gas and power procurement at Centrica,
the UK's largest offshore wind developer, says that for each MW
of capacity built in the UK, the company loses £300,000. So with
a 300MW plant, for example, the developer faces a £90m funding
shortfall. "This makes the economics quite challenging for
companies like ours."
In 2001, in the first phase of the Government's planned
development of offshore wind power, it released licences for 13
sites to generate a total of 1,500MW. Of these projects, three
are in operation, one is being built and two have been put on
hold indefinitely because they are no longer economically
viable. Of the seven projects remaining, all three developers
that returned calls to the IoS last week said they would not be
in operation until 2008 at the earliest - two years later than
originally envisaged.
The prospects for the much larger second round of projects,
slated to deliver between 5,400MW and 7,200MW, are worse still,
although they are at a much earlier stage. Once all the planning
consents have been received, over the next 12 months, developers
will have to decide whether to go ahead, and the signs do not
look encouraging.
Alastair Gill, development manager for "npower renewables", part
of Germany's RWE, says: "We are seeing other companies put
projects on hold because they can't make the economics work. I
cannot say we would definitely go ahead with round two without
more government support."
Mr Farrier at E.ON adds: "The hope was that two or three of the
first-round projects would be constructed every year. But we are
only managing one per year. It's difficult to see how round two
can happen under current market conditions."
Most of the wind farm developers are global players and so can
choose where to invest, and Mr Gill at npower says it is getting
harder to secure backing for UK renewable projects. In Germany
and Portugal, for example, there is more certainty because
projects can sell their electricity on long-term contracts
guaranteed by the government. In the UK, developers must rely on
renewable obligation certificates (ROCs), which electricity
suppliers have to buy on the market if they miss their renewable
targets. The proceeds from the sale of ROCs are distributed
among the developers.
Simon Currie, energy finance specialist at law firm Norton Rose,
says: "Has this market-based incentive delivered the hoped-for
rapid utilisation of abundant offshore wind resources? The
answer is clearly no." His view is shared by most developers.
Progress has been made. The capacity of installed wind farms in
the UK doubled in the two years to the end of 2005, and other
technologies like clean coal are being developed (npower
announced last week that it plans to build a plant in Tilbury).
But the experiences of wind farms do not inspire confidence in
the next set of promises that the Government will make in its
Energy Review.
© 2006 Independent News and Media Limited
*****************************************************************
32 Japan Times: A-bomb legacy fading: filmmaker
American seeks hibakusha stories for future generations By MANDY
WILLINGHAM
LOS ANGELES (Kyodo) After the 60th anniversary of the atomic
bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki passed last August, filmmaker
Steven Okazaki began worrying that the attacks and their
cautionary lessons are being forgotten.
[News photo]
Filmmaker Steven Okazaki and his wife, Peggy Orenstein, pose
at the U.S. Academy Awards in Hollywood in March.
"If you really ask young people, they know very little about
Hiroshima and Nagasaki," the 54-year-old Japanese-American said.
"I think that's very disturbing."
While doing research recently for his upcoming film, the
Oscar-winning filmmaker asked young people in Tokyo's trendy
Harajuku district about the significance of Aug. 6, 1945.
He expected at least half of them would recognize it as the day
Hiroshima was bombed.
"We asked and all of them said 'I don't know,' " said Okazaki.
"It was not a big survey, but not one of them knew the
significance (of the date). And these people will grow up to be
the voters of Japan."
Okazaki is also concerned that Americans have little knowledge
about their country's nuclear legacy.
"In American schools we learn very little," he said. "I think 90
to 95 percent of Americans know almost nothing about Hiroshima
and Nagasaki."
Hoping to increase awareness of the 1945 attacks, particularly
the stories of the hibakusha, the filmmaker, who hails from
Berkeley, has spent the past year developing a comprehensive
documentary for U.S. cable network HBO.
"I feel like I'm going to contribute something and that when the
hibakusha are gone (there will) be some record," Okazaki said.
The documentary, set to air in 2007, will feature interviews
with 30 hibakusha as well as scientists and plane navigators who
were involved in the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombings. The
filmmaker said he wants to tell the stories of survivors and
participants without academic or political analysis.
"(There will) be an American point of view and a Japanese point
of view, but no historians and no politicians," Okazaki said.
Okazaki's interest in Hiroshima and Nagasaki began more than 25
years ago when his friends translated "Barefoot Gen," Keiji
Nakazawa's classic autobiographical comic of the Hiroshima
bombing, into English.
Impressed by Nakazawa's work, he later met a group of hibakusha
living in San Francisco who inspired him to make his first
feature documentary, "Survivors."
Okazaki followed the 1982 film with other projects documenting
the complexities of racism, drug addiction and cultural
identity.
His 1991 film, "Days of Waiting," which tells the story of
Estelle Ishigo, an American married to a Japanese, put in a
Japanese-American internment camp during World War II, earned
Okazaki an Academy Award for Best Documentary Short.
His film,"The Mushroom Club," was nominated for an Oscar in 2005
for best documentary short subject. It is a personal look at how
hibakusha live with the emotional and often physical scars of
the bombing while the significance of the devastating attack has
faded in the minds of Hiroshima's younger generations.
Okazaki said it is a challenge for the atomic bomb victims to
share their experiences and speak out against nuclear warfare.
"I think the hibakusha feel like they've been telling their
stories for so many years and not getting any response," he
said. "Many go to different places around the world to speak out
against nuclear arms, but it's to the same groups of people, and
they don't seem to be getting any bigger."
It is important for Americans to hear the stories of the
hibakusha and understand their continued relevance, the
filmmaker said.
"Americans like to argue about Hiroshima and Nagasaki, but they
don't know anything about the hibakusha," he said. "I feel like
before you say 'Bombs are bad,' you should show what happened to
these people."
Okazaki attributed the American public's lack of knowledge about
the nuclear attacks and the aftermath to a failure by
politicians, educators and other individuals to address the
difficult subject.
"It's a remarkable thing, how much misunderstanding and
mythology there is," he said.
Despite the lack of attention given to Hiroshima and Nagasaki,
Okazaki is hopeful about what he says is a renewed motivation of
hibakusha speak about their experiences.
"I think now there's a surge of energy because the hibakusha
have realized that this could be their last time to speak out,"
the filmmaker said. "I feel like right now there's more energy
in the hibakusha movement than there's been in many, many
years."
The Japan Times: Saturday, April 15, 2006 (C) All rights
reserved
*****************************************************************
33 Guardian Unlimited: More nuclear power will not avert energy crisis, say MPs
John Vidal, environment editor
Monday April 17, 2006
The Guardian
A new generation of nuclear power stations will be unable to
avert a serious energy crisis within 10 years, a committee of MPs
said yesterday. In a scathing analysis of how Britain intends to
generate power in future and of the way decisions are being made
today, the environment audit committee urged the government to
start investing heavily in alternative power sources to meet
increasing demand and global warming objectives.
The committee's report said the government had become "too
focused" on nuclear, and now risked the lights going out by not
investing heavily in energy efficiency and more wind and gas
stations. It called for a significant growth in renewables as
well as political leadership.
The 16-member cross-party group with a majority of Labour MPs
said that by 2016, 25% of Britain's electricity generating
capacity will have to be replaced. Even if a new generation of
nuclear reactors were agreed tomorrow, this would be too late to
fill the "power gap" between supply and demand forecast for the
UK by 2016. The proposed new nuclear network would not be
generating at full capacity until as late as 2030 because nuclear
power takes so long to plan and build.
The report is the second from a government committee in three
months to reject nuclear power, and will be a major setback to
the industry which is pressing hard to build 10 new stations. It
will also disappoint Mr Blair, who is committed to nuclear on
the recommendtion of the chief scientist, Sir David King, and
other advisers.
The MPs said any decision to opt for nuclear must not be rushed.
"There are also serious concerns relating to safety, the threat
of terrorism, and the proliferation of nuclear power across the
world. Moreover ... it is by no means clear whether investors
will wish to commit themselves to 70 years of nuclear
generation."
The committee noticed striking similarities to 1980 "when a
similar large scale nuclear programme eventually resulted in the
construction of only one new reactor - Sizewell B". But the MPs
said opting for nuclear power could stymie the advance of
renewable technologies like solar and tidal. The committee
accused the Treasury of discouraging energy efficiency and said
that it had no confidence in government modelling of Britain's
future needs for power. It said renewable energy sources could
provide 20% the UK's electricity by the year 2020 but the
government did not appear to be committed to developing them.
The Treasury was making it as difficult as possible for some
technologies to be adopted.
Useful link
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Email us
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34 Guardian Unlimited: Blair hints at go-ahead for new nuclear power plants
Patrick Wintour, political editor
Monday April 17, 2006
Tony Blair has given his strongest indication yet that he will
press ahead with a new generation of nuclear power stations
despite a highly critical report from MPs yesterday claiming that
Britain's coming energy gap can best be filled by new carbon
efficient gas stations.
Mr Blair, speaking ahead of the government's energy review in
June, said Britain will need both new nuclear and renewable
energy to fill the energy gap. Asked in a video interview, before
the parliamentary recess, if Britain should rely on nuclear or on
renewables, Mr Blair replied: "I have a feeling it is possible we
may need both."
He added: "We are investing a lot in renewable energy, it is
very, very important, but we are going to lose 20% of our power
from nuclear, which is what we get at the moment. Looking
forward, for reasons of energy security as much as for reasons of
climate change, I think there is going to be a huge need to
develop all of this."
Britain is set to lose 20GW of electricity generating capacity
by the end of 2015, largely due to the decommissioning of old
nuclear stations. The environmental audit select committee,
which issued its report yesterday, claims new nuclear stations
could not come on line until 2019 at the earliest.
But ministers hope to overcome this by problem by speeding up
the planning process, and have formally requested that the
health and safety executive consider whether it could give
licence consents to prospective designs for reactors before
assessing specific projects, thereby foreshortening the
construction process.
The HSE has acknowledged that "potential private licensees may
wish to reduce project and commercial risk, by seeking
preliminary, or pre-licensing regulatory assessments of
prospective reactor designs, before large-scale financial
commitments are made". Since the reactors are likely to be of
foreign design, the HSE may also rely more than in the past on
the safety assessment of foreign regulators.
[UP]
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006
*****************************************************************
35 London Times: More nuclear power ‘likely’ -
Britain - Times Online
By David Charter
THE prospect of new nuclear power stations appeared to come
closer yesterday when a minister said that a mix of energy supply
sources would fuel Britain in the future.
Malcolm Wicks, the Energy Minister, also emphasised the need to
cut greenhouse gases, one of the key arguments used by the
pro-nuclear lobby, despite a sceptical report from MPs on nuclear
power benefits.
The cross-party Commons Environmental Audit Committee said that
a new generation of gas-fired power stations would be needed to
prevent energy shortages over the next decade. It was
"scandalous" that more research into alternative technologies was
not being funded, the committee said, adding that nuclear was
expensive and vulnerable to terrorism. Mr Wicks said that the
government review would propose a "mix" of solutions, interpreted
as a sign that nuclear stations will be commissioned.
The Times and The Sunday Times.
Copyright 2006 Times Newspapers Ltd.
*****************************************************************
36 UK: Observer: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK
[UP]
Ned Temko, chief political correspondent
Sunday April 16, 2006
British consumers will have to pay more for their electricity
and use less of it as part of any workable future energy
strategy, a group of MPs warns in a report published today.
The report, by the Commons Environmental Audit Committee, says
Britain will have to find a way to replace about a quarter of
its existing electricity provision over the next decade, as old
nuclear stations and other facilities are decommissioned. It
will also have to meet the government's targets for reducing
environmentally harmful emissions.
As reported in The Observer last week, the committee strongly
warns Tony Blair against opting for a new generation of nuclear
power stations. The report says these would not come on stream
quickly enough to have any effect on supply.
The report says that while cleaner gas-powered stations will
fill the electricity 'generation gap' in the short term, the
government will inevitably also have to make stronger efforts to
promote other 'lower-carbon sources'.
If, as the committee hopes, this does not mean new nuclear
stations, it says other options could include 'renewables' such
as wind farms or new 'carbon capture' technologies.
But the report says 'all lower-carbon-generating technologies
are more expensive than coal' and all 'will require financial
support'. It adds: 'The government should accept that the shift
to a sustainable energy strategy cannot be based ... on
maintaining low energy prices.'
Consumers would also have to use less electricity. 'We cannot
emphasise enough that reducing demand is also a vital component
on the path to a sustainable energy strategy,' the report says.
'We urge the government to consider setting absolute targets for
reductions in demand as a way of stimulating the growth of
energy efficiency and guaranteeing the level of carbon savings
achieved.'
[UP]
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006
*****************************************************************
37 Guardian Unlimited: MPs warn of electricity crisis in UK
Ned Temko, chief political correspondent
Sunday April 16, 2006
The Observer
British consumers will have to pay more for their electricity and
use less of it as part of any workable future energy strategy, a
group of MPs warns in a report published today.
The report, by the Commons Environmental Audit Committee, says
Britain will have to find a way to replace about a quarter of its
existing electricity provision over the next decade, as old
nuclear stations and other facilities are decommissioned. It will
also have to meet the government's targets for reducing
environmentally harmful emissions.
As reported in The Observer last week, the committee strongly
warns Tony Blair against opting for a new generation of nuclear
power stations. The report says these would not come on stream
quickly enough to have any effect on supply.
The report says that while cleaner gas-powered stations will
fill the electricity 'generation gap' in the short term, the
government will inevitably also have to make stronger efforts to
promote other 'lower-carbon sources'.
If, as the committee hopes, this does not mean new nuclear
stations, it says other options could include 'renewables' such
as wind farms or new 'carbon capture' technologies.
But the report says 'all lower-carbon-generating technologies
are more expensive than coal' and all 'will require financial
support'. It adds: 'The government should accept that the shift
to a sustainable energy strategy cannot be based ... on
maintaining low energy prices.'
Consumers would also have to use less electricity. 'We cannot
emphasise enough that reducing demand is also a vital component
on the path to a sustainable energy strategy,' the report says.
'We urge the government to consider setting absolute targets for
reductions in demand as a way of stimulating the growth of
energy efficiency and guaranteeing the level of carbon savings
achieved.'
Green party of England and Wales
Email us
Email your comments for publication to
politics.editor@guardianunlimited.co.uk
[UP]
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2006
*****************************************************************
38 AU: The Age: Nuclear power's sick legacy -
Opinion - theage.com.au
'The Government is embarked on another mendacious, ill-advised,
and downright dangerous enterprise.'
Illustration: Dyson By Helen Caldicott
April 17, 2006
The noted American writer Mary McCarthy once famously observed of
the equally noted but politically discredited playwright Lillian
Hellman: "every word she utters is a lie, including 'and' and
'but' ". As we have seen over the past 10 years, the same can be
said of the Howard Government from the children-overboard scandal
to "there will never be a GST" to "yes, there are weapons of mass
destruction in Iraq". Now - joined by misguided and misinformed
members of the ALP and a few scientists who should know better -
the Government is embarked on another mendacious, ill-advised,
and downright dangerous enterprise: transforming Australia into a
nuclear-powered, uranium-exporting nation, deploying as a
rhetorical fig leaf the spurious message that nuclear power is
emissions-free, green, and safe and will save Australia - and
indeed the world - from the effects of global warming. Let's pull
away that tattered fig leaf and look at the facts.
The global warming carbon dioxide (CO2) gas is released at every
stage of the nuclear fuel cycle - from uranium mining and
milling, from uranium enrichment, from construction of huge
concrete reactors, and from the transport and long-term storage
of intensely radioactive waste. Nuclear power plants generate
only one-third as much CO2 as a similar-sized gas-fired plant.
But because the supply of highly concentrated uranium ore, which
is relatively easy to mine and enrich, is limited, the energy
eventually required to mine and enrich uranium will greatly
increase. If today's global electricity production was converted
to nuclear power, there would only be three years' supply of
accessible uranium to fuel the reactors. Uranium is therefore a
finite commodity.
CO2 is not the only global warming gas emitted by nuclear power.
The Pacudah enrichment plant in Kentucky, which processes
uranium from many countries, including Australia, annually leaks
93 per cent of the CFC-114 gas released by the US. Banned under
the Montreal protocol, CFC is a prodigious destroyer of the
ozone layer and it also is a potent global warming agent.
Furthermore, nuclear reactors routinely emit large amounts of
radioactive materials, including the fat-soluble noble gases
xenon, krypton and argon. Deemed "inert" by the nuclear
industry, they are readily inhaled by populations near reactors
and absorbed into the bloodstream where they concentrate in the
fat pads of the abdomen and upper thighs, exposing ovaries and
testicles to mutagenic gamma radiation (like X-rays).
Tritium, radioactive hydrogen, is also regularly discharged from
reactors. Combining with oxygen, it forms tritiated water, which
passes readily through skin, lungs and gut. Contrary to industry
propaganda, tritium is a dangerous carcinogenic element
producing cancers, congenital malformations and genetic
deformities in low doses in animals, and by extrapolation in
humans.
In the age of terrorism, nuclear reactors are inviting targets.
It is relatively easy to induce a reactor meltdown by either
severing the external electricity supply, by disrupting the 3
million litres a minute intake of cooling water, by infiltrating
the control room, or by a well co-ordinated terrorist attack.
Surprisingly, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission has failed to
upgrade security at the 103 nuclear reactors since the September
11 attack. A meltdown at the Indian Point nuclear power plant 56
kilometres from Manhattan could render that city uninhabitable
for thousands of years if prevailing winds blew in the right
direction.
Above all, nuclear waste is the industry's Achilles heel. The US
has no viable solution for radioactive waste storage. A total of
60,000 tonnes are temporarily stored in so-called swimming pools
beside nuclear reactors, awaiting final disposal. Yucca Mountain
in Nevada, transected by 32 earthquake faults, has been
identified as the final geological repository. Made of permeable
pumice, it is unsuitable as a radioactive geological waste
receptacle and recent fraudulent projections of the mountain's
ability to retard leakage by the United States Geological Survey
have rendered this project to be almost untenable.
Already, radioactive elements in many nuclear-powered countries
are leaking into underground water systems, rivers, and oceans,
progressively concentrating at each level of the food chain.
Strontium 90, which causes bone cancer and leukaemia, and cesium
137, which induces rare muscle and brain cancers, are
radioactive for 600 years. Food and human breast milk will
become increasingly radioactive near numerous waste sites.
Cancers will inevitably increase in frequency in exposed
populations, as will genetic diseases such as cystic fibrosis in
their descendants.
Each typical 1000-megawatt reactor makes 200 kilograms of
plutonium a year. Less than one-millionth of a gram is
carcinogenic. Handled like iron by the body, it causes liver,
lung and bone cancer and leukaemia. Crossing the placenta to
induce congential deformities, it has a predilection for the
testicle, where inevitably it will cause genetic abnormalities.
With a radiological life of 240,000 years, released in the
ecosphere it will affect biological systems forever.
Because only five kilograms of plutonium is critical mass,
countries importing our uranium to fuel their nuclear reactors
could, theoretically, manufacture plutonium for many nuclear
bombs each year. The under-resourced International Atomic Energy
Agency admits that it is physically impossible to prevent a
determined country, whether a signatory to the Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty or not, from using imported uranium or
its byproduct, plutonium, to make nuclear weapons.
A truly informed national debate about the production, export,
and use of Australian uranium is imperative as China, Taiwan and
India line up to receive our yellowcake.
Time is short. Once the waste is produced, its legacy will
affect all future generations.
Helen Caldicott is president of the Nuclear Policy Research
Institute.
Copyright © 2006. The Age Company Ltd.
*****************************************************************
39 TorontoSun.com: Hydro crisis worse than ever before
Commentary - EDITORIAL:
editor@tor.sunpub.com
April 15, 2006
When Sir Adam Beck tabled Ontario Hydro's charter legislation in
1906, his dream was that it would always provide Ontarians with
reliable power at an affordable cost.
Flash forward a century to Ontario's latest hydro rate hike --
amid threats of summer brownouts and blackouts -- and it's clear
Beck's dream has turned into a nightmare. Today, we have
unreliable power at an increasingly unaffordable cost.
The latest increases will see the average Toronto homeowner's
annual utility bill rise by 5.8%, or $73, starting May 1. Many
Ontario communities will be hit much harder.
Premier Dalton McGuinty, who promised in the 2003 election to
cap hydro rates until 2006, has thus broken his word -- again.
Or, more accurately, rebroken it.
Conservative Leader John Tory charged hydro rates have gone up
55% since McGuinty came to power. NDP Leader Howard Hampton
accused him of failing to invest in conservation. But the fact
is, Ontario's power woes have been building for decades and
every major political party shares the blame.
Under the Red Tories of Bill Davis starting in the 1970s, the
old, publicly owned Ontario Hydro was allowed to run amok. Over
the years it ran up huge debts, paid exorbitant salaries, made
inaccurate estimates of Ontario's power needs and overestimated
the durability of its nuclear plants.
But no Ontario government was ever prepared to bite the bullet,
fix the problems and admit that so many costly errors had been
made, that Ontarians would be paying for them through higher
hydro rates for many years to come.
And so, Hydro's problems and debt grew through the Liberal
government of David Peterson, the NDP era of Bob Rae and the
"Common Sense Revolution" of the Mike Harris/Ernie Eves Tories,
the latter of whom totally botched privatization. Thus, today's
crisis can't all be blamed on McGuinty.
What McGuinty can be blamed for, however, is sticking to his
crazy election promise to close all of Ontario's coal-fired
energy plants by 2009 (originally 2007) and replace them with
more costly natural gas plants in the middle of a supply crisis.
All this while Ontario's conservation efforts are at the baby
stage.
In other words, hold onto your wallets, because this sickening
rate-hike ride is about to get really rough.
Copyright © 2006, Canoe Inc.All rights reserved.
Proprietor and Publisher - Sun Media (Toronto) Corporation, 333
King St. E., Toronto, ON, M5A 3X5 Test-->
*****************************************************************
40 VOA News: Nuclear Power, The Scary IF
By Zulima Palacio Washington, DC
13 April 2006
watch Nuclear Power report / Real broadband [video clip]
It is estimated that the world's consumption of energy will
increase by 60 percent over the next 20 years. And the United
States already has problems in the way it meets its current
energy needs. President Bush says the country is addicted to
oil, and is urging alternative fuels. And half of U.S.
electricity is generated by coal, which is responsible for over
80 percent of carbon dioxide emissions, a contributor to global
warming.
There is an energy source that could help meet future needs, but
it is one that has been off-limits for years.
This is uranium in its natural form. And this is the sound of
radiation.
This is a pellet of uranium like the ones used in nuclear
reactors. Ray Golden is the Communications Manager at the San
Onofre Nuclear plant in California. "This one little pellet is
the energy equivalent of 150 gallons of gasoline, there is no
other technology in the world as concentrated as uranium," he
said.
There are only 103 active plants in the U.S., yet they still
represent nearly 20 percent of the country's energy production.
But nuclear power scares many people, thanks to the dramatic
nuclear accidents of Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania in March
of 1979 and Chernobyl in Ukraine in April of 1986.
It has been almost 30 years since a permit was issued for a
nuclear plant in the United States. Now, things are changing,
according to Adrian Heymer, Director of New Plant Deployment at
the Nuclear Energy Institute.
"I think it is going to grow tremendously. We believe we'll
start construction in 2010. There are nine companies moving
forward, preparing licensing applications. They will start to
be submitted in 2007 through 2009," Heymer said.
The nine new nuclear plants will be built mostly in the
southeast of the U.S. Another five companies are evaluating
their possibilities. Each reactor will cost in the billions of
dollars.
Mr. Heymer says it will be costly. "In simple terms it comes
down to a little over $2.5 billion," he said.
The high price of generating nuclear energy at plants such as
San Onofre, half way between Los Angeles and San Diego in
California, could be higher still, if we consider the risk and
potential dangers that surround nuclear plants. There are three
main safety issues: the potential for a radiation accident, the
production of nuclear waste, and the plants' vulnerability as
terrorist targets.
Ray Golden works for the San Onofre plant. "I cannot stand here
and say on any given day that this plant will never have an
accident and if it has an accident it will release radiation and
if it releases radiation it may increase the incidence of cancer
of people living near by, I can't say no to that," he said.
During the last 20 years no serious accidents have been reported
around any reactor in the U.S. Safety measures have been a very
expensive priority.
However, it is the production of nuclear waste in the form of
millions of used, highly radioactive, uranium pellets that
continues to be a major concern. Paul Gunter is the Director of
the Reactor Watchdog Project for Nuclear Information in
Washington.
"We are constantly playing a game of Russian roulette with
nuclear power, where risk and probability of an accident are
ever present," he said.
The first cup full of nuclear waste generated 50 years ago is
still mismanaged. We don't know what to do with it. It will be
a problem passed from one generation to the next."
"This is a very serious technology and it has a legacy which is
the used nuclear fuel that is going to be radioactive for tens
of thousands of years. But the benefit to me far out weighs the
risk, even if this means leaving this legacy to future
generations," Golden added.
According to scientists, some nuclear waste can remain
radioactive for millions of years. In the U.S., nuclear waste
has been stored near nuclear facilities, mostly in underground
steel-lined tanks and thick walls of concrete. But some tanks
are getting old and now are leaking high-level nuclear
contamination into groundwater, like at Hanford in the State of
Washington.
Over the last 20 years, the government has been talking about
Yucca Mountain in Nevada as a central repository for the growing
stockpile of nuclear waste. But the expense required, local
opposition, and safety concerns have prevented the project from
starting.
And then there is the vulnerability to terrorism. Adrian
Heymer, from the Nuclear Energy Institute, says the industry has
spent billions of dollars on plant security. "Since September
11/01 we have spent $1.2 billion on improvements and
modifications to the plants to make them safer," he said.
But Paul Gunter says nuclear plants are still vulnerable. "Radio
active waste, the risk of nuclear accidents, the vulnerability
to terrorism that uses these sites which are sitting ducks to
spread radiation across the land, all of these add up to what
the real cost of nuclear power is and is really a cost that is
not worth bearing," he said.
Even though nuclear power is controversial, many countries have
concluded it is necessary. Nearly 450 nuclear plants generate
some 16 percent of the world's electricity today. Twenty-four
new plants are under construction in 10 countries, mostly in
India and China.
*****************************************************************
41 Korea Herald: The myths of Chernobyl
By Kalman Mizsei and Louisa Vinton
2006.04.17
Editorial
The 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl nuclear accident of April
26, 1986 is prompting a new wave of alarmist claims about its
impact on human health and the environment. As has become a
ritual on such commemorative occasions, the death toll is
tallied in the hundreds of thousands, and fresh reports are made
of elevated rates of cancer, birth defects, and overall
mortality.
This picture is both badly distorted - and harmful to the
victims of the Chernobyl accident. All reputable scientific
studies conducted so far have concluded that the impact of
radiation has been less damaging than was feared. A few dozen
emergency workers who battled the fire at the reactor succumbed
to acute radiation sickness. Studies are still under way into
elevated rates of cancer and cardiovascular disease among the
"liquidators" who worked at the reactor site in the months
following the accident. And some 5,000 cases of thyroid cancer,
attributed to radioactive iodine absorbed through consumption of
milk in the weeks immediately following the accident, have been
detected among those who were children at the time.
There has been real suffering, particularly among the 330,000
people who were relocated after the accident. About that there
is no doubt. But, for the five million people living in affected
regions who are designated as Chernobyl "victims," radiation has
had no discernable impact on physical health.
This is because these people were exposed to low radiation
doses that in most cases were comparable to natural background
levels. Two decades of natural decay and remediation measures
mean that most territories originally deemed "contaminated" no
longer merit that label. Aside from thyroid cancer, which has
been successfully treated in 98.5 percent of cases, scientists
have not been able to document any connection between radiation
and any physical condition.
Where a clear impact has been found is mental health. Fear of
radiation, it seems, poses a far more potent health threat than
does radiation itself. Symptoms of stress are rampant, and many
residents of affected areas firmly believe themselves to be
condemned by radiation to ill health and early death.
In part, this is because the initial Soviet response was
secretive: Mikhail Gorbachev, the Soviet leader at the time,
addressed the issue on television only weeks later, on May 14,
1986. Myths and misconceptions have taken root, and these have
outlasted subsequent efforts to provide reliable information.
Combined with sweeping government benefit policies that classify
millions of people living in Chernobyl-affected areas as
invalids, such myths encouraged fatalistic and passive behaviors
and created a "culture of dependency" among affected communities.
The United Nations Chernobyl Forum, a consortium of eight U.N.
agencies and representatives of Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine,
reinforced these findings. Chernobyl Forum was created to
address the prevailing confusion concerning the impact of the
accident, both among the public and government officials, by
declaring a clear verdict on issues where a scientific consensus
could be found. The Forum succeeded in this effort, and a fresh
and reassuring message on the impact of radiation was made
public in September.
The Chernobyl Forum findings should have brought relief, for
they show that the specter haunting the region is not invincible
radiation, but conquerable poverty. What the region needs are
policies aimed at generating new livelihoods rather than
reinforcing dependency; public-health campaigns that address the
lifestyle issues (smoking and drinking) that undermine health
across the former Soviet Union; and community development
initiatives that promote self-reliance and a return to normalcy.
But the reception given to the Chernobyl Forum's message has
been surprisingly mixed. Some officials have reverted to
alarmist language on the number of fatalities attributed to
Chernobyl. Some NGO's and Chernobyl charities have responded
with disbelief, citing as evidence the general population's
admittedly poor health. Opponents of nuclear power have
suggested that self-interest has compromised the Chernobyl
Forum's integrity.
Set against the impressive body of science underpinning the
Chernobyl Forum, such responses reflect the tenacity not only of
myths and misconceptions, but also of vested interests. The new
view on Chernobyl threatens the existence of charities - such as
those offering health "respites" abroad for children - that
depend for their fund-raising on graphic footage of deformed
babies.
The new understanding also deprives the region's officials of a
routine way to seek international sympathy, even if the
repetition of such appeals after two decades yields little
financial aid. By misstating the problems, these approaches
threaten to divert scarce resources into the wrong remedies.
The twentieth anniversary of the Chernobyl accident is an ideal
occasion for all actors to do some honest soul-searching.
Governments are right to worry about the fate of
Chernobyl-affected territories, but the way forward will require
fresh thinking and bold decisions, particularly a shift in
priorities from paying paltry benefits to millions to targeted
spending that helps to promote jobs and economic growth.
Similarly, charities are right to worry about the population's
health, but they should focus on promoting healthy lifestyles in
affected communities rather than whisking children abroad as if
their homes were poisonous.
All parties are right to worry about the affected populations,
but, more than any sophisticated diagnostic equipment, what is
needed is credible information, presented in a digestible
format, to counter Chernobyl's destructive legacy of fear. The
children of Chernobyl are all grown up; their interests, and
those of their own children, are best served not by continually
evoking the nightmare of radiation, but by giving them the tools
and authority they need to rebuild their own communities.
Kalman Mizsei is the assistant administrator and regional
director of UNDP Regional Bureau for Europe and CIS. Louisa
Vinton is the UNDP senior program manager responsible for the
Western CIS and Caucasus countries, as well as Chernobyl. - Ed.
*****************************************************************
42 Sunday Herald: Nuclear wont plug power gap -
Scotland's award-winning independent newspaper Est
Environmental Audit Committee roasts reactors idea
By Rob Edwards, Environment Editor
Tony Blairs ambitions for nuclear power have been given another
roasting, this time by MPs from his own party.
A programme to build new reactors would be fraught with risks
and could not plug the electricity gap, concludes a report by
the House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee.
The report savages the UK government for not doing enough to
boost energy efficiency, renewables and clean coal. And it is
scathing about the Prime Ministers energy review, suggesting
that it is unnecessary and doomed to failure.
In Scotland, the reports findings are reinforced by a new expert
study for local authorities which says that the nation could
meet its future energy needs by replacing nuclear power with
wind and other renewables.
The Environmental Audit Committee consists of 16 MPs, nine of
whom are Labour, including the environment minister Elliot
Morley. It was set up by Blair in 1997 to demonstrate Labours
green credentials.
Its new report, out today, warns that the risk of terrorist
attacks on nuclear plants and the spread of nuclear weapons are
serious. It echoes the position adopted by the Scottish
Executive by suggesting that the problem of nuclear waste needs
to be resolved before a decision is taken on a new nuclear
programme.
The report argues that nuclear power is incapable of filling
the 20 gigawatt power gap forecast for the UK in 2016. It is
simply not possible to build new reactors fast enough to replace
the stations that are scheduled to close, it says. If we want to
keep the lights on, the gap will have to be filled instead by a
major investment in gas-fired power stations, wind farms and
increasing energy efficiency.
The Blair government is now certain to miss its target of
generating 10% of electricity from renewables by 2010, it
claims. Westminster departments, particularly the Treasury, have
failed to take decisive action to improve energy efficiency, the
report says. The lack of progress in developing clean coal
technologies to capture and store climate-wrecking carbon
emissions is condemned as scandalous.
The nature of the energy review itself is unclear and the case
for a wider ranging review of energy policy has not been made,
the report states. As a result it could fail to command the
support of the public and politicians.
We are concerned with the governments focus on nuclear power,
said the committees chairman, Tory MP Tim Yeo. We do not think
that is necessarily the answer. Progress on carbon capture and
offshore wind had been non-existent or faltering, he added. And
the three years since energy policy was last reviewed had been a
wasted opportunity.
Environmentalists welcome the report, describing it as a body
blow to Blair. Nuclear power is simply an expensive and
polluting distraction to the sensible alternatives, said Duncan
McLaren, the chief executive of Friends of the Earth Scotland.
Blairs review is an exercise designed to try to find a way to
justify new nuclear power stations, according to Mark Ruskell
MSP, the Green Partys speaker on the environment. The Greens are
demanding a Scottish parliamentary review of how the countrys
energy needs can be met. The answer, according to a new study,
is without using nuclear power.
Glasgow consultants Garrad Hassan say that a combination of gas,
coal and renewables will be able to supply all the nations
electricity in 2023.
Scotland doesnt need any more nuclear power stations and this
report shows that we can cope quite easily without them, said
Pete Roche, a consultant to the Scottish group of nuclear-free
local authorities. Blair should get the message that Scotland
doesnt want any.
16 April 2006
© newsquest (sunday herald) limited. all rights reserved
*****************************************************************
43 FT.com: UK - Doubts raised over new nuclear plants
By Fiona Harvey, Environment Correspondent
Published: April 15 2006 03:00 | Last updated: April 15 2006
Doubts have been raised over the government's ability to push
ahead with new nuclear power stations.
The Commons environmental audit committee is expected to say
tomorrow that the economic viability of new nuclear plants has
not been proved and that concerns over the safety of the
disposal of nuclear waste, and the possibility of terrorist
attack on nuclear facilities, have not been allayed.
The report by the committee chaired by Tim Yeo, the former
Conservative environment spokesman, comes as the government
begins the final stage of its energy review, which is due to be
completed this summer.
The deadline for submissions to the review passed yesterday, and
the government will now assess the responses. However, in its
final decision on energy policy, ministers may choose to ignore
the environmental audit committee in favour of other experts who
have been vociferous in their support for nuclear power.
Sir David King, the government's chief scientific adviser, has
spoken out strongly for nuclear power. He has said nuclear power
should make up 40 per cent of the country's energy mix.
This would require a massive investment in new reactors, as at
present nuclear accounts for about a fifth of electricity
generation, but only one of the current fleet of nuclear plants
is scheduled to remain in operation after 2023.
Both sides in the debate are gearing up for several months of
intense lobbying. The prime minister, Tony Blair is thought to
be in favour of nuclear power, but public opinion is divided.
Surveys have found most people prefer renewable energy, but a
small majority would be prepared to accept nuclear power if it
were necessary to avoid dangerous climate change.
Roger Higman, climate change campaigner at the pressure group
Friends of the Earth, said: "The nuclear industry has been
running a very big PR spin campaign, but it does not know what
the costs [of new-build] are going to be, and it doesn't have a
solution to the waste problem. Meanwhile, there are lots of
alternatives, like energy efficiency and renewables. People
think the nuclear spin has had its day."
David Howarth, energy spokesman for the Liberal Democrats, said:
"Nuclear power is not renewable. The expense of any new
programme would risk crowding out all development of genuinely
renewable technologies."
© Copyright The Financial Times Ltd 2006. "FT"
and "Financial Times" are trademarks of the Financial Times.
*****************************************************************
44 Grist Magazine: Nuclear: no alternatives?
| Gristmill: The environmental news
Posted by David Roberts at 12:52 AM on 16 Apr 2006
Kevin Drum, whose judgment and writing I very much admire, has
made a rare lapse.
He points to this Washington Post editorial from
Patrick Moore-- deceptively described only as a "co-founder of
Greenpeace" -- and sighs that although he struggled with the
decision, he's come to the conclusion that aside from nuclear
power, "there aren't any other realistic alternatives for
replacing coal-fired facilities."
Rather than repeat myself, I'll just reprint two comments I left
on Kevin's site (slightly edited), in reverse order.
On Patrick Moore: Patrick Moore did not just now "change his
mind" about nuclear. He's been advocating for it for years.
And describing him only as "one of the founders of Greenpeace"
is extraordinarily misleading. He's a notorious crank and
industry shill.
And on nuclear power:
How disappointing to see everyone here parroting this tired
conventional wisdom. Nuclear seems to have become some kind of
totem by which progressives prove themselves "reasonable."
Aren't we sick of getting duped that way yet?
The idea that wind, solar, geothermal, and hydrokinetic should,
individually or collectively, "replace" coal is a straw man.
What greens are proposing is a new paradigm, pairing aggressive
energy efficiency and conservation (easily the cheapest "source"
of energy) with distributed small-scale sources appropriate to
regional context, and smart grids.
People say it will take too long to scale this up and implement
appropriate policy. But a new generation of nuclear plants will
take a minimum of 10 years to get going. What could efficiency +
renewables do in 10 years, with comparable public subsidies and
aggressive political support? We know they couldn't address the
energy shortfall? How?
Let's ask the market. Investment money is streaming into
small-scale, distributed power, but the nuclear industry is
utterly moribund. If it were revived, it would be a
Frankenstein, entirely sustained by government largess. Mining
uranium is an environmental nightmare; building the plants is
prohibitively costly; the risks are all but uninsurable. What
we're talking about is creating a(nother) huge, centralized,
politically connected energy cartel forever seeking to increase
its take from the public teat. We need more of those?
Do not accept the oft-repeated canard that we cannot
fundamentally change our energy situation, that we must simply
plug one massive, unsavory power cartel in to replace another.
We can build better vehicles, better cities, better
infrastructure. We can drive less, consume less, and change our
food system to reduce freight distances. We can shift policy to
internalize industry externalities. We can tax carbon. And we
can lavish the same attention, subsidies, and tax breaks on
renewables that we do now on oil, coal, and agribusiness.
Can clean energy fill the coal gap? It's got momentum,
investment enthusiasm, and the arc of history on its side.
Nuclear is the "least worst" option that everyone holds their
nose to support. It feels wrong, because it is wrong, and a
culture that remembered back when it used to have some fucking
balls and ambition would throw itself behind what it knows is
right.
I share a doubtful view of Moore ...
As I said about four years ago, Greenpeace's position on
nuclear energy has always seemed entirely commercial to me. De
jure opposition to hydrocarbons, de facto opposition to the only
thing that has yet made a dent in them, so as to bring in those
donations from public servants (so to speak).
So I expect their leading lights to be as ecological as is
consistent with being on the take. Moore is a former leading
light. Has he therefore suddenly become trustworthy?
"We can tax carbon", you say. Indeed we can, and we do, with a
vengeance. All that fossil money to our decision-making class
means they see the fossil fuel industry's continued security and
privilege as inextricably tied to their own.
That is to say, the "public teat" is fed by fossil fuel
consumers about ten times what the producers take; and they
could never take what they do if everyone in government weren't
aware that the dollar they give to the oil patch enables them to
take ten from you and me. If you continue on the track of
ignoring that tenfold return, every station you come to is going
to be the wrong station.
Nuclear is clean, and the seventh generation of our descendants
will be using much more of it than we are today.
--- Graham Cowan, former hydrogen fan
B: internal combustion, nuclear cachet
by GRLCowan at 7:34 AM on 16 Apr 2006
There are alternatives
Good non-fossil alternatives to nuclear energy can be
envisioned, let me hasten to add, but I think the token by which
we shall know them, when they become a threat to the public
purse's petrodollars, is -- they'll attract the same sort of
hydra-headed opposition as nuclear does.
by GRLCowan at 7:44 AM on 16 Apr 2006
unfortunate
I think it's unfortunate that efficiency and conservation are
being grouped with "alternatives" to nuclear. I've seen that
elsewhere.
Speaking as someone in California, getting electric power from
everything (nuclear and coal, out through natural gas,
geothermal, wind, solar biomass, ....), I see efficiency as
orthogonal to all that.
Efficiency takes the pressure off while all these other battles
are being fought.
by odograph at 8:44 AM on 16 Apr 2006
Well said Dave!!
Excellent response all around. That is the way to put some
guts into our seemingly hopeless fight for global survival.
Now if someone could get Feingold to start talking this way?
Who knows? We might win even against hopeless odds.
http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog
by amazingdrx at 8:50 AM on 16 Apr 2006
*****************************************************************
45 Independent: Blair warned of 'energy gap'
www.independent.co.uk
By Thair Shaikh
Published: 17 April 2006
Tony Blair was warned about a possible energy "gap" by senior
MPs last night, and urged to rethink his plans for a new
generation of nuclear power stations to tackle the country's
predicted energy crisis.
With almost a quarter of the country's current
electricity-generating capacity to be decommissioned by 2016,
the Commons Environmental Audit Committee said that there was
not time to wait for a new generation of nuclear reactors,
which, if built, may not be generating at full capacity until
2030. The committee said that Britain could face the prospect of
electricity black-outs within a decade unless there was urgent
investment in new gas-fired power stations.
The committee chairman Tim Yeo urged ministers to return to the
strategy laid out in the Energy White Paper of 2003 which
focused on energy efficiency and renewables as the cornerstones
of a sustainable energy policy. "The Government must be far more
imaginative and radical in pursuing the twin goals of the Energy
White Paper - energy efficiency and renewables," he said.
Greenpeace welcomed the committee's report as "significant and
timely".
"Building more nuclear reactors and creating more nuclear waste
is not only unsafe but also is no solution to climate change or
energy security," said campaigner Sarah North.
© 2006 Independent News and Media Limited
*****************************************************************
46 APP.COM: Cracks in Oyster Creek wall questioned
| Asbury Park Press Online
Back Issues:Sunday, April 16, 2006
BY STAFF WRITER
Regulators concerned about aging parts at the Oyster Creek
nuclear power plant say they want to know more about hairline
cracks in a wall meant to contain radiation.
But three independent experts who reviewed a public document
about the damage said the flaws are normal and not much to fuss
over — at least not yet.
The cracks, which appear in a reinforced concrete shield around
the Lacey reactor, are similar to those in weather-worn
sidewalks: Small stress marks don't necessarily foreshadow a
collapse.
To make sure changes in cracks don't go unnoticed at the Lacey
plant, federal regulators are reviewing the operator's
inspection plans before deciding whether to allow Oyster Creek
to run for an additional 20 years under a renewed license.
Some trust the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and plant
operator AmerGen Energy Co. to make sure Oyster Creek grows old
gracefully. Others do not.
"If they get their license for another 20 years, it's going to
be a very harrowing time, knowing what we know," said Brick
Mayor Joseph Scarpelli, who wants Oyster Creek closed when its
initial 40-year license expires less than three years from now.
Close calls at other plants and AmerGen's reluctance to inspect
a metal vessel that surrounds the reactor are some reasons
renewal opponents are skeptical.
Those who back the renewal say Oyster Creek has operated without
a major accident since it started up in 1969. Lacey Mayor Mark
Dykoff said he has never heard from a disgruntled plant
employee. Workers he has met say the plant is safe, he said.
"Where there is smoke, there is fire, and I don't see no smoke,"
Dykoff said.
The public will have an opportunity to decide whether to trust
AmerGen and the commission by attending a meeting between the
two sides Thursday afternoon.
At issue will be AmerGen's plans for monitoring the aging of
certain safety components, including radiation barriers, during
an extended operating period.
The discussion is expected to be technical, but it could provide
insight into what regulators are thinking part way through their
review.
A decision on the license isn't expected until May 2007.
Since AmerGen applied for a renewal in July, regulators have
been reviewing the company's 2,400-page renewal application,
asking AmerGen for additional information and touring the plant
to verify aspects of the application.
In one document pertaining to the commission's review,
regulators say they have "a concern that several potential aging
issues may not have been adequately addressed."
Regulators then go on to ask questions about cracks in the
concrete wall, which is meant to stop some of the radiation and
heat generated by the reactor from entering parts of the
containment building on the other side.
Also mentioned in the document, dated March 9, were questions
about cracks around a water-filled pool that holds highly
radioactive spent fuel.
In both areas, the cracks appeared normal to three independent
experts.
"I don't see anything unusual about this one," said Ted Quinn,
past president of the American Nuclear Society, an educational
organization for professionals.
Samin Anghaie, a professor in the nuclear engineering department
at the University of Florida, also reviewed the document and
reached the same conclusion.
In the document, a representative for AmerGen went over the
company's plans for monitoring the cracks.
Cracks in concrete structures at nuclear power plants are just
as common as cracks found in buildings, bridges and roads.
They sometimes form when concrete settles, said David Lochbaum,
director of the Nuclear Safety Project for the Union of
Concerned Scientists, a nonprofit alliance of citizens and
scientists.
It might not even make sense for a plant operator to fix a crack
unless it's getting worse, even in vital structures, Lochbaum
said. Spending money to fix harmless cracks would mean less
funding for needed repairs, he said.
But cracks can become a big deal when large, unexpected, ones
are spotted for the first time. That could mean a plant operator
is not conducting inspections often enough or in the right
places, he said.
Using the wrong criteria to measure a crack's significance — its
width, for instance — could lead to catastrophe, Lochbaum said.
"If you're inspecting cracks and then all of the sudden your
structure collapses, then the criteria you're using isn't doing
what it is supposed to do," he said.
Nicholas Clunn: (609) 978-4597 or [E-mail] E-mail
Copyright © 2006 Asbury Park Press. All rights reserved.
*****************************************************************
47 AFP: Nuclear not only energy solution: British lawmakers
Sun Apr 16, 5:31 PM ET
LONDON (AFP) - Nuclear power is not the only solution to
Britain's energy needs, and cash must be invested in new
gas-fired power stations, lawmakers warned in a report.
The country could face electricity black-outs unless an
"extensive programme" of new gas power stations is launched,
alongside moves towards renewable energy sources such as wind
power, the Commons Environmental Audit Committee said.
The government's review into Britain's future energy supplies --
due for publication later this year -- is widely expected to
recommend reviving Britain's nuclear power program.
With the first of any new nuclear plants not coming on stream
until 2017 at the earliest, it could take until 2030 for full
generating capacity of such a programme to become available.
And with almost one quarter of Britain's current energy
generating capacity due to be decommissioned by 2016, the
committee said that the country would face a "generating gap"
which could be filled by new gas-fired power stations.
"Over the next nine years, therefore, very substantial
investment in new generating capacity and energy efficiency will
be required if the lights are to stay on -- even in the absence
of demand growth," the report said.
British Prime Minister Tony Blair" /> , who is widely believed
to be in favour of a revival of nuclear power, ordered a review
into the country's future energy supplies late last year.
He said at the time that urgent action was needed because of
rising energy prices, dwindling North Sea gas and oil supplies
and to counter the effects of climate change.
Britain currently has around a dozen nuclear power stations,
most of them built in the 1960s and 1970s, providing around 25
percent of the country's electricity. Natural gas provides about
40 percent.
Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The
*****************************************************************
48 CNIC: Chernobyl 20th Anniversary in Tokyo
(Citizens' Nuclear Information Center)
(Sunday, April 16, 2006)
Symposium and exhibition: 20 years after the Chernobyl
Catastrophe - What happened and what continues now?
NGOs will hold a symposium to commemorate the 20th anniversary
of the Chernobyl tragedy. The symposium will be an opportunity
to reconsider our dependence on nuclear energy.
Hoping to promote a nuclear revival, historical revisionists
have sought to downplay the consequences of the Chernobyl
accident(1). In doing so, they insult the memory of those who
died and the suffering of those who survived. This symposium
will set the record straight.
Dr. Yuri Scherbak, former Ukrainian Ambassador to the US, will
speak about his experiences of Chernobyl. Various themes related
to Chernobyl will be discussed during a panel discussion after
the lecture. Three panelists - a nuclear scientist, a photo
journalist and a medical doctor - will present their views about
Chernobyl.
See program below for details, including other events to be held
at the same venue.
The conference will be in Japanese. The keynote speaker, Yuri
Shcherbak, will give his presentation in Russian.
Date: 16 April 2006
Venue: National Olympic Memorial Youth Center,
3-1 Yoyogi Kamizono-cho, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo (81-3-3467-7201)
Program
Speakers: Dr. Yuri Shcherbak (doctor and author,
former Ukrainian Ambassador to the US)
Ryuichi Hirokawa (photojournalist)
radiation researcher)
Music (during symposium): Oksana Stepanyuk
(singer and Ukrainian harp player)
Video: "The Sacrifice" (25 minute video to be
played from 10am to 1pm)
Exhibition of children's pictures and
photographs (1pm-6pm)
Contact: Philip White, CNIC International Liaison Officer
81-3-5330-9520
1. See, for example, the September 2005 report of The Chernobyl
Forum (an initiative of the International Atomic Energy Agency)
Citizens' Nuclear Information Center
TEL.03-5330-9520
FAX.03-5330-9530
*****************************************************************
49 AFP: Twenty years on, effects from Chernobyl disaster linger
Sun Apr 16, 1:07 AM ET
CHERNOBYL, Ukraine (AFP) - Twenty years ago, explosions at the
Chernobyl power plant sent a huge radioactive cloud into the air
in the world's worst civilian nuclear accident that still
affects millions of people today.
At 1:23 am on April 26, 1986, a series of explosions ripped
through reactor four at the plant in the north of what is today
Ukraine, near its border with Belarus. Radiation fell across
much of Europe.
For days, the Soviet leadership refused to admit -- either to
its own people or to the world -- what had happened less than
100 kilometers (62 miles) north of a major city, Kiev, and near
the huge Dniepr River that criss-crossed Ukraine and provided
much of its water supply.
Only after the news blackout ended were 135,000 people evacuated
from the most affected areas around the plant.
To this day, Chernobyl fuels controversies over the use of
nuclear power, attracts tourists and researchers, feeds fears of
another release, continues to claim victims, and gobbles huge
amounts of international funds.
An army of some 600,000 "liquidators" -- firemen, soldiers and
civilians -- helped to construct a concrete sarcophagus meant to
contain the reactor for 20 to 30 years before a more permanent
structure could be built.
The fate awaiting these people and others exposed to radiation
from the blast is one of the main controversies still
surrounding the plant.
In its latest report on the disaster released in September, the
United Nations" /> United Nationsestimated that fewer people
will eventually perish than was initially predicted.
The report, the work of some 100 scientists from eight UN
agencies, said up to 4,000 would eventually die as a result of
the accident, in addition to the nearly 60 people who have
already died.
Environmental groups like Greenpeace rejected the findings as
"whitewash," collusion "with the nuclear lobby" and "insulting
for the victims." They estimate that the death toll will be in
the tens of thousands.
In addition to health effects like thyroid cancer, survivors
also deal with psychological problems.
A study of more than 2,000 "liquidators" by the Serbsky
Psychiatric Institute in Moscow found that two thirds of them
suffered from psychological illnesses.
"Considering their young age at the time of the accident, all of
the negative effects have not appeared yet," said Galina
Rumyantseva, who led the study.
Regions affected by the accident remain today both socially and
economically devastated. Some 350,000 people have been evacuated
from the surrounding areas in all. Some 784,320 hectares of
prime agricultural land remain ruined, as do 700,000 hectares of
forest.
The United Nations estimates that the eventual price tag of the
disaster will run to hundreds of billions of dollars.
Today, the sarcophagus over reactor four is cracked and
crumbling, raising fears that more radiation can be released.
Some 28 countries have pledged to chip in more than 750 million
dollars toward the construction of a new 20,000-tonne steel
case. The cover is expected to cost between one and two billion
dollars and is hoped to be finished by 2012.
But it will take at least a hundred years to safely get rid of
dangerous fuel and debris inside the plant, said spokeswoman
Yulia Marusich.
The plant, whose last reactor was shut down for good only in
2000, continues to attract attention -- tourists come to gawk,
while researchers come to observe the remarkable flourishing of
flora and fauna.
Hundreds of mostly elderly people who lived in villages around
the plant have ignored government restrictions and warnings of
radiation to resettle in the 30-kilometre (18.6-mile) exclusion
zone around the plant, raising animals and eating fruits and
berries from the radiation-soaked land.
The final effects from the series of explosions that occurred in
the early hours at a Soviet nuclear power plant in 1986 may not
be known for years, scientists say.
"We may not see anything today, but genetic modifications can
appear in 20, 50 years," says Rudolf Alexakhin, director of the
Agricultural Radiology Institute in Moscow.
Copyright © 2006 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The
*****************************************************************
50 Brattleboro Reformer: VY passes safety review
By KRISTI CECCAROSSI, Reformer Staff
Saturday, April 15 BRATTLEBORO -- Last year Vermont Yankee
operated safely, so says a recent report from its federal
regulators.
Inspectors found no extraordinary problems at the plant, which
means the nuclear power plant requires no additional oversight
right now from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory inspects and issues reports on the
plant quarterly, but just released a letter assessing Vermont
Yankee's operation for all of 2005.
"Overall Vermont Yankee operated in a manner that preserve
public health and safety and fully met all cornerstone
objectives," wrote Brian Holian, director of NRC Region 1,
division of reactor projects.
NRC will be in town next Thursday to discuss the plant's annual
review. Entergy Nuclear, plant owners, will be represented. The
public is welcome to ask questions. The meeting starts at 2 p.m.
at the Quality Inn on Putney Road.
The NRC uses color codes to grade findings at the plant, and if
the plant is sited a certain number of high-alert colors, it
affects the annual review.
Last year, the plant received a number of "green findings," said
NRC spokesman Neil Sheehan, which indicates a "very low safety
issue." The findings were attached to things like maintenance
procedure and monitoring systems.
A green finding doesn't mean there's not any safety issue there,
he said, but one with such a "low significance" that the NRC
doesn't determine the plant needs extra oversight.
In 2004, Vermont Yankee didn't get the same high marks from the
NRC. The commission cited plant owners with a "white finding"
for failure to provide tone-alert radios to the full population
of the emergency evacuation zone around the plant.
Sheehan said Entergy corrected that since, but local emergency
planners insist that there is still a shortage of alert radios,
and still too many residents without them.
Of course the NRC's annual review doesn't include recent
activities at Vermont Yankee, including an effort to increase
the plant's power output by 20 percent.
Nearly two months ago, plant engineers began boosting the
reactor's output, in 5 percent increments. Engineers halted the
process twice because excess acoustic vibrations were detected
in the plant's steam line. Similar problems in other plants that
have been power "uprated" have led to instrument failures.
Right now, Vermont Yankee is operating at 112.5 percent of its
original power capacity. Plant spokesman Rob Williams says the
possible impact of the acoustic vibrations is being analyzed and
more information should be known next week.
Sheehan, of the NRC, said he couldn't speculate as to whether in
next year's annual review of the plant, the uprate procedure
would be recognized as a safety concern.
"We have to see how this plays out," he said. "If we find out
any shortcomings on the company's part as a result of (the
uprate), but it would be premature to say there would be any
enforcement action ... as a result of power ascension."
New England Newspapers, Inc.
*****************************************************************
51 THERECORD.COM: Nuclear costs unknown
PETER BLACK
(Apr 15, 2006)
I am responding to the April 10 letter of the day, The Real Cost
Of Coal-Fired Plants Is $4.4 Billion, from Dr. Patrick Moore.
Moore states that coal-fired plant costs are far in excess of
nuclear energy costs. Moore should realize that the "real costs"
of nuclear are not known. No government, agency or consultant
has been able to make a convincing calculation. Ontario has set
aside a mere $700 million to cover future disposal costs. The
Canadian Nuclear Association is running TV ads stating that
nuclear is dependable, safe and inexpensive. This is misleading
and wrong. The real cost of nuclear is not known.
Experts such as Moore would be more productive if they invested
their talents in finding alternate energy sources instead of
debating two unacceptable energy sources.
Peter Black, C.A.
Truly Independent Energy Advisor
S. Leslie Enterprises
Kitchener
160 King St. East, Kitchener, Ontario, Canada, N2G 4E5
519-894-2231
*****************************************************************
52 Burlington Free Press: Let's focus on clean, local energy
Opinion
burlingtonfreepress.com | Burlington, Vermont
Published: Saturday, April 15, 2006
By James Moore
Iwas pleased to see the recent Free Press editorial and the
opinion piece by John DiToro of IBM (March 31) addressing our
looming energy crisis. Vermont is indeed at an energy
crossroads, but both of these commentaries left out or
undervalued the essential role that clean, local energy sources
can play in Vermont's future. This is a fundamental oversight in
a conversation where the wrong decision could leave future
generations of Vermonters with higher electric bills, more
pollution and the ongoing threat of a nuclear disaster.
Let's start with the facts:
Right now, Vermont is too dependent on dirty and dangerous
sources of power. Thirty-five percent of our electricity comes
from Vermont Yankee, one of the oldest nuclear plants in the
country. The plant has already generated more than one million
pounds of toxic nuclear waste, and despite the fact that it is
cranking out more radioactive waste than ever, it still has no
permanent and safe way to store the deadly material.
Another 15 percent of our electricity comes from natural gas,
coal, and oil-fired power plants scattered about New England.
Together that means that roughly half of Vermont's electricity
is coming from a source that creates acid rain, global warming,
smog, and/or toxic nuclear waste.
Vermont is also heavily dependent on out-of-state power
generators. More than one third of our electricity comes from
Hydro Quebec. The massive transmission lines that carry that
electricity could leave Vermont more vulnerable to power
shortages in the event of an accident or inclement weather. And
when you combine Hydro Quebec with the aforementioned polluting
power we import from power plants across New England, this means
we ship over half of our electricity dollars to out of state
generators.
The final critical fact is that Vermont's energy future is about
to change, one way or another. In the next six to 10 years,
Vermont Yankee is scheduled to shut down and our long-term
contracts with Hydro Quebec's will expire. Even if one of those
contracts were to be renewed, it would be at market rates that
are already causing rate increases of up to 80 percent for some
of our New England neighbors.
Armed with these facts, it is time for Vermonters to consider
our choices. Some are favoring the Bush administration's plan
emphasizing more coal plants, oil drilling and a whole new
generation of nuclear power while giving a nod to renewable
energy. We can do better than that.
VPIRG supports a more secure energy future relying on
conservation, efficiency and clean, renewable power sources.
Last December, Gov. Douglas took a big step in the right
direction by joining six other regional governors in a
commitment to reduce our overdependence on dirty energy.
However, the governor's agreement could become an empty promise
unless we begin a serious investment in renewable energy and
efficiency.
The Free Press has recognized that we must begin with
investments efficiency. Studies have shown that if we invest in
efficiency now we could lower our state's electricity demand by
20 to 30 percent within 10 years, saving Vermonters millions of
dollars. But efficiency alone will not meet the demand for
electricity in Vermont in 2016 and beyond.
Wind power is the most plentiful untapped energy source in
Vermont. Wind farms provide price stability and the electricity
they produce is less expensive than the price we're already
paying on the open market. If we invest in efficiency first,
along with renewable energy sources including wind, biomass,
hydro, and net-metering generation like small wind turbines and
solar panels, we can meet Vermont's energy needs.
When asked what kind of energy future they want, Vermonters
overwhelmingly support safe, clean and affordable power that is
locally generated. It's often said that when the people lead,
our leaders will follow. It's time for our elected leaders to
start listening to what the people want.
James Moore is clean-energy advocate for the Vermont Public
Interest Research Group (VPIRG) in Montpelier.
Copyright ©2006 Burlingtonfreepress.com All rights reserved.
*****************************************************************
53 Daily Times: VIEW: Turning point at Chernobyl
Monday, April 17, 2006
— Mikhail S Gorbachev
Chernobyl opened my eyes like nothing else: it showed the
horrible consequences of nuclear power, even when it is used for
non-military purposes. One could now imagine much more clearly
what might happen if a nuclear bomb exploded. According to
scientific experts, one SS-18 rocket could contain 100 Chernobyls
The nuclear meltdown at Chernobyl this month 20 years ago, even
more than my launch of perestroika, was perhaps the real cause
of the collapse of the Soviet Union five years later. Indeed,
the Chernobyl catastrophe was an historic turning point: there
was the era before the disaster, and there is the very different
era that has followed.
The very morning of the explosion at the Chernobyl nuclear
station on April 26, 1986, the Politburo met to discuss the
situation, and then organised a government commission to deal
with the consequences. The commission was to control the
situation, and to ensure that serious measures were taken,
particularly in regard to people’s health in the disaster zone.
Moreover, the Academy of Science established a group of leading
scientists, who were immediately dispatched to the Chernobyl
region.
The Politburo did not immediately have appropriate and complete
information that would have reflected the situation after the
explosion. Nevertheless, it was the general consensus of the
Politburo that we should openly deliver the information upon
receiving it. This would be in the spirit of the glasnost policy
that was by then already established in the Soviet Union.
Thus, claims that the Politburo engaged in concealment of
information about the disaster is far from the truth. One reason
I believe that there was no deliberate deception is that, when
the governmental commission visited the scene right after the
disaster and stayed overnight in Polesie, near Chernobyl, its
members all had dinner with regular food and water, and they
moved about without respirators, like everybody else who worked
there. If the local administration or the scientists knew the
real impact of the disaster, they would not have risked doing
this.
In fact, nobody knew the truth, and that is why all our attempts
to receive full information about the extent of the catastrophe
were in vain. We initially believed that the main impact of the
explosion would be in Ukraine, but Belarus, to the northwest,
was hit even worse, and then Poland and Sweden suffered the
consequences.
Of course, the world first learnt of the Chernobyl disaster from
Swedish scientists, creating the impression that we were hiding
something. But in truth we had nothing to hide, as we simply had
no information for a day and a half. Only a few days later, we
learnt that what happened was not a simple accident, but a
genuine nuclear catastrophe — an explosion of Chernobyl’s fourth
reactor.
Although the first report on Chernobyl appeared in Pravda on
April 28, the situation was far from clear. For example, when
the reactor blew up, the fire was immediately put out with
water, which only worsened the situation as nuclear particles
began spreading through the atmosphere. Meanwhile we were still
able to take measures to help people in the disaster zone; they
were evacuated, and more than 200 medical organisations were
involved in testing the population for radiation poisoning.
There was a serious danger that the contents of the nuclear
reactor would seep into the soil, and then leak into the Dnepr
river, thus endangering the population of Kiev and other cities
along the riverbanks. Therefore, we started the job of
protecting the river banks, initiating a total deactivation of
the Chernobyl plant. The resources of a huge country were
mobilised to control the devastation, including work to prepare
the sarcophagus that would encase the fourth reactor.
The Chernobyl disaster, more than anything else, opened the
possibility of much greater freedom of expression, to the point
that the system as we knew it could no longer continue. It made
absolutely clear how important it was to continue the policy of
glasnost, and I must say that I started to think about time in
terms of pre-Chernobyl and post-Chernobyl.
The price of the Chernobyl catastrophe was overwhelming, not
only in human terms, but also economically. Even today, the
legacy of Chernobyl affects the economies of Russia, Ukraine,
and Belarus. Some even suggest that the economic price for the
USSR was so high that it stopped the arms race, as I could not
keep building arms while paying to clean up Chernobyl.
This is wrong. My declaration of January 15, 1986, is well known
around the world. I addressed arms reduction, including nuclear
arms, and I proposed that by the year 2000 no country should
have atomic weapons. I personally felt a moral responsibility to
end the arms race. But Chernobyl opened my eyes like nothing
else: it showed the horrible consequences of nuclear power, even
when it is used for non-military purposes. One could now imagine
much more clearly what might happen if a nuclear bomb exploded.
According to scientific experts, one SS-18 rocket could contain
100 Chernobyls.
Unfortunately, the problem of nuclear arms is still very serious
today. Countries that have them — the members of the so-called
“nuclear club” — are in no hurry to get rid of them. On the
contrary, they continue to refine their arsenals, while
countries without nuclear weapons want them, believing that the
nuclear club’s monopoly is a threat to the world peace.
The 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl catastrophe reminds us
that we should not forget the horrible lesson taught to the
world in 1986. We should do everything in our power to make all
nuclear facilities safe and secure. We should also start
seriously working on the production of the alternative sources
of energy.
The fact that world leaders now increasingly talk about this
imperative suggests that the lesson of Chernobyl is finally
being understood. —DT-PS
Mikhail Gorbachev, the last president of the USSR, is chairman
of the Gorbachev Foundation in Moscow and the head of the
International Green Cross
Daily Times - All Rights Reserved
*****************************************************************
54 People's Daily Online: View of Chernobyl nuclear power plant
UPDATED: 10:21, April 16, 2006
The photo taken on April 14, 2006 shows reactor No. 4 of the
Chernobyl nuclear power plant, 130 kilometers north of Kiev,
capital of Ukraine. Ukraine prepares to mark the 20th anniversary
of the world's worst nuclear leakage triggered by an explosion
happening at reactor No. 4 on April 26, 1986.
[Photo: