***************************************************************** 07/04/04 **** RADIATION BULLETIN(RADBULL) **** VOL 12.158 ***************************************************************** RADBULL IS PRODUCED BY THE ABALONE ALLIANCE CLEARINGHOUSE ***************************************************************** Send News Stories to news@energy-net.org with title on subject line and first line of body NUCLEAR POLICY 1 AFP: Iraq weapons probe to censure British spymasters - report 2 AFP: Britain says unsure of Iran's nuclear intentions 3 UPI: Commentary: Israel to bomb Iran? - 4 Scotsman.com: Iran has to Prove Nuclear Claims - Straw 5 UK Independent: Britain steps up pressure on Iran over nuclear arms 6 AFP: European's nuclear deal with Iran "falling apart" 7 New York Times: Russia Wants to Supply Energy to North Korea 8 eTaiwanNews.com: Powell meets North Korean envoy on nukes 9 eTaiwanNews.com: Pyongyang's bomb and the media hype 10 Korea Herald: Seoul, Moscow pledge to end N.K. nuke row 11 Korea Herald: [ANN]North Korean bomb and media hype 12 Korea: Digital Chosunilbo: Korea Is Not a 'Disposable' Country by Ki 13 JoongAng Daily: The legacy of Kim Il Sung is taking on different loo 14 Korea: Digital Chosunilbo: Asia Security Meeting Calls for Settlemen 15 Korea: Digital Chosunilbo: North Korea Should Not Miss this Chance 16 Guardian Unlimited: Mutual distrust clouds US-Korea negotiations 17 ITAR-TASS: Lavrov arrives in Pyongyang to discuss Korean settlement 18 AU ABC: Russian Foreign Minister arrives in Pyongyang 19 AFP: Russia, S.Korea pledge cooperation on N.Korean nuclear standoff 20 US: Post Gazette: Nuclear security chief backs bunker-buster bomb 21 Bradenton Herald: FBI urges extra vigilance during holiday 22 US: JOURNAL NEWS: Manhattan Project guard recalls bomb's debut 23 IPS-English UAE-ENERGY: El Baradi on two-day visit 24 [DU-WATCH] Israel's WMD's 25 New York Times: Israeli Web Site on Nuclear Programs Offers 26 Las Vegas SUN: Israel's Presumed Nukes to Become Issue 27 Haaretz: Atomic Energy Commission goes online 28 Haaretz: IAEA head's visit: talks with Sharon, but not Dimona 29 Haaretz: Come clean on nukes 30 Times of India: Watch out for the dirty bomb - 31 Indian Express: India tests nuclear-capable missile 32 UK Independent: The report is expected to be unsparing in its critic 33 UK Independent: Hoon's row with Treasury over MoD cuts deepens 34 UK Independent: Scarlett may be singled out 35 Mehr News Agency: Irrelevant To Recent BG Resolution 36 AFP: Israel offers peak behind nuclear veil of secrecy NUCLEAR REACTORS 37 US: [du-list] more on CERRIE 38 Guardian Unlimited: Japan Scandal Emerges Around Nuke Program 39 US: Brattleboro Reformer Activist: Someone's been stealing my signs 40 US: SLO Trib: Nuclear regulatory board plans July 27 meeting on Diab 41 US: toledoblade.com: Besse 'burp' causes no harm during fixes to fil 42 US: Boston.com: Vt. Yankee owner cites cause of fire 43 SNA: Bulgaria Covers 50% of Balkans' Energy Deficit 44 Sofia Morning News: Bulgaria Forms Special Nuclear Company NUCLEAR SAFETY 45 US: [du-list] RADIATION risk ' underplayed ' to avoid compensation 46 Pravda: Russian most powerful submarine - 47 US: JS Online: Cost to reduce radium in water climbing 48 Sunday Herald: Radiation risk underplayed to avoid compensation payo 49 Toronto Star: Citizen Carlos 50 US: Hawk Eye: Few former IAAP workers' claims paid NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE 51 Las Vegas RJ: Yucca Web sitecriticized 52 Sunday Herald: Sellafield an easy target for hijacked jets - 53 US: Idaho Statesman: Boise firm sells Tennessee facility 54 Japan Times: Cost info on spent nuclear fuel quashed 55 US: Charleston.Net: Macalloy cleanup set to begin NUCLEAR WEAPONS US DEPT. OF ENERGY 56 U.S. Newswire: DOE Officials To Testify Before Congressional Committ OTHER NUCLEAR 57 [progchat_action] Fw: NASA SEEKS PUBLIC INPUT ON SPACE NUKES 58 Google News Alert - nuclear 59 Google News Alert - nuclear 60 [du-list] DU in the news -3rd July 04 61 [du-list] DU search ranking - Yahoo cf. Google 62 WorldNetDaily: The Herod Doctrine ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** FULL NEWS STORIES ***************************************************************** ***************************************************************** 1 AFP: Iraq weapons probe to censure British spymasters - report [http://www.spacewar.com/] LONDON (AFP) Jul 04, 2004 An inquiry into flawed British intelligence on Iraq ahead of last year's war was set to criticise two of Britain's top spymasters and the government's chief legal officer, a London newspaper said Sunday. John Scarlett, head of the joint intelligence committee (JIC), Sir Richard Dearlove, head of M16 -- Britain's foreign intelligence agency -- and Attorney General Peter Goldsmith have been singled out for censure in the inquiry's draft report, The Sunday Times said. The draft, put together by inquiry chief Lord Robin Butler, criticises M16 after it admitted its intelligence on Iraq's alleged weapons of mass destruction (WMD) had been wrong, the paper said, citing government sources. The JIC, which co-ordinates the work of Britain's intelligence services, is censured for excluding important caveats in MI6 intelligence from the government's infamous dossier on Iraq published in September 2002, the sources said. JIC chief Scarlett was appointed in May to replace Dearlove as MI6 head later this year. Goldsmith, meanwhile, who advised the government that an invasion of Iraq was legal, faces censure after the Butler inquiry was told the attorney general subsequently cast doubt over his own advice. "Butler's conclusion will be that the intelligence was wrong and the system for checking it didn't work," The Sunday Times quoted one government source as saying. Responding to the report, Sir Menzies Campbell, foreign affairs spokesman for Britain's third main party the Liberal Democrats said: "If this leak is accurate then Lord Butler's report will contain nothing that is not already known or might have been inferred from what is already in the public domain. "The fundamental issue remains what did ministers know and when? The public is entitled to scrutiny of ministerial judgments and decision making," he said. British Prime Minister Tony Blair set up the probe into intelligence on Iraq's alleged weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in February after the United States established a similar investigation. Butler's probe was ordered to look into the "structures, systems and processes" which led Britain's government to believe that Iraq possessed WMD, none of which have since been found. The final version of Butler's report was set to be published on July 14, Blair's office has announced. In January, a British judicial inquiry into the suicide of government weapons expert David Kelly cleared Blair and his inner circle of allegations that they had distorted the threat of Iraqi chemical, biological and nuclear weapons in their controversial pre-war dossier on Iraq. WAR.WIRE ***************************************************************** 2 AFP: Britain says unsure of Iran's nuclear intentions [http://www.spacewar.com/] LONDON (AFP) Jul 04, 2004 British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said on Sunday he was unsure whether to believe Iran's insistence that is has no intention of trying to build nuclear weapons. "I'm not sure, is the answer. And nobody is," Straw said in an interview with BBC radio. "Where they have not helped themselves is in not providing full and frank disclosures to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)," he added. Iran insists a site in Tehran, alleged by the United States to have been used for developing weapons of mass destruction, was in fact a former research and development military" installation, IAEA chief Mohammed ElBaradei said last week. Meanwhile, Iran's new conservative-controlled parliament is considering pushing through a bill that would force the Islamic regime to resume uranium enrichment activities, a senior deputy told AFP on July 1. The proposed bill, still under discussion, would scrap a deal signed last October with Britain, France and Germany under which Iran agreed to make several "confidence-building" gestures to the IAEA, the United Nations' nuclear watchdog. Depending on its purity, enriched uranium can be used as both fuel for a civilian nuclear reactor and for a nuclear bomb. Iran insists it is only interested in generating electricity. WAR.WIRE ***************************************************************** 3 UPI: Commentary: Israel to bomb Iran? - (United Press International) July 02, 2004 By Arnaud de Borchgrave UPI Editor at Large Washington, DC, Jul. 2 (UPI) -- As the Bush Administration concludes it cannot risk Iranian retaliation against a fragile Iraq under U.S. occupation, Israel is dusting off contingency plans to take out Iran's nuclear installations. On June 24, the key question was asked by Brent Scowcroft, former National Security Adviser to President George H.W. Bush (41): "Are we serious in our efforts to prevent (Iranian) nuclear proliferation, or will we watch the world descend into a maelstrom where weapons-grade nuclear material is plentiful, and unimaginable destructive capability is available to any country or group with a grudge against society?" It did not require an overwhelming effort of imagination for Israel's national security establishment to conclude that the Jewish state would be the first threatened by Iranian nukes. One scenario now bruited would involve a joint U.S.-Israel precision-guided strike against the Bushehr, Natanz and Arak nuclear projects in Iran. But the Bush administration has concluded that a U.S. air attack against Iran would trigger a major Iranian campaign to destabilize Iraq. The two countries have a 1,458-kilometer (906 miles) common border that stretches from Turkey to the Shatt al Arab terminal on the Gulf. Iran also enjoys wide grassroots support among Iraq's dominant Shiite population. A U.S. House of Representatives resolution last May 6 authorized "all appropriate means" to put an end to Iranian nuclear weapons development. The Senate is yet to vote on the resolution. But it leaves no doubt it is a green light for an offensive military strikes against Iran's three nuclear facilities. The worldwide reaction against a U.S. attack on Iran's theocratic regime would almost certainly put an end to growing moderate dissent. Rival Shiite and Sunni Muslims in Iraq, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain (headquarters for the U.S. 5th Fleet) would close ranks against U.S. interests. America's allies would denounce a return to dangerous U.S. unilateralism after President Bush's recent moves back to multilateral diplomacy. While an "October surprise" of American air strikes to rid the world of Iran's looming nuclear threat might prove helpful to President Bush on Nov. 2, the blowback of unintended consequences would further destabilize the world's most volatile region -- the Middle East. U.S. air strikes at this juncture would quickly be equated with the CIA-engineered coup that overthrew Iran's socialist leader Mohammad Mossadegh in 1953, which many Iranians say led to the Iranian Revolution of 1978-79 that overthrew the monarchy, forced the late Shah into exile, and allowed obscurantist mullahs to rule the country. The mullahs made the excesses of the Shah's Savak secret police seem like child's play compared to the tens of thousands executed by the religious extremists and their Revolutionary Guards. Israeli leaders concluded years ago that Dr. A.Q. Khan, the father of Pakistan's nuclear bomb and the world's biggest nuclear proliferator, had sold bomb-making wherewithal to Iran and that nothing would reverse this capability short of air strikes, similar to the one Israeli fighter-bombers conducted in 1981 against Iraq's Osiraq nuclear reactor near Baghdad. It had been built with French assistance, including 27.5 pounds of 93 percent weapons-grade uranium. When Israeli intelligence confirmed Iraq's intention of producing weapons at Osiraq, Israel's then Prime Minister Menachem Begin decided military action was the only remedy. Elections then and now were a consideration. Begin feared his party would lose the next election, and the opposition Labor party would fail to preempt prior to the production of the first Iraqi nuclear bomb. Iraq was then believed to be two years away from fashioning its first nuclear weapon. So Israel had to strike before the Iraqi reactor went critical, before the first fuel was poured into the reactor, lest the surrounding community fall victim to radiation. The target was 1,100 kilometers (660 miles) from Israel. Target mock-ups were part of a full-scale dress rehearsal. Briefing the cream of IAF's pilots, IDF Chief of Staff Gen. Rafael Eitan said, "The alternative is our destruction." The surprise attack by F-15s and F-16s vaporized Osiraq in 80 seconds, too fast for Iraqi anti-aircraft gunners to get off their first salvo. Similar preparations to take out Iran's capabilities -- also judged to be two years from nuclear fruition -- have been completed. Standoff, precision-guided munitions will have to be used to avoid Iran's thick air defenses, including missiles purchased from Russia. Under an $800 million contract, Russia began building Iran's Bushehr reactor in May 1995 with 150 technicians at the site. The Russian contract called for 3,000 Russian engineers and construction workers. By 1999, some 300 Russians were among the 900 working there. After several years of denial about an Iranian bomb-making potential, President Putin of late has sided with IAEA's chief Mohamed elBaradei's strong criticism of Iran's bad faith in its refusal to comply with the international inspection regime. Putin presumably realizes that a nuclear-armed Iran ruled by religious fanatics would probably be tempted to pass on dangerous stuff to Islamist guerrillas in Chechnya. Originally started during the Shah's reign in a deal with Siemens, some 2,100 German and 7,000 Iranian workers completed 85 percent of the work before the 1979 revolution. The ayatollahs then decided to drop the entire project as "anti-Islamic," before changing their minds in favor of construction in the early 1990s. Fearful anxiety prevailed among the clerics after they watched in awe the deployment of half a million American soldiers and the five weeks of saturation U.S. bombing that preceded Operation Desert Storm -- and the collapse of the Iraqi army. They watched a rerun of another U.S. military spectacular in 2003 -- with yet another collapse of the Iraqi military. The Europeans still believe that political, economic and trade sanctions will eventually bring Iran into compliance. The Bush administration is on the horns of a painful dilemma. How can it claim that Iran has no right to nuclear weapons when Israel not only possesses both strategic and tactical nuclear weapons, but has several hundred in its arsenal. For the U.S. to preempt against Iran would also undermine the Administration's last shred of credibility as an honest broker between Israel and the Palestinians. After all the blue-smoke-and-mirrors "intelligence" that justified the U.S. invasion 15 months ago, the CIA's evidence of an Iranian nuclear bomb would have to be incontrovertible. This sets the bar impossibly high. Hence Israel's conclusion it's on its own. Bombs away? Not yet, but they've rehearsed it. [UPI Perspectives] ***************************************************************** 4 Scotsman.com: Iran has to Prove Nuclear Claims - Straw Sun 4 Jul 2004 By John Deane, Chief Political Correspondent, PA News Iran has yet to provide convincing evidence to back up its insistence that it is not seeking to develop nuclear weapons, Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said today. International concern about Iran’s nuclear capabilities heightened earlier this year when it resumed work on a key nuclear programme in apparent breach of a deal with the United Nations. Britain demanded answers after Iran announced that a facility to convert uranium was to be brought into service despite a promise to suspend all uranium enrichment activities. In a deal with the IAEA struck late last year, Tehran agreed to suspend uranium enrichment – and all related activities – while UN inspectors investigated suspicions the country was using a bid to generate atomic energy as a cover for developing nuclear weapons. Asked today whether he believed the Iranians’ repeated assurances that they do not have a nuclear weapons programme and have no intention of trying to build nuclear weapons, Mr Straw said: “I’m not sure is the answer. And nobody is.” He told BBC Radio 4’s The World this Weekend: “Where they have not helped themselves is in not providing full and frank disclosures to the International Atomic Energy Agency. “We are only involved in this long-scale engagement with them ... as a result of disclosures which came out from opposition groups that they had two nuclear facilities whose existence and practices had not been made known to the IAEA, as it should have been.” Mr Straw argued that it was for Arab and Islamic states to reassure Israel about its security, before the issue of Israel’s controversial nuclear weapons programme could be resolved. Mr Straw said: “Iran needs to abandon its aggressive stance towards Israel ... this aggressive stance to Israel is bound to mean that Israel is going to take or seek to take steps to protect itself from annihilation. “If you want a nuclear-free Middle East, then you have to ensure that first of all it is the Arab and Islamic countries which remove their threat to Israel and then we can put a great deal more pressure on Israel to abandon its undoubted nuclear weapons programme, which has been there, whether people like it or not, for defensive purposes.” The Iranians faced no threat to their borders, Mr Straw insisted. “No-one has any intention of launching military action against Iran,” he said. ***************************************************************** 5 UK Independent: Britain steps up pressure on Iran over nuclear arms By Francis Elliott and Raymond Whitaker 04 July 2004 The Government has warned Iran that it faces a deadline to prove it is not developing nuclear weapons, in the latest escalation in Britain's con- frontation with Tehran. Following the release of eight British servicemen taken into custody on the Shatt al Arab waterway between Iraq and Iran, Britain has said they were taken into Iranian territorial waters by force, and is demanding the return of their boats and equipment. Now ministers are saying it is essential for Iran to come into line "within the next few months" on its nuclear programme, signalling a tougher approach to the regime in Tehran. Washington opposes any concessions to Iran's theocratic government, describing it as a member of the "axis of evil". Britain and its European partners have argued for dialogue, believing that democratic forces within Iran allied to President Mohammad Khatami should be supported in their struggle with the dominant conservatives. Jack Straw, the Foreign Secretary, remains committed in public to the policy of engagement. In private, however, there is growing frustration at the failure of a more conciliatory approach to produce results. Apart from the diplomatic fallout from the Shatt al Arab incident, Iran is restarting production of equipment to enrich uranium, heightening suspicions that it is well on the way to producing nuclear weapons. The treatment of the British servicemen, seized on the Shatt al Arab waterway that divides Iraq and Iran, was typical of the confused picture often given by Tehran. While Iranian diplomats were assuring Britain that the matter would be dealt with quickly and quietly, the men were paraded blindfolded on television and hardliners called for them to be put on trial. Although a showdown was avoided on this issue, the country's conservatives, strengthened by recent elections, are driving Iran's defiance of international nuclear safeguards. A Foreign Office insider said that a report from inspectors to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) next month could provide the trigger for a formal deadline to be set at the body's meeting in September. The IAEA director general, Mohamed ElBaradei, said in June: "It is essential to the integrity of the inspection processes that we are able to bring these issues to a close within the next few months and provide the international community with the assurances it urgently seeks regarding Iran's nuclear activities." Tehran has rejected Britain's claim that the six Marines and two sailors were seized on the Iraqi side of the Shatt al Arab and forced to cross to the Iranian shore. It says the men were in Iranian territorial waters. Britain is pressing for the return of their three patrol boats and GPS equipment which, it says, could prove that the servicemen were in effect kidnapped from Iraqi territory. UK Independent Ltd. ***************************************************************** 6 AFP: European's nuclear deal with Iran "falling apart" [http://www.spacewar.com/] TEHRAN (AFP) Jul 04, 2004 There was plenty of diplomatic drama last October when the foreign ministers of Britain, France and Germany jetted into Tehran to bring Iran back from the brink of sparking a major nuclear crisis. But nearly nine months on, diplomats are cannily admitting their bid to strip Iran's ruling clerics of gaining A-bomb potential is falling apart. And perhaps more alarmingly, there does not appear to be a great deal that they can do about it. The problem, say diplomats who were close to hammering out the "Tehran declaration", lies not so much with Iran's recent backing away from certain technical aspects of it, but with its firm rejection of the accord's more ambitious premise. "We wanted the same kind of agreement with Iran as what we had with Libya. Iran had an opportunity to abandon its more sensitive nuclear work, and in return win greater trade and better relations with the West," recalled the senior diplomat. This was an effort to get around the inherent weakness of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) -- a text of good intention in so far as member states are allowed to master the entire nuclear fuel cycle for peaceful purposes as long as they commit themselves not to take the relatively easy next step to military usage. "Iran is a special case. There was a pattern of years of deception, so we needed to go beyond the NPT," explained another EU diplomat working on the nuclear dossier. "We wanted Iran to give up the nuclear fuel work in exchange for guaranteed supplies of fuel from overseas, as well as improved trade and diplomatic relations." But for Iran's 25-year-old Islamic regime, it was an existential leap too far. While careful to repeat denials of any nuclear weapons ambitions, officials have described the fuel cycle as an "inalienable right", while supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has said it is "essential". Iran may be only interested in generating nuclear power for now, but having a full fuel cycle under its belt means that having a nuclear deterrent would become a feasible strategic option -- and a tempting display of muscle if the present regional climate does not cool. Last October Iran did agree to suspend uranium enrichment pending the completion of UN inspections, but it is still working full throttle on other key parts of the fuel cycle -- a uranium conversion facility in Isfahan, a heavy water reactor in Arak and now centrifuge construction and testing. Officials are also threatening to resume enrichment too, if things do not go Iran's way at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) -- the UN's nuclear watchdog and guardian of the NPT. And to add insult to injury, Tehran is saying it is the Europeans who have failed to meet their side of the agreement. So what now for Europe's so-called "big three"? In diplomatic circles, the three are drawing unflattering jokes that compare their mission last October to British prime minister Neville Chamberlain's attempted appeasement of Adolf Hitler in the fateful Munich agreement of 1938. "Ah yes, we have in our hand a piece of paper," laughed one European diplomat when asked to reflect on Jack Straw, Joschka Fischer and Dominique de Villepin's convergence on Tehran last year. The bottom line, he said, is that the deal "has not brought peace in our time. In fact it is falling apart, and Iran has been gaining time." There are several options, none of which are tempting. The most extreme -- declaring war against Iran by launching air strikes on nuclear facilities -- could only serve to galvanise the regime, and spark a host of retaliatory measures in an already explosive region. What's more, unless IAEA inspectors manage to turn up a "smoking gun" here, they still have no concrete proof that Iran is seeking nuclear weapons -- meaning they will have to again tackle the uncomfortable debate on "pre-emptive" attacks that so badly split the international community ahead of the war with Iraq. In addition, analysts point out, regional developments are working against them: Iraq is still unstable and Saudi Arabia's predicament means that few have the will to pick yet another fight. One oft-cited option could be to side with the United States and send the dossier to the UN Security Council -- even if gaining a consensus there on tough sanctions may be impossible given Russia's attachment to its lucrative contract to build Iran's first nuclear power plant in the southern city of Bushehr. Such a move could bring Iran back into line. But it also send Tehran the other way -- chastised by the IAEA, Iran's now-dominant hardliners could abandon the NPT altogether and adopt the so-far effective diplomacy of "axis of evil" bedfellow North Korea. The EU has already frozen talks on a Trade and Cooperation Agreement, but even that has a hollow ring. European firms have been queuing up for contracts here -- Total and ENI among others in Iran's oil and gas sector, and giants such as Renault and Volkswagen in the car industry. The next IAEA meeting is in September. Iran looks unlikely to be satisfied by seeing its case taken off the agenda, and for the Europeans -- still chewing over their uncomfortable options -- it may very well result in yet more "wait and see". WAR.WIRE ***************************************************************** 7 New York Times: Russia Wants to Supply Energy to North Korea [http://www.nytimes.com/] [The New York Times By JAMES BROOKE Published: July 4, 2004 [V] LADIVOSTOK, Russia, June 29 - Russia is moving to become a major supplier of electricity and gas to North Korea at a time when the supply of nonnuclear energy sources available to that impoverished country is emerging as an important bargaining chip in talks intended to defuse North Korea's nuclear weapons program. "We are building energy transmission lines to the North Korean border," Sergei Darkin, governor of Russia's Pacific Maritime region, said in an interview on Monday. Governor Darkin said that if President Vladimir V. Putin "gives us the task of transmitting energy to North Korea next year, we will be ready to do that." North Korean negotiators said at the recent talks in Beijing that one price for freezing their nuclear-bomb program would be getting fuel supplies from other nations to provide two million kilowatts of power a year. That is roughly the output that was expected from the two nuclear reactors that were to be built under the 1994 international accord intended to end North Korea's nuclear weapons program. Although South Korea spent about $800 million on the initial construction of the power plants, the program was frozen 18 months ago after North Korea ended international monitoring of nuclear materials that could be processed into bomb fuel. What is behind North Korea's demands for power is a shortage that has contributed to the nation's industrial collapse. Governor Darkin said Russia was completing plans to export excess electricity from Russian hydroelectric dams to the Korean peninsula, sending power also through North Korea to South Korea. Skeptics say such a project would enable North Korea to turn off lights in South Korea. But supporters say that North Korea would become dependent on the arrangement and moderate its behavior. At a conference in June to discuss energy-sharing between Russia and the Korean peninsula, North Korean officials agreed to provide by August basic data on its electric power system to the Korea Electrotechnology Research Institute, a South Korean government research group. Separately, Russian and Korean energy planners are studying routes for a Korean peninsula extension to a gas line now under construction to Khabarovsk from huge gas deposits off the Pacific coast of Russia's Sakhalin Island. A 1,900-mile pipeline from these reserves to Seoul would take four years to build and would cost up to $3.5 billion, Selig S. Harrison, a Korea expert at the Center for International Policy in Washington, said in an interview in Seoul. North Korean officials strongly favor building this line, said Mr. Harrison, who had extensive meetings with North Korean officials in April in Pyongyang, the capital. South Korea would probably finance the construction. The ExxonMobil Corporation, the lead developer of one gas field in Sakhalin, has started to build a gas line to Khabarovsk. Russian officials want the line extended 450 miles south, to Vladivostok. The line could be extended through North Korea to Seoul, regional energy experts say. North Korea "built its economy primarily around the abundant, low-cost Chinese crude oil flowing directly to its refineries," Mr. Harrison wrote in a recent essay explaining the North Koreans' desperate energy shortage to a regional energy cooperation conference in Seoul. But with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the conversion of China from oil exporter to oil importer, North Korea's crude oil imports have dropped by 85 percent, he wrote. By allowing the construction of gas and electric lines from Russia through its territory, North Korea could earn transmission fees, paid in energy. If its economy revives, North Korea could also buy Russian oil, which is expected to come to a maritime terminus near this port city as part of a planned pipeline from the eastern Siberian reserves. Vladivostok increasingly hopes to become a Northeast Asian crossroads. Last Sunday, a dozen English-language teachers from both Koreas mingled amiably at an academic conference in Vladivostok, long considered neutral ground by Koreans. This weekend, Russia's foreign minister, Sergei V. Lavrov, is visiting both South Korea and North Korea, reportedly to lay the groundwork for a fall summit meeting in Vladivostok with President Putin of Russia and the leaders of the two Koreas. "Kim Jong Il is a man who goes by protocol, a very methodical person, so first there should be meetings by foreign ministers," said Olga P. Maltseva, a Vladivostok journalist who on Tuesday celebrated the publication here of her new book about the North Korean leader, "A Waltz With Kim Jong Il." In recent days, Russian railroad stations between here and the North Korean border were on alert for a possible visit by Mr. Kim in his armored train. He rode the train to Moscow on an earlier visit. His father, Kim Il Sung, visited the Soviet Union 10 times, often meeting Soviet leaders secretly in Vladivostok, Larisa Zabroskaya, a Korea expert at the Russian Academy of Science, said in an interview here. Ms. Zabroskaya, who believes that President Putin is trying to broker an inter-Korean summit meeting here this fall, said, "In Soviet times, there was a tradition that whenever a Soviet leader came to Vladivostok, the North Korean leader would come to Vladivostok." Pak Jong Song, director general of the North Korean Railway Ministry, recently endorsed Mr. Putin's plan to create a rail network that he calls the "Iron Silk Road'' to link North and South Korea's railroads with the Trans-Siberian Railway. In a return gesture, Russia sent 35,000 tons of wheat to North Korea, Russia's first food aid to North Korea, through the United Nations World Food Program. North Korea's courting of Russia is part of a wider diplomatic offensive started this spring to isolate the United States, American analysts say. In April, Kim Jong Il traveled to Beijing. In May, he received a visit from Japan's prime minister, Junichiro Koizumi. Also in May, North Korea's ambassador to the United Nations, Han Song Ryol, floated the possibility of North Korea signing a peace treaty with the United States and South Korea. [On Friday, Mr. Koizumi told the Japanese NTV television network that he wanted to normalize relations with North Korea within one year, adding, "The earlier, the better."] North Korea wants to improve "bilateral relations with Tokyo and Seoul while remaining on good terms with Beijing and Moscow," C. Kenneth Quinones, a Washington-based Korea expert, wrote recently for a Japanese newspaper. "Pyongyang's efforts have deflected much diplomatic pressure back on to Washington." Free Trial of The New York Times Electronic Edition. ***************************************************************** 8 eTaiwanNews.com: Powell meets North Korean envoy on nukes [http://www.etaiwannews.com/] Sides set out position for upcoming talks 2004-07-03 / Associated Press / U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell told North Korea's top diplomat during a meeting yesterday he was hopeful international negotiations begun last year could yield "concrete progress" toward nuclear disarmament in the communist state. In a North Korean statement issued after the meeting, Foreign Minister Paek Nam Sun was reported to have said he shares Powell's goal of a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula. But he rejected a U.S. requirement that his country show a serious commitment to disarmament before it can receive economic benefits from Washington. Powell and Paek are here for the annual summer meeting of foreign ministers from the Asia-Pacific region. The unannounced, 20-minute U.S.-North Korean encounter was held shortly after 8 a.m. at a local conference center. Powell and his North Korean colleague had last met in July 2002 in Brunei. Since then, American concerns about North Korea's nuclear intentions have sharply escalated. The North renounced a 1994 nuclear freeze and also was discovered by U.S. intelligence to have secretly embarked on a second nuclear weapons program as supplement to one it publicly acknowledges. The morning meeting occurred a week after the United States presented a detailed proposal for obtaining a verifiable end to the North's nuclear ambitions. It was unveiled at a conference in Beijing, attended by delegates from China, Japan, South Korea and Russia, in addition to the United States and North Korea. It was the third such meeting among the six. The plan calls for a step-by-step dismantling of North Korea's declared and undeclared nuclear weapons programs. In return, the North would receive aid, with Japanese and South Korean energy assistance provided at a relatively early stage. American assistance would come later. After the discussion, Powell said a mutual lack of confidence is a difficult problem in the disarmament talks. Speaking to a group of Indonesian young people, he said, "There is a great deal of mistrust between the United States and North Korea." Powell told reporters later on that the meeting with Paek didn't change much. "All we did was to reaffirm the positions that both sides took at the six-party talks last week," he said. "There was no negotiation. We wanted to make sure there was clarity of our position and they wanted to make sure there they had clarity in their position." The North Korean statement offered a mixed picture of the country's complex relationship with the United States. It said North Korea "will not regard the United States as a permanent enemy" if Washington seeks improved ties. It also reaffirmed that North Korea's goal is to achieve a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula "peacefully through dialogue." 2001-2004 Taiwan News. All Rights Reserved. ***************************************************************** 9 eTaiwanNews.com: Pyongyang's bomb and the media hype [http://www.etaiwannews.com/] Opinion 2004-07-03 / Taiwan News, Contributing Writer / By Jonathan Power The main thing we've learnt so far about the Bush Administration's self proclaimed ambitions to curb nuclear proliferation is its all too obvious ability to influence how the press treats the issue. If it wanted to whip up hysteria on Iraq's "weapons of mass destruction" the press was a willing, if now rueful, victim. If it wants to blow hot about North Korea's ambitions to have a nuclear-armed rocket that can strike Alaska it can do that too. It can also do cold. Watch it right now as it moves, after three years of outright hostility to North Korea, to start using the soft touch in time to meet the imperatives of the electoral calendar when it wants to be crisis free. Too much of the media (European too) follows its given cues as meekly as a well trained circus dog. The latest round of talks last weekend with North Korea, when for the first time the Bush Administration offered negotiating concessions, was thriftily covered. Yet the North Korean bomb has not gone away. And North Korea's bomb research is much more advanced than it was when Bush first characterized the regime as part of the " axis of evil." Nuclear bombs are a good scare story - when the administration wants it to be. It plays on fears we all have. I'm embarrassed to say that years ago I wrote a column saying if North Korea got a nuclear weapon it should be bombed. When the CIA first spooked former U.S. president Bill Clinton with its carefully leaked revelation that North Korea had a nuclear weapon he had Henry Kissinger, Brent Scowcroft and Robert Gates on his back telling the press loudly that the North's stock of spent fuel rods should be bombed before they were reprocessed into plutonium. But none of them could provide an answer what to do if in retaliation North Korea made use of the nuclear bombs they said it already possessed. And when Clinton, all wound up and ready to order an invasion of North Korea, consulted the Pentagon he found that war might lead to the deaths of 50,000 American soldiers and the obliteration of Seoul he too pulled back. Then ex-president Jimmy Carter, briefly seizing the headlines, bravely ventured into Pyongyang and mapped out with the old dictator Kim Il Sung a trade off between nuclear armaments and economic aid. Clinton happily grabbed the deal, and then the press largely went quiet until when, years later, Bush ratcheted up the rhetoric and confrontation. And today the press seems content to be spoon fed the lie pushed by the Bush Administration that it was the North Koreans who broke the trust of Washington when they reneged on the undertakings made to Carter/Clinton and admitted (in 2002) that whilst they closed down its plutonium-based bomb producing line they had opened up an alterative uranium-enriched one. In fact the trust - that precious ingredient of all deals - was broken long ago. The 1994 agreement was clear: the North agreed to close its plutonium plant and seal up the cooling rods from which weapons grade plutonium could be extracted. In return the U.S. with Japan and South Korea agreed to build two modern, non-plutonium producing nuclear power stations to be in production by 2003. Also the U.S. agreed that it would end its economic embargo and help the North with food, oil and electricity. Militant Republicans in Congress managed to sabotage the implementation of the American side of the bargain, pushing the administration to slow food supplies and oil deliveries on a number of occasions. There was a successful effort in Congress to break the promise of ending sanctions, delaying action on this until 1999 when they were finally but only partially lifted. Not least, was the slowdown on the building of the new reactors, with the prospect of them being completed five years behind schedule in 2008. Then when George W. Bush came to power the U.S. leant on South Korea to slow down its so-called "Sunshine" policy of reconciliation. It also refused to talk about other sources of electricity supplies and prohibited South Korea from honoring a promise to send electricity to the North. Later, after the North's "confession," it froze both oil supplies and reactor building. Given the reflex hostility of both the American government and media it should not surprise us that North Korea returned to its bad old ways. Confrontation, Pyongyang reasoned, was the only way to get results. And, after three years of it, it is indeed producing results. Bush is ready to negotiate, but quietly. And the press has gone quiet in lockstep. Yet still North Korea has the weapons of mass destruction that Iraq didn't. Jonathan Power is a London-based columnist and a long-term contributing writer to the Taiwan News. ----------------------------------------------------------------- Back to Top 2001-2004 Taiwan News. All Rights Reserved. ***************************************************************** 10 Korea Herald: Seoul, Moscow pledge to end N.K. nuke row 2004.07.05 By Choi Soung-ah Foreign Minister Ban Ki-moon and his visiting Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov on Saturday pledged to cooperate in persuading North Korea to give up its nuclear ambitions. In a joint news conference, both the top foreign policymakers said they agreed to work together in resolving the nuclear stalemate through the six-nation disarmament talks. "In light of the close friendship between Russia and North Korea, I asked Minister Lavrov to actively persuade North Korea to completely dismantle its nuclear program if it wants to develop economically and socially as well as receive economic assistance and a security guarantee," Ban told reporters. In response, Lavrov said Russia supports the denuclearization on the Korean peninsula but also believes that Pyongyang should be provided with "solid security assurances" as well as economic and social assistance in return. "The two countries agreed to closely cooperate for a successful staging of the fourth round of six-party talks to be held by the end of September," Lavrov said. Following the meeting, the Russian diplomat also paid a courtesy call to President Roh Moo-hyun in the afternoon. He is scheduled to leave for Pyongyang on Sunday for a two-day visit where he plans to discuss the development of bilateral relations with the communist country. Lavrov said his Pyongyang trip coincides with Moscow's provision of humanitarian food aid to that country. A cargo ship carrying about 35,000 tons of grain departed from a Russian port for the North, he noted. Also on the agenda, Lavrov said he plans to address several other issues highly focusing on the ongoing nuclear issue on the Korean peninsula. "We want the six-party talks to results in the peninsula's nuclear-free status, reliable security guarantees for North Korea and economic assistance for Pyongyang," he said. Also during the 90-minute meeting, the two discussed President Roh Moo-hyun's scheduled trip to Moscow in September, and economic issues as the project linking the Trans-Korean Railway with the Trans-Siberian Railway and developing a gas reserve development in Siberia. Lavrov few into Seoul early Saturday, on the first leg of a three-day visit to the two Koreas, directly from Jakarta, where he attended an annual security meeting of Asia-Pacific countries. Ban also returned from the security conference earlier in the day after holding private talks with his North Korean and U.S. counterparts on the sidelines of the conference. (bluelle@heraldm.com) ***************************************************************** 11 Korea Herald: [ANN]North Korean bomb and media hype 2004.07.05 By Jonathan Power The Statesman (India) / Asia News Network The main thing we've learned so far about the Bush administration's self-proclaimed ambitions to curb nuclear proliferation is its all too obvious ability to influence how the press treats the issue. If it wanted to whip up hysteria on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction, the press was a willing, if now rueful, victim. If it wants to blow hot about North Korea's ambitions to have a nuclear-armed rocket that can strike Alaska, it can do that too. It can also do cold. Watch it right now as it moves, after three years of outright hostility to North Korea, to start using the soft touch in time to meet the imperatives of the electoral calendar when it wants to be crisis-free. Too much of the media (European too) follows its given cues as meekly as a well-trained circus dog. The latest round of talks last weekend with North Korea when, for the first time, the Bush administration offered negotiating concessions, was thriftily covered. Yet, the North Korean bomb has not gone away. And North Korea's bomb research is much more advanced than it was when Bush first characterized the regime as part of the axis of evil? Nuclear bombs are a good scare story when the administration wants it to be. It plays on fears we all have. I'm embarrassed to say that years ago, I wrote a column saying if North Korea got a nuclear weapon it should be bombed. When the CIA first spooked President Bill Clinton with its carefully leaked revelation that North Korea had a nuclear weapon, he had Henry Kissinger, Brent Scowcroft and Robert Gates on his back telling the press loudly that the North's stock of spent fuel rods should be bombed before they were reprocessed into plutonium. But none of them could provide an answer what to do if, in retaliation, North Korea made use of the nuclear bombs they said it already possessed. And when Clinton, all wound up and ready to order an invasion of North Korea, consulted the Pentagon, he found that war might lead to the deaths of 50,000 U.S. soldiers and the obliteration of Seoul. He too then pulled back. Then former President Jimmy Carter, briefly seizing the headlines, bravely ventured into Pyongyang and mapped out with the old dictator, Kim II-sung, a trade-off between nuclear armaments and economic aid. Clinton happily grabbed the deal, and then the press largely went quiet until, years later, Bush ratcheted up the rhetoric and confrontation. And today, the press seems content to be spoon fed the lie pushed by the Bush administration that it was the North Koreans who broke the trust of Washington when they reneged on the undertakings made to Carter/Clinton and admitted (in 2002) that, while they closed down their plutonium-based bomb producing line, they had opened up an alternative uranium-enriched one. In fact, the trust, that precious ingredient of all deals, was broken long ago. The 1994 agreement was clear: the North agreed to close its plutonium plant and seal up the cooling rods from which weapons-grade plutonium could be extracted. In return, the United States, with Japan and South Korea, agreed to build two modern, non-plutonium producing nuclear power stations to be in production by 2003. Also, the United States agreed that it would end its economic embargo and help the North with food, oil and electricity. Militant Republicans in the U.S. Congress managed to sabotage the implementation of the American side of the bargain, pushing the administration to slow food supplies, and oil deliveries, on a number of occasions. There was a successful effort in Congress to break the promise of ending sanctions, delaying action on this until 1999 when they were finally, but only partially, lifted. Not least, was the slowdown on the building of the new reactors, with the prospect of them being completed five years behind schedule in 2008. ***************************************************************** 12 Korea: Digital Chosunilbo: Korea Is Not a 'Disposable' Country by Kim Dae-joong Updated July.3,2004 18:18 KST When I returned to Korea after one year, the nation has been caught in a tremendous fever. After a hot blast of the presidential impeachment and the April 15 general elections swept the country, the heat of controversies over the capital relocation, Iraq dispatch plan, North Korean nuclear issue and inter-Korean relationships has followed. Amid the feverish confusion, the view that Korea is in an economic crisis has ceaselessly afflicted the people. In politics, behind the triumphant chorus of winners, the groans of those with vested interests have been heard here and there. Furthermore, there are other factors that divide the nation and drives it into ferocious co-destruction: Kim Sun-ils miserable death and the governments helpless responses to it; the labor circles excessive summer wage strikes not being satisfied with their wage strikes in spring, and President Roh Moo-hyun and his governments arrogant winner-takes-all attitude. Communist partisans during the Korean War were, in the end, acknowledged as fighters for democracy. Now, the change of administration means conquest and punishment, not the concept of rotation, and the change of generation is considered a chance to expel the old generation, not a baton relay between generations. A change is desirable. Considering that Korea has been accustomed to one food too long, it is time for the country to accept diversity. Political forces and people who have been excluded from the leadership rank in the past are shouting that the times have changed. The problem with them, however, is that they are corrupt and make favorable personnel requests, share benefits between them and become an older generation, although they declare that they are hugely different from the older generation enjoying vested interests of the past. The bigger problem with them is that they turn a deaf ear to criticism against them. It is natural that the losers, opposed to the forces in power, can protest against the incumbent government. Those who have positive perspectives toward the current government and its key forces include intellectuals, the petit bourgeoisie and social reformists who consider themselves liberals and oppose the lop-sided practices of the past authoritarian forces and democratization movement leaders. However, these people also become wary of the dichotomous thinking and rigid unilateralism of President Rohs government and its followers. We see that the incumbent government blindly considers criticism, wariness and well-intentioned advice conspiratorial schemes. This is not only the problem of the incumbent government. Seriously, the rigidity and the equation of the winner is right may become a grave stumbling block to the direction of the country. If we live in a democratic county, the ruler and critics should compromisingly acknowledge differences between each other and recognize the limitations of the differences. But, we are now living on hostility. If the faults of past governments stemmed from rigidity, the current government makes the same mistakes as well. If the situation continues on like this, the county may be headed for a unilateral side and Korea, as a container, may be broken. Korea is not a disposable container. They won the election and they say they will make their own dish to put in the container of Korea. Therefore, there is nothing for us to do except watch them make the dish and serve it in the container. Although they ignore other peoples advice or recommendations, it is their way to make the dish. However, what they have to keep in mind is that Korea is a container that other political forces who have different views from them will use sometime. They can adopt policies that can be revised and mended in line with the change of age. The people have never allowed them to shake the basis for the existence of Korea, constitutional belief and the very identity on which Korea lives. In a country where democracy has taken root, changes of administration mean the rotation of liberalism and conservatism. The change of administration plays the role of a balance lever, which changes the direction of a country with an appropriate interval when the country excessively tilts toward a certain direction. Political power is just the right of a tenant who rents the country temporarily. If the people get sick of those who are in power sometime, the administration must pay up and leave earlier than expected. Here is one thing Id like to beg them: Its O.K to make any kind of dish, but please, dont break the container. ***************************************************************** 13 JoongAng Daily: The legacy of Kim Il Sung is taking on different look [http://www.iht.com] July 5, 2004 KST 11:04 (GMT+9) First in a three-part series In the decade since the death of North Korean leader Kim Il Sung on July 8, 1994, Kim Jong-il, who inherited power over the country from his father, has maintained the legacy of one-man rule, but he has also stepped out of his father's shadow by taking small steps to loosen the country's communist economic system. When Kim Il Sung died, many North Korea experts predicted the regime would collapse, unable to sustain itself for long, given the country's chronic shortages of food and energy. But Kim Jong-il has survived, largely by keeping firm command over the military as his chief means of control. In 1998, Kim Jong-il set out new policy goals with an ambitious program of making North Korea an ideological, military and economic power. Then in June 2000 came the summit meeting with South Korean President Kim Dae-jung. Kim Jong-il's comments at the summit suggested he was prepared to seek economic reforms and to pursue broader diplomacy. In the months following, he met leaders from China, Russia, Japan, Indonesia and the European Union and agreed to multilateral negotiations in the face of international pressure to end North Korea's development of nuclear arms. Significant changes also began to take place in the North's state-directed economy. In July 2002, North Korea announced it would allow prices and incomes in a number of sectors to reflect more of a market orientation, reducing gradually the command economy of public distribution. Designating Mount Geumgang, Gaeseong and Sinuiju as special economic zones to attract foreign capital also reflected a different attitude. Changes have also taken place among the North's leadership as a younger generation has taken on a growing role. Most of the core personnel in North Korea's cabinet and economic sector have been replaced with officials with a more international outlook. Twenty of the 36 minister-level government officials have been replaced with those from the younger generation. A similar phenomenon has been observed in the rubber-stamp Workers' Party and military. by Jung Chang-hyun enational@joongang.co.kr> 2004.07.04 [http://joongangdaily.joins.com/faq.html] ***************************************************************** 14 Korea: Digital Chosunilbo: Asia Security Meeting Calls for Settlement on North Korea, Updated July.3,2004 18:25 KST An Asia-Pacific security forum, grouping some two dozen nations, has ended with calls for a peaceful end to the nuclear dispute with North Korea, more efforts to combat terrorism and more pressure on Burma to move toward democracy. Two dozen foreign ministers from Asia and Western nations ended the Asia Regional Forum in Jakarta condemning terrorism as a worldwide threat and agreeing to work together to improve security in sea and air transportation routes. U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell praised the opening in recent months of several anti-terrorism centers in the region, in Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. Mr. Powell says this shows that the international community is coming together to deal with a threat that affects all civilized nations. "It's important that we do everything to coordinate our efforts and to enhance our capability to deal with this challenge and that we train our people to deal with these challenges," he said. The foreign ministers in their closing statement note the struggle against terrorism should conform to the United Nations charter and international law. On Burma, the foreign ministers repeated last year's call for the military government in Rangoon to free pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi and lift restrictions on her National League for Democracy party. The European Union's external affairs commissioner, Chris Patten, said the EU shares the aspirations of ASEAN, the Southeast Asia group, for democratization in Burma, but differs on methods. "I don't think our objective is very different from that of our friends and colleagues in ASEAN and beyond in Asia, though I do think we disagree about the best tactics for achieving those objectives," he noted. Southeast Asian nations support a soft engagement policy, while Europe and the United States have employed increasingly tough sanctions. The foreign ministers also declared strong support for the latest efforts to end the crisis over North Korea's nuclear weapons programs. They endorsed step-by-step moves by Pyongyang to dismantle its nuclear weapons programs in return for matching incentives and aid from the United States and its Asian allies. North Korean Foreign Minister Paek Nam Sun met with Secretary Powell Friday in the highest level meeting between the two nations in two years. A North Korean statement says Mr. Paek told Mr. Powell that their countries need not be "permanent enemies." VOA News ***************************************************************** 15 Korea: Digital Chosunilbo: North Korea Should Not Miss this Chance Updated July.4,2004 22:16 KST After the recent third round of six-way talks, the United States once again showed a flexible position on North Korea during the U.S.-North Korean foreign minister meeting held in Jakarta, Indonesia last week. Secretary of State Colin Powell reconfirmed that the U.S. has no intention to attack North Korea and delivered President Bushs word, It is possible to cooperate with each other in important areas even if ideologies and political systems are different. This is a surprising change on the part of the U.S. given that it was only some time ago that the U.S. defined the North as an axis if evil. Such a change in the Bush administration may be understood as a campaign strategy to be reelected. At any rate, what is important to the Norths regime is that the U.S. tries to treat them differently from the past when they were only viewed as a country that needed regime change. The North should therefor not miss this hard-won chance and expect any luck only because at present Democratic Party candidate John Kerry might very well be elected as the new U.S. president. This is because even if Kerry is elected, there will be no fundamental change in the U.S.s policy on non-proliferation, or if Bush is reelected, it will be more difficult for them to settle the nuclear issue. If the North thinks that hard liners in the Bush administration have shrunk back due to a presidential election, they should try harder to use this opportunity to get what they want. Given the schedule of the U.S. presidential election, they have only several months to do so. If there is still any doubt, look at what happened to Libya after declaring that it would abandon the nuclear development plan. Only six months after the declaration, the country held a summit meeting with the West including Britain and restore diplomatic relations with the U.S. by establishing a liaison office. Considering the fact that South Korea is anxious to help them, the North would be able to secure much more aid than Libya. The South Korean government should also make more efforts to persuade the North not to miss this chance while tightening cooperation with the U.S. An expected meeting with U.S. National Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice, who will visit Seoul on July 9 as an special envoy of President Bush, may be a good start to these efforts. ***************************************************************** 16 Guardian Unlimited: Mutual distrust clouds US-Korea negotiations John Aglionby in Jakarta Saturday July 3, 2004 The Guardian [http://www.guardian.co.uk] North Korea said yesterday it did not trust the US after the two sides' foreign ministers held their highest-level talks since Washington described Pyongyang as part of an "axis of evil". Colin Powell, the US secretary of state, said after meeting his North Korean counterpart Paek Nam-sun in Jakarta that great mistrust existed between their countries. Both countries sought to put a positive spin on the discussions, held on the sidelines of a regional security conference. But aides said the two men were no closer to a solution over US demands for Pyongyang to dismantle its nuclear weapons programme. "There is no trust between the Democratic People's Republic of Korea and the United States," Mr Paek was quoted as saying in an official statement. "[However] if the United States is of the position to improve bilateral relations, the DPRK will not regard the US as a permanent enemy." Mr Powell was equally forthright. "These are difficult negotiations. It just doesn't happen overnight," he said afterwards in a meeting with Indonesian students. His spokesman, Richard Boucher, said Mr Powell told his counterpart there was an opportunity for "concrete progress" in the continuing efforts to rid the Korean peninsula of nuclear weapons. But Washington wanted "words not deeds" on disarmament before it started making concessions. Mr Paek said his government would budge only if it saw "simultaneous actions" from Washington. When officials from the two sides met last month in Beijing, along with representatives from China, Japan, Russia and South Korea, they put forward contrasting proposals to move the stalled six- party peace talks forwards. The US said Pyongyang would receive aid and security guarantees if it agreed to a step-by-step dismantling both of the plutonium weapons that it admits to, and the uranium bomb programme that its neighbours are convinced it is developing. Assistance would come first from South Korea and Japan and then, once North Korea has shown long-term commitment to the deal, from the US. North Korea has offered to freeze rather than dismantle its weapons programmes if it receives guarantees of vital energy supplies to make up for serious shortfalls. Washington's offer, which is being seen as a conciliatory step, is thought to have been partly prompted by criticism at home from the Democratic presidential contender, John Kerry, over the lack of progress in the negotiations. Mr Powell's meeting with Mr Paek was short on substance, according to Byungki Kim, an associate professor of international relations at the Korea University in Seoul. "This meeting was an important symbolic sign that both parties will continue to talk," he said. "But in terms of substance, it won't have much impact." He said there would be little progress before the American presidential election in November. "North Korea won't be making any substantive proposals [soon] because of the elections," he said. [UP] Guardian Unlimited Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004 ***************************************************************** 17 ITAR-TASS: Lavrov arrives in Pyongyang to discuss Korean settlement 04.07.2004, 07.50 SEOUL, July 4 (Itar-Tass) - Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has arrived in Pyongyang to discuss ways of achieving the Korean settlement. During his stay in North Korea the minister is scheduled to meet North Korean counterpart Paek Nam Sun and Chairman of the Supreme Peoples Assembly Kim Yong Nam. After his recent talks with South Korean Minister Ban Ki-moon the Russian diplomat said that the ultimate aim of the six-way talks was to achieve a nuclearfree status for the Korean peninsula, reliable security guarantees for North Korea and economic assistance to Pyongyang. In turn, the South Korean foreign minister noted practical convergence of views on Pyongyangs nuclear program. As our neighbour and a fraternal country, Russia plays an active and leading role in the solution of the problems of the Korean peninsula. We are attaching great importance to Sergei Lavrovs talks in Pyongyang. We hope that they will be crowned with great success, Ban Ki-moon said. He asked the Russian foreign minister to convey a message to the North Korean leadership that Pyongyang should abandon its nuclear programs and join the world community. This, in his opinion, will provide for the security, economic growth and prosperity of the North Korean people. Ban Ki-moon noted that Moscow and Seoul had the same assessment of the Korean settlement. Sergei Lavrov was received by South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun. They discussed the situation in the Korean peninsula and the development of relations between Moscow and Seoul. Russia will closely cooperate with its partners to ensure the success of the 4th round of the six-way talks on the Korean settlement that will be held in September, the Russian foreign minister emphasized. The sides paid great attention to the preparation of the upcoming visit of the South Korean leader to the Russian Federation. Lavrov said that the visit would fix the new quality of the parties bilateral relations. For his part, Russian Foreign Ministrys official spokesman Alexander Yakovenko said that the foreign ministers of Russia and North Korea were paying great attention to developing economic cooperation between Russias far eastern regions and North Korean provinces. Major economic projects will be discussed. The Russian and North Korean foreign ministers plan to sign a Program of exchanges between the two countries Foreign Ministries. ITAR-TASS. All rights reserved. You undertake not to copy, ***************************************************************** 18 AU ABC: Russian Foreign Minister arrives in Pyongyang [http://abc.net.au/ra/news/] Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has arrived in Pyongyang for a two-day visit focusing on the 20-month standoff over North Korea's nuclear ambitions. Mr Lavrov says he will have talks with top North Korean officials on bilateral ties and the outcome of recent six-nation talks aimed at defusing tensions over Pyongyang's nuclear weapons program. The third round of the talks in Beijing last month ended without a breakthrough, although the United States, the two Koreas, China, Japan and Russia agreed to meet again by the end of September. Mr Lavrov says North Korea has to be given "solid security guarantees as well as aid for its social and economic development" in return for the denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula. 04/07/2004 19:00:36 | ABC Radio Australia News [http://www.abc.net.au/privacy.htm] ***************************************************************** 19 AFP: Russia, S.Korea pledge cooperation on N.Korean nuclear standoff +  WAR.WIRE
[http://www.spacewar.com/] Russia, S.Korea pledge cooperation on N.Korean nuclear standoff SEOUL (AFP) Jul 03, 2004 Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Saturday North Korea should get solid security assurances and aid in return for giving up its nuclear weapons drive. "Through (six-nation) talks, North Korea must be given solid security guarantees as well as aid for its social and economic development in return for denuclearization of the Korean peninsula," Lavrov said after talks with his South Korean counterpart, Ban Ki-Moon. The Russian minister is to leave for Pyongyang Sunday for a two-day visit which he said would focus on the 20-month standoff over North Korea's nuclear ambitions. Ban, who met his counterpart after they both attended a regional security forum in Jakarta, said Lavrov was asked to to persuade North Korea to give up its nuclear program. The two agreed to maintain close cooperation for a successful staging of the fourth round of six-party talks to be held by the end of September. The third round of talks in Beijing last week ended without a breakthrough, although the United States, the two Koreas, China, Japan and Russia agreed to meet again by the end of September. The US plan gives Pyongyang three months to shut down and seal its nuclear weapons facilities in return for economic and diplomatic rewards. It was the first significant overture to Pyongyang since US President George W. Bush took office in early 2001 and branded the North part of an "axis of evil" alongside Iran and pre-war Iraq. The Ban-Lavrov meeting came a day after US Secretary of State Colin Powell and North Korean Foreign Minister Paek Nam-Sun met in Jakarta in the highest-level talks between the countries in two years. Powell said his discussion with Paek was intended to clarify proposals presented in Beijing. Pyongyang has proposed freezing its nuclear program and pledged to stop building, testing and transferring nuclear weapons, but insisted Washington's rewards for North Korean concessions were the only way to resolve the impasse. The stand-off erupted in October 2002 when the United States said North Korea acknowledged it was developing nuclear weapons, violating a 1994 international agreement. WAR.WIRE ***************************************************************** 20 Post Gazette: Nuclear security chief backs bunker-buster bomb www.post-gazette.com Saturday, July 03, 2004 By Jack Kelly, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette The best way to protect America from future Saddam Husseins is to build a new nuclear warhead that can penetrate deep underground bunkers, the head of the National Nuclear Security Administration said in Pittsburgh yesterday. Ambassador Linton Brooks was in the city to address a regional training seminar for employees of his agency, which is part of the U.S. Department of Energy. The National Nuclear Security Administration is responsible for building nuclear weapons, for protecting nuclear plants from terrorist attack and for transporting nuclear materials. The NNSA also works with Russia to safeguard or destroy nuclear materials and provides technical assistance to the Department of Homeland Security to prevent a terrorist nuclear attack on the United States. The Bush administration plans to reduce substantially the number of nuclear warheads in the U.S. arsenal. But the administration also wants to build some new bombs because it considers the threat posed by countries like North Korea or Iran to be different from the threat posed by the Soviet Union, said Brooks, a former Navy nuclear submariner and chief arms control negotiator for the State Department. The Soviet Union was deterred from attacking the United States with nuclear weapons because it feared massive retaliation. But Brooks said that deterrence won't work with dictators because they really don't care what happens to their people -- only to themselves. "Whoever the next Saddam is, he is learning that if you put yourself in a bunker deep underground, the Americans can't touch you," he said. "The only way to deter people like that is to convince them there is nothing we can't reach." The solution is the "nuclear earth penetrator," a bomb that can penetrate through 6 or 7 feet of rock before exploding, Brooks said. Work on the nuclear earth penetrator began in the mid-1990s. Organizations that favor nuclear disarmament, like the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, argue that bunker-busting nuclear weapons would have limited utility and would do more harm than good by encouraging other nations to build more nuclear weapons of their own. The NNSA also is working with foreign governments to keep weapons-grade nuclear materials out of the hands of terrorists. "The typical research reactor is on some university campus," Brooks said. "They don't have much security." (Jack Kelly can be reached a jkelly@post-gazette.com [jkelly@post-gazette.com] or 412 263-1476.) 1997-2004 PG Publishing Co., Inc. All Rights Reserved. ***************************************************************** 21 Bradenton Herald: FBI urges extra vigilance during holiday | 07/03/2004 | CURT ANDERSON Associated Press WASHINGTON - A constant stream of intelligence indicating that al-Qaida wants to strike the United States this summer or fall has led federal officials to urge increased vigilance during the Independence Day weekend, but there is no specific threat of an attack timed to the holiday. In a bulletin sent to law enforcement agencies nationwide Thursday, the FBI said police should step up patrols and watch for signs of terrorist activity, including surveillance of potential targets. The FBI also listed advice on how to spot possible suicide bombers. "We know the U.S. homeland remains a top al-Qaida target," the FBI said in the bulletin, sent weekly to 18,000 state and local law enforcement agencies. Fourth of July celebrations are among the symbolic events that U.S. officials say could present an inviting target to al-Qaida, which intelligence reports indicate will attempt an attack during summer or fall. An attack also could be timed to coincide with the national political conventions or the November elections, plus the Olympics in August in Athens, Greece. No specific threat Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge said the warnings were not issued because of a specific threat. "The information that the FBI put out is just a reminder," he said Friday on NBC's "Today" show. "There are some lessons we've learned from observing the al-Qaida and other terrorist organizations conduct their attacks around the world." The FBI said police should increase patrols this holiday weekend, vary the timing, size and routes of the patrols, and make sure all vehicles illegally parked in key areas are approached and their drivers questioned. The Homeland Security Department had no plans to raise the nation's color-coded terror alert level above its current midpoint status of yellow, or elevated. Last week, the agency sent a bulletin urging tighter security to state and local officials and those that operate power and chemical plants and key transportation facilities. The government's approach to this major U.S. holiday was muted in comparison to Memorial Day, when the FBI and Attorney General John Ashcroft issued high-profile warnings that terrorists were nearly ready to strike. In Tampa this week, Ashcroft repeated his contention that al-Qaida was between 75 percent and 90 percent ready to attack again. Cooperation stressed FBI Director Robert Mueller told reporters Thursday in Seattle that local, state and federal officials must cooperate to prevent a new terrorist attack. The lack of such cooperation, from the federal government on down, has been cited by congressional and independent investigators as a key reason the Sept. 11, 2001, plot was not detected. "We try to use our imagination to determine where the next threat might come from," Mueller said after a visit to the FBI's Seattle field office. The FBI bulletin cited recent intelligence that continues to show al-Qaida interest in attacking a range of facilities, including gasoline stations and refineries; financial and government institutions; civil aviation; nuclear plants and dams, and subways and freight trains. Terrorists could seek to replicate attacks overseas that have used bombs in vehicles, assault teams armed with light weapons and suicide bombers, the FBI said. Around the country, state and local officials echoed the federal government's approach to the Fourth. "We're encouraging New Yorkers to enjoy the holiday but to remain vigilant and aware of their surroundings," said Lynn Rasic, spokeswoman for New York Gov. George Pataki. "Security will be strong and noticeable at public events across the state." In Atlanta, the city transit system canceled days off for police and planned random sweeps of trains with bomb-sniffing dogs, spokeswoman Kimberly Willis Green said. And in Washington, police were setting up 19 security checkpoints along the National Mall for people to enter to watch the nationally televised fireworks show Sunday. Things to watch for The FBI bulletin repeated for local authorities a previously released list of indicators often associated with suicide bomber attacks overseas. These include: Irregular, loose-fitting clothing not appropriate for warm weather, possibly with "protruding bulges or exposed wires" or a noticeable chemical odor. "Sweating, mumbling (prayers) or unusually calm and detached behavior." In addition, people who refuse to show their hands, possibly to conceal a detonator. Disguises, including military, police, medical or firefighter uniforms or someone posing as a pregnant woman. Large or heavy baggage not appropriate for the location, such as a big duffel bag carried into a restaurant. Law enforcement officials also were asked to be wary of possible terrorist surveillance, which the FBI said nearly always occurs prior to any attack "to determine suitability, security and probability of success." Terrorists also may make anonymous threats to observe how security reacts and may attempt surveillance disguised as homeless people, shoe shiners, street vendors or street sweepers, the FBI said. ***************************************************************** 22 JOURNAL NEWS: Manhattan Project guard recalls bomb's debut By ERIN DONAR FOR THE JOURNAL NEWS (Original publication: July 4, 2004) Before the image of the mushroom cloud and the term "atomic bomb" became part of the world's consciousness, scientists were working tirelessly to create a weapon never before seen. At 88, Yonkers resident Carlo Silveri is one of the few remaining men who worked with the Manhattan Project and witnessed the detonation of the first such bomb, code-named "Gadget," at the Trinity test site in Los Alamos, N.M. The event marked one of the most significant scientific achievements in history, helping end World War II, but also ushered in the age of nuclear warfare and ethical questions surrounding the bomb's use. Last month, Silveri attended a reunion conference organized by the Manhattan Project Heritage Preservation Association, an event commemorating the men who worked at the bomb creation site. Veterans from the site and their families were invited to hear lectures and discussions about the impact of the development of nuclear technology. Silveri worked as a guard for the Manhattan Project after he was drafted during the war. He said the guards who worked at the site code-named Trinity by theoretical physicist J. Robert Oppenheimer never knew exactly what was going on, only that it was something big. "All we knew was there was going to be some kind of experiment," he said. He and others learned the true nature of the experiment a week before the bomb was tested, he said. In the years leading up to the start of the Manhattan Project, world affairs were becoming increasingly tense. In 1939, Germany was rumored to be working on a nuclear weapon, and Albert Einstein warned the United States that he feared what would happen if the Nazis came up with the technology first. He urged the U.S. government to start work on a nuclear weapon of its own. Oppenheimer was the director of the Los Alamos Laboratory, and is credited with completing the project. "Everyone who worked there the ones who liked (Oppenheimer) and even those who didn't like him would say he was the person who made it happen. He was a brilliant man of unbelievable charisma and an incredible leader," said Richard Peterson, a professor of Physics at Bethel College in St. Paul, Minn. and president-elect of the American Association of Physics Teachers. The entire Manhattan Project lasted four years, between 1942 and 1946, and cost about $1.8 billion. Silveri worked as a sergeant in the military police, guarding and securing the grounds of the site, as scientists worked to produce the bomb. The men were not allowed to discuss their work with anyone outside of the top-secret project. Even Harry Truman was not informed of the project's existence until after he became president upon President Franklin D. Roosevelt's death. After almost eight months of preparation, the bomb was detonated on July 16, 1945. Silveri was eight miles from the site. "I saw a bright light and so I ran outside and I saw the mushroom cloud and felt the concussion of the bomb," he said. The bomb turned out to be much more powerful than the scientists had originally expected, with the explosive equivalent to about 20,000 tons of TNT. After the blast, Silveri and his co-workers drove after the cloud created by the bomb, following it all the way to Roswell, N.M., before returning to camp to celebrate, he said. "Oppenheimer himself didn't think it could be accomplished, so when it was, he was just as surprised as everyone else," he said. Displaying pieces of glass created by the bomb in the desert sand and showing pictures he took of the site, Silveri described how he went into the area only a few weeks after the test. He was openly discussed the sterility he found out about years later, saying it could have been caused by his work at Trinity, but he could not be sure. "At that time, they didn't know," he said. On Aug. 6 and 9, 1945, less than a month after the Los Alamos test, the United States dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, respectively, killing approximately 200,000 Japanese civilians. While the bombs are generally credited with ending the war, questions remain as to their necessity and role, and whether a solution could have been found without so many deaths. As Silveri prepared for his trip to Ithaca, N.Y., to attend the reunion and conference, he said he wondered if he would recognize the men with whom he was secluded for more than a year, adding that he was excited to see some of his old friends. But when he arrived, he found he was the only one of the original 12 guards who had made it to the event. "It was mostly science people, and the guys that came after us to replace us," he said. "At this age, most (co-workers) have passed away or were too sick to come." But he said he was proud the conference honored the contributions of those who worked at the Manhattan Project. "Nobody ever mentions Los Alamos and the soldiers that worked there," he said. "I'm glad I was picked to serve and was a part of history." Send e-mail to Erin Donar [edonar@thejournalnews.com] Home [http://www.thejournalnews.com] -Business Copyright 2004 The Journal News, a Gannett Co ***************************************************************** 23 IPS-English UAE-ENERGY: El Baradi on two-day visit Date: Sun, 04 Jul 2004 18:34:34 -0700 LA TR IP BR UAE-ENERGY: El Baradi on two-day visit Att.Editors: The following item is from the Emirates News Agency (WAM) DUBAI, July 3 (WAM) - Dr. Mohammed El Baradi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and accompanying delegation arrived here today on a two-day visit to the United Arab Emirates (UAE), during which he will hold talks with a number of senior officials on aspects of cooperation between the UAE and IAEA in peaceful fields. He was received at the Dubai International Airport by Ali bin Abdullah Al Owais, Under Secretary of Ministry of Electricity and Water, and a number of officials at the Ministry. (WAM) ***************************************************************** 24 [DU-WATCH] Israel's WMD's Date: Sat, 3 Jul 2004 01:52:26 -0500 (CDT) Zionist's Crime Cyndicate & their Weapons of Mass Destruction by John Steinbach "Should war break out in the Middle East again,... or should any Arab nation fire missiles against Israel, as the Iraqis did, a nuclear escalation, once unthinkable except as a last resort, would now be a strong probability." Seymour Hersh(1) "Arabs may have the oil, but we have the matches." Ariel Sharon(2) --------------------------------- With between 200 and 500 thermonuclear weapons and a sophisticated delivery system, Israel has quietly supplanted Britain as the World's 5th Largest nuclear power, and may currently rival France and China in the size and sophistication of its nuclear arsenal. Although dwarfed by the nuclear arsenals of the U.S. and Russia, each possessing over 10,000 nuclear weapons, Israel nonetheless is a major nuclear power, and should be publically recognized as such.. Since the Gulf War in 1991, while much attention has been lavished on the threat posed by Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, the major culprit in the region, Israel, has been largely ignored. Possessing chemical and biological weapons, an extremely sophisticated nuclear arsenal, and an aggressive strategy for their actual use, Israel provides the major regional impetus for the development of weapons of mass destruction and represents an acute threat to peace and stability in the Middle East. The Israeli nuclear program represents a serious impediment to nuclear disarmament and nonproliferation and, with India and Pakistan, is a potential nuclear flashpoint.(prospects of meaningful non-proliferation are a delusion so long as the nuclear weapons states insist on maintaining their arsenals,) Citizens concerned about sanctions against Iraq, peace with justice in the Middle East, and nuclear disarmament have an obligation to speak out forcefully against the Israeli nuclear program. Birth of the Israeli Bomb The Israeli nuclear program began in the late 1940s under the direction of Ernst David Bergmann, "the father of the Israeli bomb," who in 1952 established the Israeli Atomic Energy Commission. It was France, however, which provided the bulk of early nuclear assistance to Israel culminating in construction of Dimona, a heavy water moderated, natural uranium reactor and plutonium reprocessing factory situated near Bersheeba in the Negev Desert. Israel had been an active participant in the French Nuclear weapons program from its inception, providing critical technical expertise, and the Israeli nuclear program can be seen as an extension of this earlier collaboration. Dimona went on line in 1964 and plutonium reprocessing began shortly thereafter. Despite various Israeli claims that Dimona was "a manganese plant, or a textile factory," the extreme security measures employed told a far different story. In 1967, Israel shot down one of their own Mirage fighters that approached too close to Dimona and in 1973 shot down a Lybian civilian airliner which strayed off course, killing 104.(3) There is substantial credible speculation that Israel may have exploded at least one, and perhaps several, nuclear devices in the mid 1960s in the Negev near the Israeli-Egyptian border, and that it participated actively in French nuclear tests in Algeria.(4) By the time of the "Yom Kippur War" in 1973, Israel possessed an arsenal of perhaps several dozen deliverable atomic bombs and went on full nuclear alert.(5) Possessing advanced nuclear technology and "world class" nuclear scientists, Israel was confronted early with a major problem- how to obtain the necessary uranium. Israel's own uranium source was the phosphate deposits in the Negev, totally inadequate to meet the need of a rapidly expanding program. The short term answer was to mount commando raids in France and Britain to successfully hijack uranium shipments and, in1968, to collaborate with West Germany in diverting 200 tons of yellowcake (uranium oxide).(6) These clandestine acquisitions of uranium for Dimona were subsequently covered up by the various countries involved. There was also an allegation that a U.S. corporation called Nuclear Materials and Equipment Corporation (NUMEC) diverted hundreds of pounds of enriched uranium to Israel from the mid-50s to the mid-60s. Despite an FBI and CIA investigation, and Congressional hearings, no one was ever prosecuted, although most other investigators believed the diversion had occurred(7)(8). In the late 1960s, Israel solved the uranium problem by developing close ties with South Africa in a quid pro quo arrangement whereby Israel supplied the technology and expertise for the "Apartheid Bomb," while South Africa provided the uranium. South Africa and the United States In 1977, the Soviet Union warned the U.S. that satellite photos indicated South Africa was planning a nuclear test in the Kalahari Desert but the Apartheid regime backed down under pressure. On September 22, 1979, a U.S. satellite detected an atmospheric test of a small thermonuclear bomb in the Indian Ocean off South Africa but, because of Israel's apparent involvement, the report was quickly "whitewashed" by a carefully selected scientific panel kept in the dark about important details. Later it was learned through Israeli sources that there were actually three carefully guarded tests of miniaturized Israeli nuclear artillery shells. The Israeli/South African collaboration did not end with the bomb testing, but continued until the fall of Apartheid, especially with the developing and testing of medium range missiles and advanced artillery. In addition to uranium and test facilities, South Africa provided Israel with large amounts of investment capital, while Israel provided a major trade outlet to enable the Apartheid state avoid international economic sanctions.(9) Although the French and South Africans were primarily responsible for the Israeli nuclear program, the U.S. shares and deserves a large part of the blame. Mark Gaffney wrote (the Israeli nuclear program) "was possible only because (emphasis in original) of calculated deception on the part of Israel, and willing complicity on the part of the U.S.."(10) >From the very beginning, the U.S. was heavily involved in the Israeli nuclear program, providing nuclear related technology such as a small research reactor in 1955 under the "Atoms for Peace Program." Israeli scientists were largely trained at U.S. universities and were generally welcomed at the nuclear weapons labs. In the early 1960s, the controls for the Dimona reactor were obtained clandestinely from a company called Tracer Lab, the main supplier of U.S. military reactor control panels, purchased through a Belgian subsidiary, apparently with the acquiescence of the National Security Agency (NSA) and the CIA.(11) In 1971, the Nixon administration approved the sale of hundreds of krytons(a type of high speed switch necessary to the development of sophisticated nuclear bombs) to Israel.(12) And, in 1979, Carter provided ultra high resolution photos from a KH-11 spy satellite, used 2 years later to bomb the Iraqi Osirak Reactor.(13) Throughout the Nixon and Carter administrations, and accelerating dramatically under Reagan, U.S. advanced technology transfers to Israel have continued unabated to the present. The Vanunu Revelations Following the 1973 war, Israel intensified its nuclear program while continuing its policy of deliberate "nuclear opaqueness." Until the mid-1980s, most intelligence estimates of the Israeli nuclear arsenal were on the order of two dozen but the explosive revelations of Mordechai Vanunu, a nuclear technician working in the Dimona plutonium reprocessing plant, changed everything overnight. A leftist supporter of Palestine, Vanunu believed that it was his duty to humanity to expose Israel's nuclear program to the world. He smuggled dozens of photos and valuable scientific data out of Israel and in 1986 his story was published in the London Sunday Times. Rigorous scientific scrutiny of the Vanunu revelations led to the disclosure that Israel possessed as many as 200 highly sophisticated, miniaturized thermonuclear bombs. His information indicated that the Dimona reactor's capacity had been expanded several fold and that Israel was producing enough plutonium to make ten to twelve bombs per year. A senior U.S. intelligence analyst said of the Vanunu data,"The scope of this is much more extensive than we thought. This is an enormous operation."(14) Just prior to publication of his information Vanunu was lured to Rome by a Mossad "Mata Hari," was beaten, drugged and kidnapped to Israel and, following a campaign of disinformation and vilification in the Israeli press, convicted of "treason" by a secret security court and sentenced to 18 years in prison. He served over 11 years in solitary confinement in a 6 by 9 foot cell. After a year of modified release into the general population(he was not permitted contact with Arabs), Vanunu recently has been returned to solitary and faces more than 3 years further imprisonment. Predictably, The Vanunu revelations were largely ignored by the world press, especially in the United States, and Israel continues to enjoy a relatively free ride regarding its nuclear status. (15) Israel's Arsenal of Mass Destruction Today, estimates of the Israeli nuclear arsenal range from a minimum of 200 to a maximum of about 500. Whatever the number, there is little doubt that Israeli nukes are among the world's most sophisticated, largely designed for "war fighting" in the Middle East. A staple of the Israeli nuclear arsenal are "neutron bombs," miniaturized thermonuclear bombs designed to maximize deadly gamma radiation while minimizing blast effects and long term radiation- in essence designed to kill people while leaving property intact.(16) Weapons include ballistic missiles and bombers capable of reaching Moscow, cruise missiles, land mines(In the 1980s Israel planted nuclear land mines along the Golan Heights(17)), and artillery shells with a range of 45 miles(18). In June, 2000 an Israeli submarine launched a cruise missile which hit a target 950 miles away, making Israel only the third nation after the U.S. and Russia with that capability. Israel will deploy 3 of these virtually impregnable submarines, each carrying 4 cruise missiles.(19) The bombs themselves range in size from "city busters" larger than the Hiroshima Bomb to tactical mini nukes. The Israeli arsenal of weapons of mass destruction clearly dwarfs the actual or potential arsenals of all other Middle Eastern states combined, and is vastly greater than any conceivable need for "deterrence." Israel also possesses a comprehensive arsenal of chemical and biological weapons. According to the Sunday Times, Israel has produced both chemical and biological weapons with a sophisticated delivery system, quoting a senior Israeli intelligence official, "There is hardly a single known or unknown form of chemical or biological weapon . . .which is not manufactured at the Nes Tziyona Biological Institute.")(20) The same report described F-16 fighter jets specially designed for chemical and biological payloads, with crews trained to load the weapons on a moments notice. In 1998, the Sunday Times reported that Israel, using research obtained from South Africa, was developing an "ethno bomb; "In developing their "ethno-bomb", Israeli scientists are trying to exploit medical advances by identifying distinctive a gene carried by some Arabs, then create a genetically modified bacterium or virus... The scientists are trying to engineer deadly micro-organisms that attack only those bearing the distinctive genes." Dedi Zucker, a leftist Member of Knesset, the Israeli parliament, denounced the research saying, "Morally, based on our history, and our tradition and our experience, such a weapon is monstrous and should be denied."(21) Israeli Nuclear Strategy In popular imagination, the Israeli bomb is a "weapon of last resort," to be used only at the last minute to avoid annihilation, and many well intentioned but misled supporters of Israel still believe that to be the case. Whatever truth this formulation may have had in the minds of the early Israeli nuclear strategists, today the Israeli nuclear arsenal is inextricably linked to and integrated with overall Israeli military and political strategy. As Seymour Hersh says in classic understatement ; "The Samson Option is no longer the only nuclear option available to Israel."(22) Israel has made countless veiled nuclear threats against the Arab nations and against the Soviet Union(and by extension Russia since the end of the Cold War) One chilling example comes from Ariel Sharon, the current Israeli Prime Minister "Arabs may have the oil, but we have the matches."(23) (In 1983 Sharon proposed to India that it join with Israel to attack Pakistani nuclear facilities; in the late 70s he proposed sending Israeli paratroopers to Tehran to prop up the Shah; and in 1982 he called for expanding Israel's security influence to stretch from "Mauritania to Afghanistan.") In another example, Israeli nuclear expert Oded Brosh said in 1992, "...we need not be ashamed that the nuclear option is a major instrumentality of our defense as a deterrent against those who attack us."(24) According to Israel Shahak, "The wish for peace, so often assumed as the Israeli aim, is not in my view a principle of Israeli policy, while the wish to extend Israeli domination and influence is." and "Israel is preparing for a war, nuclear if need be, for the sake of averting domestic change not to its liking, if it occurs in some or any Middle Eastern states.... Israel clearly prepares itself to seek overtly a hegemony over the entire Middle East..., without hesitating to use for the purpose all means available, including nuclear ones."(25) Israel uses its nuclear arsenal not just in the context of deterrence" or of direct war fighting, but in other more subtle but no less important ways. For example, the possession of weapons of mass destruction can be a powerful lever to maintain the status quo, or to influence events to Israel's perceived advantage, such as to protect the so called moderate Arab states from internal insurrection, or to intervene in inter-Arab warfare.(26) In Israeli strategic jargon this concept is called "nonconventional compellence" and is exemplified by a quote from Shimon Peres; "acquiring a superior weapons system(read nuclear) would mean the possibility of using it for compellent purposes- that is forcing the other side to accept Israeli political demands, which presumably include a demand that the traditional status quo be accepted and a peace treaty signed."(27) From a slightly different perspective, Robert Tuckerr asked in a Commentary magazine article in defense of Israeli nukes, "What would prevent Israel... from pursuing a hawkish policy employing a nuclear deterrent to freeze the status quo?"(28) Possessing an overwhelming nuclear superiority allows Israel to act with impunity even in the face world wide opposition. A case in point might be the invasion of Lebanon and destruction of Beirut in 1982, led by Ariel Sharon, which resulted in 20,000 deaths, most civilian. Despite the annihilation of a neighboring Arab state, not to mention the utter destruction of the Syrian Air Force, Israel was able to carry out the war for months at least partially due to its nuclear threat. Another major use of the Israeli bomb is to compel the U.S. to act in Israel's favor, even when it runs counter to its own strategic interests. As early as 1956 Francis Perrin, head of the French A-bomb project wrote "We thought the Israeli Bomb was aimed at the Americans, not to launch it at the Americans, but to say, 'If you don't want to help us in a critical situation we will require you to help us; otherwise we will use our nuclear bombs.'"(29) During the 1973 war, Israel used nuclear blackmail to force Kissinger and Nixon to airlift massive amounts of military hardware to Israel. The Israeli Ambassador, Simha Dinitz, is quoted as saying, at the time, "If a massive airlift to Israel does not start immediately, then I will know that the U.S. is reneging on its promises and...we will have to draw very serious conclusions..."(30) Just one example of this strategy was spelled out in 1987 by Amos Rubin, economic adviser to Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir, who said "If left to its own Israel will have no choice but to fall back on a riskier defense which will endanger itself and the world at large... To enable Israel to abstain from dependence on nuclear arms calls for $2 to 3 billion per year in U.S. aid."(31) Since then Israel's nuclear arsenal has expanded exponentially, both quantitatively and qualitatively, while the U.S. money spigots remain wide open. Regional and International Implications Largely unknown to the world, the Middle East nearly exploded in all out war on February 22, 2001. According to the London Sunday Times and DEBKAfile, Israel went on high missile alert after receiving news from the U.S. of movement by 6 Iraqi armored divisions stationed along the Syrian border, and of launch preparations of surface to surface missiles. DEBKAfile, an Israeli based "counter-terrorism" information service, claims that the Iraqi missiles were deliberately taken to the highest alert level in order to test the U.S. and Israeli response. Despite an immediate attack by 42 U.S. and British war planes, the Iraqis suffered little apparent damage.(32) The Israelis have warned Iraq that they are prepared to use neutron bombs in a preemptive attack against Iraqi missiles. The Israeli nuclear arsenal has profound implications for the future of peace in the Middle East, and indeed, for the entire planet. It is clear from Israel Shahak that Israel has no interest in peace except that which is dictated on its own terms, and has absolutely no intention of negotiating in good faith to curtail its nuclear program or discuss seriously a nuclear-free Middle East,"Israel's insistence on the independent use of its nuclear weapons can be seen as the foundation on which Israeli grand strategy rests."(34) According to Seymour Hersh, "the size and sophistication of Israel's nuclear arsenal allows men such as Ariel Sharon to dream of redrawing the map of the Middle East aided by the implicit threat of nuclear force."(35) General Amnon Shahak-Lipkin, former Israeli Chief of Staff is quoted "It is never possible to talk to Iraq about no matter what; It is never possible to talk to Iran about no matter what. Certainly about nuclearization. With Syria we cannot really talk either."(36) Ze'ev Shiff, an Israeli military expert writing in Haaretz said, "Whoever believes that Israel will ever sign the UN Convention prohibiting the proliferation of nuclear weapons... is day dreaming,"(37) and Munya Mardoch, Director of the Israeli Institute for the Development of Weaponry, said in 1994, "The moral and political meaning of nuclear weapons is that states which renounce their use are acquiescing to the status of Vassal states. All those states which feel satisfied with possessing conventional weapons alone are fated to become vassal states."(38) As Israeli society becomes more and more polarized, the influence of the radical right becomes stronger. According to Shahak, "The prospect of Gush Emunim, or some secular right-wing Israeli fanatics, or some some of the delerious Israeli Army generals, seizing control of Israeli nuclear weapons...cannot be precluded. ...while israeli jewish society undergoes a steady polarization, the Israeli security system increasingly relies on the recruitment of cohorts from the ranks of the extreme right."(39) The Arab states, long aware of Israel's nuclear program, bitterly resent its coercive intent, and perceive its existence as the paramount threat to peace in the region, requiring their own weapons of mass destruction. During a future Middle Eastern war (a distinct possibility given the ascension of Ariel Sharon, an unindicted war criminal with a bloody record stretching from the massacre of Palestinian civilians at Quibya in 1953, to the massacre of Palestinian civilians at Sabra and Shatila in 1982 and beyond) the possible Israeli use of nuclear weapons should not be discounted. According to Shahak, "In Israeli terminology, the launching of missiles on to Israeli territory is regarded as 'nonconventional' regardless of whether they are equipped with explosives or poison gas."(40) (Which requires a "nonconventional" response, a perhaps unique exception being the Iraqi SCUD attacks during the Gulf War.) Meanwhile, the existence of an arsenal of mass destruction in such an unstable region in turn has serious implications for future arms control and disarmament negotiations, and even the threat of nuclear war. Seymour Hersh warns, "Should war break out in the Middle East again,... or should any Arab nation fire missiles against Israel, as the Iraqis did, a nuclear escalation, once unthinkable except as a last resort, would now be a strong probability."(41) and Ezar Weissman, Israel's current President said "The nuclear issue is gaining momentum(and the) next war will not be conventional."(42) Russia and before it the Soviet Union has long been a major(if not the major) target of Israeli nukes. It is widely reported that the principal purpose of Jonathan Pollard's spying for Israel was to furnish satellite images of Soviet targets and other super sensitive data relating to U.S. nuclear targeting strategy. (43) (Since launching its own satellite in 1988, Israel no longer needs U.S. spy secrets.) Israeli nukes aimed at the Russian heartland seriously complicate disarmament and arms control negotiations and, at the very least, the unilateral possession of nuclear weapons by Israel is enormously destabilizing, and dramatically lowers the threshold for their actual use, if not for all out nuclear war. In the words of Mark Gaffney, "... if the familar pattern(Israel refining its weapons of mass destruction with U.S. complicity) is not reversed soon- for whatever reason- the deepening Middle East conflict could trigger a world conflagration." (44) Many Middle East Peace activists have been reluctant to discuss, let alone challenge, the Israeli monopoly on nuclear weapons in the region, often leading to incomplete and uninformed analyses and flawed action strategies. Placing the issue of Israeli weapons of mass destruction directly and honestly on the table and action agenda would have several salutary effects. First, it would expose a primary destabilizing dynamic driving the Middle East arms race and compelling the region's states to each seek their own "deterrent." Second, it would expose the grotesque double standard which sees the U.S. and Europe on the one hand condemning Iraq, Iran and Syria for developing weapons of mass destruction, while simultaneously protecting and enabling the principal culprit. Third, exposing Israel's nuclear strategy would focus international public attention, resulting in increased pressure to dismantle its weapons of mass destruction and negotiate a just peace in good faith. Finally, a nuclear free Israel would make a Nuclear Free Middle East and a comprehensive regional peace agreement much more likely. Unless and until the world community confronts Israel over its covert nuclear program it is unlikely that there will be any meaningful resolution of the Israeli/Arab conflict, a fact that Israel may be counting on as the Sharon era dawns. --------------------------------- Footnotes: 1. Seymour Hersh, The Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal and American Foreign Policy, New York,1991, Random House, p. 319 (A brilliant and prophetic work with much original research)2 2. Mark Gaffney, Dimona, The Third Temple:The Story Behind the Vanunu Revelation, Brattleboro, VT, 1989, Amana Books, p. 165 (Excellent progressive analysis of the Israeli nuclear program) 3. U.S. Army Lt. Col. Warner D. Farr, The Third Temple Holy of Holies; Israel's Nuclear Weapons, USAF Counterproliferation Center, Air War College Sept 1999